IPGP Sold ==> That's right, 82 consecutive winning stock trades

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    IPGP Sold ==> That's right, 82 consecutive winning stock trades

    Well…well…well….it was quite a holiday season. Festivity…football and fun…oh yeah…and more money. Today I sold IPGP at 263.95. That was a 16% gain over my purchase price of 228.48 back on December 1, 2017. That’s a 16% gain in less than 7 weeks. That’s an annualized gain of 123%....that certainly is not a Thanksgiving turkey or coal in your stocking.

    Did you get any IGPG? You? YOU? YOU???!! If you did…TELL ME! TELL MEEEEEE!

    That’s makes 82 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How good is that? It’s crazy good. It’s insane. Just keep printing that money baby…it’s even better than stealing. Stealing is illegal. This is perfectly legal…although unfair. $$$MR. MARKET$$$’s superior brain keeps picking great stocks. Everyone is raving about the stock market, but over the same period, the S&P 500 was up only 5% and IPGP went up 16%.

    So $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is better than all of those index funds. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is simply the best stock picker on the plant.
    Do you want more picks? You? YOU?? YOU???!!! Then you have to tell me. I will make picks all the time but I will only share them if you tell your friends about this website and also tell me that you want more picks.

    So…let’s start 2018 with a BANG and have more more more more winning stock picks!

    I am HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses!

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$
    ================================================== ================================
    12-01-2017, 10:46 AM #1 mrmarket's Avatar mrmarket mrmarket is online now
    Administrator
    Default IPGP ===> The Gobble Gobble Winner
    ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)

    I used to watch American Gladiators when I was all hung over and didn’t want to get up from the couch. Those were the days when no one had remote control on their TV. They had names like Hawk, Turbo, Nitro and Laser. Actually, Laser set the record for the series, appearing in 127 episodes. Laser was the only Gladiator to appear in all seven seasons of the original series. He's now a fitness guru.



    Yes…Laser was my favorite…why? I guess I just like lasers.

    Today I bought stock in IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) at 228.48. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at 262.99. Here’s why I like IPGP:

    First of all…look at this amazing chart:



    There is nothing…absolutely nothing…about this chart which would lead you to believe that this stock is going anywhere but up. That’s a good thing. In fact, this stock is up 146% for the last 12 months. That’s about 12% per month…a pretty good clip. Now, with a trailing PE of 40, this stock might only be for the bravehearts. But there is a reason why it’s stock price is rocketing. It’s all about the bling bling ka-ching ka-ching.

    IPG Photonics Corporation develops and manufactures a range of high-performance fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, and diode lasers used in various applications, primarily in materials processing worldwide. The amazing success of fiber laser technology and its revolutionary impact on laser-based manufacturing bear the hallmarks of more widely publicized technology game changers, such as the displacement of vacuum tubes by the transistor. The analogy is apt when we consider that legacy lasers are bulky, inefficient and short lived devices which are difficult to assemble and require frequent service. Fiber lasers, on the other hand, are compact, highly efficient and robust devices which offer service-free operation through the entire application lifetime. Don’t you love when industry gets transformed? Think about videotapes, DVDs and now Netflix. IPG Photonics Corporation was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Oxford, Massachusetts. Oxford is about 12 miles south of Worcester, MA where my Uncle Jimmy and Auntie Freda used to live…hey want a hamburg?

    Just last month, IPG Photonics Corporation was upgraded by ANAL-ysts at Zacks Investment Research from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating. The ANAL-ysts know that IPGP has positive record of earnings surprises in recent quarters.

    What IPGP plans to remain a leader in its industry by making fibre lasers more economical for a wide array of their uses. This will allow them to grow market share while maintaining their barriers to entry for competition. Simply put, IPG is the best of breed in the laser and amplifiers market. It makes the best fiber lasers with the highest margins of any company in this field.

    Lasers are used for cutting and welding, marking and engraving, remote sensing, internet and broadband access, and for medical laser based equipment. They are also used by stupid people who shine them in pilot’s eyes when they are trying to land their planes. Brilliant! Anyway, there are hundreds of uses for lasers – but the big news is that all of the old CO2 and crystal based lasers are switching over to fiber based lasers. Why? Fiber lasers are much easier to use and much more accurate. On top of that, fibre lasers are cheaper. There is no need to get into the technical aspect of this. I read hundreds of pages about it….it makes sense. This will be a gold mine for IPGP and it will last for a while. Constant R&D expenditure is necessary in order to make the necessary innovations to maintain a leading market position. Obviously, the development of this technology requires a lot of capital.

    IGPG works very closely with their customers so that they can provide the customization that best suits the need of the customer. This then marries IGPG to the customer for the long run and then IPGP can also sell the accessory components of the laser itself. IPG has a unique understanding of the industries where their products are used. Their marketing people are using the strategy of providing solutions to customers in order to fortify their sales.

    The other good news is the fact that these lasers serve a wide array of different industries. As a result there is no specific customer that has a very large percentage of IPGP’s total sales. This diversification smooths out the EBITDA risk and is a primary reason why the company’s profits have grown so smoothly over the years. In recent years, IPG has made some strategic acquisitions of smaller companies (Menara, Optigrate, JPSA, ILT, Mobius, BSI) to complement their existing portfolio of product offerings. All of these companies had leading products that benefitted from IPG’s marketing presence as well as feeding the vertical integration chain that IPG has expertly constructed. It has given them access into new markets and new technologies. The accretion to their earnings has been obvious as well.

    The international opportunities will be like betting on the Patriots in the Super Bowl…can’t lose! Both the Chinese and Indian markets – with their enormous capacity – are really underdeveloped when it comes to how far along they are in the laser market. The laser market is expected to grow at twice the GDP – which means that, simply put, IPG will outperform the stock market just like a the high beta stock that it is.

    This company remains very healthy, with virtually zero long term debt. With an operating margin of 38%, Return on Assets of 16% and Return on Equity of 20%, this company is flying down the highway like the Corvette I don’t own.

    Listen…what I know about lasers can’t even fill a hat. I don’t know the difference between a Fiber laser and Laser on American Gladiators. As far as fiber goes, all I know is that I should have more in my diet. People have told me I should use a laser to remove the hair on my back. Now why should I even care about that? Having said that, the success of this company can always be measured in its earnings and what I love to see is the story that these earnings tell you:


    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
    sales 186 299 474 563 648 770 901 1006
    Income 5 54 117 145 156 200 242 261
    EPS $ 0.12 $ 1.16 $ 2.48 $ 2.87 $ 3.02 $ 3.85 $ 4.59 $ 4.91

    That’s quite the trend, and the ANAL-ysts are onto it, projecting earnings of $7.70 per share on 1.54 billion in sales. I don’t have much problem with these growth projections other than the fact that the macro economic growth we are seeing right now probably should inflate these IPG numbers – remember the lasers are going to grow at TWICE the economic rate. On top of that, IPGP has beaten ANAL-ysts projections by an average of 16% over the last few quarters. So if you take the $7.70 per share projection and multiply it by the historical earnings beat, you get $8.93 per share.
    Now if you take the $8.93 per share and multiply it by the PE of 38, you get a share price of :

    $8.93 x 38 = $339.34 which is well past my target price. Works for me.

    With these laser sharp profits from this trade, I am going to run to the bank and buy about 10 turkey sandwiches.

    I am HUGE!
    $$$MR. MARKET$$$
    Last edited by mrmarket; 12-30-2017 at 12:23 AM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
    Last edited by mrmarket; 01-19-2018, 09:39 PM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • mimo_100
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2003
    • 1784

    #2
    Huge congratulations LP and best wishes for a profitable New Year - I again get to send out good tidings of your stock picking success to those non-believers who continue to deny your existence. I look forward to another pick soon.
    Tim - Retired Problem Solver

    Comment

    • Louetta
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2003
      • 2331

      #3
      Great work, Large Person. Please produce another pick.

      Comment

      • jiesen
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 5319

        #4
        Congrats, and thanks again, for the awesome pick, $$MM!!! 82 is an unbelievable number of consecutive winners, and I'm so glad to have picked up each one along with you so far... just can't wait 'til we hit that 100th winner in a row this year! It's gonna be a great one!
        $$MM is HUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGGGGGEEEEEEE!!!!!!! !!!!!!

        Comment

        • mrmarket
          Administrator
          • Sep 2003
          • 5971

          #5
          Originally posted by jiesen View Post
          Congrats, and thanks again, for the awesome pick, $$MM!!! 82 is an unbelievable number of consecutive winners, and I'm so glad to have picked up each one along with you so far... just can't wait 'til we hit that 100th winner in a row this year! It's gonna be a great one!
          $$MM is HUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGGGGGEEEEEEE!!!!!!! !!!!!!
          Every one? Holy crap...did you ever figure out your total return? People always ask me and I never keep track...but I know it's double digit and definitely ahead of the market.
          =============================

          I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

          - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

          Comment

          • billyjoe
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2003
            • 9014

            #6
            Mr.Market tells you what he's going to do and then does it. How rare is that? I continue to be amazed.

            ----------------billy

            Comment

            • mrmarket
              Administrator
              • Sep 2003
              • 5971

              #7
              Originally posted by billyjoe View Post
              Mr.Market tells you what he's going to do and then does it. How rare is that? I continue to be amazed.

              ----------------billy
              How come when you tell people about me, they don't believe it?
              =============================

              I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

              - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

              Comment

              • sixfeetfour
                Member
                • Nov 2013
                • 89

                #8
                I Believe

                Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
                How come when you tell people about me, they don't believe it?
                I believe Mr Market.
                I've told others and they turn to non-believers.
                Happy New Year to you and those on these threads.

                Comment

                • tiedyed1
                  Senior Member
                  • Jun 2009
                  • 599

                  #9
                  It is truly a peculiar phenomena when I share Mr. Market with others and the reception is surprisingly cool and not embracing as I would expect (and I have indeed shared).

                  In 2017 I had my best investing year ever (and I am 57 years old) and find it funny that some of these same friends now want my advice after their fancy CFP or broker disappointed. Maybe if you changed your name from Mr. Market to Einstein Sachs, or Bernstein & Eastwood that would make a difference? (saying this laughing while half serious regarding the shallowness of consumers).

                  Then there are those that are contrarily wired, always looking for an argument and are simply born to debate; even after you have so clearly and freely disclosed to the universe; and they want to try and come up with arguments while we embrace and see you with all these winners over many years.

                  The chat and exuberance within Mr. Market's psyche is always entertaining and some I guess are wound too tight to appreciate the banter.

                  One thing i do not know is just how many lurkers you have out there. I am one of those who always speak my mind and happy to put my brutal honesty out there. It is refreshing and healthy for me and highly recommend lurkers to chime in every now and then; fuel this fun fire Mr. Market has created and maintained. He can be boisterous, which is part of the fun of this community; and has proven himself time and time again to help me beat the market and as a foodie I have enjoyed some of the finest meats and cheeses on this planet celebrating the Mr. Market wins I share with him.

                  Enough rambling and hope I can pry a lurker or two into this party that just keeps on giving and going.
                  Thanks Mr. Market and Keep On Keepin' On!

                  -Adam
                  Old Hippy & Mortgage Pro

                  Comment

                  • mrmarket
                    Administrator
                    • Sep 2003
                    • 5971

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tiedyed1 View Post
                    It is truly a peculiar phenomena when I share Mr. Market with others and the reception is surprisingly cool and not embracing as I would expect (and I have indeed shared).

                    In 2017 I had my best investing year ever (and I am 57 years old) and find it funny that some of these same friends now want my advice after their fancy CFP or broker disappointed. Maybe if you changed your name from Mr. Market to Einstein Sachs, or Bernstein & Eastwood that would make a difference? (saying this laughing while half serious regarding the shallowness of consumers).

                    Then there are those that are contrarily wired, always looking for an argument and are simply born to debate; even after you have so clearly and freely disclosed to the universe; and they want to try and come up with arguments while we embrace and see you with all these winners over many years.

                    The chat and exuberance within Mr. Market's psyche is always entertaining and some I guess are wound too tight to appreciate the banter.

                    One thing i do not know is just how many lurkers you have out there. I am one of those who always speak my mind and happy to put my brutal honesty out there. It is refreshing and healthy for me and highly recommend lurkers to chime in every now and then; fuel this fun fire Mr. Market has created and maintained. He can be boisterous, which is part of the fun of this community; and has proven himself time and time again to help me beat the market and as a foodie I have enjoyed some of the finest meats and cheeses on this planet celebrating the Mr. Market wins I share with him.

                    Enough rambling and hope I can pry a lurker or two into this party that just keeps on giving and going.
                    Thanks Mr. Market and Keep On Keepin' On!

                    -Adam
                    Old Hippy & Mortgage Pro
                    Love having you here for almost a decade...a true friend of the crown...dilly dilly!
                    =============================

                    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                    Comment

                    • pixy242
                      Junior Member
                      • Jun 2009
                      • 8

                      #11
                      Thank you and congrats for IPGP.... Look forward to your next win !

                      Phyllis

                      Comment

                      • jiesen
                        Senior Member
                        • Sep 2003
                        • 5319

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
                        Every one? Holy crap...did you ever figure out your total return? People always ask me and I never keep track...but I know it's double digit and definitely ahead of the market.
                        Yep, every one. If you check your threads, you'll see I've posted my entries and exits to most of them. If I didn't post it, it's not because I didn't buy it... it's because I neglected to post that time. Some I've even bought twice (or more).

                        and no, I don't know what the total return on these picks is. Closest I've come to that is calculating my CAGR on one account, which has only $$MM picks in it. Most of my accounts have mixes of $$MM and other stocks (and therefore aren't as HUGE as that one). For the past 5 years, it's been a 15% return on average, beating the market by a couple %. The return on that account suffers from the large cash position I keep in it (usually 30-50%) and so would be much higher had I kept it all invested in $$MM stocks (probably in the mid-20% range). Also, you're correct to not keep track of the total return, as it's a pain to figure that all out... a much better use of time is to keep focused on making winning picks!!!

                        As Kenny Rogers once said, there's time enough for counting, when the dealin's done. (or something like that anyway)

                        Comment

                        • mrmarket
                          Administrator
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 5971

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jiesen View Post
                          Yep, every one. If you check your threads, you'll see I've posted my entries and exits to most of them. If I didn't post it, it's not because I didn't buy it... it's because I neglected to post that time. Some I've even bought twice (or more).

                          and no, I don't know what the total return on these picks is. Closest I've come to that is calculating my CAGR on one account, which has only $$MM picks in it. Most of my accounts have mixes of $$MM and other stocks (and therefore aren't as HUGE as that one). For the past 5 years, it's been a 15% return on average, beating the market by a couple %. The return on that account suffers from the large cash position I keep in it (usually 30-50%) and so would be much higher had I kept it all invested in $$MM stocks (probably in the mid-20% range). Also, you're correct to not keep track of the total return, as it's a pain to figure that all out... a much better use of time is to keep focused on making winning picks!!!

                          As Kenny Rogers once said, there's time enough for counting, when the dealin's done. (or something like that anyway)

                          Funny...that's exactly how I feel. I have been criticized on this forum before for not keeping track of my total return but - just as you said - who really gives a shit. I have my stock picks mixed up in the same IRA portfolio as a lot of mutual funds, bonds and other boring stuff so it's way too much trouble to figure out what the actual return on my picks has been - but it is intuitively obvious that a very large percentage of them have outpeformed the market and I do keep track of that on each of my trades. At the end of the day, the total amount of money only really matters when you run out of it.
                          =============================

                          I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                          - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                          Comment

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