Are you Good ,Lucky , or Gifted ?

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  • billyjoe
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2003
    • 9014

    Are you Good ,Lucky , or Gifted ?

    This must relate to stock picking in some way. According to statisticians , when given a 50 - 50 chance for success , a success rate above 50% is just luck , over 63% , especially if it can be repeated , shows an unexplained psychic gift.

    Mr. Market may very well be gifted unless his selection process makes his chance for success above 50% which it probably does , however, he may still be gifted. What does that say for my 12 consecutive losers picked for the POTW ? It seems beyond chance . What is the opposite of gifted ? Don't answer that.
    --------billyjoe

  • #2
    Originally posted by billyjoe
    This must relate to stock picking in some way.
    It doesn't. Trading successfully over a long time period takes skill, not luck. It's also important to remember that the most important skill in trading is knowing when to sell (money management), not when to buy.

    Comment

    • IIC
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2003
      • 14938

      #3
      I don't know about everybody else...But too many things have happened to me in my life that can only be attributed to luck...Or perhaps I've got "An Angel In My Pocket":




      I am a tiny Angel


      I'm smaller than your thumb.
      I live in people's pockets
      That's where I have my fun.


      I don't suppose you've seen me

      I'm too tiny to detect;

      Though I'm with you all the time

      I doubt we've ever met.




      Before I was an Angel . . .

      I was a fairy in a flower:

      God, Himself, hand-picked me,

      And gave me Angel power




      Now God has many Angels

      Whom He trains in Angel Pools:

      We become his eyes and ears and hands.

      We become his special tools.




      And because God is so busy,

      With way too much to do;

      He said that my assignment

      Is to keep close watch on you.




      When He tucked me in your pocket

      He blessed you with Angel care;

      Then told me to never leave you,

      And I vowed always to be there.






      "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

      Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

      Follow Me On Twitter

      Comment

      • Rob
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 3194

        #4
        Abax, Xing

        Well, Douggie, to which do you attribute the success of ABAX today? (On the other hand, XING is still suckin' wind.)
        รขโ‚ฌโ€Rob

        Comment

        • IIC
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2003
          • 14938

          #5
          Originally posted by Rob
          Well, Douggie, to which do you attribute the success of ABAX today? (On the other hand, XING is still suckin' wind.)

          Yeah...those hedgies are out to get me...IIC
          "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

          Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

          Follow Me On Twitter

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by IIC
            Yeah...those hedgies are out to get me...IIC
            That's because they're Big Guys and you're not. <g>

            Comment

            • billyjoe
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 9014

              #7
              Dave,
              I know people who can fall in a pile of sh#! and come out smelling like a rose everytime . Never have been able to figure out why. Reminds me of the time a bird crapped on me at a football game. The lady next to me said "they sing for most people".
              -------billyjoe

              Comment

              • IIC
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2003
                • 14938

                #8
                Originally posted by DSteckler
                That's because they're Big Guys and you're not. <g>
                Yeah...I'm only 5'11" 170lbs.

                Anyway...maybe I should average down some more...But then again...maybe not.

                IIC
                "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                Follow Me On Twitter

                Comment

                • RL
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2003
                  • 1215

                  #9
                  Well I hate to admit It but I'm not very good sometimes I'm a little lucky, But any girl I've ever known say I'm realy gifted.
                  Ray Long

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