IBD 100 and CANSLIM "quality" weekly screens

[IIC]

Geez...can't we all just get along???...You guys wanna yell at somebody...Yell at me...I can take it...No prob...Doug(IIC)

[peanuts]

...But seriously.... I think you took Ski's post all wrong, he was simply directing rrochon to a short list (read rrochon's post/question again).

Lye,

Jiesen correctly assessed the situation... ski did post an incorrect link, and when I did look at his link and saw that it was, as Jiesen noted, a business 101 site, I took special care to reread both rrochon's and ski's posts. After seeing the way "interest" was used in both cases, I thought ski was clandestinely undermining the thread, and I just won't let that happen.

I don't know about you but where I come from if you slug a fella in the jaw when he ain't lookin'.... expect to get your ass mauled....

I see your point... maybe I should have engaged in a little more fact finding before confronting ski. But these facts remain: 1) he posted an incorrectly spelled link 2) his childish response of name calling, threatening, and assumptions of character were completely irrational, uncalled for, and embarrassing. 3) He was given all opportunity to end this, yet HE made the decision to continue on with his poor attitude and his actions proves to me that it is a waste of my time to directly respond to him in the future.

He is a loathsome individual that likes to harrass people of which he has no personal knowledge. He constantly feels the need to beat his chest and proclaim his greatness to, as he put it, "satisfy his ego." I'll let him have his way, because really, trying to talk to these types of personalities does nothing but frustrate me even further with his constant rhetoric. He can't seem to get the point.

[skiracer]

Lye,

Jiesen correctly assessed the situation... ski did post an incorrect link, and when I did look at his link and saw that it was, as Jiesen noted, a business 101 site, I took special care to reread both rrochon's and ski's posts. After seeing the way "interest" was used in both cases, I thought ski was clandestinely undermining the thread, and I just won't let that happen.



I see your point... maybe I should have engaged in a little more fact finding before confronting ski. But these facts remain: 1) he posted an incorrectly spelled link 2) his childish response of name calling, threatening, and assumptions of character were completely irrational, uncalled for, and embarrassing. 3) He was given all opportunity to end this, yet HE made the decision to continue on with his poor attitude and his actions proves to me that it is a waste of my time to directly respond to him in the future.

He is a loathsome individual that likes to harrass people of which he has no personal knowledge. He constantly feels the need to beat his chest and proclaim his greatness to, as he put it, "satisfy his ego." I'll let him have his way, because really, trying to talk to these types of personalities does nothing but frustrate me even further with his constant rhetoric. He can't seem to get the point.

Anyone that wants to believe this horseshit that Peanuts is trying to put out about me is more than welcome to do so. If anyone here doesn't know me and how I am and what I stand for by now probably isn't worth spending time trying to explain myself. If this little toad of an individual wants to base his whole arguement on the fact that I spelled the website incorrectly and that I was trying to undermine his thread is in his own mind an is surely a clear example of his own paranoia. His initial response to my post is indicative of his nature and personality and mine is as clear a picture of how I feel about him and that type of conduct as I could show about myself. If he does continue to berrate me I will show up on his doorstep sometime and we will straighten out the matter in that fashion. In the meantime the whole situation has left me with a terrible taste in my mouth about all of it which in my own mind is more than I want to deal with anymore. It's been a nice run an I have enjoyed myself and the commaradie that alot of us have shared over this time but I just can't bring myself to participate in it any longer. Good luck.

[peanuts]

last week's results

Major Indices move last week: DOW: 1.13%, NAZ: -0.24%, S&P500: -0.06%

TICKER, $beginning price, $ending price, 1 week percent return

IBD 100:
XTXI, 88.33, 90.18, 2.09%
PMTI, 43.34, 41.54, -4.15%
HOC, 40.29, 40.45, 0.4%
OXPS, 28.90, 22.91, -20.73%
HITT, 34.36, 32.06, -6.69%
LQDT, 16.85, 14.82, -12.05%

CANSLIM:
DRQ, 74.75, 73.21, -2.06%
LVS, 65.50, 67.55, 3.13%
FCFS, 20.16, 19.82, -1.69%
RES, 22.72, 21.53, -5.24%

The week began with 2 days of strong price depreciation across all indices, a decisive turnaround occurred on Wednesday and brought the indices close to where they began the week. Many of the screened stocks had very wide price fluctuations. On Tuesday, many of them were down 10+%. OXPS reported lower activity for the month of May which investors did not like, and accordingly bailed out of their sinking position.

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

06/16/06 screen results

IBD 100:
FMD, $50.80
XTXI, $90.18
HOC, $40.45
PMTI, $41.54

CANSLIM:
LVS, $67.55
DRQ, $73.21
FMD, $50.80

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

FMD, a good short???

IBD 100:
FMD, $50.80
XTXI, $90.18
HOC, $40.45
PMTI, $41.54

CANSLIM:
LVS, $67.55
DRQ, $73.21
FMD, $50.80

I back-checked the last time a stock showed up on both the 100 screen and the canslim screen, and the last stock to do so was BOOM on April 28. At that time, BOOM had recently made its 52 week high at $43.20 and was trading near $38. Since that time, BOOM has taken a turn for the worse and now trades at $31. Both of the screens have identified FMD as a big mover for the week. It will be interesting to see whether FMD follows in the footsteps of BOOM.

Granted, the overall market conditions are completely different from the time that BOOM made the screen and today's market condition; so that may play a role. I have noted a direct correlation between overall market performance and the screened stocks' performance. When the market goes up or down, these stocks follow, but to a greater degree of change. So, if the market is up this week, FMD may also appreciate in price and then possibly disprove the conclusion drawn from the performance of BOOM: "if a stock shows up on both screens, then its price will depreciate and should be a good shorting opportunity." However, regardless of the market's move this week, a negative price move of FMD may strengthen the same argument.

I would like to learn some of the thoughts on this week's prediction of price movement for FMD from some members here at $$$ Mr. Market $$$. FA and TA are both welcome.

In advance, I want to thank you for sharing your thoughts and opinions.

Personally, I do not like the stock as a MT long at this point. I like it for a ST long to $55, and then possibly $58. At $58, I like it for a ST-MT short to $46. LT, this should be a good company as long as the financials hold up. I do not like the fact of such a large volume of insider sales... 2+ million shares.

For me:
short term (ST)- < 1 month
mid-term (MT)- > 1 month, < 1 year
long-term (LT)- > 1 year

[Runner]

Peanuts, here is my FA/TA take on FMD:

This company has simply been exploding sales growth since 2003. Something real huge occurred in June 2006.
PEG looks real good here at .42
Based off projected earnings for 2006 I see fair value around 54.00.
PE looks wonderful as well. What can I say my fuzzy FA logic says this is a good company?

TA:
Monthly shows price currently trying to peak over 3-month consolidation zone.
Weekly is currently in trend acceleration since the beginning of the year.
Daily shows nice gap up on 6/9/6 and price thus far holding the gap. It did try to run on 9/12 but was rejected. Currently it does look like it is trying to break the possible double top. I don’t see a entry point on it at this time.

Sub Sector has 40 stocks and FMD is in the number 2 spot below WRLD in terms of percentage gains since last top in the S&P 500. It is currently up 5.48% since that top. Now looking over the group the following charts are not looking bad:
WRLD FMD CACC AEA NICK The subgroup as a whole does not look in good shape and is currently setting up as a possible short. Current market conditions are week and so I advise caution here..

[peanuts]

I back-checked the last time a stock showed up on both the 100 screen and the canslim screen, and the last stock to do so was BOOM on April 28. At that time, BOOM had recently made its 52 week high at $43.20 and was trading near $38. Since that time, BOOM has taken a turn for the worse and now trades at $31. Both of the screens have identified FMD as a big mover for the week. It will be interesting to see whether FMD follows in the footsteps of BOOM.

Granted, the overall market conditions are completely different from the time that BOOM made the screen and today's market condition; so that may play a role. I have noted a direct correlation between overall market performance and the screened stocks' performance. When the market goes up or down, these stocks follow, but to a greater degree of change. So, if the market is up this week, FMD may also appreciate in price and then possibly disprove the conclusion drawn from the performance of BOOM: "if a stock shows up on both screens, then its price will depreciate and should be a good shorting opportunity." However, regardless of the market's move this week, a negative price move of FMD may strengthen the same argument.

Well, so far, this can be thrown out of the window.

Personally, I do not like the stock as a MT long at this point. I like it for a ST long to $55, and then possibly $58. At $58, I like it for a ST-MT short to $46. LT, this should be a good company as long as the financials hold up. I do not like the fact of such a large volume of insider sales... 2+ million shares.

For me:
short term (ST)- < 1 month
mid-term (MT)- > 1 month, < 1 year
long-term (LT)- > 1 year

Right on... closing price was $56.48... up 11.18% for the week. I will be looking for a shorting opportunity at $58, but only if TA shows a proper shorting opportunity. Sometimes, these stocks can take off to really high prices (ERS) and I would not want to be caught in a short position like that.

[peanuts]

last week's results

Major Indices move last week: DOW: -0.23%, NAZ: -0.40%, S&P500: -0.56%

TICKER, $beginning price, $ending price, 1 week % return (positive or negative)

IBD 100:
FMD, 50.80, 56.48, 11.18%
XTXI, 90.18, 91.06, 0.98%
HOC, 40.45, 41.87, 3.51%
PMTI, 41.54, 44.46, 7.03%

CANSLIM:
LVS, 67.55, 66.87, -1.01%
DRQ, 73.21, 74.57, 1.86%
FMD, 50.80, 56.48, 11.18%

Volume in the market has decreased this past week. There were no decisive moves in either direction for the major indices. In the news: Hedge Funds are to come under the scrutiny of the SEC. Accusations of insider trading by people within Morgan Stanley and Pequot Capital Management Inc. have been made.

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

06/23/06 screen results

IBD 100:
HANS, $171.95
PMTI, $44.46
HOC, $41.87
XTXI, $91.06

CANSLIM:
LVS, $66.87
FMD, $56.48
DRQ, $74.57

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

Last Week's Results

Major Indices move last week: DOW: 1.47%, NAZ: 2.39%, S&P500: 2.07%

TICKER, $beginning price, $ending price, 1 week % return (positive or negative)

IBD 100:
HANS, 171.95, 190.37, 10.71%
PMTI, 44.46, 45.63, 2.63%
HOC, 41.87, 48.20, 15.12%
XTXI, 91.06, 95.08, 4.41%

CANSLIM:
LVS, 66.87, 77.86, 16.43%
FMD, 56.48, 56.94, 0.81%
DRQ, 74.57, 82.44, 10.55%

Volume in the market increased after the FED announcement, Thursday, of a rate increase of .25. Future rate decisions will be based on the health of the economy. Stocks made large gains, with the DOW making the largest 1 day advance in 3 years on Thursday. Friday saw mostly flat trading. The beginning of the 3rd quarter is Monday. Expect light trading in anticipation of 4th of July holiday on Tuesday.

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

6/30/06 Screen Results

IBD 100:
GOL, $35.50
LMS, $28.35
ALJ, $31.47
HITT, $36.16
HANS, $190.37
PMTI, $45.63

CANSLIM:
DRQ, $82.44
LVS, $77.86
FMD, $56.94

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

last week's results

Major Indices move last week: DOW: .53%, NAZ: 1.94%, S&P500: .37%

TICKER, $beginning price, $ending price, 1 week % return (positive or negative)

IBD 100:
GOL, 35.50, 33.35, -6.06%
LMS, 28.35, 27.31, -3.67%
ALJ, 31.47, 33.63, 6.86%
HITT, 36.16, 37.68, 4.20%
HANS, 190.37, 203.80, 7.05%
PMTI, 45.63, 49.11, 7.63%

CANSLIM:
DRQ, 82.44, 80.85, -1.93%
LVS, 77.86, 73.81, -5.20%
FMD, 56.94, 47.65, -16.32%

The market is still unsure of itself. The upcoming earnings season will give direction to the market for the remainder of the year. Trading volume was low this week due to a half day on Monday, and closed markets on Tuesday, July 4. Expect to see new market leaders and a change to the types of stocks listed in this screen during the earnings season. Earnings and price strength have a lot to do with the stocks which pass this screen.

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

07-07-06 Screen Results

IBD 100:
ALJ, $33.63

CANSLIM:
FMD, $47.65
BOT, $119.94
LVS, $73.81
DRQ, $80.85

Just a kind reminder: Please keep comments regarding IBD and your personal views of such off of this thread. Let the results of this screen speak for itself. I encourage you to post your views of IBD on this thread: http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1416

Thank you.

[peanuts]

FMD - long then short

...Personally, I do not like the stock as a MT long at this point. I like it for a ST long to $55, and then possibly $58. At $58, I like it for a ST-MT short to $46. LT, this should be a good company as long as the financials hold up. I do not like the fact of such a large volume of insider sales... 2+ million shares.

I nailed it! It took some time, but I really called this perfectly! This was based on the past performance of this screen and a little TA on my part.

Unfortunately, I did not play this as I saw it. So, I was 100% right, but since I did not put my money into play, I have nothing to show for being right. If I had done as I should have, it would have been a gain of about 40% in 3 weeks. DAMN!!!

At this point, FMD will need something (new development or good earnings) to move the price. I think the price will be relatively flat in the short term.