Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

[spikefader]

FLIR - the latest Mr.Market Pick.

Sounds like a great stock, but what does the chart say to me? In a word: Haggle.

[New-born baby]

FLIR et al

Spike

Great chart work on FLIR. You might have saved a lot of hides from a real tanning.

Now--if you've the time and interest--what about the runner ups: ARLP, down $3.07 today! And BDK, down $1.96 today. Bounce candidates? BDK looks to me to have run its course. I don't think they are going to meet there projected EPS for next quarter or next year. ARLP, on the other hand, has this potential: the ultilities are going to be running their coal fired plants wide open to avoid having to generate electricity with natural gas and oil. The big negative with ARLP is that it has no institutional support, and on any down day a stock without institutional support really suffers. What do you think? Are either one of these worth a look?

Thanks for the option work and the chart work! Best of investing to you always,

[spikefader]

Re: FLIR et al

Spike
Great chart work on FLIR. You might have saved a lot of hides from a real tanning.

Yup, the chart speaks for itself and screams wait to me, but the market will do what she wants to do. :P But it won't hurt to wait to buy at suppport.

.......runner ups: ARLP, down $3.07 today! And BDK, down $1.96 today. Bounce candidates? .......... The big negative with ARLP is that it has no institutional support, and on any down day a stock without institutional support really suffers. What do you think? Are either one of these worth a look?
Thanks for the option work and the chart work! Best of investing to you always,

You're welcome
Yup ARLP is definately a go tomorrow - as usual enter on a pattern or intraday S1/S2. Nice channel day today, with some expansion, but that's probably just because it's so steep, but caution with longs nonetheless. Stops under today's low is best.


BDK: Wait for better days.

[Michaelk005]

Dear beard of Zues. Take a look at the NVDA after hours. Anyways SPikey, do me a favour and take a look at TK for me, seems to be setting up nicely for a long position.

[spikefader]

Dear beard of Zues. Take a look at the NVDA after hours. Anyways SPikey, do me a favour and take a look at TK for me, seems to be setting up nicely for a long position.

NVDA As low at 10.25 I see. I can see it getting down to 10.00 during regular hours tomorrow and filling the gap for sure. And that would make a significant long-term channel break, so caution for anyone long. Despite 10 being near support, and the chance for a dead cat bounce, now would be a good time to at least consider the option of an emergency hedge with Put/s for any open positions.

Last TK chart: http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...Trading/TK.jpg
Today: Yup, looks bullish to me.

[spikefader]

SMH short intraday pattern:
Well, today was the day. SHS pattern is the first intraday pattern for SMH since my stop out. Also coincided with hitting R1 (resistence point 1).

With NVDA tumbling tonight, it could drag SMH lower. Would have been nice to be watching SMH today for an entry. Grrr.

[mrmarket]

AHC

Spike, if you owned (a shitload) of AHC stock and wanted to liquidate some, for diversification purposes, where would you be selling (based on technicals)? I've been looking to pull the trigger on some and can't seem to time it right, so I've been sitting on it.

Muchos Gracias.

[spikefader]

QQQ update:
previous weekly chart: http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...QQ_bearish.jpg

Current weekly:

[spikefader]

Re: AHC

Spike, if you owned (a shitload) of AHC stock and wanted to liquidate some, for diversification purposes, where would you be selling (based on technicals)? I've been looking to pull the trigger on some and can't seem to time it right, so I've been sitting on it.

Muchos Gracias.

Perfect place was channel resistence 3 weeks ago. It is now a prime short candidate! If it were me, and it were a bucketload, I'd take my money and run today or tomorrow on the next test of intraday resistence or intraday pattern:
Weekly:

Daily chart:

On an intraday basis, here are some ideas on where to sell it:

[mrmarket]

thanks...I took some at 79.34...I'm headed to Foxwoods tonight! Who will drink with me??

[Websman]

thanks...I took some at 79.34...I'm headed to Foxwoods tonight! Who will drink with me??

It's been a while since I've had a drink, but now might be a good time to start back.

I'll take a Jim Beam and Coke please...Make that a double!

[Websman]

Spike, Check out DHB...

Looks like a few traders got slaughtered! The best part is, I took your advice and followed the chart. Sure I missed a few extra points, but I did make a profit and I didn't lose my - - - like some others did today.

Yep, the chart rules. I'm convinced! A good long entry should be coming!

I still have money and I'm happy!

I hope the rest of y'all did ok today.

Have a great weekend!

[Websman]

OK, I've checked the chart on DHB...

I'm showing the next resistance at around $12.70 then $11.00.

Spike, corrct me if I'm wrong, but according to my interpretation, DHB could be a buy at $12.70 unless it breaks resistance.

[spikefader]

Spike, Check out DHB...

Looks like a few traders got slaughtered! The best part is, I took your advice and followed the chart. Sure I missed a few extra points, but I did make a profit and I didn't lose my - - - like some others did today.

Yep, the chart rules. I'm convinced! A good long entry should be coming!

I still have money and I'm happy!

I hope the rest of y'all did ok today.

Have a great weekend!

Ouch for holders. Glad you're out Webs. Never underestimate the power of gaps in price, and holes in volume by price.
I would look for a long at the light grey and light blue channels - almost got there today. We will see whether it gives an opportunity next week for an entry. Should those channels fail, then I would be confident of a gap fill pretty quickly.

[Websman]

Thanks Spike!

there was definitely a large amount of overconfidence in DHB. A lot of people took a hard hit.

I'm going to sit it out Monday and see what happens. A gap fill to $9.50 would be most excellent! I believe DHB may hit $20 by the end of the year and a buy at $9.50 would make for quite a profit.

It's feels good to be right!