C long/short spotting - should we have a dedicated thread?

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    other potentials get added today, including CRED, ISV, FNX which are acting impulsive and close to correctives starting.
    and here are their charts....

    Comment

    • New-born baby
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 6095

      Broken Support

      Originally posted by Runner
      Spike, what ya think of bio stock AMGN? Might be near support..?
      Spike,
      Take another look at AMGN: broke through the price support at $73.13 (from the weekly chart in early Oct). Today, AMGN bounced up to retest that support-now-turned-resistance $73.13 line. It was rejected and pulled back.

      My thinking: AMGN is right now set up for a short. My read says $60 is very possible. It broke through a lower DESCENDING Triangle support line.

      Do you agree?
      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by New-born baby
        Spike,
        Take another look at AMGN: broke through the price support at $73.13 (from the weekly chart in early Oct). Today, AMGN bounced up to retest that support-now-turned-resistance $73.13 line. It was rejected and pulled back.

        My thinking: AMGN is right now set up for a short. My read says $60 is very possible. It broke through a lower DESCENDING Triangle support line.

        Do you agree?
        http://img84.imageshack.us/img84/2131/chart11fi.gif
        Hey NB. I can't fault your bearish thoughts on it. I think there's enough in the chart to offer that AMGN is at risk of lower than higher in weeks ahead - but there are some bullish things in the chart too (i.e. weekly channel long last week with an hourly bullish island reversal).

        Bottom line is I'm not impressed enough either way to want to trade it.

        For Runner's observation I was merely confirming that I saw it at weekly price support from '01 and '03, but like I said before, I wouldn't take it long on that basis.

        On your weekly chart, it resembles more a 'c' failure than a triangle - see chart notes as to why. But yes, based on that chart in isolation it appears bearish is the correct bias. But you know me, I like looking at longer-term charts cuz the way I see it you cannot ignore major price support from years ago. That's very relevant info to add to the s/r equation.

        Other thoughts; I see gap support at 72.00 (from 7/19/05) that failed last week, but that failure was immediately addressed by bulls with a little island reversal on the 5 day hourly (chart below too); for whatever value an hourly chart is at this point in time hehe (perhaps of higher value when it's used to confirm the weekly channel long??).






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        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          AKAM in the 'c'. Stalkin' fer entry below '4' dudes.


          Comment


          • AKAM is below its 20-day EMA. Assuming it closes below, you'd want to buy on today's close or tomorrow's open.

            Why is that, you ask?

            Because four of the last five times (on the daily chart) it traded below the EMA, the next day the stock made a positive move and within a couple of weeks, made a new high. On the fifth time it closed slightly lower the day after and then took off.

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Thanks for that 20 ema idea! Such simplicity just might work I tell ya!

              I'll look at the closing price eod and see if there's a nice tight -2% support stop for it.

              And something of interest about the 20 ema thing; isn't it neat that the reaction bounces at those areas coincided with 2s, 4s, 'a's or 'c's!

              And the biggest moves occurred after c's and 2's. C's offered the biggest gains, a welcome observation.

              Comment


              • amgn going off in pre-m

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Originally posted by Runner
                  amgn going off in pre-m
                  heh yup, she is.

                  Note to self: weekly channel longs at strong price support with bullish island reversals on the hourly are good sometimes for +12% in a couple days hehe

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    AKAM trigger setup

                    Originally posted by spikefader
                    AKAM in the 'c'. Stalkin' fer entry below '4' dudes.
                    Originally posted by DSteckler on EMA support
                    ...you'd want to buy on today's close or tomorrow's open.
                    AKAM:
                    OK, today's pivot of 21.65 is a sub 2% risk play. It's also the '4' support area.

                    Comment

                    • sekto
                      Member
                      • Dec 2005
                      • 69

                      I like INSM and chart shows it now in C
                      Of course you're the expert spike so ill let you decide.

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        INSM: sekto! You're brilliant dude! hehe

                        Look at that monthly chart over 10 years. That's Pick of the Year material! Big volume, cup with handle goin' on. I think a weekly close over 3.16 will be the prelude to some big gains for it this year.

                        I'm seeing huge support at 2.00. Money flow not the best on the daily, but weekly is better, and vol by price support is good on both the daily and the weekly too.

                        Thanks dude. It's on the stalk sheet.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          ISV 'a' alert. Pretty big 2 day discount......down to 1.30, I may nibble for the 'b' up....

                          CRED in the 'a' too.....

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            INSM entry:



                            EDIT: added daily.

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              TSAI in the 'c'

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Originally posted by spikefader
                                MDR another successful launch from the pad.
                                Stop out for even on MDR (long from 49.35) as the pattern fails. No harm; next!

                                Comment

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