The sky is falling!!

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  • Louetta
    replied
    Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
    You can always tell a Harvard person..you just can't tell them much.
    Don't knock Harvard. The athletic department provided me with a lifetime supply of black bras. (The rowers still wear Radcliffe's black shirts.)

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  • mrmarket
    replied
    Originally posted by Louetta View Post
    Corollary To Rule #1: The NASDAQ hit its all-time high when I was in high school. I will be thirty in June.
    Corollary To Rule #2: In the last century people said what's good for GM is good for America. In this century they filed for bankruptcy protection.
    Corollary To Rule #3: Buy a house first.
    Corollary To Rule #4: I own a high tech stock, am short bonds, own shipping stocks and a marijuana related stock. On some days recently all these positions have lost money.
    Corollary To Rule #5: What you want has nothing to do with it.
    You can always tell a Harvard person..you just can't tell them much.

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  • Louetta
    replied
    Originally posted by riverbabe View Post

    ... snip ...

    Louetta, I also am short bonds via a bear ETF (TBT).
    I have in the money Leaps with TBT and TMV.

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  • riverbabe
    replied
    Seabric, good luck, and may the market gods bless you.

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  • seabric1
    replied
    Thank you all for the feedback. Really appreciate it.

    I'm 35, own a house, have a separate 401K retirement fund and invest a small amount of money on the side for fun -- a hobby i'm really starting to enjoy actually. I know it's taboo to talk actual dollars, but if for some insane reason i lost everything in my Scottrade account, i would probably drop a few expletives, have a few drinks and then move on with my life. I'm ridiculously conservative with money (i.e. penny pincher). One day i'll probably give the money to my daughter (car, college, wedding, etc).

    That said, i HATE losing money... so I want a good strategy to follow. BillyJoe and RiverBabe: your comment on high dividend stocks hit home a bit. I'm starting to really favor stocks that pay.

    For example, I took a huge hit with HCLP this month. Bought it at 70 and now it's in the low 40s. However, I didn't sell because the dividend is decent, earnings are great and I think the industry is pretty solid. Excited to see where that one will go 10 years from now. However, if that stock didn't pay a dividend, i'm not sure how i would have reacted.

    Where i'm leaning now: For non-dividend stocks, I may follow the canslim method to the letter... try it for a while. For dividend stocks like HCLP, that are maybe going through some short term jitters, i may hold them during down times. Interesting stuff.

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  • riverbabe
    replied
    Originally posted by billyjoe View Post
    I did a backtest using high dividend stocks where all dividends were reinvested over a 5 year time span. It was very profitable not to sell these during market downturns. A similar back test with non dividend paying stocks didn't fare so well. The difference in return was over 70% in favor of the dividend payers. As a result I'm holding a bunch during this correction and selling the non payers.

    --------------------billy
    I'm with you billy. I have owned the high dividend-yield stocks for many years and have no intention of selling them here. I currently have 9 divi stocks of my 14 IRA stocks. Also I have gold, silver and oil (not doing well now, but not too badly) and they still have potential to turn around, depending on the dollar and global issues. Also one non-performing telecom. But am pondering whether to sell them here to raise cash to buy the bottom probably coming in the next 2 weeks. Looking at stocks with the best potential to recover quickly -- AAPL, MGA, POL, R, EA, SKX, etc.

    Seabric, as a corollary to "Rule 3" how old are you? Do you have 10 years to wait? If yes, sell your likely under-performers, buy AAPL, INTC, AMZN, GOOG now, put them out of sight and sit on them. FWIW. As for Canslim, there is a MrM thread somewhere here with lots of valuable (um, "questioning") opinions. Most of us here are Canslim vets. (Especially IIC (Doug)).

    Louetta, I also am short bonds via a bear ETF (TBT).
    Last edited by riverbabe; 10-12-2014, 12:01 PM.

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  • billyjoe
    replied
    I did a backtest using high dividend stocks where all dividends were reinvested over a 5 year time span. It was very profitable not to sell these during market downturns. A similar back test with non dividend paying stocks didn't fare so well. The difference in return was over 70% in favor of the dividend payers. As a result I'm holding a bunch during this correction and selling the non payers.

    --------------------billy

    Leave a comment:


  • Phoenix7
    replied
    Originally posted by Louetta View Post
    Corollary To Rule #1: The NASDAQ hit its all-time high when I was in high school. I will be thirty in June.
    Corollary To Rule #2: In the last century people said what's good for GM is good for America. In this century they filed for bankruptcy protection.
    Corollary To Rule #3: Buy a house first.
    Corollary To Rule #4: I own a high tech stock, am short bonds, own shipping stocks and a marijuana related stock. On some days recently all these positions have lost money.
    Corollary To Rule #5: What you want has nothing to do with it.
    "Nothing Is Predetermined Or Fore Ordained. Your Mental Attitude i.e., The Way You Think And Feel And Believe Determines Your Destiny" Napoleon Hill

    " Every Day, Every Few Hours , See Your Vision Materializing" Sly Stallone

    "You Must Always Keep A mental Image Of Your Goal" Chuck Norris

    Leave a comment:


  • Louetta
    replied
    Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
    Rule #1 - in the long run, the stock market always goes up.
    Rule #2 - buy stocks which outperform the market
    Rule #3 - Don't invest money that you need in 10 years.
    Rule #4 - Stay diversified

    If you stick to the first 4 rules, then....

    Rule #5 - You never need to sell when you don't want to.
    Corollary To Rule #1: The NASDAQ hit its all-time high when I was in high school. I will be thirty in June.
    Corollary To Rule #2: In the last century people said what's good for GM is good for America. In this century they filed for bankruptcy protection.
    Corollary To Rule #3: Buy a house first.
    Corollary To Rule #4: I own a high tech stock, am short bonds, own shipping stocks and a marijuana related stock. On some days recently all these positions have lost money.
    Corollary To Rule #5: What you want has nothing to do with it.

    Leave a comment:


  • mrmarket
    replied
    Originally posted by seabric1 View Post
    I figure this is the appropriate thread to post this question: When the sky is falling, when do you decide to sell a stock?

    I only read one book on trading Stocks -- William O'Neil's How to Make Money in Stocks. This is pretty much the CANSLIM system and it teaches to sell at a 7% - 8% loss no matter what. The thought is: you picked a stock and guessed wrong, so get out quickly. I really like the CANSLIM philosophy, but for some reason I can't adhere to this rule. What do you folks do?

    Rule #1 - in the long run, the stock market always goes up.
    Rule #2 - buy stocks which outperform the market
    Rule #3 - Don't invest money that you need in 10 years.
    Rule #4 - Stay diversified

    If you stick to the first 4 rules, then....

    Rule #5 - You never need to sell when you don't want to.

    Leave a comment:


  • seabric1
    replied
    I figure this is the appropriate thread to post this question: When the sky is falling, when do you decide to sell a stock?

    I only read one book on trading Stocks -- William O'Neil's How to Make Money in Stocks. This is pretty much the CANSLIM system and it teaches to sell at a 7% - 8% loss no matter what. The thought is: you picked a stock and guessed wrong, so get out quickly. I really like the CANSLIM philosophy, but for some reason I can't adhere to this rule. What do you folks do?

    Leave a comment:


  • Lucavia123
    replied
    I think this market has given me whiplash. Where's the volume in this sell-off?

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  • jiesen
    replied
    good call on the LAD, $$MM!!! (I should have bought me some, too, but I chickened out)

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  • mrmarket
    replied
    I bought some HOS Dec 34 calls and also bought some LAD March 85 calls...this is candy from babies. What a sucker selloff

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  • riverbabe
    replied
    Learned a new word today -- "algo-bot" -- what apparently took the market down yesterday.
    Last edited by riverbabe; 10-02-2014, 07:53 AM.

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