First off, WOW! I didn't expect so much interest in what I thought was going to be a simple question. and 10 to 8 in favor of loss isn't exactly a landslide (and the poll doesn't close).
I couldn't agree more. I see people (in real life and around here sometimes too) that boast about all their great picks but never mention their bombs. I think that when people boast up their winners and hide their losers they are trying to decieve themselves into thinking they are god-like. I've had plenty of big busts. I lost 99.8% one time in a penny stock, about 50% on 3 other picks. Rarely do I have a winner over 20%.
Thats why I think its important to take a closer look at your performance beyond the total Gain/Loss of a port or average trade G/L. Things like standard deviation clue you in to how erratic your performance is. Mathematical Expectation will let you know if you've been just lucky or have a real edge. Sharpe Ratio will show you how much risk you take on to beat a riskless (3-month treasury bill for example) investment. These things can be good to know.
Originally posted by spikefader
Originally posted by spikefader
Comment