HCI Sold ==> 25 Winners in a row

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    HCI Sold ==> 25 Winners in a row

    As Peter Griffin would say, “Why are we not funding this?”. If the government invested its borrowed debt in $$$MR. MARKET$$$ stocks, the national debt would go away in no time. Today I sold HCI at 48.43. That’s a 16% gain over my purchase price of 41.73 back on October 18. That’s right, in only one month, I made 16% on this stock pick. That’s an annualized gain of 189%.

    Did you do that? You? YOU? YOU??? I said I would make 15% in four to six weeks. You? YOU? YOU??? You sees how HUGE I am? Over the same period, the S&P 500 was up 3%. Not so HUGE. Which is better, 16% or 3%. Do you know the answer to that?

    That makes 25 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. I keep picking winners. You? YOU? YOU?? Bring me your finest meats and cheeses!! I am amazing and awesome and cool. If I put an expletive in front of this description, I would make myself even HUGER, but that wouldn’t be nice to say in front of children.

    I am HUGE! When $$$MR. MARKET$$$ throws trash away, it is already recycled. He won the world series of poker using UNO cards. Bigfoot tries to capture photos of $$$MR. MARKET$$$. He once had an awkward moment, just to see how it feels. On every continent in the world, there is a sandwich named after him. He tips an astonishing 100%. Once while sailing around the world, he discovered a short cut.

    You have to understand how HUGE I am. So, why don’t you let me hear it. Post on the forum. Tell a friend about the site. Respond to this email. Or, make a small donation of your profit to www.dereksdreams.com

    Do you want to see another stock pick? Let me hear you!

    I am HUGE!

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$

    ================================================== ==================================
    10-19-2013, 01:13 AM #1 mrmarket's Avatar mrmarket mrmarket is online now
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    Default HCI ==> The Waterbury Winner
    $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.

    So you drive to fast and you smash your car. No problem, your insurance company fixes it. Then you text when you drive and you smash into the guy in front of you. No problem, your insurance company fixes it. Then you get your new insurance bill and your premiums have gone up. Errrrr. Then your insurance agent calls you and says you no longer can renew your policy with them. Then you have to get insurance with Progressive and you pay a bazillion dollars for insurance and you start driving an old car so you can afford the insurance payment.

    What’s the point here? The point is that the insurance companies always win. They raise your premiums to cover your losses. Now think about this. What if the insurance company jacks up your premiums and they don’t have to pay out any losses? They not only make money. They make a TON of money.
    Now let’s go down to Florida. Here is a list of the most recent major hurricanes to hit Florida:

    Charley 4 August 13 2004 130 Cayo Costa
    Punta Gorda
    Frances 2 September 5 2004 105 Sewall's Point, Florida
    Ivan 3 September 16 2004 105 Gulf Shores, Alabama
    Jeanne 3 September 26 2004 105 Hutchinson Island
    Dennis 3 July 10 2005 105 Santa Rosa Island
    Katrina 3 August 23 2005 105 Hallandale/Miramar FL
    Wilma 3 October 24 2005 105 Cape Romano

    What do you notice about this list? There were 7 major hurricanes from 2004/2005. After that, insurance companies in Florida raised their premiums like nobody’s business if you wanted to own a home there. The people gladly paid because they were all faceful and nervous that their houses would get all destroyed without insurance. Now guess what…there hasn’t been a hurricane there in 8 years. Now I don’t want to jinx anyone, but the Florida insurance companies have paid out squat in claims and they are raking in the premiums..CAN’T LOSE! CAN’T LOSE!!!

    Today I bought stock in HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) at 41.73. I will sell it in 4 – 6 weeks at 48.18. Here’s why I like HCI:



    Yes that is right. This stock is up 77% over the last 52 weeks. What’s even better is that it’s PE is only 9. What’s even better is that it pays a 2.9% dividend. You’re making money all kinds of ways when you own this stock. I love this stock.

    Today, HCI Group announced that its board has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend in the amount of 27.5c per common share for Q4, which represents a 22.2% increase over the previous quarterly rate of 22.5c per share. The dividend will be paid Dec. 20 to shareholders of record on the close of business Nov. 15. I love this board!

    HCI Group, Inc. provides property and casualty insurance products in Florida. It operates through Insurance Operations and Other Operations segments. The company offers property and casualty insurance to homeowners, condominium owners, and tenants. It also leases office or retail space; and owns and operates one full-service restaurant and two marinas. In addition, the company offers Exzeo, a Web-based application that enables integration between organizations, co-workers, and business partners. Its Exzeo enables users to manage projects through communication and collaboration with other participants in a real-time work environment.

    Now I don’t get the thing about the full service restaurant and the two marinas, but I think that’s because the guy that runs this company likes to park his boats there and have a drink or three at his restaurant.

    What’s important here is that it’s already October and there are zero hurricanes in 2013. That means that there will be no property damage to worry about until at least next June. Meanwhile, they will be cashing their insurance premiums checks like a slot machine. Ka Ching Ka Ching Ka Ching!!!

    HCI Group has recorded strong revenue and EPS growth, during the last year, the last three years and the last five years. Why? No hurricanes in 8 years.


    On August 01, HCI Group reported its second-quarter financial results, which beat EPS expectations by $0.18. The company reported income available to common stockholders in the second quarter of 2013 totaled $16.2 million or $1.40 diluted earnings per common share, an improvement from $7.2 million or $0.74 diluted earnings per common share in the second quarter of 2012. Gross premiums earned in the second quarter of 2013 increased 52.4% to $82.0 million from $53.8 million in the same period in 2012.

    HCI has recorded very strong revenue and EPS growth. The company is rich in cash ($26 a share) and has a low debt . That’s why they can boost their dividend payment. It’s easy. The suckers in Florida pay high insurance premiums, and we get their cash. It’s a shakedown. They are renewing their policies at a 90% rate. They love HCI. They love to give me money.

    If you’re worried about the storm finally coming, I’m not. First of all, they won’t get one til June 2014 at the earliest, and I’ll be out of this stock by then for sure. Second, they can buy reinsurance for a lot cheaper than people are paying them premiums, so they are kind of hedged just in case. Homeowners Choice’s reinsurance program transfers catastrophic risk to 27 highly-rated or fully collateralized reinsurance partners. These guys were underreinsured for the last couple of years, so they gambled and won. Now they are playing with house monies and they are hedged.

    It’s like having a 16 and drawing a 5, even if the dealer has a 10 showing. You have drinking machine…can’t lose. CAN’T LOSE!! They have 23 consecutive quarters of profitability and 12 consecutive quarters of shareholder dividends.

    HCI’s highly-selective underwriting process determines the best properties to insure. They have proprietary algorithms analyze 48 data points to determine if a
    particular policy meets their rigorous standards.

    Between 2002-2010, four large national insurance companies (representing 75% of the market) exited the state of Florida. These cowards left the door wide open for HCI. HCI is now the #4 ranked insurer in the state of Florida, with a 3% market share. Their goal is to have 5%. That’s where the growth is going to come from.

    These guys are also leveraging their knowledge base into the real estate business. Greenleaf Capital, an HCI division, holds and manages our real estate investment portfolio currently comprised of…
    · Two Class A office buildings with more than
    · 130,000 square feet of space
    · 19 acres of waterfront property in Tierra
    · Verde & Treasure Island on Florida’s Gulf coast

    Plans to grow Greenleaf’s holdings to more than $100M. Investment philosophy seeks capital appreciation through opportunistic transactions.
    They are reinvesting these premiums wisely and should benefit from the rising interest rate environment.

    I know I will benefit from the tepid weather environment. The only Hurricanes in Florida play for the University of Miami!

    I am HUGE!

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$

    www.mrmarketishuge.com

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.
    Last edited by mrmarket; 11-03-2013 at 11:24 AM.
    Last edited by mrmarket; 11-22-2013, 11:08 PM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • billyjoe
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2003
    • 9014

    #2
    Mr. Market you are Huge and so is HCI. This run is just beginning and a person buying today would not be disappointed.

    ----------------billy

    Comment

    • Skrumpa
      Member
      • Apr 2011
      • 78

      #3
      Another winner with 15% in 4 weeks.... Nice !!!!

      Some people would be happy making 15% per year....

      Comment

      • antioch6
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2013
        • 411

        #4
        classic trade congrats

        Comment

        • Skrumpa
          Member
          • Apr 2011
          • 78

          #5
          Also add in a dividend of .275 per share. The X-date was 11/13/13 with a payday of 12/20/13 !!!!

          Comment

          • mrmarket
            Administrator
            • Sep 2003
            • 5971

            #6
            Geeeez...you'd think after this winner, I'd get a few more attaboys? Maybe the goldfish are getting fat and I should stop feeding them. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ needs some love!
            =============================

            I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

            - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

            Comment

            • billyjoe
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 9014

              #7
              Mr.Market, My grand daughter agrees with this baby. More Mr.Market picks for baby's college fund ! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQEV_2HD7X0


              ------------------------billy

              Comment

              • riverbabe
                Senior Member
                • May 2005
                • 3373

                #8
                I was away for a day and missed the 15% high. Still waiting for it to hit again. Fantastic pick Mr. Huge. Thankyou!

                Comment

                • riverbabe
                  Senior Member
                  • May 2005
                  • 3373

                  #9
                  Billy, keep growing that fund! It doesn't stop after college. My oldest is getting Google Glass from Santa this year!

                  Comment

                  • jiesen
                    Senior Member
                    • Sep 2003
                    • 5319

                    #10
                    Great pick, and great timing on that one, $$MM!!! I'm still waiting for HCI to get back up to 48 so I can cash out with my 15%!
                    You are HUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGEEEEE!!!!!

                    Comment

                    • tiedyed1
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2009
                      • 599

                      #11
                      I had toasted oh HUGE one with the finest meats, wine and cheese in the other HCI thread, but reiterate that the word huge is so inappropriately small when measuring the massiveness of these picks.
                      Keep on keepin' on;
                      -Adam

                      P.s. Has anyone though about trading HCI? This price action up/down is tempting to buy again on dips at 26.

                      Comment

                      • billyjoe
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2003
                        • 9014

                        #12
                        tiedyed, I don't think we'll see any dips to 26. It's been 6 months nearly straight up since 26. I'm thinking we'll see 60 before 26.

                        ---------------------billy

                        Comment

                        • jiesen
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 5319

                          #13
                          I think he means 46...

                          Comment

                          • riverbabe
                            Senior Member
                            • May 2005
                            • 3373

                            #14
                            I got my 15%! Thank you again! Will buy again on tech. pullback. (But not 26. LOL)

                            Comment

                            • tiedyed1
                              Senior Member
                              • Jun 2009
                              • 599

                              #15
                              Ha. I was typing on my tablet and not paying as much attention.
                              Yes, I meant under 46 or lower and trade it (in lieu of waiting for 15%) as it does show to have some jumpy fast moves while on its way up.

                              Comment

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