CMG ==> The Rutgers Winner!

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    CMG ==> The Rutgers Winner!

    This is Steven. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is my Dad. Since I am a Rutgers student, $$$MR. MARKET$$$ decided to give me the opportunity to stand in for him on his latest stock pick. Don’t worry, I have 20 years of experience being trained directly under the supervision of $$$MR. MARKET$$$.

    Today’s stock pick is Chipotle (CMG). My Dad mispronounces the name of this restaurant but he likes their food. Today I bought CMG at 158.43. I will sell it in 4 – 6 weeks at 182.94.

    Chipotle operates a national chain of fast-casual restaurants with a focused menu of burritos, tacos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla) and salads. Chipotle opened its first restaurant in 1993

    The reason I like CMG is:
    • First of all, the food is great. I always eat at the North Brunswick Chipotle and it rocks. As long as you have a good product, you’ll be able to sell it. Chipotle has placed second among large chains in the latest annual fast-food survey from restaurant rating service Zagats. It’s healthy fast food. Not Taco Bell.
    • The stock is up over 100% in the last year. People..and big funds..are loading up on it like Trevor loads up on the beef burrito.
    • Now the PE of 34 may be scary for some people, but the year on year revenue growth is over 20%.
    • Return on Assets = 16%
    • Return on Equity = 21%
    • Earnings growth is 33%

    Every single Chipotle store is a success. If you build more stores, you build more successes. This contributes to their revenue and earnings growth. It’s a simple equation.

    Chipotle has 1,000 restaurants in the U.S and will be branching out internationally. More stores means more money. Over the last 5 years, for example, Chipotle has grown revenue at a 24% per year. Over the same period, earnings have grown about 59%. Chipotle has plenty of room to grow and aren’t even close to Starbucks or McDonald’s saturation. Think about it. How many Chipotles do you have close to YOUR home? The more room a company has to grow, the higher its stock price can climb. On top of the growth, as more people know about this company, same store sales will grow as well.

    The company produced net income of $46.5 million, or $1.46 per diluted share, in its second quarter on $466.8 million in revenue. Income grew 31.3%, or 32.7% per share, over the year-ago quarter and revenue shot up 20.1% over the same period of last year. In 2009’s second quarter Chipotle earned $35.4 million, or $1.10 per diluted share.

    Analysts’ consensus foresaw the stock coming in with $1.39 in earnings per share on $452.8 million in revenue.

    For restaurants open at least 12 months sales rose 8.7%, and Chipotle reported average restaurant sales were $1.8 million. The company reported restaurant level operating margin to be 26.9% this quarter, a 90-basis-point increase over the year-ago quarter.

    I know I'm not as funny as my Dad and I certainly know I’m not $$$MR. MARKET$$$ - but I bet you a Cayenne pepper that this stock adds to his streak of winners.

    Steven

    www.mrmarketishuge.com
    Last edited by mrmarket; 09-16-2010, 02:39 PM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • wooish
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2008
    • 499

    #2
    Nice writeup and good pick. You bought the stock almost at the 52wk high, what a brave move.

    Comment

    • Peter Hansen
      Banned
      • Jul 2005
      • 3968

      #3
      Steven Nice Write Up

      Great job , yes as Outback, Chipotle is certainly favored by the public......those high calorie, fatty foods are just great for the stockholders, cardiologists and funeral directors, as they all get a piece of the action LOL!
      All the newly obese are going to Bankrupt the OMAMA HEALTHCARE PROGRAM. My simple solution would be to slap a small tax on the fatty products those restaurants sell , and then utilize the money collected to finance healthcare. We definitely did not need that MONSTER 2000 page plus bill whose contents still remain a mystery!
      Nevertheless , Steven BRAVO on a great start, and hey after a few of those Burritos you may even kick your dad's AS* in a wrestling match LOL!
      Think about it ....when Obama's Immigration plan is fianlly passed by the gansters in the house and senate , and 12 million illegal aliens finally become legal , the MAD rush to Chipotle will really kick into high gear,and as they begin sucking down those burritos , The CMG stock price will go through the proverbial roof!
      Last edited by Peter Hansen; 09-02-2010, 10:25 AM.

      Comment

      • peanuts
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2006
        • 3365

        #4
        Nice pick and write-up. I've been eyeing CMG the whole time that it has crept higher and higher. I've been waiting for a decent pullback, but missed that opportunity back in July. Perhaps I should be brave like you and just belly up to the counter with an order for some burrito stock.
        Hide not your talents.
        They for use were made.
        What's a sundial in the shade?

        - Benjamin Franklin

        Comment

        • jiesen
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2003
          • 5319

          #5
          great writeup, Steven! It's makin' me crave a big ol' burrito right now... mmm, burritos...

          think I missed the boat on the stock tho, but if it pulls back into the 150's again I may bite.

          Comment

          • Aaron
            Junior Member
            • Feb 2009
            • 22

            #6
            Nice writeup Steven! Best wishes to you at Rutgers...!

            Comment

            • buckhunter
              Member
              • Jun 2009
              • 81

              #7
              Great pick, Steven

              Excellent job filling in for your Dad. I see that CMG hit your target price for a brief time today. You're definitely a (tortilla) chip off the ol' block!

              Comment

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