The CFP Top 5

[mrmarket]

Here are my 5 favorite stocks from the most recent dump:

B GCT GSL MSB SCGLY

which one do you like? and why??

[BlueWolf]

The multiples were good on all these stocks, and they all seem to be earners. I didn’t like the sloppy chart of MSB, and SCGLY’s cash flow was a little too volatile for me, so it came down to B, GCT and GSL. All three have rocketed up this year, but I like the income trajectory on GCT a little more than the others and the daily chart seems to be basing at a high, so it’s GCT for me.

[jiesen]

SCGLY does look a little lumpy from the quarterly revenues view, but taken yearly, they seem to be growing nicely, and with a P/E of 11, I'd buy it. Especially since EU banks are a good sector to be in right now... anything out of the US is wise, from a diversification standpoint, even though I'd have to hold my nose to buy a French company.

GCT looks pretty good from a chart and EPS standpoint, but for the business they do, seems a bit tricky to me - don't know much about Cloud Tech and whether this business really will pan out or not. Hard to say, and for that I'd put it below SCGLY.

GSL also is a nice stock, looking at the chart and financials, and being in the ship leasing industry, we know this sector well. It has its ups and downs, but with a 7% dividend, should weather any storms fairly well. (SCGLY is a safer bet than this one, imo)

Of the other two, a US Iron miner and a Canadian Gold/Siver miner, I have to pick B over MSB, as it's much bigger and better established (and its chart is pointing straight up!)

So my top 3 are B, SCGLY, and GSL. Not sure which is the top one, but it's probably between B and SCGLY. My gut says to go with what we know, and Banks are the logical choice.
Guess I'd say SCGLY is the best bet, if I had to pick right now.

[antioch6]

I am looking at each stock from a cash analysis. B looks like the earnings are unsteady over the years, with a large spike in profits after the increase in gold price. GCT is similar in that it does not have a long history of stable earnings, instead earnings spike in 2023 and look high now. It might be hard to judge the long term profitability. GSL income looks like it's fairly stable and increasing, but it has some large down years when the economy is weak. Also the cash yield is the highest so far at what I calculate of 1/6, or 16.66% per year with cyclical risk on the downside. MSB does not have stable earnings, if the numbers are right. The earnings look unpredictable. I couldn't find accurate information on SCGLY. The debt data on GSL was too incomplete on the balance sheet at Morningstar.

GCT and GSL look like the top picks. They both are kind of risky but I say GSL is less risky. I don't see anything stopping global trade, and the yield is high (cash yield from Net Income) assuming these are the top stocks at the time. I understand GSL better than GCT, where the earnings/business seem more hard to grasp. I pick GSL for the 15%.

[jiesen]

Hi Antioch,

If you want the numbers for SCGLY, you can find them on Yahoo!:

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SCGLY/financials/

Yahoo! certainly has gone downhill over the years, but I still find them useful for such things, and they are still keeping my ticker lists in memory for free, so I haven't switched fully over to google yet.

Also, I'm saying you can find them there, but I'm not vouching for the accuracy of Yahoo!'s numbers, as I have seen some funny numbers come out of their finance pages on occasion. You definitely get what you pay for, and anything free should be taken with a grain of salt anyway...

[antioch6]

Is that right they have 451 Billion in Cash and they are selling for 57 Billion. 183 Billion in debt. I still can't find their Depreciation and Amortization, normally under Cash Flow statements. How can they have 451 Billion in Cash and sell for 57 billion.

[jiesen]

It's French. Half of that is owed to the EU in taxes, just keep that in mind. Also, if France so chooses they can take all of it, according to France.

[jiesen]

GSL took a 3% haircut today, and is paying out a 7% dividend. Seems a safe bet, and I'd hate to miss out on this steal of a deal if $$MM picks it today, and I wind up buying it tomorrow at 5% more than it is now, so I've picked up some GSL today at 34.5. B is also on the move and tempting, but I want to buy on the cheap! I'll wait to see what the HUGE pick actually is before I buy any more...

Patience is a skill I still need to work on, obviously.