IIC's Winners Watchlists

[IIC]

Upgrades: LEXR FRNT KEY CBB STX SYMC DNR GAP AXCM NARA UBB EL TTN

[spikefader]

Bot PLMO and lost 6 cents this morn. Bot GIGA at 3.89, sold 4.60, bot 5.16 sold 5.32/5.10...then I had to go to a meeting and it goes up to 6.19...Darn, but I will certainly take one's like that

Awesome result! Well done. What's your entry trigger?

[IIC]

Awesome result! Well done. What's your entry trigger?

I was just watching the charts looking for little p/b's and next moves...Unfortuanately, I keep getting interrupted by work...on some I put stops, but on others I just sell when I have to go. Picked up some on LEXR today...but not as much as I would've liked. Lost a few cents on PLMO again too.

Overall, a nice week though...Thx

[IIC]

Thursday's MoMo:

KMRT HANS ANTP CETV GAP SNHY CFCI CMTL DNR RIO SVNX CTHR RMCF AXYS PDC MVCO BASI FTG UFPT PRZ USEG MAHI CNR

KMRT
HANS
ANTP
CETV
GAP
SNHY
CFCI
CMTL
DNR
RIO
SVNX
CTHR
RMCF
AXYS
PDC
MVCO
BASI
FTG
UFPT
PRZ
USEG
MAHI
CNR

[IIC]

Happy Easter Everybody!!!

Mr. Breakout is updated if you'd like to take a look...Thanks, Doug(IIC)

http://MrBreakout.com

[IIC]

This is a little something I posted at another Forum yesterday:

There are literally hundreds of ways to try to project market direction...if I knew which one was the most accurate I'd probably be sitting on a beach in Bora Bora sippin' Mai Tai's right now.
But I thought I'd review a couple that I use(I also use many others) and you can decide for yourself whether they are worthwhile.

I'd also be interested in hearing how others try to project the direction.

The first 2 graphs are Nasdaq Advance/Decline Issue Oscillators for short term direction.

Notice the correlation between the A/D lines and the Naz movement. Especially, when the A/D crosses the red lines.






Here is the same type of Oscillator for Naz A/D volume. Notice that the A/D line never crosses the red lines for the time frame of this chart. But, generally when the line turns up the Naz goes up and when it turns down, the Naz turns down.



Here is a chart depicting A/D issues and A/D volume for the NYSE:



Dailygraphs also has indicators, which I won't post here, for the 10 day Moving Average of Up/Dn volume with separate lines for each. Interesting to note what happens to the market when they cross in either direction. They also have the same thing for New Highs/New Lows.

Of course you don't necessarily have to wait for lines to cross as you can see the daily direction.

Obviously these indicators are not foolproof...but they are helpful IMO.

If you don't have access to sites that show these types of oscillators...I have a few at http://MrBreakout.com you can plot them yourself. The formulas are very simple; e.g. To calculate the 12 day A/D issues line you simply subtract the declining issues from the advancing issues ignoring the unchanged issues( A-D) for the past 12 days. Total the positive and negative numbers for each day and divide by 12. On the following day, simply eliminate the first day and add/subtract the present day A-D and divide by 12...and just continue every day using a trendline.

Be sure that you get your A/D numbers from the same source as I see some fairly significant differences...which doesn't make sense to me, but that's the way it is. I use an average between Yahoo and Merrill Lynch myself.

You can do the same thing for volume and new highs/lows. You can also use any time frame you wish. A normal intermediate time frame would be 30 days.

One question that I get is..."The Naz A/D was negative but the line went up...How come"? The answer may be elementary to many, but I've heard it many times. Here is an example of how that can occur:

Let's say you are plotting 10 days. On the first day the Naz A/D was 1000/2300...A-D= -1300. On the 11th day the Naz A/D is 1300/2000 A-D= -700. Since you are now dropping the first day (-1300) and adding -700, the trend line will turn up even though we had a bad day. Be careful to watch for this.

Well, as I said, this is not foolproof by any means but hopefully some find it helpful...Best, Doug(IIC)

[IIC]

Only trade today was ELBO before work...avg. +.70...too bad I had to go to work...Saw Hospitals and Apparel doing well...but a F/T job and daytrading don't mix that well...IIC


Today's MoMo:

MOVI ANTP USAK LACO GDP PLCE QSII TAYD SNHY ELTK DIGI BTHS AXYS SVNX NICK PFIN CULS UFPT ACTY RMCF RADS XTND DAVE CMT CNTY ALSK SHOE PRZ SMIT MVCO SILCF EDGR TFF MCZ

MOVI
ANTP
USAK
LACO
GDP
PLCE
QSII
TAYD
SNHY
ELTK
DIGI
BTHS
AXYS
SVNX
NICK
PFIN
CULS
UFPT
ACTY
RMCF
RADS
XTND
DAVE
CMT
CNTY
ALSK
SHOE
PRZ
SMIT
MVCO
SILCF
EDGR
TFF
MCZ

[dmk112]

IIC, why don't you just trade full-time?

[IIC]

S/R for Tuesday

Nasdaq

Resistance

2185
2163
2128
2107-Medium
2091-Medium
2077
2065
2049
2025-2029
2009
2000-Medium

Support

1971
1920-Weak
1903

QQQQ

Resistance

40.50
40.05
39.50
39.20
38.75
38.00-38.05-Medium
37.40
37.05
36.60-Medium
36.40

Support

35.45-35.50

[IIC]

IIC, why don't you just trade full-time?

Because I am paid pretty well.

Also, the majority of my net worth is in a Real Estate Trust...This allows me to take risks on stocks that I probably would not take if I depended on equity gains to eat. Although, the way I'm investing now doesn't seem to pose a whole lot of major risk.

But I think I would have to change my investment style if I was full-time though...Now, I'm not saying I couldn't do it...So, if you are willing to fund it...I'm willing to give it a shot.

[IIC]

Positive Guidance announced After Hours:

Osteotech Raises 2005 Earnings Guidance
Monday, March 28, 2005 5:29:09 PM ET
View: Complete Article | Historical Guidance

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Osteotech (OSTE) said it now expects a loss of $0.28 to $0.25 per share in 2005, but continues to expect revenue of $94.0 million to $98.0 million. The company's previous guidance was a loss of $0.48 to $0.45 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $0.47 per share for the year ending December 31, 2005.


HCA to Beat Estimates
Monday, March 28, 2005 4:16:09 PM ET
View: Complete Article | Historical Guidance

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HCA (HCA) said it expects first quarter earnings of $0.88 to $0.93 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.76 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2005.

[IIC]

Well, we did dip a little below the 1970 level but I am pleased that we closed above it. On an encouraging note the volume in the last 5 minutes on the Naz Composite was triple any other rounded 5 minute period today and we went up 5 points....Doug

PS...I decided to sign up for the DGO R/T since they added Intraday...I'll let you know what I think of it.

Made .67 and .40 sh on VRSN early and .20 on HPQ...but just watched later in the day.

Hospitals sure doing well...maybe because of so much "Blood On Wall Street"

[IIC]

Today's MoMo:

PACT DHIL ALSK TFF

PACT
DHIL
ALSK
TFF

[IIC]

Analysts' Highest-Rated Stocks

  This is a weekly ranking by First Call of the highest-rated stocks, based on analyst comments contributed within the past month to First Call's database. 

  To be included on the list, a company must be rated by at least five analysts.

	   First Call Consensus Recommendation Scale 

  1 = Buy 

  2 = Buy/Hold 

  3 = Hold 

  4 = Hold/Sell 

  5 = Sell


			   Most Attractive Issues
			  ---- ---------- ------
			Latest  # Analysts  Previous
		   Consensus  Covering   Consensus

(BIVN)		  1.0	 5	 1.0
(HHGP)		  1.0	 5	 1.5
(PGNX)		  1.1	 8	 1.2
(ROP)		   1.2	11	 1.4
(PGI)		   1.2	 6	 1.5
(MSM)		   1.2	 6	 1.0
(HUG)		   1.2	 6	 1.0
(TRMB)		  1.2	 6	 1.4
(AIRN)		  1.2	 6	 1.4
(KERX)		  1.2	 6	 1.3
(CHE)		   1.2	 5	 1.3
(UCO)		   1.3	10	 1.4
(SINT)		  1.3	 9	 1.4
(SPN)		   1.3	 7	 1.4
(DTPI)		  1.3	 7	 1.1
(INTV)		  1.3	 7	 1.6
(RCRC)		  1.3	 7	 1.4
(CPTV)		  1.3	 7	 1.4
(SCST)		  1.3	 6	 1.2
(ORB)		   1.3	 6	 1.4
(PKI)		   1.3	 6	 1.7
(DOVP)		  1.3	 6	 1.4
(OPTN)		  1.3	 6	 1.4
(PXP)		   1.4	 9	 1.3
(CRK)		   1.4	 8	 1.6
(KND)		   1.4	 7	 1.3
(EPIC)		  1.4	 7	 1.3
(VDSI)		  1.4	 7	 1.7
(ORPH)		  1.4	 5	 1.3
(SYD)		   1.4	 5	 1.8
(CAPA)		  1.4	 5	 1.5
(GNCMA)		 1.4	 5	 1.5
(BCII)		  1.4	 5	 2.0
(TFSM)		  1.4	 5	 1.5
(SAY)		   1.4	 5	 1.3
(PDC)		   1.4	 5	 1.5
(MATK)		  1.4	 5	 1.2
(OPTV)		  1.4	 5	 1.3
(XRAY)		  1.4	 5	 1.5
(JAH)		   1.4	 5	 1.8
(TIER)		  1.4	 5	 1.5
(HORC)		  1.4	 5	 1.3
(TPX)		   1.5	11	 1.6
(GIL)		   1.5	10	 1.6
(CCBI)		  1.5	 8	 1.6
(NABI)		  1.5	 8	 1.6
(IVN)		   1.5	 6	 1.5
(IBI)		   1.5	 6	 1.6
(RSYS)		  1.5	 6	 1.7
(UTHR)		  1.5	 6	 1.7
(VCBI)		  1.5	 6	 1.6
(KEX)		   1.5	 6	 1.8
(EPEX)		  1.5	 6	 1.4
(NCI)		   1.5	 6	 1.8
(ASHW)		  1.5	 6	 1.4
(LIFC)		  1.5	 6	 1.7
(IFLO)		  1.5	 6	 1.4
(ALXN)		  1.5	 6	 1.8
(CKR)		   1.5	 6	 1.6
(CHK)		   1.6	16	 1.7
(BGFV)		  1.6	16	 1.7
(MACR)		  1.6	15	 1.8
(CRME)		  1.6	14	 1.5
(VCLK)		  1.6	11	 1.7
(OPEN)		  1.6	10	 1.8
(UTIW)		  1.6	 9	 1.8
(PSYS)		  1.6	 9	 1.4
(AGO)		   1.6	 9	 1.5
(TTI)		   1.6	 9	 1.8
(EPL)		   1.6	 9	 1.4
(JCOM)		  1.6	 8	 1.7
(MTCT)		  1.6	 8	 1.7
(SBAC)		  1.6	 8	 1.5
(UNFI)		  1.6	 8	 1.5

Analysts' Lowest-Rated Stocks

  This is a weekly ranking by First Call of the Lowest-rated stocks, based on analyst comments contributed within the past month to First Call's database. 

  To be included on the list, a company must be rated by at least five analysts.

	   First Call Consensus Recommendation Scale 

  1 = Buy 

  2 = Buy/Hold 

  3 = Hold 

  4 = Hold/Sell 

  5 = Sell


				  Least Attractive Issues
				  ---- ---------- ------
			 Latest	# Analysts  Previous
			 Consensus  Covering   Consensus

(MSO)		   4.4	 5	 4.3
(LVLT)		  4.1	 8	 4.3
(ALO)		   4.0	 6	 3.8
(DDS)		   3.9	10	 3.7
(GBP)		   3.9	11	 4.0
(DPH)		   3.9	17	 3.8
(REGN)		  3.8	 5	 3.7
(KKD)		   3.8	 6	 3.7
(BCH)		   3.8	 6	 3.6
(SGU)		   3.8	 6	 3.5
(PAL)		   3.8	 6	 3.7
(SUP)		   3.8	10	 3.9
(LCRD)		  3.7	 6	 3.3
(APU)		   3.7	 6	 3.6
(FLYI)		  3.7	 9	 3.4
(DQE)		   3.6	 5	 3.3
(BBOX)		  3.6	 5	 3.2
(LNT)		   3.6	 5	 3.2
(UST)		   3.6	 7	 3.5
(ACTU)		  3.6	 7	 3.5
(CHZ)		   3.6	 9	 3.4
(PZE)		   3.6	 9	 3.8
(DCOM)		  3.6	 9	 3.4
(CHRT)		  3.6	10	 3.7
(GM)			3.6	14	 3.5
(AOC)		   3.6	18	 3.7
(POSS)		  3.5	 6	 3.3
(MGM)		   3.5	 6	 3.4
(STBA)		  3.5	 8	 3.3
(HIW)		   3.5	 8	 3.6
(CNXT)		  3.5	 8	 3.8
(HKY)		   3.5	 8	 3.6
(LF)			3.5	11	 3.6
(ODSY)		  3.5	11	 3.4
(EK)			3.5	11	 3.6
(TZA)		   3.5	11	 3.4
(PNX)		   3.5	11	 3.4
(PLB)		   3.5	12	 3.4
(UIS)		   3.5	12	 3.3
(PPS)		   3.5	13	 3.6
(LSI)		   3.5	13	 3.4
(ASYT)		  3.5	13	 3.6
(JNS)		   3.5	14	 3.4
(JDSU)		  3.5	17	 3.4
(CHTR)		  3.5	17	 3.4
(EDS)		   3.5	22	 3.6
(HMN)		   3.4	 5	 3.3
(TEO)		   3.4	 5	 3.6
(SNA)		   3.4	 5	 3.8
(AFCE)		  3.4	 5	 4.0
(PLNR)		  3.4	 5	 3.2
(GNTA)		  3.4	 5	 3.3
(LOOK)		  3.4	 5	 3.0
(MBHI)		  3.4	 5	 3.2
(QLTY)		  3.4	 5	 3.5
(PBCT)		  3.4	 5	 3.0
(PGL)		   3.4	 7	 3.6
(AKS)		   3.4	 7	 3.1
(SCMR)		  3.4	 7	 3.1
(HE)			3.4	 7	 3.3
(BCGI)		  3.4	 7	 3.3
(FCTR)		  3.4	 7	 3.3
(MYG)		   3.4	 8	 3.6
(TEU)		   3.4	 8	 3.6
(CNH)		   3.4	 8	 3.2
(POS)		   3.4	 9	 3.3
(WFSL)		  3.4	 9	 3.5
(ABI)		   3.4	 9	 3.3
(SMI)		   3.4	10	 3.3

[IIC]

OK...I signed up for Realtime DailyGraphs via Esignal...What a hassle...Couldn't they just do a "Click Here" thing? Well, we'll see if I did it right tomorrow. For 22.95 a month though...seems well worth it IMO...IIC