Go to INTRADE.COM. There is a real market on this. The bid/ask is 35%/38% that either the US or Israel will have an airstrike against  Iran by the end of March 2007. It is 25.2%/27.9% by the end of this year  and 14.3%/15.2% by the end of June.
By the way, these guys are trying to get some sort of registration as a non-regulated futures market in the U.S.
					By the way, these guys are trying to get some sort of registration as a non-regulated futures market in the U.S.

 
	 
							
						
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