I have 22 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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TC:
Sold the last of the position bought in May for 3.82
Sold @ 3.88
Gain of 1.57% or 1.14% of capital.
Getting out for year end to keep things simple.
It is hard to find the Truth when you start your search with a preconceived notion of what the Truth will be.
ANF: Sold @ 47.55
Gain of 3.98% or 0.45% of Capital.
There you have it Boys and Girls; A years worth of trading.
Worked out to exactly 100 trades.
34 winners
47 losers
19 break-even (worked out to +0.01% of capital)
Gain for the year worked out to 7.55%
My winners were only 1.9% greater than my losers.(I plan for at least 3 times greater) This was mainly caused by taking the portfolio to cash when I wasn’t able to access the internet.
I did cut back on the amount I was willing to risk on each trade during a losing streak(10 losses in a row) and am slowly working my way back up.
It was a tough year for trading. One of the poor years you have to expect from time to time and fortunately I have had much better years and have a cash reserve to live off.
I accomplished goal #1 I preserved my capital.
I fell short of goal # 2 which was to handily our perform my dividend account.
I won’t be posting trades next year. I started posting for a couple reasons. Mainly for discipline. Posting to a forum makes it tougher to ignore your own plan. Having to explain why you said you would do something and then didn’t, even to people you don’t know, seems to be quite a motivator to stick to the plan. Secondly to show that trading in and out of the market is an option for investors. I’m not sure I convinced anyone but 7.5% return (Taxed as capital gains) is better than a savings account.
Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas and the best over the holidays.
It is hard to find the Truth when you start your search with a preconceived notion of what the Truth will be.
Deaddog,
Good job. I'm sure most would be thrilled with 7.55% .We've all learned from this year and have to believe things will get better. If we stick to our plans we'll eventually hit the big year.
Free online storage and sharing with Screencast.com. 2 GB of storage and 2 GB of bandwidth per month for free. We won't compress, alter or take ownership of your content.
It opens in my computer but not sure anyone else can open the link.
Appreciate some feedback. Thanks
It is hard to find the Truth when you start your search with a preconceived notion of what the Truth will be.
Free online storage and sharing with Screencast.com. 2 GB of storage and 2 GB of bandwidth per month for free. We won't compress, alter or take ownership of your content.
It opens in my computer but not sure anyone else can open the link.
Appreciate some feedback. Thanks
Deaddog, Link works fine. You sure don't take big losses or big gains. Why don't you hold longer ?
Deaddog, Link works fine. You sure don't take big losses or big gains. Why don't you hold longer ?
---------------billy
Billy; thanks for the feedback. New program to take screenshots and I wasn’t sure how it would work.
Why don’t I hold stocks longer? Mostly because I trade for income and I don’t get any income if I don’t sell.
I try and take small bites out of the market. Lots of little bites add up to a mouthful eventually. I endeavor to keep losses small to protect my capital. No capital. No income!!
I’m looking for a return that is 3 times my risk. (Risk = difference between where I enter and where I place my stop) So if my risk is a ½% move my target is only a 1 ½% move. That doesn’t seem like much but it adds up over a number of trades.
I size my trades as a percentage of my capital. Right now I’m risking less than ½ %. The column on the spreadsheet that is most important is the last one. That is realized gain as a percentage of the capital in my account.
Once a position gets near my target I tighten up the stop so that I realize some profit.
May was a pretty good month. If I could make 6% every month I’d have returns of 72%/year which would make me very happy.
This morning I bought AOL @ 34.77 and PCL @ 48.48
It is hard to find the Truth when you start your search with a preconceived notion of what the Truth will be.
Now I sees. You are basically day trading except you are "lazy" and let your stops do the work for you. And you are not, most probably, technically a day trader. For the small percentage you make/lose on each trade, you might be doing better by really dt'ing, make your percentage by 10AM, go out golfing for the rest of the day with loose change in your pockets. Not being critical here at all. You're comfortable with what you're doing, more power to you. (lol, my turn )
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