MY PICK IS ELN

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by TFred
    Greetings Spike,

    I missed it,should have had the guts to trade the setup,I need to look fro a little strength to sell into.Was ready to pull at 12.50,and down she dropped before my eyes.

    cordially Tom
    I'd let it go for now dude....I think ya missed the bus and it's gonna be hard to trade from here I think.........maybe sell the fib retraces from 13.50 to the low, which are 12.68 (50%) and 12.49 (38.2%).

    Volume suggestive we may have seen the low for today.....I'd stalk it a while longer if I were you......while I see what I can make of the count.....perhaps look for a 'c' short somewhere.....

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      OK, what have we got here......... ELN is doing an expanding daily channel long, and there is a distinct inverted SHS forming now.....the R shoulder forming as I type. A setup long is buy 12.10 with stop under lod, which is only 1.8% risk....

      I'd caution against shorting this for now......

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        ELN long setup: Not sure I see the r/r as worth it......



        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          OK, I covered here taking 16% profit on the short. I'll look to reshort it if it sets up.

          Comment


          • Greetings,

            Gotta love volatility,someone with ''chops'' is making money.

            cordially Tom

            Comment


            • When did you short it, Spike?

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                For shorter's interest, ELN now at the 38.2% retrace area and stalling a bit.......

                perhaps a play is short 12.45 with .15 stop to target new lows to target 10.00 pretty good r/r there.

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Here's the setup.....you're obviously aiming for the inverted SHS to be overcome by the fact that it's still a 'c' failure gap down day on high volume and for the next hour may dribble down to lows.....


                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175


                    Comment

                    • skiracer
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2004
                      • 6314

                      This is almost exactly what it did the last time is fell to these areas. Stopped and bottomed around $12.20/12.40 area and reversed. Went on for some considerable gains after that. If I remember correctly your entry was $12.58 or so that day. I like it long from here but will wait for tomorrow. This is real cheapo right now.
                      THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by DSteckler
                        When did you short it, Spike?
                        14.65 after the news got sold. Risk at the time was 1%.


                        Comment

                        • noshadyldy
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 539

                          stockchart reversal

                          stockcharts now bearish to projected 8.00. states double bottom failure of today's date
                          "Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            Originally posted by skiracer
                            This is almost exactly what it did the last time is fell to these areas. Stopped and bottomed around $12.20/12.40 area and reversed. Went on for some considerable gains after that. If I remember correctly your entry was $12.58 or so that day. I like it long from here but will wait for tomorrow. This is real cheapo right now.
                            Well the count was very different ski. Back then it was a 'a' correction. Today, it's following a 'c' failure gap down on volume. And this time there is volume by price overhead to fuel the drop... I'm not so certain it's gonna bounce from today's low......12.88 should resist hard.

                            I'm going to stalk that area for another entry. That'll be the 61.8% retrace of that last impulse down, and also the inverted SHS target area. Tom, that 12.88 area might be worth 2% risk to target 10.30 for r/r of 10.3......

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              Originally posted by spikefader
                              12.88 .... worth 2% risk to target 10.30 for r/r of 10.3......
                              Short 12.84 and I'll give it 4% risk for now.

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                ELN intra TA


                                there is a little neckline break

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