EMphase's Vault of Secrets

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  • EMphase
    Member
    • Apr 2006
    • 60

    #46
    Fibonacci retracement 38.2% is 42.45$, 50% is 42.00$ and 61.8% is something like 41.65$ IIRC. Maybe look for an entry point at 41.65$/42.00$ if 42.45$ doesn't hold. I think 42.00$ would hold it most likely thought.

    Comment

    • Lyehopper
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 3678

      #47
      Gco....

      Originally posted by EMphase
      Fibonacci retracement 38.2% is 42.45$, 50% is 42.00$ and 61.8% is something like 41.65$ IIRC. Maybe look for an entry point at 41.65$/42.00$ if 42.45$ doesn't hold. I think 42.00$ would hold it most likely thought.
      Here's the way I see the Fibonacci Retracement on GCO.... Note: This chart does not show today's price action (Low today was $42.3

      Given market conditions, I'd stalk to the 50% line.... There's a little $0.03 gap sitting dead on the line, did you fellas see that?.... Pretty nice stock, I'm researching further.

      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

      Comment

      • EMphase
        Member
        • Apr 2006
        • 60

        #48
        Canadian & american outlook 2006
        When I don't understand much what's happening graphically with the DJIA and the SP500, I have a little canadian secret: The SPTSX aka old TSE300. That index is the easiest index to understand graphically and by FAR. You will love it too! That index contains mostly financial, basic materials, some tech stocks, paper, oil & consumer products companies.

        Usually that index follows alot what's going on in the US so it's relevant to predict what's going to happen in the US to some extend... Except that the canadian economy is better in general so expect that the lenghts of the waves to be of bigger intensity than the ones on the US market at least now since 2003.

        Short term


        Medium term


        Long term


        SPTSX reached a top @ 12500 points and is now making a huge long term double top.
        SPTSX finished an extended wave 5.
        Conclusion: SPTSX is going back to the 11500-11750 range to touch the channel support within the next weeks. This means the US market will be that sluggish too. If the channel support is broken then SPTSX is going to 9500 points, which is the level of the 2nd wave of the extension. Extended 5's are nasty. Hopefully that channel support is going to hold!
        Last edited by EMphase; 05-12-2006, 12:59 PM.

        Comment

        • sisterwin2

          #49
          Originally posted by EMphase
          Canadian & american outlook 2006
          When I don't understand much what's happening graphically with the DJIA and the SP500, I have a little canadian secret: The SPTSX aka old TSE300. That index is the easiest index to understand graphically and by FAR. You will love it too! That index contains mostly financial, basic materials, some tech stocks, paper, oil & consumer products companies. Usually that index follows alot what's going on in the US so it's relevant to predict what's going to happen in the US.

          Medium term


          Long term


          SPTSX reached a top @ 12500 points and is now making a huge long term double top.
          SPTSX finished an extended wave 5.
          Conclusion: SPTSX is going back to the 11500-11750 range to touch the channel support within the next weeks. This means the US market will be that sluggish too. If the channel support is broken then SPTSX is going to 9500 points, which is the level of the 2nd wave of the extension. Extended 5's are nasty. Hopefully that channel support is going to hold!

          Is this why ELN has a increase today ya think? I cant seem to find anything to explain why 4% increase

          Comment

          • EMphase
            Member
            • Apr 2006
            • 60

            #50
            Originally posted by sisterwin2
            Is this why ELN has a increase today ya think? I cant seem to find anything to explain why 4% increase
            ELN is in a defensive industry: drugs manufacturing and R&D. That industry is holding better than the market in general when the market is sinking.

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              #51
              Originally posted by EMphase
              Canadian & american outlook 2006
              When I don't understand much what's happening graphically with the DJIA and the SP500, I have a little canadian secret: The SPTSX aka old TSE300. That index is the easiest index to understand graphically and by FAR. You will love it too! That index contains mostly financial, basic materials, some tech stocks, paper, oil & consumer products companies.

              Usually that index follows alot what's going on in the US so it's relevant to predict what's going to happen in the US to some extend... Except that the canadian economy is better in general so expect that the lenghts of the waves to be of bigger intensity than the ones on the US market at least now since 2003.

              Short term


              Medium term


              Long term


              SPTSX reached a top @ 12500 points and is now making a huge long term double top.
              SPTSX finished an extended wave 5.
              Conclusion: SPTSX is going back to the 11500-11750 range to touch the channel support within the next weeks. This means the US market will be that sluggish too. If the channel support is broken then SPTSX is going to 9500 points, which is the level of the 2nd wave of the extension. Extended 5's are nasty. Hopefully that channel support is going to hold!
              Good stuff Emphase. Thanks.

              EDIT: Oh, and by the way, another GCO setup presented today. Details and chart at my blog for anyone interested.

              Comment

              • EMphase
                Member
                • Apr 2006
                • 60

                #52
                GCO is still "working as intended". It did a 100% retracement on wave 1. I didn't expect it to retrace -that low- but thats still fine and it was something that could happen. However if it breaks 40.00$ then it looks bad. I hope this won't happen but this time it looks like it's going to bounce back.

                SPTSX canadian index is doing exactly what I said so far. It' sinking. It went lower than 11750 points. It's now at 11640 points. This means that the outlook isn't nice in the US.

                Comment

                • lemonjello
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2005
                  • 447

                  #53
                  Breaking the Nas comp line

                  EM

                  Jim Smith just posted that the Nasd comp broke a trendline that goes back to 2002. Does EW have a target on that? I remember Prechter was predicting a further fall sometime back.
                  Donate: Salvation Army
                  Help: Any Soldier
                  Read: Fred on Everything

                  Comment

                  • marketwavez

                    #54
                    HERE'S LOOKING AT THE WAVES IN THE NASDAQ
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    The charts by Marketwavez are simply Elliott wave-counts that are believed to be what the given market is tracing out . Wave-counts are highly subjective and definitely not 100 % reliable... Wave-counts also vary from one person to another who may be analyzing the given market and also can vary based on the time frames that are being analyzed.....>>

                    2 CHARTS POSTED BELOW
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    Last edited by Guest; 06-08-2007, 01:39 PM.

                    Comment

                    • lemonjello
                      Senior Member
                      • Mar 2005
                      • 447

                      #55
                      Big ups or Big downs

                      Looks like EM has left the building.

                      marketwavez,

                      Nice charts, but I was thinking back to 82. I'm definitely not an Elliott Wave expert, but aren't there 3 big waves up to 2000 and then there are supposed to be two waves down? If one down wave was from 2000 to 2002 then there's another down wave left in this cycle which would probably go below 1100. Or maybe that was already two waves down to 1100 and the Naz is already on another cycle up? Don't know. I just recall Prechter was predicting something like that (and was too early) and then the Naz target would be around 500 before it started up again. That sounds really bad, but it's already been to 1100 and back up. It could happen with something like another big Al Qaeda attack or Iran starts a Hormuz oil tanker turkey shoot with its supersonic silkworm missles. I never thought I'd see something like 9/11 or the Katrina debacle happen, so I wouldn't be suprised about anything at this point.

                      Originally posted by marketwavez
                      HERE'S LOOKING AT THE WAVES IN THE NASDAQ
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      The charts by Marketwavez are simply Elliott wave-counts that are believed to be what the given market is tracing out . Wave-counts are highly subjective and definitely not 100 % reliable... Wave-counts also vary from one person to another who may be analyzing the given market and also can vary based on the time frames that are being analyzed.....>>

                      2 CHARTS POSTED BELOW
                      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/disp...twaves&id=1146
                      Donate: Salvation Army
                      Help: Any Soldier
                      Read: Fred on Everything

                      Comment

                      • marketwavez

                        #56
                        Looks like more Red ink for the Nasdsaq today ...

                        ---------------------------------------------------


                        DOWN ANOTHER 28 POINTS SO FAR ........

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          #57
                          Originally posted by Lyehopper
                          Here's the way I see the Fibonacci Retracement on GCO.... Note: This chart does not show today's price action (Low today was $42.3

                          Given market conditions, I'd stalk to the 50% line.... There's a little $0.03 gap sitting dead on the line, did you fellas see that?.... Pretty nice stock, I'm researching further.

                          http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/1165/gco6oe.png
                          Gap closed now Lye. 1.5% risk setup presents right here

                          Comment

                          • ninner
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2004
                            • 524

                            #58
                            hey em what do u think of TALX and KEYW.....nice to have u aboard!!!

                            cheers

                            Comment

                            • IIC
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 14938

                              #59
                              Originally posted by marketwavez
                              HERE'S LOOKING AT THE WAVES IN THE NASDAQ
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              The charts by Marketwavez are simply Elliott wave-counts that are believed to be what the given market is tracing out . Wave-counts are highly subjective and definitely not 100 % reliable... Wave-counts also vary from one person to another who may be analyzing the given market and also can vary based on the time frames that are being analyzed.....>>

                              2 CHARTS POSTED BELOW
                              -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                              http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/disp...twaves&id=1146

                              HIGHLY Subjective is an Understatement...How about HIGHLY subject to what anyone wants to say?...Pretty much garbage IMO...not 100% reliable?...IMO not even 10% reliable...I think EW is hogwash...I'm not trying to put you or anyone else down...But I just don't buy it...I think he is a good marketeer...That's about it...Best, Doug
                              "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                              Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                              Follow Me On Twitter

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                #60
                                Originally posted by IIC
                                HIGHLY Subjective is an Understatement...How about HIGHLY subject to what anyone wants to say?...Pretty much garbage IMO...not 100% reliable?...IMO not even 10% reliable...I think EW is hogwash...I'm not trying to put you or anyone else down...But I just don't buy it...I think he is a good marketeer...That's about it...Best, Doug
                                lol not tryin' to put anyone down! lol

                                Hey Doug.......what are you feelings on Spike's Fuzzy C at least being a volatile pivot point? Throw in some good r/r and management and that'll make you some bucks won't it?

                                Comment

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