Lyehopper's Roundup....

[Lyehopper]

Gehl is a star....

I sold my PARL this morning...too bad, I could have got a little more out of it.

If I'm patient I should be able to catch another drop, in order to profit once again. I love the volatility this stock has. I've made a nice profit two times in a row, in just a matter of a couple of weeks.

Will she drop tomorrow? Only the VTP knows...jejeje

Looks like you made a wise move Websman.... Well Sir.... seems that I've got one star on my list. The others ain't exactly shinnin' quite yet.jejeje

[New-born baby]

Parl

Maybe you can get Spike to draw up a short scenario for PARL . . . .

[spikefader]

Hey Lye and NB,

PARL lovers may not like this hehe, but here are a few thoughts on PARL versus EFA, which I'm long and green, and superdooper bullish on at the moment. At stockcharts you can get the ratio chart between/relative to 2 issues.......neat huh?!

Anyway, these charts suggest that maybe a short PARL long EFA combo would leverage some magic.




But looking at PARL all alone, I see it had a channel long yesterday, which was confirmed by a 5-minute tweezer pattern. The hard stop for that play was 31.30, which got cut like wet paperbag on volume this morning.

In my humble opinion I think it's about to show us some bearishness, and thus I caution longs to exit now and wait for brighter days, or hedge for when 28.82 fails. But I do still think PARL's weekly is strong, so it's yet to get into serious bother. In my view 28.00 is a MUST hold area. If it doesn't, say hello to potential for 19.00 pretty quick.

Congrats on GEHL Lye! I think that's goin' to 41.00ish within the next 3 weeks or so. Consider profit-taking the upper weekly channel tag though.

Good luck, and keep postin'!

[Lyehopper]

Opinions appreciated here!!!!

Thanks Spike.... I have shed most of my PARL shares and hold only a very small position now (I won't close it out and chalk it up to a loss [here] till I'm 100% out though). I'm not so bullish on it presently and wouldn't add shares right now. I do however think that after it finishes retracing that it'll be a hot long play.

GEHL is a great company and has a lot of upside potential. Up another 4% this morning and volume is increasing pretty good too. Any pull back now is a buying opportunity imo.

HEY SPIKE! Run me something on my two short plays! I'd really like your opinion dude!

Anyone elso want to kick in and post a chart on NRPH and SIRF (short)....????
Ski?.... Runner?.... NBB?.... Rob?.... Anyone?

[Lyehopper]

GEHL is a great company and has a lot of upside potential. Up another 4% this morning and volume is increasing pretty good too. Any pull back now is a buying opportunity imo.

GELH is now up 8.5% AGAIN !!!!.... HUUUUGE!!!! Wish I had played it in the POTW..... DOH!!!! Was lookin' for a pullback to enter it.lol

[spikefader]

Congrats on GEHL dude. I knew I liked that for a reason hehe. It's gonna hit 41.00 today and not 3 weeks lol

Awesome call Lye.

[spikefader]

HEY SPIKE! Run me something on my two short plays! I'd really like your opinion dude!

Anyone elso want to kick in and post a chart on NRPH and SIRF (short)....????
Ski?.... Runner?.... NBB?.... Rob?.... Anyone?

Sure dude. SIRF and NRPH huh...

OK, NRPH I think is goin' to 38.00 my bias for that holds while 30.00 holds, which is 13% lower and I'd wanna stalk that one before I'd actually trade it long. It's workin' on a fresh channel turn up just today, from the 35.00 high.

Count-wise, 28.50 was a 'c' completion, and the test a month later passed nicely, with price impulsing up from it, and it's now in a fuzzy 3rd or 5th impulse up. Money flow has been very nice on the daily, and while 35.00 is resistance and smart money sells resistance, I'd pass on it. I think she's a bull.

On the weekly, I count that it's in a 5th up. So the break over 35.00 will be the final impulse on the weekly. Any longs will be selling the pop breakout at the next weekly upper channel tag. I really doubt that one will boom the weekly; it's been very strong......but it is a pharma and who knows... After the 5th on the weekly it'll trade very tough for a month or two, favoring shorts. I think you're a bit early with your short, and should wait to anticipate the 5th completion OR wait for the 'a' first and short into the 'b' and look for a 'c' failure if you're FA a bear on it. But for me, I'd be a buyer of the weekly 'c' corrective, based on the money flow and volume by price.

I also note P&F are showing a double top breakout just yesterday.

Good luck with it though. Now for SIRF, there's a good short dude. Nice call. I like today's intraday pop to 36.05 double top to target 28.00, a nice 22% target with stop over hod. Money flow weak lately, the SHS up top, bearish weekly and monthly candles up top, and if you want more out of it to the downside, you can logically target 23.35 gap support from Sept 05, which is 35%.

Good luck Lye! Love the thread man. You can pick some great stocks dude! Valuable resource to the forum indeed.

[spikefader]

... Congrats on GEHL Lye! I think that's goin' to 41.00ish within the next 3 weeks or so. Consider profit-taking the upper weekly channel tag though. Good luck, and keep postin'!

lol. Dude, wow huh. So much for 3 weeks. Only needed 2 days! lol

Time to take it off and buy the dip.

Triple toppy intraday today. Smart folk got out at the 40.65 double top.

[Lyehopper]

Latest....

Fellas.... I have trimmed back on all of my "featured" positions (including GEHL) I still have "token" positions in all of them. I am holding a "decent" position in GEHL but I've sold about half of it....

I'll keep all of the featured positions open for now (for the sake of the thread) but I would advise extreme caution right now.

SIRF is above it's MA50 but I think will fall again. Stalk for a good short if it gets to 39.

PARL is weak.... Stay away right now.

GEHL might sell off some now.... But it's a good one.

CVGI should trade flat.

JAH is acting weak. Ain't sure what'll happen here.

NRPH is just CRAZY (and dangerous to short)

ECOL should retrace further before it resumes it's rise too. If it consolidates within the next 4-6 weeks I'll rebuild my position. It's paying a dividend later in the month btw.

Ain't a bad time to have ca$h imo....

Now I might change my mind after lunch today.LOL.... BUT.... If I go heavily back into any of these I'll try to post what I'm doing.

[peanuts]

going against the grain

PARL is weak.... Stay away right now.

Lyehopper,

I just went against your advice. Please do not take this as a challenge, or my attempt to disrespect your opinion. Check out this chart: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PAR...d=p84003648639

I'm not much of a TA guy, but I see a few things about today's action. I think you have called a bottom, and I'll explain why I think this. With the parameters I have set up, the RSI and MACD gives me a great indicator of topping and bottoming behavior (I got the parameters from a true TA trader that is successful). With just about all the stocks I put into this chart, I see the bottoms as they are happening. It occurs when the RSI is below the 30 line. If this corresponds with the MACD in a sharp decline with increasing spread, the bottom is about 90% accurate.

of course, when you look at Sept action, the bottom was called several times before it really hit at 21.97.

Also, it seems that $28 is acting as a nice support level.

This is only my opinion, but I've back it up with a few shares as well. Looking for 31 and that's it.

Great call on GEHL by the way. I was hoping to get in within the last week, but it wasn't until yesterday that all the funds cleared. By the time I went to put in my order, it was too late.

[Lyehopper]

Lyehopper,

I just went against your advice. Please do not take this as a challenge, or my attempt to disrespect your opinion. Check out this chart: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PAR...d=p84003648639

I'm not much of a TA guy, but I see a few things about today's action. I think you have called a bottom, and I'll explain why I think this. With the parameters I have set up, the RSI and MACD gives me a great indicator of topping and bottoming behavior (I got the parameters from a true TA trader that is successful). With just about all the stocks I put into this chart, I see the bottoms as they are happening. It occurs when the RSI is below the 30 line. If this corresponds with the MACD in a sharp decline with increasing spread, the bottom is about 90% accurate.

of course, when you look at Sept action, the bottom was called several times before it really hit at 21.97.

Also, it seems that $28 is acting as a nice resistance level.

This is only my opinion, but I've back it up with a few shares as well. Looking for 31 and that's it.

I hear what you're sayin' Peanuts but I don't like the high volume today and PARL has broken the MA200 and could contuinue to sell off. I'm not ready to jump on it hard just yet. On the positive side it did quickly bounce off of the 61.8% retracement line today ($28.32) so maybe it can rally from here.

[New-born baby]

Too much to post

I hear what you're sayin' Peanuts but I don't like the high volume today and PARL has broken the MA200 and could contuinue to sell off. I'm not ready to jump on it hard just yet. On the positive side it did quickly bounce off of the 61.8% retracement line today ($28.32) so maybe it can rally from here.

I know--I have said it too many times already--PARL to $19.00. Bears live below the 200 day--don't you forget it --and bulls above it. I would not suggest buying PARL until Paris Hilton can get above that 200 day average.
I could also give you 5 more reasons not to buy this one now, but I am going to make you ask me, just in case you don't want to know

He cried when I read your post that you might buy PARL here . . . .

[Lyehopper]

I know--I have said it too many times already--PARL to $19.00. Bears live below the 200 day--don't you forget it --and bulls above it. I would not suggest buying PARL until Paris Hilton can get above that 200 day average.
I could also give you 5 more reasons not to buy this one now, but I am going to make you ask me, just in case you don't want to know

He cried when I read your post that you might buy PARL here . . . .

Be sure to tell "Little NBB" that Lye didn't jump back on PARL just yet. Maybe that'll help him sleep all night long tonight.lol

Now if PARL pops 20% tomorrow on HUUUUGE volume.... I'll be cryin'....

btw.... Matt's one good lookin' little fella NB.... Looks like he's got red hair.

[Websman]

I'm still out of PARL. I tried to buy some on Tuesday, but promptly sold it on Wednesady for a small loss...glad I did. Of course, I was going against the VTP when I bought it to start with. Bad Vulcan...jejeje

[peanuts]

what a stud!

I know--I have said it too many times already--PARL to $19.00. Bears live below the 200 day--don't you forget it --and bulls above it.

I could also give you 5 more reasons not to buy this one now, but I am going to make you ask me, just in case you don't want to know

He cried when I read your post that you might buy PARL here . . . .

Handsome Kid!

I think I know your other 5 reasons:

1. If I sell PARL, he will stop crying
2. Who wants to smell like a Hilton?
3. Everyone's had a piece of Paris, $29 is expensive, price of the stock should be the price of a drink
4. you don't get a copy of the video when you buy, do you?
5. Why buy a hotel princess when you can buy the Superbowl Quarterback for pennies (DRMS.ob)???

I'll be here all night, folks.