Swing trading Mr.Market's latest Top Five Picks

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Swing trading Mr.Market's latest Top Five Picks

    This thread is dedicated to swing trading Mr.Market's latest Top Five picks.

    EDIT: For the benefit of new readers of the thread, please note that this thread is now dedicated to swing trading current Mr.Market Top 5 candidates solely by using the 50% Fibonacci retracement of a move from a significant low to the latest high. Target is 15%, no stop. Retargets will occur on every new 50% retrace signal given. The first post in this thread that introduces the 50% concept into this thread is here http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpo...52&postcount=7 and the first trade of the system was in mid Dec here http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpo...7&postcount=14

    The original setup was discretionary and based on channel theory discussed in my Scientific thread and in this thread, I will not be taking any more channel signals; only the 50% retrace signal.

    My original and opening post for this thread was as follows:
    "THE SETUP
    1. All trades based on technical analysis as already discussed in the Scientific thread.
    2. Charts must be clearly bullish, based on daily regression channel interpretation. If one of the picks has a bearish channel condition, then it won't be traded.
    2. Entries will be based on the interpretation of intraday patterns and/or Fib support/resistance (pivot, S1 or S2). Pattern will be such things as inverted Head & Shoulders formations with neckline breaks, double bottoms, wedge breakouts, and bullflags. Basic Elliott Wave theory may also be applied to entries, where possible.
    3. Targets will be based on channel formations and/or price level resistance and/or gap resistance, with a view to exit at any significant upper channel hit, any significant price resistance, or any gap resistance on the chart.
    4. Exits will be made at intrady R1 and R2 where possible, unless conditions warrant immediate exits based on intraday patterns.
    5. Stops will be used with all trades. Stops will never exceed 4% risk, and will likely average 1% risk, as they will be placed under the low of day of the day entered and moved to break even when in good profit.

    Let the fun begin."
    Last edited by spikefader; 04-14-2005, 12:09 PM.

  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    #2
    CME long setup.
    Daily is clearly bullish.
    Intraday S2 bounce today, with inverted SHS and neckline break. Long from 197.40 was the play.
    Target is upper channel.
    Stop is 196.20 (fantastically low 0.6% risk only!)
    Attached Files

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      #3
      Oh, I should mention that Mr.Market's latest Top Five list is here: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/...read.php?t=557
      ARLP CME CWTR MCRI MPX

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        #4
        Hey, this new system might be OK! First position doing well.
        Attached Files

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          #5
          CWTR setting up.
          Attached Files

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            #6
            Late call, but the play is long from 24.62, stop under lod.
            Attached Files

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              #7
              50% retrace zones

              As discussed in 'stops are for wimps', MM Picks seem to perform very nicely when basing swing entries on a 50% retrace support to target MM's 15% gain.

              These will be my entry points for the Veteran's Day Top Five.
              ARLP 63.85
              CME 186.14
              CWTR 23.41
              MCRI 30.51
              MPX 21.63
              Alarms have been set and I'll post the entries when they happen.
              Last edited by spikefader; 11-25-2004, 12:29 AM.

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                #8

                10% profit thus far and holding long from 24.62
                Target is daily upper channel currently 30.00ish, which is about 22% and rising.

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  #9
                  Cme

                  re: CME http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/...78&postcount=2
                  Out for +0.65 or 0.3%. Small, but better than a loss, which the channel turndown is warning of.
                  There will be better entries for this one

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    #10
                    ARLP 50% retrace entry while I was away

                    Here's the play.
                    Attached Files

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      #11
                      of the others:

                      CME 50% entry location is 192.45
                      MPX 50% entry location is 22.72
                      CWTR still 23.41
                      MCRI still 30.51

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        #12
                        re this entry:

                        Channel turn down today, exit at close 25.53 for +.91 or 3.7% profit.
                        Attached Files

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          #13
                          Well folks, the new list of top 5s is in! ACRG.OB ARLP CME CRDN MPX
                          New stuff to watch! see here for list
                          I'll be watching these five now for nice swing trade set ups with channel entries. Also for 50% FIB entries and I'll holler when I see them.

                          Oh, and anyone with time and inclination to do it, pretty please track the 50% entries for the old Top 5 and give a yell when they hit? It will be well worth calling out to the forum! I'll watch the new Top 5 for 50% entries!
                          Last edited by spikefader; 12-14-2004, 11:51 AM.

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            #14
                            ARLP 50% entry here while I was away is in about 6% profit and going strong.

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              #15
                              missed opportunity with CME:
                              Attached Files

                              Comment

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