I did my homework!!!

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  • stockman09
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2009
    • 106

    I did my homework!!!

    Hey all, here's my worksheet from jim cramers book,"Mad money" on walmart.It's not pro, so please bare with me.


    STEP ONE: Find out how the company makes its money.
    How did it make its money last year?: It told its vendors a specific price for its items and bought them.

    How did it make money last quarter? It told its vendors a specific price for its items and bought them.

    Are these high-or low-quality earnings? Low

    STEP TWO: What sector does the company belong to and how has that sector performed?
    Sector: Retail

    Sector performance over the last three, six, and twelve months: bad

    What forces tend to move stocks in this sector? products

    STEP THREE: How has the stock performed?
    Last year: bad
    Last six months: bad
    Last three months: good
    Last month: bad
    Last week: good

    STEP FOUR: What do the comparisons tell you?
    Does this company face any threatening competition: yes

    What is the P\E of this stock: 14.5

    What is the average P\E of its competitors: 16.0

    What is the PEG rate of this stock: 1.28

    What is the average PEG rate of its competitors: ?

    How much cheaper or more expensive is this stock compared to its peers: 2 times cheaper

    Based on P\E: 3
    Based on PEG ?

    STEP FIVE: Can the stock survive its balance sheet?
    How much debt does this company have: ?

    How much debt does it have due this year: ?

    How much free cash flow did the company have last year: ?

    Will this company generate enough cash flow to pay its debts this year: ?

    Can it pay its next year: ?

    Will it have to sell assets to pay its debts in the near future: ?

    STEP SIX: Does this stock look like a good investment in light of your homework:

    No
    We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup
  • stockman09
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2009
    • 106

    #2
    Here's my homework on Visa.

    STEP ONE: Find out how the company makes its money.
    How did it make its money last year? Makes money with interests, APR, late fees.

    How did it make money last quarter? Makes money with interests, APR, late fees.

    Are these high-or low-quality earnings? High quality

    STEP TWO: What sector does the company belong to and how has that sector performed?
    Sector: financial

    Sector performance over the last three, six, and twelve months: medium

    What forces tend to move stocks in this sector? Late fees, interests, APR,ETC.

    STEP THREE: How has the stock performed?
    Last year: AWFUL
    Last six months: Good
    Last three months: Up a dozen
    Last month: good
    Last week: good

    STEP FOUR: What do the comparisons tell you?
    Does this company face any threatening competition: yes

    What is the P\E of this stock: 44.8!!!

    What is the average P\E of its competitors: 20.5

    What is the PEG rate of this stock: ?

    What is the average PEG rate of its competitors: ?

    How much cheaper or more expensive is this stock compared to its peers: ?

    Based on P\E: 24
    Based on PEG: ?

    STEP FIVE: Can the stock survive its balance sheet?
    How much debt does this company have: ?

    How much debt does it have due this year: ?

    How much free cash flow did the company have last year: ?

    Will this company generate enough cash flow to pay its debts this year: ?

    Can it pay its next year: ?

    Will it have to sell assets to pay its debts in the near future: ?

    STEP SIX: Does this stock look like a good investment in light of your homework:

    Yes
    We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

    Comment

    • stockman09
      Senior Member
      • Feb 2009
      • 106

      #3
      Here's my homework on Kroger.

      STEP ONE: Find out how the company makes its money.
      How did it make its money last year? High prices(at least most of the country says that), gift cards, products.

      How did it make money last quarter? High prices(at least most of the country says that), gift cards, products.


      Are these high-or low-quality earnings? Tough to tell, I’d say Low.

      STEP TWO: What sector does the company belong to and how has that sector performed?
      Sector: Retail

      Sector performance over the last three, six, and twelve months: Low

      What forces tend to move stocks in this sector? Products

      STEP THREE: How has the stock performed?
      Last year: bad
      Last six months: bad
      Last three months: up, good
      Last month: good
      Last week: good

      STEP FOUR: What do the comparisons tell you?
      Does this company face any threatening competition: yes

      What is the P\E of this stock: 11.4

      What is the average P\E of its competitors: 14.4

      What is the PEG rate of this stock: ?

      What is the average PEG rate of its competitors: ?

      How much cheaper or more expensive is this stock compared to its peers: ?

      Based on P\E: 3
      Based on PEG ?

      STEP FIVE: Can the stock survive its balance sheet?
      How much debt does this company have: ?

      How much debt does it have due this year: ?

      How much free cash flow did the company have last year: currently 33.3

      Will this company generate enough cash flow to pay its debts this year: ?

      Can it pay its next year: ?

      Will it have to sell assets to pay its debts in the near future: ?
      STEP SIX: Does this stock look like a good investment in light of your homework: Very tough to tell, on short term, Yes, long term, no.
      We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

      Comment

      • billyjoe
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2003
        • 9014

        #4
        Stockman,
        I believe your homework on how Visa makes money is incorrect.

        ----------billy

        Comment

        • skiracer
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2004
          • 6314

          #5
          Originally posted by billyjoe View Post
          Stockman,
          I believe your homework on how Visa makes money is incorrect.

          ----------billy
          but still a move in the right direction to a degree billy. at least something of substance that could be questioned or talked about.
          i think having a decent understanding of both the fundamental and technical aspects wouldnt hurt anyone. i think he has come upon ibd which for the fundamentals is great. canslim produces fundamentally sound stocks. what you do with them is another thing. understanding chart patterns and the technical side would help in trading them and balance your decisions. i would like to see the corresponding numbers inserted in the spots where you have stated "bad" or "good". it would give a more specific picture of the stocks performance. it takes alot more work. but definitely a move in the right direction and i read every word of each of them.
          THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

          Comment

          • stockman09
            Senior Member
            • Feb 2009
            • 106

            #6
            Can you correct me?
            We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

            Comment

            • stockman09
              Senior Member
              • Feb 2009
              • 106

              #7
              Originally posted by skiracer View Post
              but still a move in the right direction to a degree billy. at least something of substance that could be questioned or talked about.
              i think having a decent understanding of both the fundamental and technical aspects wouldnt hurt anyone. i think he has come upon ibd which for the fundamentals is great. canslim produces fundamentally sound stocks. what you do with them is another thing. understanding chart patterns and the technical side would help in trading them and balance your decisions. i would like to see the corresponding numbers inserted in the spots where you have stated "bad" or "good". it would give a more specific picture of the stocks performance. it takes alot more work. but definitely a move in the right direction and i read every word of each of them.
              bad=down,good=up.
              We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

              Comment

              • billyjoe
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2003
                • 9014

                #8
                stockman,
                Ski is right. You're definitely heading in a positive direction with your research, something most so called investors don't take the time to do.

                --------------Visa uses banks as intermediaries receiving fees for issuing the cards and transaction fees for each use at the retail level, the banks, not Visa, charge the interest rates. In this way Visa and Mastercard are similar. American Express and Discover differ in that they in effect act like a bank charging interest and late fees on balances that are each like a small loan.

                ------------billy

                Comment

                • ninner
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2004
                  • 524

                  #9
                  i think cramers on glue......just look at price and volume you will see where a stock is going to go.....fundys dont mean much!!!!

                  Comment

                  • stockman09
                    Senior Member
                    • Feb 2009
                    • 106

                    #10
                    Well,he's only a millionare in stocks and expert in stocks.Think what u think,I think what I think.
                    We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

                    Comment

                    • billyjoe
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 9014

                      #11
                      Cramer is very right some of the time and very wrong some of the time. He usually sets out a premise based on how a stock should react to certain events that take place. It's very logical but often doesn't turn out exactly the way Cramer envisions. You may agree 100% with everything he says and the stock will do the opposite.

                      ------------billy

                      Comment

                      • skiracer
                        Senior Member
                        • Dec 2004
                        • 6314

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stockman09 View Post
                        Well,he's only a millionare in stocks and expert in stocks.Think what u think,I think what I think.
                        remain open minded to learning from others that may have forgetten more than you know and understand right now. once you gain a bit more experience you'll understand more about crammer and others like him. buy his recommendations when he spews out his bs and see where you end up. he might be a millionaire but he's and expert in bs.
                        THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

                        Comment

                        • Odysseus
                          Senior Member
                          • Oct 2007
                          • 493

                          #13
                          Aye, I hate to admit it but I've made a little money off of Cramer's picks, though I sold right quick. Not sure what other's call it but I call it the Cramer Effect. Sometimes when he makes a pick, the stock shoots up for a brief period of time then drops sharply, ie someone is taking profit off his build up.

                          When starting out, I watched CNBC nonstop (Cramer included)... helped gain the lingo insight but as one who works in the media field, I can honestly say I take what they say with a grain of salt and 1 part Lime, and 2 parts Tequilla.

                          Though I have to say, I do very little fundamental research (too little time as is on my end), I like what you have going above. Keep it up !
                          ~Ody
                          Stock Pick ~ POTW ~ POTY ~ Rules ~ POTW Summary

                          Comment

                          • yoyomama
                            Senior Member
                            • Mar 2009
                            • 219

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Odysseus View Post
                            Sometimes when he makes a pick, the stock shoots up for a brief period of time then drops sharply, ie someone is taking profit off his build up.

                            I've only been watching a couple of months but I think he's definitely helped the push with BRCD...when he picked his Tech Specs.

                            Comment

                            • stockman09
                              Senior Member
                              • Feb 2009
                              • 106

                              #15
                              Here's my Homework for sprint.

                              STEP ONE: Find out how the company makes its money.
                              How did it make its money last year? Tough to tell?

                              How did it make money last quarter? Tough to tell?

                              Are these high-or low-quality earnings? High

                              STEP TWO: What sector does the company belong to and how has that sector performed?
                              Sector: Technology

                              Sector performance over the last three, six, and twelve months: good

                              What forces tend to move stocks in this sector? Products

                              STEP THREE: How has the stock performed?
                              Last year: horrible
                              Last six months: up=good
                              Last three months: good
                              Last month: good
                              Last week: down

                              STEP FOUR: What do the comparisons tell you?
                              Does this company face any threatening competition: no

                              What is the P\E of this stock: N\A

                              What is the average P\E of its competitors: N\A

                              What is the PEG rate of this stock: N\A

                              What is the average PEG rate of its competitors: N\A

                              How much cheaper or more expensive is this stock compared to its peers: N\A

                              Based on P\E: N\A
                              Based on PEG N\A

                              STEP FIVE: Can the stock survive its balance sheet?
                              How much debt does this company have: 21.6 Billion

                              How much debt does it have due this year: ?

                              How much free cash flow did the company have last year: 3 Billion

                              Will this company generate enough cash flow to pay its debts this year: No

                              Can it pay its next year: ?

                              Will it have to sell assets to pay its debts in the near future: ?

                              STEP SIX: Does this stock look like a good investment in light of your homework:
                              Yes, Buy LOW, Sell High.
                              We are:www.freewebs.com\elliottwavegroup

                              Comment

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