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After allowing my computer to cool down after some grueling regression analysis, I have come up with my 5 games that I would classify as 5 star picks and, yes indeed, I have one rubber band game. If any of you don't know what a rubber band game is, keep reading.
Wake Forest +16 1/2 vs. Clemson
First of all, Wake Forest hasn't given up more than 14 points in any one game this year and their defense is averaging only 11 pts against per game. This includes a 27-3 pasting of an Ole Miss team that gave Georgia all it could handle yesterday.
Clemson, on the other hand, is fraudulent. Their big wins were home victories against paper tigers UNC and Louisiana Tech (more on them later). When they played up in class, they lost to BC and narrowly beat a questionable FSU team.
Clemson is a Jekyll and Hyde team when it comes to home and away. They don’t run the ball well and they’ll need to do so since undefeated Wake Forest will be home and the crowd will be crazy.
Clemson will probably win the game but there are so many scenarios where Wake covers. I’m taking the points.
Auburn -16 vs. Arkansas
First of all, there is no way that undefeated Auburn is losing this game at home. They have already defeated better teams than Arkansas (Washington State by 16 points), LSU in a hard hitting battle, and a tough South Carolina team on the road.
Arkansas probably blew their load with their lucky OT home victory vs. Bama. But now they go on a road against a team that is every bit as good as USC. Auburn will run the ball down Arkansas’ throat and most likely hold them to no more than one TD. If Auburn scores 28 points, they will cover. USC scored 50 against the Hogs. Lay the wood on the Tigers.
Buffalo +6 vs. Ball St
Now some may think Coach Ernie is on drugs with this one. But lookee here:
Ball State is 1-4 on the season and has lost their last 4 games. Buffalo, for the first time, has shown glimpses of offense, and they play much better at home than on the road. Their last game was at Auburn and now they’ll probably feel like they are playing a JV game when they line up vs. Ball State. They should be able to move the ball and score. Northern Illinois is a common opponent. Ball played them at home and lost by 12, Buffalo played them on the road and lost by 18. There’s your 6 point difference, although this time Buffalo is at home and Ball State is coming in. I’d probably like more points, but Buffalo took Bowling Green ( a better team than Ball St) to overtime on the road. I think at home, these 6 points will come in handy. Jump on the home dog.
Baylor +5 at Colorado
I hate to disappoint Ralphie the Buffalo, especially since he will be guarding the Johnny Walker Blue at the sports book this year. However, in days gone by, Ralphie would be laughing like a hyena at this game. But this is today, and Colorado blows.
Colorado has already lost home games to the likes of 1AA Montana St (19-10) and Arizona St (lost 21-3). They haven’t won a game all year and the Boulder fans will probably be booing their brains out. Baylor, on the other hand played Washington St very tough on the road (losing 17-15) and last week smothered Kansas St (17-3), a team arguably superior to Colorado. Baylor needs this game to stay in the bowl hunt. Colorado needs the season to end yesterday.
This will be a very low scoring game of field goals, so the 5 points will be a HUGE plus for Baylor. Take the points against a horrible Colorado team.
Wyoming -2 ½ vs. New Mexico
This one is like taking Candy from Babies. The Cowboys are tough at home, dropping very close games to the strong Boise St and Air Force teams. This time they are hosting the Lobos who stink on the road, barely beating awful New Mexico St and getting creamed by Air Force. Oh yeah..New Mexico lost a home game to 1AA Portland State.
You gotta figure that Wyoming will find a way to win this game, which they really need, after coming up just a little shy against teams far superior to New Mexico. The point spread will be inconsequential. Cowboys are at least 10 points better at home than the Lobos. Take the chalk.
RUBBER BAND GAME
I didn’t have one last year..but this year the stars are lining up. I am taking all of my money and wrapping a rubber band around it and bringing it up to the window at Caesars. I don’t even have to count my money before I put it up there because I know it will be coming back in 3 hours.
I am pounding the table on:
Houston -17 vs. Louisiana - Lafayette
Houston just got back from one of the toughest places to play…a non-conference game against the University of Miami and lost the game 14-13. Now they come home, where they beat Tulane by 38 and Oklahoma State by 9. This Cougar team can put up the points, averaging 33 per game, which will be plenty to cover the spread against these bums.
Louisiana Lafayette is one of the worst teams in the country. They lost a road game to Texas A&M by the score of 51-7. Houston is every bit as good as Texas A&M. The only reason Lousiana Lafayette has scored points this year is because they played North Carolina A&T and Eastern Michigan. Both of these teams would finish last in the Ivy League.
The Cougars love to pass and can do it extremely well. The Rajun Cajuns will be porous on pass defense and cannot throw the ball well at all. Their ground game will be ineffective once Houston jumps ahead of them. You have a bad defense against a great offense. Houston has played, and beaten far superior teams. The Cajuns are making a big step up in class on the road, compared to their last 2 home games. This is a rout in the making. Houston will cover the 16 by the first quarter. Houston had Grambling 35-7 at halftime and eased up on the gas. They won’t let the Cajuns off so easily. Laying the wood here and I know won’t be able to bend my wallet at the end of the night.
Others I like:
UNC +18 ½ vs Miami – Tar Heels are home and they can run the ball. Too many points for the Canes to cover.
Air Force – 3 ½ vs. Navy – Falcons are home. They want revenge, and they are the better team.
Rice -1 ½ at Tulane – Rice is on a mission since one of their players died in practice. They run the ball as well as anyone and Tulane stops no one.
Ohio St – 34 vs. Bowling Green – You name the score. To keep #1 ranking, Ohio State will need to pile up the points.
Oklahoma +5 ½ vs Texas – Longhorns have beaten no one. Love the points here.
UCLA -11 ½ vs Arizona – Bruins home, big offense. Wildcats are tame.
Nebraska -7 at Iowa St – Air Callahan needs a big win to right his ship. Iowa St stinks.
Boise St – 34 vs. LA Tech – The field is blue, Boise are a bunch of bullies and they are home. LA Tech is horrible. They have lost their 3 road games by over 40 points each and haven’t played a team as good as Boise yet. Boise needs to run it up for BCS points.
I’d be interested in hearing your comments.
4 days and counting.
Wake Forest +16 1/2 vs. Clemson
First of all, Wake Forest hasn't given up more than 14 points in any one game this year and their defense is averaging only 11 pts against per game. This includes a 27-3 pasting of an Ole Miss team that gave Georgia all it could handle yesterday.
Clemson, on the other hand, is fraudulent. Their big wins were home victories against paper tigers UNC and Louisiana Tech (more on them later). When they played up in class, they lost to BC and narrowly beat a questionable FSU team.
Clemson is a Jekyll and Hyde team when it comes to home and away. They don’t run the ball well and they’ll need to do so since undefeated Wake Forest will be home and the crowd will be crazy.
Clemson will probably win the game but there are so many scenarios where Wake covers. I’m taking the points.
Auburn -16 vs. Arkansas
First of all, there is no way that undefeated Auburn is losing this game at home. They have already defeated better teams than Arkansas (Washington State by 16 points), LSU in a hard hitting battle, and a tough South Carolina team on the road.
Arkansas probably blew their load with their lucky OT home victory vs. Bama. But now they go on a road against a team that is every bit as good as USC. Auburn will run the ball down Arkansas’ throat and most likely hold them to no more than one TD. If Auburn scores 28 points, they will cover. USC scored 50 against the Hogs. Lay the wood on the Tigers.
Buffalo +6 vs. Ball St
Now some may think Coach Ernie is on drugs with this one. But lookee here:
Ball State is 1-4 on the season and has lost their last 4 games. Buffalo, for the first time, has shown glimpses of offense, and they play much better at home than on the road. Their last game was at Auburn and now they’ll probably feel like they are playing a JV game when they line up vs. Ball State. They should be able to move the ball and score. Northern Illinois is a common opponent. Ball played them at home and lost by 12, Buffalo played them on the road and lost by 18. There’s your 6 point difference, although this time Buffalo is at home and Ball State is coming in. I’d probably like more points, but Buffalo took Bowling Green ( a better team than Ball St) to overtime on the road. I think at home, these 6 points will come in handy. Jump on the home dog.
Baylor +5 at Colorado
I hate to disappoint Ralphie the Buffalo, especially since he will be guarding the Johnny Walker Blue at the sports book this year. However, in days gone by, Ralphie would be laughing like a hyena at this game. But this is today, and Colorado blows.
Colorado has already lost home games to the likes of 1AA Montana St (19-10) and Arizona St (lost 21-3). They haven’t won a game all year and the Boulder fans will probably be booing their brains out. Baylor, on the other hand played Washington St very tough on the road (losing 17-15) and last week smothered Kansas St (17-3), a team arguably superior to Colorado. Baylor needs this game to stay in the bowl hunt. Colorado needs the season to end yesterday.
This will be a very low scoring game of field goals, so the 5 points will be a HUGE plus for Baylor. Take the points against a horrible Colorado team.
Wyoming -2 ½ vs. New Mexico
This one is like taking Candy from Babies. The Cowboys are tough at home, dropping very close games to the strong Boise St and Air Force teams. This time they are hosting the Lobos who stink on the road, barely beating awful New Mexico St and getting creamed by Air Force. Oh yeah..New Mexico lost a home game to 1AA Portland State.
You gotta figure that Wyoming will find a way to win this game, which they really need, after coming up just a little shy against teams far superior to New Mexico. The point spread will be inconsequential. Cowboys are at least 10 points better at home than the Lobos. Take the chalk.
RUBBER BAND GAME
I didn’t have one last year..but this year the stars are lining up. I am taking all of my money and wrapping a rubber band around it and bringing it up to the window at Caesars. I don’t even have to count my money before I put it up there because I know it will be coming back in 3 hours.
I am pounding the table on:
Houston -17 vs. Louisiana - Lafayette
Houston just got back from one of the toughest places to play…a non-conference game against the University of Miami and lost the game 14-13. Now they come home, where they beat Tulane by 38 and Oklahoma State by 9. This Cougar team can put up the points, averaging 33 per game, which will be plenty to cover the spread against these bums.
Louisiana Lafayette is one of the worst teams in the country. They lost a road game to Texas A&M by the score of 51-7. Houston is every bit as good as Texas A&M. The only reason Lousiana Lafayette has scored points this year is because they played North Carolina A&T and Eastern Michigan. Both of these teams would finish last in the Ivy League.
The Cougars love to pass and can do it extremely well. The Rajun Cajuns will be porous on pass defense and cannot throw the ball well at all. Their ground game will be ineffective once Houston jumps ahead of them. You have a bad defense against a great offense. Houston has played, and beaten far superior teams. The Cajuns are making a big step up in class on the road, compared to their last 2 home games. This is a rout in the making. Houston will cover the 16 by the first quarter. Houston had Grambling 35-7 at halftime and eased up on the gas. They won’t let the Cajuns off so easily. Laying the wood here and I know won’t be able to bend my wallet at the end of the night.
Others I like:
UNC +18 ½ vs Miami – Tar Heels are home and they can run the ball. Too many points for the Canes to cover.
Air Force – 3 ½ vs. Navy – Falcons are home. They want revenge, and they are the better team.
Rice -1 ½ at Tulane – Rice is on a mission since one of their players died in practice. They run the ball as well as anyone and Tulane stops no one.
Ohio St – 34 vs. Bowling Green – You name the score. To keep #1 ranking, Ohio State will need to pile up the points.
Oklahoma +5 ½ vs Texas – Longhorns have beaten no one. Love the points here.
UCLA -11 ½ vs Arizona – Bruins home, big offense. Wildcats are tame.
Nebraska -7 at Iowa St – Air Callahan needs a big win to right his ship. Iowa St stinks.
Boise St – 34 vs. LA Tech – The field is blue, Boise are a bunch of bullies and they are home. LA Tech is horrible. They have lost their 3 road games by over 40 points each and haven’t played a team as good as Boise yet. Boise needs to run it up for BCS points.
I’d be interested in hearing your comments.
4 days and counting.
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