SSNC ==> The President's Day Winner

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    SSNC ==> The President's Day Winner

    Did you ever wonder what those big institutional hedge fund and money managers do all day? They sit up there on their fat asses and try to make a market call and then they get all nervous when the market moves against them and then they sell. They’d be really happy if no one knew about their idiotic mistake and their more idiotic cowardly exit. The bad news for them is that there is very good software out there that tracks all this stuff. SS&C Technologies is an IT company that helps money makers make money. If they were smart they would just tell their clients to trust MM and follow his teachings. 35% year over year returns for a decade make MM the Warren Buffet of the 21st Century.

    Today I bought SSNC at 44.40. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at 51.22. Here’s why I like SSNC:

    SSNC stock is up 352% in the last 12 months. That’s almost 1% per day. Yeeee hAAAA….that’s some bad ass momentum. All I humbly ask for is another 15%. True.. its PE multiple is up there at 49, but at this kind of momentum it’s hard for the earnings to keep up since they only get reported every 3 months. This is not vaporware….SSNC is a legitimate business with established sales and earnings. Either way, they don’t report until April, and I’m sure I’ll be long gone on this baby by then.

    SS&C is a leading provider of application software for the commercial lending industry and real estate property managers. SS&C is a world wide leader delivering value-driven solutions to the financial institution marketplace. Currently used by nearly 2,000 financial institutions, these Internet-based financial information tools help regional banks, community banks, credit unions and other financial institutions effectively measure, analyze, and manage balance sheets and investment portfolios. SS&C's investment management solutions deliver integrated multi-currency portfolio management, financial and partnership accounting functionality while addressing the hedge and private wealth fund requirements for handling complex securities, sophisticated investment strategies, multi-tiered ownership structures, global investments, and increasing regulatory demands that characterize this market. SS&C is a leading supplier of technology solutions and services to the insurance industry. Their 500-plus global insurance client base includes many of the largest and most prestigious name in the industry. SS&C is the leading provider of financial software for fixed income analysis in municipal finance. Approximately 75% of all annual negotiated new issuances of municipal bonds are structured using our DBC software. DBC products are widely used for structuring general obligation and revenue bond issues, including asset-backed housing and student loan securitizations.

    SSNC’s customers are all monkey see monkey do. That’s how SAP became so popular. All the CEO’s will go to cocktail parties and they’ll hoist their martinis and say, “We have all the new SS&C Technologies software. You? YOU? YOU!!!???”. Then the other CEO’s are all faceful and they run out and buy the software even though they don’t know what it is. SSNC’s COO paints a clearer picture, “Our sales strategy is simply that our products work. By pointing out the functional strengths of our software, we have been able to post a number of substantial wins and take clients away from competitors."

    SSNC also makes Advisorware: AdvisorWare supports investment firms with sophisticated global investment, trading and management concerns, and/or complex financial, tax, partnership, and allocation reporting requirements. It delivers comprehensive multi-currency investment management, financial, contact management and partnership accounting in a Straight-Through Processing (STP) environment. Sorry, but what it does not do is teach these bozos how to pick stocks. Only $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is the best stock picker on the planet, and I’m going to stay that way. Clients were using the company's products to manage in the aggregate over $4 trillion in assets as of year-end 2002. You think they could find a way to send some of that rounding error over my way? Remember in Superman 3 when Richard Prior was a computer programmer and he figured out a way to have all the pennies that were rounded off in people’s paychecks transferred to his bank account?

    So how does SSNC turn this expertise into cold hard cash? Let’s take a look at how they are doing, shall we? In the last two years, revenues have grown about 10% per year to $65 million. Now this isn’t that great, but their real earnings come from the service that they provide, creating a renewable revenue stream. The company offers a range of professional services to assist clients in implementing its software products, including the initial installation of the system, conversion of historical data, and ongoing training and support. SSNC's consulting team works closely with the client to ensure smooth transition and operation of SSNC's systems. “What’s that Mr. Blowhard? You can’t figure out how your trading system works? No problem, we’ll be right out to your office. Would you mind signing this invoice first?” SSNC provides each of its significant clients with a dedicated client support team whose primary responsibility is to resolve questions and concerns. Direct telephone support is provided during extended business hours, and additional hours are available during peak periods. Next thing you know, there is a SSNC employee with an office on site who spends all day in the men’s room looking at spank magazines.

    Get the picture? While their revenues have only grown at a 10% clip, earnings over the same period expanded by 115% per year. How can this happen?? Gross margins are 73%....73%!!! So almost all of every incremental buck that they make is headed right for the bottom line.

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$ expects this awesome value added service to customers to continue. I almost pissed my pants when I saw that ANALysts have pegged SSNC to net $1.10/share for 2004. Baa haa haa! Are you KIDDING ME??? $$$MR. MARKET$$$ sees 2004 revenues at $80 million and this will allow them to pocket $1.35/share. At today’s P/E of 49, this translates to a stock price of $66.15, which is well past my sell target.

    SSNC’s machine is running at a solid 20.5% ROE vs. the industry ROE of 13.6%. They have no LT Debt, funding all of their R&D with cash flow. This shows management confidence in the quality of their earnings since they can’t afford to choke off their life blood which is their R&D. These guys are so cocky about their cash flow, they even started paying a dividend!

    Last week they announced a 3 for 2 stock split. Then they pay a cash dividend on top of that. More and more quatloops. This is insane! Here’s what the boss says. SS&C Chairman and CEO Bill Stone commented, "The Board's decision to approve this stock split is in response to our solid financial performance, our strong balance sheet and the increase in the market price for the Company's common stock. The split will reduce the price per share and is intended to broaden the stockholder base and increase the availability of shares for trading. The cash dividend, which we instituted last August, will be reviewed later this year to ensure we are paying out an appropriate percentage of our earnings." This guy owns 36% of the stock, so paying a dividend is a good way for him to take a payday.


    He also said, “The strength of our management team, outstanding execution of our business plan and steadfast focus on our goals have helped us produce these strong results. We increased profits during each quarter of 2003, grew operating costs in check and broadened our market position and client base. In Q4, we hit another record high with our operating income at $6.0 million, up 31% from the record high of $4.6 million reached in Q3 '03 and up 50% over Q4 '02. Operating income for the year 2003 was $18.4 million, up 65% from $11.1 million in 2002. We continued to improve our recurring revenues with solid gains in outsourcing revenues. In Q4, outsourcing revenues were $3.6 million, a 21% increase over the $3.0 million posted in Q4 of 2002." SS&C has exceptional financial strength," said Stone. "We ended the year with a strong balance sheet, with $52.4 million in cash and marketable securities, and no debt. For the year, 2003 operating cash flow was $23.7 million, an increase of $8.2 million, or 53% over 2002." Wow..with this much success, maybe Bill Stone could be married to Sharon Stone, then maybe he would sleep later in the morning.

    Last July, this is what he said, “"At present, we expect Q3 2003 revenues to be in the range of $16 to $17 million and net income to be between $0.21 and $0.24 per diluted share," stated Stone. "For the full year 2003, our expectation is for revenue to be $65 to $68 million and we anticipate diluted earnings per share to be between $0.81 and $0.86." See? He was right on the money and even outdid his prediction. In this growing economy, with the market picking up, and Greenie being nice to us, the financial community is going to spend spend spend on software! There is no question whatsoever that they will beat their projected 2004 numbers quite handily.

    The best thing about SSNC is that they are located in Windsor, Connecticut. I destroyed millions of brains cells near there back in the early 80’s. Such forgettable watering holes such as the Bridges Inn, Katies Café, the Pumpernickel Pub and the I-190 were often frequented by a young $$$MR. MARKET$$$, in his futile attempt to convince fair lasses that, one day, he would be the best stock picker on the planet. Alas, all they saw was some lunkhead with 19” biceps sucking on Heineken bottles like he was trying out for the Varsity La Leche League team. Poor $$$MR. MARKET$$$ would go home licking his wounds. If they only knew….

    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  • #2
    That's a great pick.

    As I have written in here before, I picked it up at $$29.39 back on November 25th, 2003, based on my reserach into the many picks in your dump at the time. Quite profitable. Thanks a lot.

    I hope everyone picking it up now does as well as I have done. Good company.

    Comment

    • jiesen
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2003
      • 5320

      #3
      you are HUGE!!!!

      Just sold my SNCC for a 15% gain today. Not so big a gain as Kid's but, hey, I'm out in just 2 weeks! That's awesome...

      I'm hoping for a 2fer today, since my CFC is 13% and rising.

      Thanks, $$MM for this AWESOMELY HUGE pick!!!

      and GO CFC!

      Comment

      • mrmarket
        Administrator
        • Sep 2003
        • 5971

        #4
        Re: you are HUGE!!!!

        Originally posted by jiesen
        Just sold my SNCC for a 15% gain today. Not so big a gain as Kid's but, hey, I'm out in just 2 weeks! That's awesome...

        I'm hoping for a 2fer today, since my CFC is 13% and rising.

        Thanks, $$MM for this AWESOMELY HUGE pick!!!

        and GO CFC!
        did SSNC hit my target?? am I sleeeeeping again?
        =============================

        I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

        - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

        Comment

        • jiesen
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2003
          • 5320

          #5
          yes

          it sure did. 51.35 high for today. though it hit my target first, at 51.

          Limit orders, man, gotta love 'em.

          Comment


          • #6
            Great Pick MM

            Great pick $$MR MARKET$$!!! In and out in just two weeks with a 16% gain. I'll take those returns any day of the week, and twice on sundays.

            You are truly HUGE !!!

            Regards,

            Paul

            Comment


            • #7
              Another great pick Ernie, and what is even better, Karel didn't sleep at all He sold this beautifull stock for nice 16% profit. Your Hugeness rocks again! Thanks, Ton

              Comment

              • mrmarket
                Administrator
                • Sep 2003
                • 5971

                #8
                IBD Top 100 as of Feb 27, 2004:

                % Off Relative
                Rank Company Symbol Price High EPS Rtg Strength Rtg
                ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
                1 S S & C Technologies Inc SSNC 50.79 2 99 97
                2 Inter Parfums Inc IPAR 28 -13.6 98 96
                3 Aluminum Cp Of China Adr ACH 79.9 -5.3 97 96
                4 Wilshire State Bank Ca WSBK 25.19 -4.6 97 95
                5 Petroleum Dev Corp PETD 28.6 -2.7 96 97
                6 Arrhythmia Research Tech HRT 35.95 -25.3 94 99
                7 Bio Reference Labs Inc BRLI 18.94 -17.4 98 94
                8 Ultra Petroleum Corp UPL 29.16 3.4 98 93
                9 Tsakos Energy Navigation TNP 31.1 -2.8 98 92
                10 Fremont General Corp FMT 22.45 0 99 90
                11 Sanderson Farms Inc SAFM 35.35 -10.2 99 90
                12 Middleby Corp MIDD 40.95 -16.2 97 94
                13 Deckers Outdoor Corp DECK 26.3 -2.2 89 98
                14 Ceradyne Inc CRDN 36.5 -26.7 99 89
                15 Telemig Celular Part Ads TMB 40.25 -16.8 99 87
                16 First Cash Financial Svs FCFS 33.92 -2.8 93 92
                17 William Lyon Homes WLS 82 1.1 92 94
                18 Urban Outfitters Inc URBN 43.61 -4.1 92 93
                19 Mobile Telesystems Adr MBT 107.25 -1.8 99 85
                20 Synaptics Inc SYNA 18.27 -18.5 99 85
                21 Petrochina Co Ltd Adr PTR 53.36 -16.2 98 86
                22 Aeropostale Inc ARO 34.3 -3.3 98 85
                23 Nam Tai Electronics Inc NTE 27.75 -33.1 97 88
                24 Q L T Inc QLTI 23.6 -5.1 96 88
                25 Brookfield Homes Corp BHS 28.45 -10.5 99 82
                26 D R Horton Inc DHI 31.79 -1 99 82
                27 Petrokazakhstan Inc Cl A PKZ 25.55 -1.9 98 83
                28 Countrywide Financial CFC 91.63 0.7 98 82
                29 Navigant Consulting Inc NCI 19.48 -11.8 97 87
                30 Rocky Shoes & Boots Inc RCKY 20.96 -34.4 95 90
                31 Credit Acceptance Corp CACC 17.35 -5.7 95 85
                32 Stet Hellas Telecomm Ads STHLY 17.96 -10 95 85
                33 Noble Intl Ltd NOBL 22.99 -17.6 89 94
                34 Research In Motion Ltd RIMM 98.9 2.2 81 99
                35 T A S E R International TASR 54.45 -19.6 81 99
                36 Chicos Fas Inc CHS 42.75 -2 99 81
                37 Davita Inc DVA 45.51 -3.2 98 80
                38 Jos A Bank Clothiers Inc JOSB 33 -8.9 98 80
                39 Eon Labs Inc ELAB 57.9 -8.4 97 84
                40 Orleans Homebuilders Inc OHB 21.05 -39.9 97 83
                41 Dominion Homes Inc DHOM 34.68 -0.9 96 82
                42 Southern Peru Copper PCU 37.8 -26.8 94 86
                43 Harman Intl Industries HAR 77.99 -2.5 94 84
                44 Establismts Delhaize Adr DEG 54.56 -2.3 93 88
                45 Fording Canadian Coal Tr FDG 40.43 -2 90 88
                46 Rayovac Corp ROV 25.98 -0.9 90 87
                47 Copart Inc CPRT 19.64 0 89 91
                48 Sinopec Shanghai Petrocm SHI 45.5 -10.3 88 90
                49 Cal-Maine Foods Inc CALM 37.48 -17.8 81 99
                50 Sierra Wireless Inc SWIR 27.39 -7.8 81 98
                51 Giant Industries Inc GI 19.4 -2.5 81 97
                52 Omnicell Inc OMCL 20.38 -7.2 81 97
                53 Ultralife Batteries Inc ULBI 23 -3.8 81 96
                54 Investors Finl Srvcs IFIN 43.87 -4.9 99 76
                55 Teekay Shipping Co TK 66.67 1 99 76
                56 Intl Game Technology IGT 39.24 1.7 98 78
                57 Fisher Scientific Intl FSH 53.25 -7.1 98 77
                58 Overseas Shipholding Grp OSG 35.9 -7.4 97 80
                59 Cash America Intl Inc PWN 22.49 -4.7 97 80
                60 Invitrogen Corp IVGN 74 -9.8 97 79
                61 Pulte Homes Inc PHM 52.76 5 97 78
                62 Hibbett Sporting Goods HIBB 34.5 -2.5 96 80
                63 New York Community Bncrp NYB 35.12 3.2 96 80
                64 Meritage Corporation MTH 74.08 1.1 95 81
                65 Shuffle Master Inc SHFL 41.68 2.1 95 81
                66 Big 5 Sporting Corp BGFV 25.13 -3.2 94 85
                67 Comtech Telecomm Corp CMTL 28.32 -28.3 94 84
                68 Nash Finch Co NAFC 23.28 -19.7 93 90
                69 Bankatlantic Bancorp Cla BBX 17.92 0 92 86
                70 U S A N A Health Science USNA 30.33 -23.2 92 85
                71 Cache Inc CACH 27.75 -6.4 90 87
                72 Nara Bancorp Inc NARA 33.38 1.4 90 87
                73 Genentech Inc DNA 107.89 4.1 90 85
                74 National Medical Health NMHC 25.18 -16.9 88 90
                75 Marinemax Inc HZO 26.57 -5.3 85 90
                76 N D S Group Plc Ads NNDS 28.92 -3.6 84 91
                77 Ace Cash Express AACE 33.74 3.8 82 95
                78 Metrocall Holdings Inc MTOH 72.75 -11.3 81 99
                79 Ditech Communications DITC 18.69 -24.6 81 98
                80 Faro Technologies Inc FARO 27.81 -20.4 81 98
                81 Sina Corporation SINA 44.18 -10.8 81 97
                82 Laserscope LSCP 23.9 -14.2 81 96
                83 Coventry Health Care Inc CVH 43.57 -3.4 99 75
                84 Oshkosh Truck Corp OSK 58.85 -2.9 98 81
                85 United Natural Foods Inc UNFI 46.13 -1.2 98 79
                86 W Holding Company Inc WHI 20.04 -5.7 98 78
                87 Forest Labs Inc FRX 75.48 -3.3 98 76
                88 Satyam Computer Svcs Adr SAY 20.52 -42 97 80
                89 Central European Dist Cp CEDC 34.6 -17.3 97 77
                90 R & G Financial Corp RGF 31.34 -0.8 96 80
                91 Ameristar Casinos Inc ASCA 25.52 -10.5 96 79
                92 Privatebancorp Inc PVTB 49.9 -5.3 96 79
                93 Scientific-Atlanta Inc SFA 33.1 -14.2 96 78
                94 Biogen Idec Inc BIIB 55.45 -6.5 94 80
                95 Finish Line Inc Cl A FINL 34.61 -1.5 92 82
                96 Rofin-Sinar Tech RSTI 29.94 -23.2 91 84
                97 Foot Locker Inc FL 26.2 -2.1 90 84
                98 Drew Industries Inc DW 36.41 -6.3 86 88
                99 Encore Wire Corp WIRE 29.81 -1.3 83 95
                100 Avaya Inc AV 17.15 -9.7 81 97

                #1 again...looks like a good chance I'll be reaching my target tomorrow.
                =============================

                I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                Comment

                • Jaws57
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2003
                  • 100

                  #9
                  SSNC

                  I didn't sell Friday, I was away from the computer(no internet at work). I think this may get a 20% + gain. I go to work at 12:30pm so I have several hours to make a decision, maybe it will be high enough to set a stop-loss and let it run. I have had terrible experiences with stop-loss orders so I will probably hit the sell button if it is above 15%. Thanks again Mr. Market!!

                  Jaws57
                  Jaws57

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    A couple newbie ?'s...

                    I had set a limit buy order for SSNC @ 50.00 this weekend that executed today at 49.50. Late to the party, but I just wanted to squeak a little gain out of it. I just saw the announcement of a new 3mil share offering. Any thoughts on how the offering will effect the short term price?

                    Also I wasn't aware of the 3:2 stock split before reading today's announcement. It says it is payable for shareholders of record as of Feb. 20th. What does this mean for me considering I just got the position today?

                    Thanks,

                    Ian

                    Comment

                    • mrmarket
                      Administrator
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 5971

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ibrandt
                      A couple newbie ?'s...

                      I had set a limit buy order for SSNC @ 50.00 this weekend that executed today at 49.50. Late to the party, but I just wanted to squeak a little gain out of it. I just saw the announcement of a new 3mil share offering. Any thoughts on how the offering will effect the short term price?

                      Also I wasn't aware of the 3:2 stock split before reading today's announcement. It says it is payable for shareholders of record as of Feb. 20th. What does this mean for me considering I just got the position today?

                      Thanks,

                      Ian
                      In the short run, a secondary offering is never received very well as it implies that there could be an earnings dilution or that management is "satisfied" with the existing equity value.

                      However, in the long run, it provides a wonderful source of capital that can be used to finance aquisitions that may make the company even more competitive, stronger and more valuable to shareholders.

                      If you own your shares before the split date, you will receive your extra shares.
                      =============================

                      I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                      - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by mrmarket
                        In the short run, a secondary offering is never received very well as it implies that there could be an earnings dilution or that management is "satisfied" with the existing equity value.

                        However, in the long run, it provides a wonderful source of capital that can be used to finance aquisitions that may make the company even more competitive, stronger and more valuable to shareholders.

                        If you own your shares before the split date, you will receive your extra shares.
                        Thanks for the quick reply Ernie!

                        On the split I just read the same thing on the fool.com, that the record date is really of no consequence to the shareholder. Good to know having never been in this scenario.

                        So far there's no significant immediate negative reaction to the offering news. The stock split should help the price (bullish indicator, shares more accessible and liquid), right? Is it just a coincidence that these two events are happening at the same time? Would one of these events be more likely to have a greater effect on the price than the other? I know these are sort of day-trader oriented questions that have no definitive answer, but I'm just curious. For now I'm going to hold the position and watch it closely.

                        Comment

                        • jiesen
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 5320

                          #13
                          ssnc

                          I'm back in! Since it's now right back where it was when you got it, I decided I couldn't pass up the opportunity to take this for a second ride. I agree that the offering is not a bad thing, and this drop is an overreaction.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Split Time

                            FYI

                            I don't know about your quote service but I initally thought I took a big hit on SSNC... but then I remembered that they have a 3:2 split today.

                            ytown12

                            Comment

                            • mrmarket
                              Administrator
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 5971

                              #15
                              Re: Split Time

                              Originally posted by ytown12
                              FYI

                              I don't know about your quote service but I initally thought I took a big hit on SSNC... but then I remembered that they have a 3:2 split today.

                              ytown12
                              That's like when your wife sees a car coming the other way and makes one of those reverse breathing noises when she sits next to you when you're driving and it makes you slam on the brakes for no reason. I hate when that happens.
                              =============================

                              I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                              - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                              Comment

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