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  • jiesen
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2003
    • 5321

    #31
    PRX to add generic Flonase to its arsenal?

    I sure hope so! Go PRX!!! (It's FINALLY above my double-down price of $34 now)



    UPDATE 2-US FDA ok's generic version of Glaxo allergy spray
    Wed Feb 22, 2006 5:25 PM ET
    (Recasts, adds details, Glaxo comment)

    By Susan Heavey


    WASHINGTON, Feb 22 (Reuters) - The first generic version of GlaxoSmithKline's (GSK.L: Quote, Profile, Research) (GSK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) widely-used allergy spray Flonase won U.S. approval on Wednesday, but the British drugmaker said it might take legal action against the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

    Flonase, which brings in more than $1 billion in U.S. annual sales, helps treat stuffy and runny noses in both adults and children at least 4 years old. The FDA said its action would help consumers save millions of dollars.

    "We believe that giving consumers a choice of safe, effective and reasonably-priced alternatives is extremely important to the economy and well-being of the American public," Gary Buehler, director of FDA's Office of Generic Drugs, told reporters.

    Britain-based Glaxo's last patent for the nasal spray drug expired in November 2005, the FDA said. Privately-held Boehringer Ingelheim Corp. subsidiary Roxane Laboratories will market the new generic version.

    Glaxo spokeswoman Mary Anne Rhyne said the company might take legal action, but was still reviewing the FDA's decision.

    "We're seriously studying possible next steps... legal action," she said, adding that Glaxo hoped to make its decision "pretty quickly" before the generic version launched.

    Shares of generic drugmaker Par Pharmaceutical (PRX.N: Quote, Profile, Research) surged about 8 percent after the FDA approval, closing at $36.31 a share.

    Par has said it has an unspecified product in its pipeline, which Wall Street has long assumed to be a generic version of Flonase. However, some analysts declined to comment on the record on the stock move, and the company was not immediately available for comment.

    Ivax Corp., which was acquired by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA.O: Quote, Profile, Research) in January, has said it is pursuing a generic version of Flonase. Teva shares closed up 2.63 percent at $42.08 on the Nasdaq.

    Prudential Equity Group analyst Tim Anderson said the FDA's decision came as a surprise, since generic drugmakers had been trying to win approval for years. "We have not been modeling generic Flonase into our 2006 forecasts," he said in a research note.

    FDA's Buehler said the agency could not act until Flonase's last patent expired last November.

    The FDA said it received five petitions, including three from Glaxo, questioning the agency's criteria for approving generic nasal sprays. Glaxo had asked for industry guidelines to be issued first, a regulatory process that can take years or even decades.

    But the agency stressed the generic sprays were just as good as Glaxo's brand name one.

    "Consumers and health professionals can be assured that an approved generic drug is bioequivalent to a brand name drug and is its equal in dosage form, strength, route of administration, quality, performance characteristics, and intended use," the FDA said.

    Shares of Glaxo closed down 3 cents on the New York Stock Exchange at $50.99. (Additional reporting by Lewis Krauskopf in New York)

    Comment

    • jiesen
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2003
      • 5321

      #32
      Fantastic news for PRX!

      They get to ship the Flonase after all... PRX will be $40 soon.



      Glaxo loses U.S. court bid to stop generic Flonase

      LONDON, March 7 (Reuters) - GlaxoSmithKline Plc (GSK.L: Quote, Profile, Research) has lost its legal attempt to prevent the launch of generic versions of its allergy nasal spray, Flonase, in the United States, Europe's biggest drug maker said on Tuesday. Glaxo had lodged the appeal after privately held Boehringer Ingelheim subsidiary Roxane Laboratories secured Food and Drug Administration approval for its generic version of the product last month. It argued the FDA had not issued proper guidelines for nasal spray generics.

      Flonase recorded sales of 506 million pounds ($882.3 million) in the United States last year, representing 2.3 percent of Glaxo's total revenues.

      A generic form of the medicine had been widely expected by analysts but the approval of the Roxane formulation came earlier than many had anticipated.



      A Glaxo spokesman reiterated on Tuesday that financial guidance for 2006 would not change as a result of the early generic launch. Glaxo is predicting earnings per share will increase this year by around 10 percent.

      Glaxo has agreed with Par Pharmaceutical Cos Inc (PRX.N: Quote, Profile, Research) that it can launch an authorised generic version of Flonase in the United States once Roxane's spray reaches the market.

      © Reuters 2006. All Rights Reserved.

      Comment

      • jiesen
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 5321

        #33
        You must buy PRX

        this is your final notice. Sale on PRX ends shortly:



        PRX now has tentative approval to sell generic Norvasc (PFE patents expire next year).



        Norvasc was Pfizer's #2 selling drug in 2003 with over $4 Billion in sales. (that was more than double the Viagra sales)

        This could be a $BILLION DOLLAR PRODUCT$ for PRX. Sales for the whole company were only half a billion last year, market cap is also only half a billion. The company also has about half a billion in net assets.

        Can't lose!

        They had hinted in previous calls that something HUGE would be coming out of their pipeline soon. This is it. Get in before everyone else realizes it, too.

        Disclosure: Long PRX at 70, 60 and 40.

        Comment

        • New-born baby
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 6095

          #34
          Originally posted by jiesen
          this is your final notice. Sale on PRX ends shortly:



          PRX now has tentative approval to sell generic Norvasc (PFE patents expire next year).



          Norvasc was Pfizer's #2 selling drug in 2003 with over $4 Billion in sales. (that was more than double the Viagra sales)

          This could be a $BILLION DOLLAR PRODUCT$ for PRX. Sales for the whole company were only half a billion last year, market cap is also only half a billion. The company also has about half a billion in net assets.

          Can't lose!

          They had hinted in previous calls that something HUGE would be coming out of their pipeline soon. This is it. Get in before everyone else realizes it, too.

          Disclosure: Long PRX at 70, 60 and 40.
          Pretty ugly chart, thus far, Mr. Jiesen. Of course, that will change today if what you say sparks a rally. So you think this is the next AMLN? AMLN was pretty good to me (thanks to you ). I'd like to do that again. I'll look into this one today.
          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

          Comment

          • billyjoe
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2003
            • 9014

            #35
            Jiesen,
            Normally I wouldn't consider PRX , but your track record shows that I'd better take your picks seriously. Heck, 2 years ago ZING seemed humorous to me and you got the last laugh. Thanks for the heads up on PRX and do you own or have you checked out PTSI lately ? Just realised you are big on PTSI also, another dynamite pick.
            --------billyjoe

            Comment

            • jiesen
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2003
              • 5321

              #36
              PRX vs AMLN and PTSI

              I think PRX will be more like a PTSI in the end than an AMLN stock. I am big on PTSI, too, Billyjoe, but I'm about $1 from my (the $$MM) sell target now, and so am getting ready to drop it for the next biggest and baddest stock on the $$MM screen. So my horizon for this one isn't the same, and while I believe it's a solid and quite-undervalued company with great earnings, I don't plan to hold it much longer, and so am looking harder at other stocks that I own (like PRX) and plan to hold for a while.

              This latest news as I see it completely changes the PRX story. I don't think it's quite the same thing as what AMLN got in the Byetta approval, but the results could play out similarly in the next year or two. AMLN was, just a year ago, really a one (or maybe two) trick pony, that happened to get both of its ponies up and running, but for some reason the market completely discounted that for awhile, and sent the stock down for a few months before realizing the mistake and is now in the process of catching up to the true value of the drugs as they are playing out.

              PRX, on the other hand, was and is a profitable company to start with, and should get even more so, and this latest approval is just one step closer to superb earnings, which will have to drive the stock steadily upward ala PTSI. Whether it makes $1B or $200M/year from the new products, the earnings are certainly going to improve over the past few quarters of trouble they've had. So instead of doing a complete 0 to 60 like AMLN is, which is starting from mega-losses and heading to a break-even or maybe a mega-gain, PRX is starting from already profitable, to becoming even more so, a much safer, if less lucrative position to be in.

              But... that doesn't mean I really prefer one of these to the other, in fact I'm at about a 2% position in each (actually a bit more in AMLN), and am targeting over 100% gains in each, too. So which will get there first? I have no clue, and I could be completely wrong on either or both of them, as earnings for any particular product could easily hit a snag (AMLN's Byetta is currently having issues with ability to meet the demand for cartridges! - a nice problem to have, but still a problem), and for my track record, look at XING. Doug had the good sense to bail before earnings over $11, which I even praised him for... but stubbornly I held onto my 2% only to see it drop $2 on the news today that even though earnings are up from $6M to $9M in Q1 this year vs last, the CEO is paying his staff (ok himself) $7M of that in stock option expense!

              So really, you never know, but you still gotta stack the deck in your favor as much as you can, and having some PRX is definitely a way to do that right now.

              Comment

              • jiesen
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2003
                • 5321

                #37
                and it just keeps getting better!

                I mean what, is the market insane? How many approvals will it give us before realizing that PRX actually MAKES money when it sells these drugs:



                Par Pharmaceuticals gets FDA approval for depression drug

                June 30 (Reuters) - Par Pharmaceutical Companies Inc. (PRX.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on Friday said its wholly-owned subsidiary, Kali Laboratories Inc., has received the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) final approval for its drug, tranylcypromine sulfate tablets, 10 mg, for treating depression.

                Tranylcypromine is the generic version of GlaxoSmithKline's (GSK.L: Quote, Profile, Research) Parnate, Par Pharmaceuticals said in a statement.
                Par Pharmaceuticals said in the statement it will start shipping its product immediately. (Reporting by Ajaya Kumar in Bangalore)

                Comment

                • New-born baby
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 6095

                  #38
                  Jiesen is a genius.

                  Originally posted by jiesen
                  I mean what, is the market insane?
                  The market is never insane. It is only those with temporary insanity (or the more permanent types) that argue with the market. I always believe the chart. And it is telling me something different that your posts. When the chart confirms what you are posting--I'll buy this stock. Today's price action was inspiring--inspiring me to avoid a long at this time.

                  I have always said "Jiesen is a genius." I still believe it. But I guess even geniuses sometimes are misunderstood.
                  pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                  Comment

                  • billyjoe
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 9014

                    #39
                    Jiesen,
                    Sorry, but I have to say that PRX sucks.

                    ------------billyjoe

                    Comment

                    • jiesen
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 5321

                      #40
                      hmm, well at this point I'd have to say you're right.

                      Comment

                      • Lyehopper
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2004
                        • 3678

                        #41
                        Originally posted by billyjoe
                        Jiesen,
                        Sorry, but I have to say that PRX sucks.

                        ------------billyjoe
                        Shoulda bought GEHL..... ssssssssssss!
                        BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          #42
                          Originally posted by Lyehopper
                          Shoulda bought GEHL..... ssssssssssss!
                          She's done the hard yards....now to buy the forthcoming discount......

                          Thanks for the heads up dude!


                          Comment

                          • stocks54
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2003
                            • 178

                            #43
                            jiesen,

                            Do you think it's a good buy at this point. Year ago I purchased $45 call option for $6.70 (That's lost). I was planning to purchase few shares on Wednesday...

                            Regards,
                            Stocks54

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              #44
                              Just a friendly heads up guys. PRX just took the Burnt Toast title for a ride down to major price support of $3.75.


                              Caution longs. Bagholders at this point may wanna sell into strength of the fuzzy 2 if you get that lucky.

                              I note my chart earlier in this thread talking about the start of it's longer-term demise when it was 38.70. Note that green weekly major channel break and the heavy vol by price up there that's arguably been the fuel for selling. And if you look a the fuzzy monthly chart at my site you'll see that the strength you were getting excited about turns out to be the larger abc correctives that got sold into for a real nice impulse ride down.

                              Best to all.

                              Comment

                              • jiesen
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2003
                                • 5321

                                #45
                                Originally posted by stocks54
                                jiesen,

                                Do you think it's a good buy at this point. Year ago I purchased $45 call option for $6.70 (That's lost). I was planning to purchase few shares on Wednesday...

                                Regards,
                                Stocks54
                                oops, didn't see that post earlier! yes, I do think PRX is a good buy here. you're getting it for just a bit more than book value at this point, and for a company that has in the past been able to generate over $100M income in a year, and I believe will do so again in the not too distant future, this is a steal.

                                yes, the accounting problem is a doozy, but in fact only affects about 4% of the top line. now that it's identified and will be fixed, the company can move on- all it does is provide a really steep discount just for you, as people read the charts, panic, and bail out.

                                the one thing to watch, though, is big pharma's relentless attack on generic drugmakers. that's the only thing that can really kill PRX, but I doubt it will.

                                Comment

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