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  • jiesen
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2003
    • 5604

    #61
    Originally posted by jiesen View Post

    You sees? Now's the chance to get back in at under 160.
    If you were patient enough to wait until today, you could now get SPCX for the same price you could on IPO day, right around 151.
    SPCX, anyone? Of course, it's still likely to continue to drop, while the AI balloon continues to hiss out all its hot air.

    Comment

    • BlueWolf
      Senior Member
      • Jun 2009
      • 1255

      #62
      Well, I took advantage of recent dips to pick up some shares in two of the companies involved in robotics that I mentioned, TER and SYM. I view these as (hopefully) long term holds as I think the robotic revolution, while well into its early stages, has a little ways to go before the big wave comes. I don’t hold stinkers, though, so if either of these turn sour, I’ll dump them and look for a better entry. I already own some TSLA, which I’ve had for a while now. I think TSLA is going to play a big part in the robotics revolution.

      I was tempted to grab some SERV, but there were just too many red flags including a serious cash burn problem. Another company I had an interest in was ISRG, who holds a dominant position in surgical robotics. The chart just doesn’t look ready, though. I think valuation concerns are keeping the share price down even though they’re growing their business at a decent clip. There was a recall earlier this year, and that could be having a negative effect too. They’re set to report earnings on July 16. A big move, one way or the other, could be afoot. If I were bold, I’d pick up a few shares before earnings, and I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t considering it despite the chart. It all depends on my intuition at this point. Most of the numbers say Yes, but the valuation and chart say No.

      The biggest barrier is that most of the robotics companies that are really interesting are still privately owned. I’ve done some research and there are some very cool companies doing some amazing robotics research like Neurolink, Apptronik, Figure, and Agility Robotics. I found a list of over a dozen robotics startups here in California alone. The problem is, figuring out who the winners are going to be is a daunting task, but wildly worth it if you choose wisely. In some cases there are vehicles for buying pre-IPO shares of these outfits, but the risks are obviously tremendous. Figure is one company for which I might make an exception, though. They have some awesome technology. Check them out at Figure.ai.

      Comment

      • BlueWolf
        Senior Member
        • Jun 2009
        • 1255

        #63
        Originally posted by jiesen View Post

        If you were patient enough to wait until today, you could now get SPCX for the same price you could on IPO day, right around 151.
        SPCX, anyone? Of course, it's still likely to continue to drop, while the AI balloon continues to hiss out all its hot air.
        [*I tried to post this before, but it was flagged as spam for some reason. Sorry if this ends up getting posted twice.]

        My leveraged entry cost is actually around $145. I have no reason to bail on the position, and I don’t want to add any shares because, in my mind, it’s a very speculative buy for long term returns at this point. If it dips significantly from here, I’ll reassess. If I still believe in the long term prospects of the company, I might add to my position. If I believe the circumstances have changed significantly for the worse, I’ll dump it. Sitting here trying to micro calculate every up and down move, however, is not something I do. Nobody can do that with 100% accuracy. I took a shot when it IPO’d betting that it would spike up, and I won, but there was a risk/reward associated with the trade and I could have just as easily lost.

        Comment

        • jiesen
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2003
          • 5604

          #64
          Originally posted by BlueWolf View Post

          [*I tried to post this before, but it was flagged as spam for some reason. Sorry if this ends up getting posted twice.]

          My leveraged entry cost is actually around $145. I have no reason to bail on the position, and I don’t want to add any shares because, in my mind, it’s a very speculative buy for long term returns at this point. If it dips significantly from here, I’ll reassess. If I still believe in the long term prospects of the company, I might add to my position. If I believe the circumstances have changed significantly for the worse, I’ll dump it. Sitting here trying to micro calculate every up and down move, however, is not something I do. Nobody can do that with 100% accuracy. I took a shot when it IPO’d betting that it would spike up, and I won, but there was a risk/reward associated with the trade and I could have just as easily lost.
          That's a great mindset to have, and one I need to keep trying to have with my own positions. It's difficult though, as our human nature always wants to try to game the system and throw the dice at what we see as sure bets.... but there's no such thing as that.

          Comment

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