OPY ==> The Hormuz Winner!

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 6079

    OPY ==> The Hormuz Winner!

    ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)

    Once again we are ready to stomp the street. While the starving investors have been chasing shiny objects and "AI toaster" startups, a absolute UNIT of a value play has been sitting right under your noses, quietly printing money in New York.

    I’m talking about Oppenheimer Holdings (Ticker: OPY). Today I bought it at $110.70. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at $127.86. This stock is up 107% in the last 12 month and yet its PE is only 8….Eight! Its EPS growth over the last 12 months is also over 100%. With a Return on Equity of 16% and long term debt/equity of only 17%, this stock is safe and a fatted calf ready for harvesting some veal. If anyone thinks that’s the ceiling, they’ve clearly been huffing too much opium on those penny stocks. This thing isn't just a stock; it’s a high-octane wealth-compounding machine that’s about to hit my target faster than you can say "margin call." Pack your bags; we're going to the moon—first class.

    First of all, look at the sector. Financial Services - Capital Markets. We are in a "lower cost of capital" environment, and who benefits most? The guys who facilitate the deals! Oppenheimer isn't just some local brokerage; they’ve been around since 1881. They’ve survived world wars, depressions, and probably your uncle’s "surefire" crypto tips.

    1. The Valuation is Absolutely Criminal ⚖️
    Let’s talk numbers. OPY is currently trading at a Forward P/E of around 6.4x to 8x. Compare that to a peer like Raymond James (RJF), which struts around with a 14x multiple. Or look at the broader Capital Markets industry average of 39.1x.
    • OPY P/E: ~8x
    • Industry Average: ~39x
    Are you seeing the disconnect? The market is pricing OPY like it’s a lemonade stand, while the company is reporting earnings growth of 107.4% over the past year. That’s not a typo. 107%!

    2. Operating Leverage: The Secret Sauce
    OPY has fixed costs that would make a statue jealous. When the market heats up—which it is—every extra dollar of revenue drops straight to the bottom line. Their Wealth Management segment is hitting fresh records in AUM ($55.2B in fee-based assets!), and their Investment Banking wing is catching the wave of the IPO market's glorious return.

    3. The Takeover Angle (The "Golden Ticket")
    OPY is trading at a P/B (Price-to-Book) of around 1.1x. It is obscenely cheap. In an industry that loves consolidation more than a toddler loves sugar, OPY is the tastiest snack on the shelf. With a market cap of just $1.13B, a larger player could swallow them whole for $165/share and still call it a bargain.


    How do I get to my target of $127.86?
    • Earnings Momentum: The Q1 2026 earnings release is slated for April 27, 2026. With the recent surge in healthcare and technology underwriting—similar to what we saw with Piper Sandler (PIPR)—OPY is positioned to blow expectations out of the water.The "Laggard Rebound": The biotech and tech sectors are finally getting their groove back. OPY is heavily indexed to these "reflexive cost of capital" sectors. When they move, OPY moves.
    • Technical Breakout: We just hit a 52-week high. In the world of mrmarketishuge, we don't fear highs; we ride them. A breakout past the $110 resistance level leaves a vacuum all the way up to our target.
    Yes, the Lowenthal family has tight control via Class A non-voting shares. But guess what? They’re buying! The Chairman and CEO have been gobbling up shares earlier this year. When the insiders are hungry, I’m starving.

    Oppenheimer is a Super Stock. It’s got the quality, it’s got the value, and it’s got the momentum of a freight train with no brakes. We are looking at a 15 % gain in the next month and a half just to hit my conservative target.

    While the "efficient market" theorists are busy writing papers about why the DCF model says it's overvalued, we’ll be busy depositing our gains. The cash flow is real, the deals are flowing, and the chart is screaming BUY.

    And when it hits, send me a picture of the steak dinner you bought with the profits. Don’t forget the cheeses! I am HUGE!

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$
    www.mrmarketishuge.com


    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • antioch6
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2013
    • 438

    #2
    I was wondering when you would pick the Hormuz Winner. Congrats MrMarket!

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