A great FREEBIE market analysis

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  • riverbabe
    Senior Member
    • May 2005
    • 3373

    A great FREEBIE market analysis

    Folks, here is a great free daily market analysis. I have a subscription but also get the free one. (no other interest) River

    April 20, 2011

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    Subscriber Help Wednesday's Update
    SummaryMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridayWednesd ay, April 20th. - Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary

    Update to last week's: Confused about the Market?

    If you are confused about the market, particularly the NASDAQ 100, it is understandable but also explainable. (See today's current chart below.)

    There are certain patterns in the market that are a very natural reflection of the interaction that goes on between the Bulls and the Bears.

    When you see the same behavior in humans you don't question it. When it happening in the market, it is difficult to see unless you are observing what the charts are telling you.

    Take a look at the pattern on today's NASDAQ 100 chart presented below. I kept it simple and drew only one pattern on the chart ... a Symmetrical Triangle.

    One of the confusing aspect's about a symmetrical triangle is that the pattern is one where you can expect an increasing number of directional whipsaws as time goes on.

    The reason this happens is because you have a convergence occurring from a down trending resistance line, and an up trending support line.

    As these two lines converge upon each other, it means that the NASDAQ will make lower tops, and higher bottoms. Eventually, the two lines converge so the NASDAQ will have to "breakout" of the pattern before it reaches the apex (the point of convergence for the two lines).

    Since the two resistance/support lines are converging, it makes the market appear more volatile as time moves forward and the market moves closer to the apex.

    Don't think of it as volatility, but as an approaching battle between the Bulls and the Bears.

    After the breakout, this pattern typically gives you a decent ride in the direction of the breakout ... based on current data, it has a decent probability of being in the 7% to 10% range.

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