Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by Thomrich
    Greetings Spike,

    As one of the years best shorts,DHB,a former bull until insiders sold buckets of shares,is looking like a further drop.

    Seemed to hit upper declining channel at the $4 range,has been dipping to lows 3s last couple of days,any hint of anything?

    BTW OSIP seems to be churning,getting ready for a dump?

    cordially Tom
    OSIP: That double top entry still in play. These charts support short.



    DHB: channel long while low holds. But no intraday pattern to support the long yet. Looking slippery intraday.

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Originally posted by Thomrich
      Greetings,

      As a heads up to anyone in banking stocks,take a peek at DRL,as one of the best buys a few years ago,it has completely broken down.To think insiders bought millions back in the high 30s,goes to show they dont know everything.

      I believe SPike had a bearish bias on this for a long time.

      cordially Tom
      Wow Tom, DRL is a good lesson for us all.
      This was the last chart I posted for it.

      and since then you can see the weekly channel short at 16.67 and it's fallen sharply from there. The channel from 16.67 shows price crashing through the lower channel, so it's not near done yet I think. That kind of channel behavior screams that long is wrong. The daily channel from 8.05 low turned down and I think it's headed lower.
      Note today Jan 5.00 puts +DRLMA are 0.20x0.35 (last trade 0.25). The Jan 7.50 puts +DRLMU are 0.80x0.90 (last trade 0.85). Let's revisit those prices in a several weeks and see how much they've appreciated. Anyone long DRL should seriously buy some of these to hedge.

      Learn from this one folks. The whispers and screams were there for all to see. You just have to know what to look for, and ACT on it. Don't be a bagholder!

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Long YM 10574 system signal. 30 pt stop on this one.

        Comment

        • billyjoe
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2003
          • 9014

          Spike,
          DRL is a perfect example why I'm suspicious of all foreign based stocks. They aren't playing under the same set of rules as their U.S. counterparts. Would this have been as likely to happen with a U.S. bank? OFG is another example , we just can't accurately monitor what's going on down there. Sure , we eventually find out , but it's too late by then. Maybe CIB and PCU are legit. At least PCU comes up with a great dividend regularly so we know that money is being made. Sure we've had our Enrons and Tycos , but we're getting better and putting some fear into the U.S. CEO conmen.

          billyjoe

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Originally posted by spikefader
            Long YM 10574 system signal. 30 pt stop on this one.
            Add 10559, tight stop on this add.

            Comment

            • scifos
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2004
              • 790

              Spike, any technical thoughts on TOL now that its gotten the wind knocked out of it?
              Buy Low
              Sell High
              STAY FROSTY!

              Comment


              • Greetings,

                To Spike and all,keep an eye on HANS tomorrow,not to bore you all to tears with my short hunt,but earnings are coming out.

                A miss,or not as good as expected report,and this could really tumble.Im hoping to get a SNAK type play.Its really run up prior to the release,could be a great ambush,targeting above 58 short,with a 40 cover.

                cordially Tom

                Comment

                • scifos
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2004
                  • 790

                  Spike, Congratulations on your thread reaching 5,000 posts and 100,000 views. This is by far the biggest thread in both categories. A testament to the quality of your posts/views/ideas/etc and everyone else who contributes!
                  Buy Low
                  Sell High
                  STAY FROSTY!

                  Comment

                  • Websman
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 5545

                    Originally posted by scifos
                    Spike, Congratulations on your thread reaching 5,000 posts and 100,000 views. This is by far the biggest thread in both categories. A testament to the quality of your posts/views/ideas/etc and everyone else who contributes!
                    Mine thread hasn't even had 24,000 views yet. I'll catch up in about 5 years. lol

                    Comment

                    • Lyehopper
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2004
                      • 3678

                      Originally posted by Websman
                      Mine thread hasn't even had 24,000 views yet. I'll catch up in about 5 years. lol
                      Better tighten up Webs.... Goji thread might pass you.
                      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                      Comment

                      • New-born baby
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 6095

                        Many congrats!

                        Originally posted by scifos
                        Spike, Congratulations on your thread reaching 5,000 posts and 100,000 views. This is by far the biggest thread in both categories. A testament to the quality of your posts/views/ideas/etc and everyone else who contributes!
                        Yes, Spike, many, many congratulations to you! In fact I really think the congratulations belongs to us readers, instead, because we get the benefit of having you amongst us. And yes, life wasn't too much fun while you were gone--and much, much better with you posting here. I (and all the others here) wish you much profit$$$$$$ and God's richest blessings.
                        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                        Comment


                        • Greetings,

                          As a follow up to my HANS short interest,it gapped up strong this AM,but per this chart



                          It appears to have gapped up to an upper channel on the daily and weekly charts.Ive heard it said sell into strength,any one have any opinions on if this could be an opportunity?

                          Im watching to see if can take out this mornings high,as of right now its $3.50 off its peak.

                          cordially Tom

                          Comment

                          • mystiky
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2004
                            • 333

                            What about charts of RMBS and PIXR?

                            Anyone with comments? Spike?

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              HANS: Yep Tom, that's a good opportunity to short the upper weekly channel tag, and the intraday chart shows the tweezer was the Gold medal. Sorry I couldn't get it to you faster.


                              Comment


                              • Aob

                                Originally posted by spikefader
                                Hi patrick, welcome to the thread. Glad you came outa lurking
                                AOB: here's a few charts for target and stop thoughts. With +8% now, you don't want to take a loss on it.


                                THANKS SPIKE- i SOLD HALF AT 7.00 -i WILL RIDE THE REST TO 8 OR 6.40- WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON VPHM- BOUNCE OFF BREAKOUT 21.50 OR SO OR BACK TO 18 OR SO BOTTOM OF CHANNEL- THANKS AGAIN

                                Comment

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