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Many of you have wondered. How does $$$MR. MARKET$$$ do vs. the overall market. Well here you have it:
STOCK DATE IN DATE OUT PAID SOLD GAIN S&P500
DHOM 01-08-02 1/30/2002 15.3 17.75 16% -4%
GNWR 01-03-02 04-09-02 21.38 24.8 16% -4%
SAH 1/31/2002 04-09-02 28.05 32.49 16% -1%
ANH 01-10-02 4/22/2002 9.73 11.3 16% -4%
GAN 04-09-02 05-01-02 56.2 65.09 16% -18%
RYL 04-10-02 05-03-02 100.35 116.17 16% -5%
JOSB 05-08-02 5/17/2002 20.58 24.11 17% 2%
MHK 2/20/2002 5/20/2002 60 69.66 16% -1%
TENT 5/14/2002 5/21/2002 13.67 15.88 16% -2%
HAMP 6/18/2002 07-09-02 21.89 25.35 16% -8%
RATE 01-09-03 1/13/2003 4.3 5.14 20% 0%
LCI 1/24/2003 02-06-03 20 23.4 17% -3%
ODFL 01-03-03 04-03-03 29.05 33.77 16% -4%
AVD 8/19/2002 4/14/2003 15.07 17.58 17% -7%
QSII 2/25/2003 05-06-03 26.14 32.1 23% 11%
JFBC 01-02-03 5/21/2003 50.9 59.46 17% 2%
LEND 5/19/2003 5/27/2003 13.75 16.47 20% 3%
PORT 02-07-03 06-02-03 46.85 53.67 15% 17%
NFI 5/27/2003 06-05-03 51.45 59.45 16% 4%
DRL 04-07-03 06-06-03 37.7 44.02 17% 12%
HITK 05-07-03 6/16/2003 37.16 45.6 23% 9%
OHB 5/21/2002 6/17/2003 9.92 12.01 21% -6%
FBC 06-06-03 6/26/2003 20.85 24.24 16% 0%
MBT 05-02-03 6/26/2003 48.5 57.04 18% 6%
VNBC 04-12-03 6/30/2003 18.89 21.96 16% 12%
SSYS 6/19/2003 07-07-03 33.35 38.9 17% 1%
ACMR 4/22/2002 7/14/2003 22.01 25.46 16% -9%
UTSI 07-03-03 7/16/2003 36.28 41.95 16% 1%
FCFS 07-08-03 7/21/2003 16.3 18.84 16% -3%
FRED 05-02-02 08-01-03 26.23 30.29 15% -10%
SFCC 7/30/2003 09-02-03 26.01 31 19% 5%
ESI 08-07-03 09-12-03 39.59 46.38 17% 5%
MDC 07-10-02 10-01-03 46.59 54.25 16% 11%
COH 06-09-03 10/14/03 25.75 30.21 17% 7%
ARO 10-03-03 10/14/03 28.9 33.62 16% 2%
NARA 7/25/2003 10/16/03 18.91 21.94 16% 5%
DKS 7/29/2003 10/29/03 39.99 47.21 18% 6%
WRLD 06-03-03 10/29/03 14.43 18.63 29% 8%
WLS 10/16/03 10/29/03 54.1 62.76 16% 0%
GRMN 5/23/03 10/29/03 45.91 53 15% 12%
JBSS 10/24/03 10/30/03 28.37 34.13 20% 2%
FINL 9/29/03 11-03-03 27.13 31.39 16% 5%
CLSR 10/31/03 11/24/03 30.47 35.14 15% 0%
AMHC 7/14/03 11/28/03 41 47.96 17% 5%
AXL 5/20/02 12/29/03 34.73 40.25 16% 2%
WSBK 11/26/03 12/30/03 15.75 18.95 20% 5%
KSWS 12/18/03 01-07-04 23.8 27.6 16% 3%
CCBI 11-05-03 01-12-04 20.2 23.3 15% 7%
HELE 09-02-03 1/13/04 24.13 29.4 22% 10%
Of my last 49 trades, 48 of them beat the S&P 500 during the same period. In fact, in 20 of these trades of 15% or better, the S&P 500 was actually flat or declined in value. Am I just lucky? Some people like to say "Don't confuse brains with a bull market." However, it looks like my model beats the market in both bull and bear circumstances.
So what would YOU conclude from this?
STOCK DATE IN DATE OUT PAID SOLD GAIN S&P500
DHOM 01-08-02 1/30/2002 15.3 17.75 16% -4%
GNWR 01-03-02 04-09-02 21.38 24.8 16% -4%
SAH 1/31/2002 04-09-02 28.05 32.49 16% -1%
ANH 01-10-02 4/22/2002 9.73 11.3 16% -4%
GAN 04-09-02 05-01-02 56.2 65.09 16% -18%
RYL 04-10-02 05-03-02 100.35 116.17 16% -5%
JOSB 05-08-02 5/17/2002 20.58 24.11 17% 2%
MHK 2/20/2002 5/20/2002 60 69.66 16% -1%
TENT 5/14/2002 5/21/2002 13.67 15.88 16% -2%
HAMP 6/18/2002 07-09-02 21.89 25.35 16% -8%
RATE 01-09-03 1/13/2003 4.3 5.14 20% 0%
LCI 1/24/2003 02-06-03 20 23.4 17% -3%
ODFL 01-03-03 04-03-03 29.05 33.77 16% -4%
AVD 8/19/2002 4/14/2003 15.07 17.58 17% -7%
QSII 2/25/2003 05-06-03 26.14 32.1 23% 11%
JFBC 01-02-03 5/21/2003 50.9 59.46 17% 2%
LEND 5/19/2003 5/27/2003 13.75 16.47 20% 3%
PORT 02-07-03 06-02-03 46.85 53.67 15% 17%
NFI 5/27/2003 06-05-03 51.45 59.45 16% 4%
DRL 04-07-03 06-06-03 37.7 44.02 17% 12%
HITK 05-07-03 6/16/2003 37.16 45.6 23% 9%
OHB 5/21/2002 6/17/2003 9.92 12.01 21% -6%
FBC 06-06-03 6/26/2003 20.85 24.24 16% 0%
MBT 05-02-03 6/26/2003 48.5 57.04 18% 6%
VNBC 04-12-03 6/30/2003 18.89 21.96 16% 12%
SSYS 6/19/2003 07-07-03 33.35 38.9 17% 1%
ACMR 4/22/2002 7/14/2003 22.01 25.46 16% -9%
UTSI 07-03-03 7/16/2003 36.28 41.95 16% 1%
FCFS 07-08-03 7/21/2003 16.3 18.84 16% -3%
FRED 05-02-02 08-01-03 26.23 30.29 15% -10%
SFCC 7/30/2003 09-02-03 26.01 31 19% 5%
ESI 08-07-03 09-12-03 39.59 46.38 17% 5%
MDC 07-10-02 10-01-03 46.59 54.25 16% 11%
COH 06-09-03 10/14/03 25.75 30.21 17% 7%
ARO 10-03-03 10/14/03 28.9 33.62 16% 2%
NARA 7/25/2003 10/16/03 18.91 21.94 16% 5%
DKS 7/29/2003 10/29/03 39.99 47.21 18% 6%
WRLD 06-03-03 10/29/03 14.43 18.63 29% 8%
WLS 10/16/03 10/29/03 54.1 62.76 16% 0%
GRMN 5/23/03 10/29/03 45.91 53 15% 12%
JBSS 10/24/03 10/30/03 28.37 34.13 20% 2%
FINL 9/29/03 11-03-03 27.13 31.39 16% 5%
CLSR 10/31/03 11/24/03 30.47 35.14 15% 0%
AMHC 7/14/03 11/28/03 41 47.96 17% 5%
AXL 5/20/02 12/29/03 34.73 40.25 16% 2%
WSBK 11/26/03 12/30/03 15.75 18.95 20% 5%
KSWS 12/18/03 01-07-04 23.8 27.6 16% 3%
CCBI 11-05-03 01-12-04 20.2 23.3 15% 7%
HELE 09-02-03 1/13/04 24.13 29.4 22% 10%
Of my last 49 trades, 48 of them beat the S&P 500 during the same period. In fact, in 20 of these trades of 15% or better, the S&P 500 was actually flat or declined in value. Am I just lucky? Some people like to say "Don't confuse brains with a bull market." However, it looks like my model beats the market in both bull and bear circumstances.
So what would YOU conclude from this?
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