IIC's Winners Watchlists

[New-born baby]

This week really sux...I've still got PLLL...at least I'm up a few cents now...CRYP...Am I the only guy who is down???...CCRT...Sh*t happens...But I have a medium stake in ABAX from May...I believed...But I also believed in WITS...Whatta drag...Now ICOC...My crystal ball says they beat...But then again...I think Park stole it (Crystal ball)...I was up over 30% at one point this year...I'm red now...even with all those pocket change d/t's...I'm not particularly worried at this point...But believe it or not I've never had a down year overall since 1983...I don't intend to break the streak now...But I need to regroup here...Doug(IIC)

Next year you might consider doing something about the "October through May, then go away." You probably lost your green due to the May and July earnings reports. How about some options next time? Or just pull it off the table???

[IIC]

Next year you might consider doing something about the "October through May, then go away." You probably lost your green due to the May and July earnings reports. How about some options next time? Or just pull it off the table???

Probably good advice...But as I posted on Lou's thread...It was not always the case...Go back many years and check.

[IIC]

IIC's Crystal Ball....MACD Crossovers...BEFORE They Crossover!!!

Last weekend the Crystal Ball was right on...they all crossed over early on Monday:

ICOS, ELK, BGP, BRLI, UGI, VMSI

Little Charts: http://trimurl.com/6OS

Might be a little tougher this week since there are so many:

JEF,HLF,FSTR,FPO,CTSH,ACV,ADVS,AG,ALD,ALNY,ARC,BDN ,CRA,CPT,CCI,CAJ,
XMSR,WW,UNP,TTI,SUF,STRL,SBAC,KNOT,NRF,ROP,PWEI,PN C,NTG,OS,PCAR,PJC

Little Charts:

http://trimurl.com/6RG

http://trimurl.com/6RH

Good Luck...Doug(IIC)

Well...Told 'ya it would be a little harder this week...Only 28 of 33 have crossed over...But there is one day left...Sorry about the poor record this week...Doug(IIC)

[IIC]

Actually it was only 32 on the list....have 4 left.

Mortgage defaults: http://trimurl.com/6TJ


Took small gains on PLLL and CRYP...took my lumps on CCRT

[IIC]

Dow Jones Sector Indexes Winners And Losers
.
=============================================================================
                                       ----------- Percent Change -----------
    Sector                   Index   Daily   1 Wk.   1 Mo.   3 Mo.   1 Yr.
=============================================================================

Tires                         38.63   4.75   11.21   -0.62  -18.31  -39.24
Water                        640.40   2.85    5.29    1.33   -3.59   -5.40
Real Estate Invstmt Trusts   121.95   1.63    3.51    5.13    7.84   10.92
Specialty Retailers          389.60   1.08    1.22   -5.03  -10.06   -8.24
Automobiles                  173.56   0.98    6.91    3.80   16.31  -15.34
Invstmt Serv                1019.42   0.96    4.03    2.45   -1.96   28.43
Health Care Providers        495.67   0.85   -2.69    3.45    3.45    3.35
Food Retailers/Whlslrs       194.24   0.83   -4.69   -5.17   -0.93   -5.41
Asset Managers               122.05   0.65    5.19    4.50   -2.09   19.14
Recreational Serv             71.35   0.62   -2.69   -7.47  -16.87  -22.85
Broadline Retailers          323.45   0.58    1.05   -6.04   -5.52   -8.46
Footwear                     237.54   0.53   -1.88   -1.67   -5.45   -2.52
Electronic Office Equip      265.59   0.37    3.85    3.05    0.29    4.65
Home Construction            639.24   0.36    8.76   -0.67  -20.78  -41.40
Banks                        544.15   0.33    2.23    4.49    1.43   11.94
Exploration & Production     438.06   0.31  -15.11  -17.77  -18.45    2.16
Waste & Disposal Serv        100.10   0.30    4.19   -1.04   -6.37   20.43
Full Line Insurance          404.37   0.29    0.03    1.21   -6.85    0.35
Reinsurance                   92.80   0.28   -0.34    2.28    3.27   -9.05
Commercial Vehicles/Trucks   781.49   0.24    3.63   -5.98   -8.56   23.92
Personal Prod                251.50   0.24   -4.24   -3.37   -1.13    4.43
Aluminum                     248.43   0.21   -0.06   -8.37  -12.53    6.24
Pharmaceuticals              265.10   0.17    2.11    6.65    6.06    3.42
Mortgage Finance              77.83   0.17   -2.17   -1.22   -5.88  -10.10
Distillers & Vintners        118.43   0.16    0.69    1.01    2.09    1.51
Electricity                  171.43   0.13    0.77    5.43   10.36    6.04
Aerospace                    422.86   0.12    1.43    0.46   -2.51   21.29
Commodity Chemicals          190.05   0.11   -0.53   -3.85   -9.75  -11.21
Elec Components & Equip      131.87   0.08    4.15   -4.95  -12.02   10.08
Durable Household Prod       121.89   0.08    1.37   -5.45  -12.36   -7.12
Drug Retailers               527.31   0.08    1.34    6.55    7.45    7.46
Travel & Tourism              73.88   0.07    4.02   -3.68  -10.78  -25.52
Gas Distribution             113.88   0.06    1.75    5.08    7.56    4.15
Defense                      114.42   0.04   -1.62    0.42   -4.01   10.28
Industrial Suppliers         109.62   0.04    3.11  -11.19  -18.42    8.22
Apparel Retailers            365.51   0.03    1.49   -2.82   -6.51   -6.33
Specialty Chemicals          231.11   0.01    3.11    0.99    0.08   11.09
Broadcast & Entertainment    396.73   0.01    2.62   -0.73    2.73    2.40
Nonferrous Metals            345.99  -0.02    9.57    0.09   -8.83   49.02
Electronic Equip             172.51  -0.06    1.09   -4.45  -11.81    7.52
Restaurants & Bars           364.92  -0.06   -1.29   -5.00   -7.91    3.82
Fixed Line Telecom           139.75  -0.06    8.08    6.42   11.13   20.48
Clothing & Accessories       142.16  -0.08    2.60   -2.37   -7.32   -7.93
Industrial Machinery         199.37  -0.09    4.37   -5.79  -10.07    8.32
Financial Administration     102.93  -0.10    0.76   -6.82   -8.13    1.19
Nondurable Household Prod    444.52  -0.10    4.37    6.16    2.24    6.53
Publishing                   276.56  -0.11    2.38   -2.07   -3.59  -12.07
Gold Mining                  107.54  -0.12    3.21   -1.86  -11.00   41.60
Computer Hardware            431.90  -0.12    4.29    0.12   -8.57   -2.07
Diversified Industrials      428.09  -0.13    0.32   -3.48   -6.95   -5.10
Media Agencies               349.82  -0.13    1.57   -1.82   -5.10   -6.53
Prop & Casualty Insurance    354.27  -0.15   -1.05   -0.38   -2.57    2.48
Soft Drinks                  292.30  -0.16   -0.53    3.25    6.58    7.53
Food Prod                    229.17  -0.16    0.98    0.48    1.60    4.83
Heavy Construction           326.55  -0.17   11.66   -0.79   -4.18   39.70
Brewers                      323.60  -0.17    0.20    3.73    4.79    7.28
Specialty Finance            124.60  -0.17    5.97   -1.26   -3.40   15.00
Tobacco                      269.40  -0.20    0.80    9.19   10.90   20.77
Building Matrls/Fxtures      310.07  -0.24    1.89   -6.20  -16.50   -6.72
Gambling                     524.58  -0.27   -4.80  -10.46  -12.96    4.78
Multiutilities               115.84  -0.29    0.78    4.28    5.55    2.35
Marine Transportation        302.07  -0.30    0.81   -2.57    5.79   -4.78
Internet                     326.20  -0.38   -1.74  -12.12   -8.90   10.23
Home Improve Retailers        88.32  -0.39   -0.27   -4.18  -13.55  -17.53
Consumer Finance             101.43  -0.41    1.55   -4.65   -4.19    3.98
Medical Supplies             310.19  -0.47    3.52    5.27    4.45    0.74
Hotels                       559.59  -0.48   -6.18  -12.03   -7.84    1.18
Mobile Telecom               335.28  -0.48   -5.98   -7.33  -14.54  -15.02
Life Insurance               592.17  -0.51   -3.04   -3.45   -3.62    6.94
Pipelines                    468.64  -0.54    2.95    3.19   14.61   18.38
Software                     501.22  -0.58    1.69    1.83   -4.08   -2.79
Auto Parts                   193.26  -0.60    1.13   -4.18   -4.03  -13.29
Containers & Packaging       150.85  -0.65    1.99   -1.09   -5.02   -2.88
Semiconductors              1068.19  -0.68    4.25   -6.88  -17.63  -17.29
Recreational Prod            197.25  -0.69   -3.48  -12.09  -20.92  -22.17
Computer Serv                 58.15  -0.73    0.29   -1.97   -8.40   -4.90
Business Support Serv        186.56  -0.77    2.52   -2.54   -5.69    6.76
Toys                         286.01  -0.86    3.95    9.10   -7.32  -13.95
Medical Equip                435.42  -0.93   -1.13   -1.52   -9.88  -13.80
Airlines                     126.18  -0.93   -2.13   -3.14    1.09   21.99
Transportation Serv          174.49  -0.95   -4.23  -12.04   -1.87   14.19
Furnishings                  214.65  -0.97    1.34   -4.11  -14.26  -12.08
Telecom Equip                581.48  -0.97   -1.69   -9.01  -18.96   -5.63
General Mining              1255.95  -1.08    8.20   -0.42  -15.59   36.99
Integrated Oil & Gas         542.80  -1.13   27.80   34.64   32.35   43.39
Delivery Serv                581.93  -1.31  -11.86  -16.24  -12.48    7.91
Business Train/Employ Agnc   118.39  -1.33    0.80  -13.71  -21.57    6.80
Forestry                     212.26  -1.41    3.27   -7.76  -17.80  -16.76
Biotechnology                437.99  -1.47    1.36    0.80    0.32   -2.14
Paper                        146.80  -1.48    3.20    2.51   -8.99   -0.95
Trucking                     325.44  -1.51   -1.78  -11.33   -2.59   17.53
Specialized Consumer Serv    586.26  -1.52   -2.49  -10.20  -18.09  -27.39
Consumer Electronics         718.58  -2.04   -8.52  -12.50   -4.76   17.39
Real Estate Holding & Dev    372.30  -2.30   -0.84   -2.46   -7.55    7.82
Railroads                    358.31  -2.41   -3.60  -13.74  -14.13   22.74
Oil Equip & Serv             523.60  -2.55    3.90   -4.96  -10.94   30.05
Steel                        256.18  -2.70    1.40  -10.29  -13.61   61.42
Coal                         296.95  -3.66    4.89  -13.79  -23.96   20.21
Platinum & Precious Metals   104.06  -3.67    9.08   -8.99  -33.64   41.42
Insurance Brokers             91.81  -4.84   -2.89   -4.97  -17.58   -0.39

[Runner]

Doug, my random port is sucking swamp water..lol. It does not surprise me as my bull bear indicator is very close together. It shows about a 45% long and 55% short. Current port is 100% long. Now I’ll get bull when S&P can get over the 1280 and sticks for a while..

[IIC]

Doug, my random port is sucking swamp water..lol. It does not surprise me as my bull bear indicator is very close together. It shows about a 45% long and 55% short. Current port is 100% long. Now I’ll get bull when S&P can get over the 1280 and sticks for a while..

Well...it's been a bad 3 months for the Modified MoMo stocks in general...Even though I'm kickin' IBD's butt it is not because my IIC 100 Top 10 have done so well...it's because mine have not been as bad as the IBD 100 Top 10.

I don't have this week's results yet but as of last weekend I was ahead YTD about +24% to +15%...but at the end of the first week in May it was IIC +34% and IBD +46%...Well, I've said since 2000 that IBD doesn't account for the increased volatility very well...Of course I was referring to their trading theories...not their stock picking...Doug(IIC)

PS...Maybe we should all follow the crystal ball...Last week's MACD crossovers BEFORE they crossed over were 100%...This week it was only 93.7%...Sorry about that...But then again...just because they crossover doesn't mean they are any good...But added to some other criteria the list seems to be worth tracking...I rarely post it since there didn't seem to be much interest at any forums I'm in...But I think I'll post it weekly on my new site when it's up...Best, Doug(IIC)

[Runner]

Here is the IIC 100 list of stocks I’m seeing some interest in. I finally figured how to import the list into my database.

Possible Longs:
BRKR OMCL CMRG GIGM DIGE? TYL NUHC MENT

Possible Shorts:
ATHR LVS TSCM

[IIC]

Here is the IIC 100 list of stocks I’m seeing some interest in. I finally figured how to import the list into my database.

Possible Longs:
BRKR OMCL CMRG GIGM DIGE? TYL NUHC MENT

Possible Shorts:
ATHR LVS TSCM

Like GIGM here...I picked it for the contest today...got some...OMCL is a regular watch as well as NUHC

[Runner]

Doug, I might do things a little different in my approach from most. I like the top down approach. This means I look at the S&P500, sector action and stock. GIGM does look nice but the group and S&P tell me to proceed with caution. I know many will look at this as crazy but it works for me.

Here is a sub sector chart for Internet Service providers


Here is the sector

[IIC]

What's the REAL Unemployment Rate?

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t12.htm

[Runner]

Now looking over the daily chart of the S&P I notice we have been in a trading range for a good while. One of two things will happen here. 1. We pop up and make a decisive move upward. 2. We fall back down into the range. Based off my scans I tend to think we fall IMO. Here is my mindset on the action. Right now the Bulls and Bears are near even. I show a slight edge on the Bears side as of close today. Shorts are keeping a watch on 1280. If we do not make any forward progress from here I think the Bears will try to attack. Mr. B is going to open his mouth next week and I think this very well may lead to some increased volatility. I also realize the human emotions will be revealed as he speaks. This can make us think the market is finally making up its mind. Often the move will not be the true intent. I’d say be cautious with opening new positions. In simple terms I have zero clue where we go fro here but my market bias is slightly bearish..

Best trading….

[IIC]

Doug, I might do things a little different in my approach from most. I like the top down approach. This means I look at the S&P500, sector action and stock. GIGM does look nice but the group and S&P tell me to proceed with caution. I know many will look at this as crazy but it works for me.

Here is a sub sector chart for Internet Service providers


Here is the sector

Runner...I don't do it quite the same...But I do feel Group action is very significant...Unfortunately IBD, except for the daily group action, uses this convoluted 6 month deal...that's why I have my own groups(150+) where I can sort by a day, few days, week, 2 weeks, month...Of course I'm usually looking short term...But what do I care which group has done the best over the last 6 months???

[IIC]

I have zero clue where we go from here but my market bias is slightly bearish..

Best trading….

I pretty much feel the same way...Doug

[IIC]

i happen to buy USEY as well...

still holding on to it a bit longer.

at what price did you buy it at?

I forgot to ask you why you bot it?...Are you still in?

It is on my watch because of the Nuclear/Uranium deal going on...I don't know what will happen...USEY itself is no good...Cogeneration...Forget it...But if the nuclear power thing gets going again then USEY could be a nice takeover candidate...But that could be quite some time and I don't feel like taking a risk by holding it for long....Best, Doug(IIC)