Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by Lyehopper
    http://img391.imageshack.us/img391/2267/aob5cm.png

    You-da-man....uhhh, no.... you-da-Vulcan!.... Your "VA" rules V-dude!

    Question: Can a mere human ever learn VA?
    Yes, it's a great pick. I'm not sure Webs got his fill at 5.00 though I'm still waiting for mine!

    Comment

    • RL
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2003
      • 1215

      Thanks Spike for your reply

      I value your advice and I am backing out, there are to many other stocks out there. It must have been a bad throw on my part I do have them once In a while.
      Ray Long

      Comment

      • scifos
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2004
        • 790

        Spike, I'm thinking of taking a shot at developing an excel workbook that will detect channel turn ups. I was thinking of something where you could just copy and paste in a list of ticker symbols and it would fetch historical prices from yahoo, then either start at a preset number of days in the past or somehow find a significant starting point, then chart the slope of the channel and if it is rising and nearly flat or newly positive slope then alert you. Perhaps later I could expand it to look for prices near the high,mid,or low lines. I wanted to ask you some questions about your method. I know its as much art as science, but I'm looking for some sort of scientific/mathematical stuff here.

        1. How do you determine a significant place to start your reg-channel?
        2. do you look for recent turn ups or ones about to turn up?
        3. do you include the most recent day's price when drawing the channel?
        4. how sucessful is your method? don't want to develop something that gives worthless signals.

        I'm sure I'll find more questions as I get started. I have some current problems though:
        1. how do I fetch the yahoo historical data? - I know it can be done.
        2. I need to find the equation and figure out how to implement it, shouldn't be toohard.
        3. I'm not too strong on excel macros, so I might ask for help from anybody here.
        Buy Low
        Sell High
        STAY FROSTY!

        Comment

        • Lyehopper
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2004
          • 3678

          Originally posted by scifos
          Spike, I'm thinking of taking a shot at developing an excel workbook that will detect channel turn ups. I was thinking of something where you could just copy and paste in a list of ticker symbols and it would fetch historical prices from yahoo, then either start at a preset number of days in the past or somehow find a significant starting point, then chart the slope of the channel and if it is rising and nearly flat or newly positive slope then alert you. Perhaps later I could expand it to look for prices near the high,mid,or low lines. I wanted to ask you some questions about your method. I know its as much art as science, but I'm looking for some sort of scientific/mathematical stuff here.

          1. How do you determine a significant place to start your reg-channel?
          2. do you look for recent turn ups or ones about to turn up?
          3. do you include the most recent day's price when drawing the channel?
          4. how sucessful is your method? don't want to develop something that gives worthless signals.

          I'm sure I'll find more questions as I get started. I have some current problems though:
          1. how do I fetch the yahoo historical data? - I know it can be done.
          2. I need to find the equation and figure out how to implement it, shouldn't be toohard.
          3. I'm not too strong on excel macros, so I might ask for help from anybody here.
          It's already been done.... Check into Vector-Vest 6.0.... well worth the $$$.... their data base and "UniSearch" feature will blow your mind.
          BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

          Comment

          • scifos
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2004
            • 790

            Originally posted by Lyehopper
            It's already been done.... Check into Vector-Vest 6.0.... well worth the $$$.... their data base and "UniSearch" feature will blow your mind.
            have tried. was quite impressive.
            Buy Low
            Sell High
            STAY FROSTY!

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Originally posted by RL
              I value your advice and I am backing out, there are to many other stocks out there. It must have been a bad throw on my part I do have them once In a while.
              Yep, there are a few good ones out there - like IRIS, which I don't know why I took my eye off it. Runner nailed a great entry for it and we're all asleep! heh

              Comment

              • IIC
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2003
                • 14938

                Originally posted by spikefader
                Yep, there are a few good ones out there - like IRIS, which I don't know why I took my eye off it. Runner nailed a great entry for it and we're all asleep! heh
                Maybe we all looked away because it was a Canslim pump???
                "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                Follow Me On Twitter

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Originally posted by scifos
                  have tried. was quite impressive.
                  so could it do the channel turn up search? I use the java-based stockcharts program to draw them; just click and drag. It works out the positions automatically. Would be good to get a scan happening for them. But the chart has to be good and support the turn up before it's going to be a reliable signal, and that's down to human interpretation of many factors. Just because there is a channel turn up doesn't mean much....but would still be good as a screen anyway.

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    Intraday long YM 10390. Dipping toe in water

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      Originally posted by spikefader
                      Intraday long YM 10390. Dipping toe in water
                      out for scratch; I want the perfect entry.

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Closed ELN today for a b/e for anyone interested. Got as good as 6% or so, and not going to take a loss on it now.

                        Comment

                        • tokyojoeskid
                          No Posting allowed; invalid email
                          • Oct 2003
                          • 222

                          Hey Spike,

                          Wondering if you could give me an update on GW and VPHM. Looks like Vphm is trading in a very tight range on lesser volume, ready for another run up? Possible double bottom on GW.

                          Thanks,
                          tjK

                          Comment

                          • scifos
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2004
                            • 790

                            Originally posted by spikefader
                            so could it do the channel turn up search? I use the java-based stockcharts program to draw them; just click and drag. It works out the positions automatically. Would be good to get a scan happening for them. But the chart has to be good and support the turn up before it's going to be a reliable signal, and that's down to human interpretation of many factors. Just because there is a channel turn up doesn't mean much....but would still be good as a screen anyway.
                            I'll probably scrap this idea.
                            Buy Low
                            Sell High
                            STAY FROSTY!

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by tokyojoeskid
                              Hey Spike,

                              Wondering if you could give me an update on GW and VPHM. Looks like Vphm is trading in a very tight range on lesser volume, ready for another run up? Possible double bottom on GW.

                              Thanks,
                              tjK

                              Took VPHM long off 20band slip(3-min chart). In at 19.29. TGT hod or stop now at 19.29. This is only a D/T. Good luck if your going swing long!!

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Short YM 10352

                                Comment

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