The Independence Day Data Dump

[Rob]

Charts

let me know which website did u use to post the weekly charts for independeence data dump.

thanks

Heya, nrugby, I didn't use any Web site. You know why? 'Cause as far as I know there isn't one you can do that on. I used my own ingenuity to come up with a way to do that. You know why? 'Cause I'm huge! That's why. Bring me your finest wines and spirits.

[Rob]

The Dump Stocks To Date

Hi, boys and girls. Another week has gone by, so I thought I'd once again bring you another update as to how the data dump stocks have done since the open on July 5. I've tried to account for those that have split (such as HANS) but if you notice any I've missed, please post it here. I would like to point out that out of 200 stocks in the dump, old Rob zeroed in on one (SAFT) that has outperformed 97% of the others in the 13 trading days that have transpired. Make of that what you will.

[Rob]

Best Performers Last Week Only

Among the stocks in the Independence Day data dump, here are the top twenty best performing stocks last week only (i.e. since closing prices on 7/14):

01 CHIC
02 IAAC
03 EMCI
04 FLAG
05 SCST
06 PNFP
07 IBCA
08 BRLI
09 AMX
10 PTQMF
11 ISE
12 GFIG
13 RNWK
14 HSR
15 DAKT
16 HMSY
17 SAFT
18 SZE
19 BOT
20 ABI

And here are what the 5-day charts look like:

[billyjoe]

Rob,
I wonder how many of the top 20 could have been picked by the chartists.
----------billyjoe

[Rob]

Rob,
I wonder how many of the top 20 could have been picked by the chartists.

... or anybody for that matter. You see anything in those 5-day charts that looks particularly interesting? Anyone? I kind of like the looks of that IAAC and will be watching what it does on Monday. I haven't checked fundamental number one on that company yet, but that chart certainlny looks to be saying something.

[New-born baby]

... or anybody for that matter. You see anything in those 5-day charts that looks particularly interesting? Anyone? I kind of like the looks of that IAAC and will be watching what it does on Monday. I haven't checked fundamental number one on that company yet, but that chart certainlny looks to be saying something.

IAAC says that its good for another $3 pop. That's what is says

Thanks for the good work, Robert!

[lemonjello]

Good call on IAAC.

In order - SCST,IAAC,BRLI,RNWK. All the rest pointing down.

SCST looks very interesting for next few months.

On a positive note - looks like MFLX could be moving up in a month or so...

... or anybody for that matter. You see anything in those 5-day charts that looks particularly interesting? Anyone? I kind of like the looks of that IAAC and will be watching what it does on Monday. I haven't checked fundamental number one on that company yet, but that chart certainlny looks to be saying something.

[spikefader]

Rob,
I wonder how many of the top 20 could have been picked by the chartists.
----------billyjoe

... but my favorite is FAL.

I can only claim one billyjoe.

And the port average for the Creme of the Crop is -9.22% as of Friday's close. Not so Cremey this dump.

[New-born baby]

Crop Insurance

I can only claim one billyjoe.

And the port average for the Creme of the Crop is -9.22% as of Friday's close. Not so Cremey this dump.

Creme of the Crop has experienced total crop failure before. That's why I like to have a little crop insurance. I won't buy any momo picks that don't have a chain around their necks.

[Rob]

Another IDDD Update ... Just Because I Like You Guys

Here is my update of the stocks that made the Independence Day Data Dump. Doggone if ol' SAFT didn't pick up another 4.88% since last week. Lawd, why didn't I buy that one when I fingered it? Again, if there are any splits I missed, please let me know.

[spikefader]

Creme of the Crop has experienced total crop failure before. That's why I like to have a little crop insurance...

Crop has its own insurance though New-Born. Total crop failure can be expected from time to time and by applying strict risk control the long-term outcome will be positive. Since Creme of the Crop was born (Nov '05) Creme is +18%. The Naz is -4.8%, the S&P500 is only +4%, the Dow only +6%. And that's with a success rate of only 28.6%!! and 3 total crop failures.

Below is the equity curve after 7 Creme of the Crop system plays. Yes, 7 is a very small sample and insufficient to prove robustness, but thus far it looks very promising.



Creme of the Crop Stats
July 30 2006

Crop 1 15% closed; target hit
Crop 2 15% closed; target hit
Crop 3 -4% closed; crop failure
Crop 4 0% closed; breakeven stop
Crop 5 -4% closed; crop failure
Crop 6 0% closed; breakeven stop
Crop 7 -4% closed; crop failure

Total profit to date is +18%

Average system winner is 15%
Average system loser is -2.4%
28.6% winners
Win/Loss 6.25
Win Prob 0.286
Kelly value is 0.171
Math Expect: 1.073

[jiesen]

wow. AWESOME results, Spike! You da man!

Hopefully these results will continue, and this "Creme" system will pay out handsomely for many here at $$MM.

[mrmarket]

Hopefully I can rotate my "crop" a little more frequently so more "creme" can be rising!

[diogenes]

Hopefully I can rotate my "crop" a little more frequently so more "creme" can be rising!

I can recall the fast change over of HANS a tad over a year ago.

More winners to come soon, no doubt.

[New-born baby]

Hopefully I can rotate my "crop" a little more frequently so more "creme" can be rising!

We are all for that