NUS ==> The Fabulous Firecracker Winner!!

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    NUS ==> The Fabulous Firecracker Winner!!

    A couple of years, after I just graduated from college, a bunch of my friends flew down to Mobile, Alabama to attend G-berg’s wedding. Although we were greeted with all kinds of southern hospitality, the prevailing theme of our hosts was, “Those boys from Pennyslvania just ain’t right.” What we found particularly interesting was that G-berg’s future brother-in-law had made a tidy sum of money selling Vitamins. He had a nice house, a fast car and could do a standing backflip. He was living like Rico Suave, in a Mobile, Alabama kind of way. That was 20 years ago. The rest of the world has caught on.

    There is a wave coming over the Far East and it’s coming from the West. The East wants to be like the West. Beauty aids and diet supplements are growth industries in China, along with cell phones, cars and building materials. Everyone wants to be like the guy in the picture:



    Seguro que han oído que yo soy educado
    Soy un caballerito un chico bien portado
    Un joven responsible y siempre bien vestido
    Yo no se quien ha mentido

    I don't drink or smoke ain't into dope
    Won't try no coke, ask me how I do it, I cope
    My only addiction has to do with the female species
    I eat 'em raw like sushi

    No me gustan ternos, mi estilo es moderno
    Si me enterno, you me enfermo
    Mi apariencia es dura, vivo en la locura
    No me vengan con ternuras

    So please don't judge a book by its cover
    There's more to being a latin lover
    You got to know how to deal with a woman
    That won't let go
    The price you pay for being a gigolo

    There's not a woman that can handle
    A man like me
    That's why I juggle two or three
    I ain't one to commit, you can omit that bit
    You pop the question that's it
    Haber uno, dos, tres, cuatro mujeres
    Y la situaci?all?no muere
    No es un delito calmo mi apetito
    Con un llanto o un grito

    So again don't let my lyrics mislead you
    I don't love you but I need you
    Would you rather have me lie
    Take a piece of your pie and say bye
    Or be honest and rub your thighs

    Well, it's ten o'clock and I'm two hours late
    I never said I was a prompt date
    But you kept persisting that I meet your parents
    Huh, they're going to love my appearance

    Ding dong el timbre suena
    Tu madre abre, que vieja mas buena
    Le digo ¡Hola! Pero no para bola
    Que se ha creido vieja chola

    Go and serve the food mom
    Que tengo ambre
    If you don't hurry, me va a dar un calambre
    Y usted señor? Why's your chin on the floor?
    Sierra la boca por favor

    What's this amor, these little huevos?
    Esto s?que yo no pruebo

    I'm used to good ol' fashioned
    Homestyle Spanish cooking
    If i try that I'll be puking
    Well it's been a pleasure but we got to go
    Regresaremos temprano
    Cinco, seis, o siete de la mañana
    Su hija esta en buenas manos

    Yes, if everyone could be Rico Suave, wouldn’t the world be a much better place?

    Today I bought NUS (Nu Skin Enterprises Company) at 24.29. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at 28.04. Here’s why I like NUS:

    NUS stock is up over 130% over the last 12 months yet its PE is only 28. Given the ease with which this company grows its revenues, it is completely reasonable to assume that this growth will continue at this multiple. Given NUS's strong growth prospects, the shares are attractively valued trading at a current P/E to growth ratio of 0.8, below the 1.2 average for the personal care universe.

    The historical chart of the stock price confirms this, giving NUS an r^2 correlation coefficient over the last 12 months of 0.95. That is amazingly consistent rock solid price momentum and progression.




    Nu Skin Enterprises is a leading global direct selling company that distributes personal care products and nutritional supplements under the Nu Skin and Pharmanex brands. The company maintains three product divisions.

    Nu Skin, the company's original product line, accounted for 48% of sales in 2003. It consists of more than 100 personal care products in the areas of daily skin care, advanced skin treatments, ethnobotanical personal care and other advanced products.

    The Pharmanex division (45%) offers approximately 65 nutritional products, weight management products, and other specialty products. The flagship product for this division is LifePak nutritional supplements, which accounted for 43% and 20% of division and total company revenue, respectively. This division also leases a laser-based scanning tool to distributors that that measures the level of carotenoids (a powerful antioxidant) in skin tissue, and sells the Vitameal dehydrated food product, which is highly nutritious and designed to serve as an emergency food supply.

    One of Pharmanex’s hottest products is the Life Pak. Formulated to add life to your years, LifePak® contains nutrients that target the symptoms associated with normal aging. LifePak® is a multivitamin/mineral/phytonutrient supplement containing a blend of bone nutrients, cardio nutrients, and B vitamins for your general wellness. Plus, combined with your body's own defense systems, powerful antioxidants promote cell protection—giving you the benefit of maximum protection.*

    Benefits and Features:
    • Provides powerful protection against the normal symptoms of aging to help you look and feel better longer*
    • Offers superior protection against the everyday effects of pollution, toxins, and stress with more alpha-lipoic acid, lycopene, and grape seed extract*
    • Delivers comprehensive nutritional support for healthy bones*
    • Supplies a comprehensive blend of nutrients to support a healthy cardiovascular system*
    • Provides choline and inositol, ingredients that help support a healthy brain and liver*
    • Offers recognizable benefits to maintain your health with its clinically proven formula*

    The Pharmanex Difference

    LifePak® provides a full arsenal of nutrients that help prevent free radical damage to DNA that occurs during the natural aging process. DNA is the genetic material inside the cell's nucleus and mitochondria (cell's energy powerhouses). Healthy cell DNA is necessary for normal cell rejuvenation and regeneration, which takes place constantly on a daily basis. LifePak® delivers comprehensive nutritional support to help improve your cell DNA's ability to withstand free radical damage.* It now provides 500 percent more lycopene, 300 percent more alpha-lipoic acid, and 150 percent more grape seed extract. In addition, it supplies catechins equivalent to four cups of green tea—making the antioxidant arsenal in LifePak comparable to no other multivitamin/mineral supplement available! It's full-spectrum formula is proven equal or superior to more than 100 competitors as demonstrated by the LifePak® Challenge.*

    Ok..this is good stuff, but why will NUS’ stock go up? These guys have busted into China but are presently selling via direct retail and not by the method that will really make the sales multiply => the direct selling Amway method. NUS distributes its products exclusively through a network marketing system. It has a network of approximately 678,000 active distributors, located throughout its 30 international markets, that purchase products for resale to consumers and for personal consumption. Approximately 29,000 active distributors are classified as executive distributors, which maintain a relatively higher level of sales volumes. In mainland China, NUS operates a retail stores and an employed sales force due to government regulations that prohibit the direct sales business model. There is no reason to assume it will always be like this.

    Once direct selling gets off the ground, revenues will really mushroom. Amway already does direct selling in China, Nu Skin will follow. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ projects that sales will increase by double digit percent growth in 2004, reflecting robust growth in China and a recovery in North America, led by nutritional supplement sales. There will also be growth in North and Southeast Asia, with improving sales in Korea and Thailand. Revenues will also be benefited by more favorable monetary exchange rates.

    Speaking of mushrooms:

    Breast Cell Health Independent Research Researchers from Indiana University, the Methodist Research Institute and Purdue University performed a study comparing the biological activity of several reishi mushroom supplements (Ganoderma lucidum), including the Pharmanex(R) product ReishiMax(R), to determine ability to inhibit certain factors of highly invasive breast and prostate cancer cells. The study,
    "Biologic Activity of Spores and Dried Powder from Ganoderma lucidum for the Inhibition of Highly Invasive Human Breast and Prostate Cancer Cells," found that ReishiMax(R) had the most potent inhibition against breast and prostate cancer cell proliferation amongst all the samples. The article states, "Interestingly, the sample containing powdered extract with spores [ReishiMax(R)] was the most potent in inhibiting migration (99%)."

    The authors also notedthat ReishiMax(R) was the only reishi product to
    identify standardized active constituents, and suggested that, "the difference in potency to inhibit cancer cells of the different samples of Ganoderma lucidum can be the result of variation in the concentration of the active ingredients." Lastly, the authors showed that cracking spores by mechanistic disruption (as with ReishiMax(R)), increased activity by releasing biologically active components. This study was published in The Journal of Alternative and Complementary Medicine, Volume 9, Number 4, 2003, pp.491-497.

    In a follow-up study on ReishiMax(R), researchers from the University of Indiana and the Methodist Research Institute found that ReishiMax(R) may contribute to reducing invasion and metastasis of breast cancers by inhibiting cancer cell adhesion, cell migration, and growth of cancer cells. The study also showed that reishi (Ganoderma lucidum) could have preventive effects against secondary metastases, which are responsible for the high mortality of breast cancer. The study, "Ganoderma lucidum inhibits invasiveness of breast cancer cells," was published in the Journal of Cancer Integrative Medicine, 2004, Vol. 2, No. 1. Pop a pill to prevent breast cancer?? Do you know how HUGE this one could be?


    Of course, $$$MR. MARKET$$$ isn’t going to puss out and not make an earnings projection. ANAL-ysts have NUS earnings $1.14 for the full year 2004. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ is laughing like a hyena on bong hits. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ sees NUS earning $1.21/share in 2004 on revenues of $1,173 MM, which would be 19% growth over its 2003 revenues of $986 MM. How can it continue to do this? Start it off with its ROE of 22.7%, compared to the industry average of 14.7%. These guys know how to play the game. Their Return on Assets also demonstrates their business strength, 10.9% vs. the Industry Average of 5.4%.

    NUS seems to have the pricing power which is supported by their outstanding products and brand identity. The extra margin is just gravy which drips to the bottom line. Sales of LifePak(R),Pharmanex's flagship product, increased 119 percent in the United States year-over-year. The company's gross margin improved 230 basis points to 83.4 percent in the first quarter compared to prior year results.

    NUS also pays an $0.32/share dividend….ka – ching! This is a very significant source of revenue to shareholders.

    So if you take my $1.21 and multiply it by the P/E of 28, that takes you to a share price of $33.88, which well exceeds my sell target.

    The boss thinks so as well. Here’s a dog who really CAN hunt. "We are encouraged with our record first quarter revenue," said Truman Hunt, president and chief executive officer. "Mainland China continued to
    excel, posting revenue of $23 million in the quarter compared to $18 million in the fourth quarter of 2003. Japan reported 1 percent year-over-year local currency revenue growth. Revenue in the United States was up 16 percent, benefiting from sales at our February global distributor convention and growth in our nutrition business.

    "The number of active distributors and preferred customers increased 23 percent compared to the prior year. In addition, global monthly product subscription orders continued to climb, reaching a 55 percent increase over the first quarter of last year. We are very encouraged by this growth and believe that our focus on improving retention through product subscriptions and other mechanisms will positively impact our business in the future."

    "Japan, the United States and Mainland China remain our key geographic
    priorities," Hunt said. "We are preparing for a fourth quarter 2004 launch of the Pharmanex BioPhotonic Scanner in Japan. In the United States, the Pharmanex Scanner and customer retention initiatives will continue to be the primary revenue growth drivers. Our immediate objective in Mainland China is to train our growing sales force, enabling us to build a strong foundation for what has become an important market for us."

    "We continue to expect 2004 local currency revenue in Japan to hold
    relatively even with prior year results," said Ritch Wood, chief financial officer. "We project 20 percent growth in combined Pharmanex and Nu Skin revenue in the United States. And given China's first quarter results, we are increasing our guidance on China revenue to the $100 to $110 million range for the year. Therefore, we increase our 2004 revenue guidance to $1.10 to $1.12 billion, assuming a yen rate of approximately 110 for the year. We also expect to improve our operating margin for the year to 12 percent. Based on these expectations, we anticipate earnings per share to be in the $1.10 to $1.14 range, up five percent from our previous guidance of $1.05 to $1.08.

    "We expect second quarter revenue of $270 to $275 million, a 12 to 14
    percent increase over $241 million in the second quarter of 2003, assuming a yen rate of approximately 110. We anticipate earnings per share to increase 30 to 40 percent over the prior year to $0.26 to $0.28," Wood concluded.

    Ok..Woody, let’s go to the videotape:


    Earnings History Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04
    EPS Est 0.20 0.21 0.31 0.18
    EPS Actual 0.21 0.23 0.31 0.20
    Difference 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02
    Surprise % 5.0% 9.5% 0.0% 11.1%


    Wood and Hunt always beat their numbers. Rico…..Suave!

    I am HUGE!
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    #2
    Channels say great time to buy

    And MrMarket aligns himself very well with channels today Good luck!


    Comment

    • stockmarketwizard

      #3
      DMI

      I have several concerns about buying NUS right here
      right now. For one, we just got a bearish cross on
      the DMI daily chart. Secondly, it is flirting with the
      50 day MA. It has held up to now recently, but if it
      breaks that could mean another test of the 22 area
      and a possible H&S pattern.

      I am looking for more down side in the market over the
      coming weeks so if we can get a decent pullback, I would
      be a buyer of NUS. The fundamental picture looks promising.

      Comment

      • mrmarket
        Administrator
        • Sep 2003
        • 5971

        #4
        Spike...your charts are too HUGE..they are messing up my threads...please reduce them!
        =============================

        I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

        - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          #5
          Originally posted by mrmarket
          Spike...your charts are too HUGE..they are messing up my threads...please reduce them!
          Sorry about that. But after all, it was only 890x740 pixels. Anyway, I just reduced it to 640x530. How's that?

          Comment

          • mrmarket
            Administrator
            • Sep 2003
            • 5971

            #6
            Originally posted by spikefader
            Originally posted by mrmarket
            Spike...your charts are too HUGE..they are messing up my threads...please reduce them!
            Sorry about that. But after all, it was only 890x740 pixels. Anyway, I just reduced it to 640x530. How's that?
            most excellent
            =============================

            I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

            - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

            Comment

            • Websman
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 5545

              #7
              NUS...

              Man, why didn't I think of this one. It is true that all Chinese want to look and be like us. I was in Shanghai China, the year before last, and was practically treated like a god. My gracious chinese hosts were doing everything they could to please me and to be in my awesome American presence.

              Yes my friends, Americans are highly regarded in China. They live under Communist rule while we do not. They want to be rich like us. They want to be free like us. But most important...They want to look and dress like us.

              Network Marketing would be quite a challenge, however, even if the Chinese government allows it. The chinese love to argue about everything and would have some difficulty with the whole network marketing thing. I suppose it could work, though if it was closely monitored.

              I'll be going back to Shanghai eventually and will keep an eye out for Nuskin products. I will tell my Chinese friends about Nuskin and how they can look like me if they use Nuskin products. I will explain to them, how they can be rich like me if they distribute Nuskin products, assuming the government allows it.

              I may buy NUS in the next couple of weeks. I believe a better entry point is coming.

              Good pick Mr Market! Good luck

              Comment

              • mrmarket
                Administrator
                • Sep 2003
                • 5971

                #8
                Here we go!!

                Welcome, ebarsamian2003 [Sign Out] Money Manager - My Yahoo! View - Customize
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                Press Release Source: Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc.


                Nu Skin Enterprises Reports Record Second Quarter 2004 Results
                Tuesday July 27, 4:00 am ET
                Share Repurchase Also Announced


                PROVO, Utah, July 27 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE: NUS - News) reported record quarterly revenue of $284.2 million, an 18 percent increase over the second quarter of 2003. Earnings per share increased 33 percent to $0.28, including the negative impact of a one-time, $1.2 million, non-cash amortization adjustment. Favorable results are attributed to progress in Mainland China, accelerated growth in the company's U.S. business, beneficial foreign currency fluctuations, and an ongoing emphasis on distributor and customer retention programs. In a separate release, the company also announced today the repurchase of 3.1 million shares of common stock from members of the company's original stockholder group.
                ADVERTISEMENT


                Financial Results

                For the quarter ended June 30, 2004, Nu Skin Enterprises' revenue was $284.2 million compared to $240.7 million in the second quarter of 2003. Net income was $20.3 million and earnings per share were $0.28 for the second quarter compared to net income of $16.8 million and earnings per share of $0.21 for the same period in 2003. Operating results for the second quarter of 2004 include a one-time, non-cash amortization adjustment which negatively impacted earnings by $.01 per share. Earnings for the period were also negatively impacted by foreign currency translation losses of $1.5 million versus foreign currency translation gains of $1.2 million in the second quarter of 2003. Revenue for the quarter was positively impacted 4 percent by favorable foreign currency fluctuations.

                For the six months ended June 30, 2004, revenue increased 19 percent over prior-year results to $548.2 million, while net income improved to $34.8 million compared to net income of $29.6 million in the prior year. Earnings per share for the first half of 2004 improved 31 percent to $0.47, up from $0.36 in 2003. Revenue in the first six months was positively impacted 5 percent by favorable foreign currency fluctuations.

                "Our largest quarterly revenue in company history comes as a result of our continued focus on key geographies and the positive impact of our global business initiatives," commented Truman Hunt, president and chief executive officer. "Mainland China posted strong growth with revenue increasing to $29.5 million, a 30 percent sequential increase. The U.S. market had a terrific quarter, driven by year-over-year Pharmanex growth of 47 percent. Japan local currency revenue for the quarter was slightly down from the prior year due to many Japanese leaders focusing their attention on our surging business in China and uncertainty as to how the BioPhotonic Scanner will be implemented in Japan.

                "Our distributor and customer retention efforts also paid dividends this quarter. Our global monthly subscription orders grew 57 percent over last year, with 278,000 subscription orders shipped in June," concluded Hunt.

                Regional Results

                North Asia. Second quarter revenue in North Asia was $159.5 million, up 6 percent compared to the same period in 2003. Local currency revenue in Japan was down 2 percent, while South Korea experienced year-over-year revenue growth of 6 percent in local currency. The executive and active distributor counts in the region decreased 2 percent and increased 1 percent, respectively, compared to prior-year results.

                Greater China. Revenue in Greater China increased 97 percent to $59.2 million for the second quarter, primarily due to more than 400 percent revenue growth in Mainland China. Hong Kong and Taiwan were also up, with year-over-year local currency revenue growth of 71 percent and 4 percent, respectively. The company continued its expansion efforts in China with the recent opening of Qingdao, a city of 2 million people in the Shangdong Province that has a population of 91 million. With this new addition, the company now operates in 23 cities and 8 provinces in China. Hong Kong results were driven by healthy business activity among local distributors as well as an increase in purchases from China sales representatives. Driven by growth in China, active distributors in the region increased 150 percent, and the executive distributor count was up 117 percent when compared to the second quarter of 2003.

                North America. Revenue in North America was $36.0 million, a 9 percent improvement over the second quarter of 2003. Year-over-year comparisons were negatively impacted by revenue in the second quarter of 2003 of approximately $5 million from Big Planet products and services that were eliminated in the third quarter of 2003. The continued focus on retention and customer loyalty efforts -- due in part to the positive impact of monthly subscription order programs and the Pharmanex® BioPhotonic Scanner -- helped boost results in the United States, with Pharmanex revenue up 47 percent for the quarter. Nu Skin revenue in the United States increased 13 percent in the quarter. The executive and active distributor counts in North America improved 16 percent and 17 percent, respectively, over prior-year results.

                South Asia/Pacific. Revenue in South Asia/Pacific was up 13 percent in the second quarter to $20.4 million. Revenue declines in Australia and New Zealand were more than offset by double-digit gains in combined sales from Singapore and Malaysia. Thailand revenue was up 18 percent in local currency year-over-year, but was slightly down sequentially. The second quarter executive count decreased 7 percent and the active distributor count increased 11 percent, compared to the same period in 2003. The decline in executive distributors was due to a high number of executive qualifications in 2003 associated with the China opening.

                Other Markets. Revenue from the company's other markets was up 2 percent to $9.1 million in the second quarter due primarily to improved sales in Latin American markets and favorable currency fluctuations in Europe. Both the executive and active distributor counts in Europe and Latin America increased 7 percent compared to the second quarter of 2003.

                Division Results

                Nu Skin. Second quarter personal care revenue was $142.9 million in the second quarter, up 28 percent compared to prior-year results and up 23 percent excluding the impact of foreign currency fluctuations. The improvement was primarily due to strong personal care product sales in Mainland China.

                Pharmanex. Nutrition revenue increased 17 percent compared to the prior-year period to $135.7 million for the second quarter. Pharmanex revenue was positively impacted by an increased focus on retention programs as well as the rollout of the Pharmanex® BioPhotonic Scanner in several international markets.

                Big Planet. Due to the divestiture of unprofitable products and services in the third quarter of 2003, Big Planet revenue decreased to $5.7 million for the second quarter.

                Operational Performance

                The company's gross margin improved approximately 200 basis points to 83.3 percent compared to second quarter 2003 results, but remained essentially level sequentially. The year-over-year improvement was due to the discontinuation of low margin Big Planet products and services, strong gross margins in Mainland China, as well as favorable foreign currency exchange rates. Selling expenses as a percent of sales increased 220 basis points to 42.7 percent, but also remained constant on a sequential basis.

                General and administrative expenses as a percent of revenue improved nearly 170 basis points over prior-year results to 28.3 percent. This improvement is largely due to leveraging operational efficiencies as revenue increased. Compared to the second quarter of 2003, operating margin improved 160 basis points to 12.3 percent.

                General and administrative expenses for the second quarter of 2004 were negatively impacted by a one-time amortization charge of $1.2 million resulting from changes in the amortization of some of the company's intangible assets. The adjustment resulted from the company's reevaluation of amortization of intangible assets based upon input from the Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with the review of the company's resale registration statements. The company also recorded an additional $275,000 of amortization in the second quarter based on these changes and will continue to recognize additional amortization of $275,000 per quarter going forward. The company has filed a request for the registration statements filed in connection with the recapitalization transaction in October 2003 and a private placement by one of the company's shareholders in 2003 to be declared effective, which it anticipates will occur within the next few days.

                The company posted a $2.7 million loss in other income in the quarter due to interest expense and fluctuations in foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar. Earnings per share for the quarter were positively impacted by the repurchase of 10.8 million shares of Class A Common Stock, which occurred in October of 2003. The company's cash position at the end of the second quarter increased sequentially by $34.4 million to $169.8 million as a result of $44.0 million of cash flow generated from operations in the quarter. The company paid $5.7 million in dividends in the quarter.

                Outlook

                "Because of the positive impact of the BioPhotonic Scanner in the U.S. and elsewhere, and due to the high growth associated with China, we are confident that we will grow the business in each of our major markets over the next 18 months," said Hunt.

                "In Japan, we confirmed with regulators last week that we will be able to use the Scanner as a non-medical device. This is significant because we can now commence pre-launch marketing efforts and offer individual use of Scanners in Japan, as we do in the United States. Scanners will not be available for individual use in Japan, however, until late November. Until then, we anticipate that many of our Japanese sales leaders will continue to focus on China through the September Greater China convention. Given Japan's strong third quarter of 2003, we project current-year results to be slightly down in the third quarter, with the year-over-year revenue comparison improving in the fourth quarter. We are confident that the Scanner will trigger growth in Japan in 2005.

                "This is also an important quarter in China, as we expect to have better visibility on the direction of new direct selling regulations by the end of September. We continue to focus on sales employee training, as opposed to maximizing revenue growth. And in the third quarter we will host a Greater China convention in Hong Kong, where we expect some 9,000 attendees, with as many as 5,000 of these coming from the mainland. The convention will have a positive impact on Hong Kong results and a negative impact on Mainland China results in the third quarter. We are comfortable, however increasing our China revenue guidance for the year to approximately $120 million," Hunt continued.

                "We currently anticipate favorable changes in regulations that will allow us to compete on a level playing field with our direct selling competitors in China. Even without favorable regulatory changes, however, we expect the introduction of Pharmanex in early 2005 and the opening of new cities throughout China to enable us to generate approximately $180 million in revenue in 2005.

                "We are exceeding our expectations in the United States currently, where we targeted 20 percent growth in Pharmanex and Nu Skin in 2004. We now anticipate growing the United States business approximately 25 percent on a year-over-year basis in the second half of 2004.

                "We also see improving results in most of our other markets and continue to make progress on an emerging markets business model. We look forward to opening Israel before year's end, and target opening Russia in the second half of 2005," Hunt concluded.

                "All things considered, we estimate year-over-year revenue growth of 15 percent in the third quarter, with sales reaching $280 to $285 million," said Ritch Wood, chief financial officer. "Factoring in the share repurchase we announced in a separate release today and considering a slightly higher level of amortization than previously anticipated, earnings per share should grow in the third quarter to $0.29 to $0.31 per share. For the year, we increase our revenue guidance to approximately $1.13 billion, assuming a yen rate of approximately 110 to the dollar. This would generate earnings per share of $1.10 to $1.14.

                "Assuming $180 million in China, and a yen rate of approximately 110 to the dollar, we forecast revenue growth in 2005 of 8 to 10 percent or approximately $1.22 billion to $1.25 billion. This would yield earnings growth in the 20 to 25 percent range, or approximately $1.35 to $1.40 earnings per share," concluded Wood.

                The Company

                Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. is a global direct selling company operating in 35 markets throughout Asia, the Americas and Europe. The company markets premium quality personal care products under the Nu Skin® brand, science-based nutritional supplements under the Pharmanex® brand, and technology products and services under the Big Planet® brand. Nu Skin, Pharmanex and Big Planet are registered trademarks of the company and its affiliates.

                Nu Skin Enterprises is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "NUS." Nu Skin Enterprises' press releases are available online at www.nuskinenterprises.com.

                Please note: This press release, particularly the "Outlook" section, contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 that represent the company's current expectations and beliefs, including, among other thingsi) the company's plans to introduce the Pharmanex®BioPhotonic Scanner in many of its international markets, including a fourth quarter 2004 launch in Japan, (ii) the company's plans to launch its Pharmanex products into China early next year and commence operations in new markets; (iii) financial projections for the third quarter of 2004, the year 2004 and the year 2005; (iv) the company's anticipated growth in China revenue in 2004 and 2005; (v) the company's belief that it will grow the business in each of its major markets over the next 18 months; and (vi) the anticipation that the company's registration statements will be declared effective in the next few days. The forward-looking statements and related assumptions involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: (a) continued regulatory scrutiny in China which has from time to time in the past, and could in the future, negatively impact the company's business, including the suspension of sales activities in stores and the imposition of fines; (b) any inability of the company to effectively manage rapid growth in China, including training and management of a large employed sales force, and regulatory risks associated with any failure of such sales force to comply with applicable company policies and government regulations; (c) risk that the Chinese government fails to adopt favorable direct selling regulations, or that the company is unable to obtain a direct selling license under these regulations; (d) regulatory risks associated with the Pharmanex® BioPhotonic Scanner, which could delay or inhibit the company's use of the Scanner if it is determined to be a medical device in any market; (e) risks that could adversely impact the company's operations or financial results in its markets, including its largest market, Japan, such as any continuation or increase in the impact of negative market conditions on the company's business, material decreases in executive level and active distributors, adverse changes in exchange rates, or the company's failure to execute effective initiatives in these markets; (f) any failure of planned initiatives or products, including the introduction of the BioPhotonic Scanner in Japan, to generate interest among distributors and customers and generate sponsoring and selling activities on a sustained basis; (g) adverse publicity related to the company's business, products or industry; (h) continued competitive pressures in the company's markets; and (i) the unwillingness of the Securities and Exchange Commission to declare the company's pending registration statements effective. The company's financial performance and the forward-looking statements contained herein are further qualified by a detailed discussion of associated risks set forth in the documents filed by the company with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Amendment No. 4 to the company's most recent registration statement on Form S-3 filed on July 26, 2004. The forward-looking statements set forth the company's beliefs as of the date of this release, and the company assumes no duty to update the forward-looking statements contained in this release to reflect any change.

                NU SKIN ENTERPRISES, INC.
                Consolidated Statements of Income
                For the Second Quarters Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003
                (in thousands, except per share amounts)

                2004 2003

                Revenue:
                North Asia $159,545 $150,681
                Greater China 59,167 30,021
                North America 36,046 33,058
                South Asia/Pacific 20,410 18,028
                Other Markets 9,073 8,932
                Total revenue 284,241 240,720

                Cost of sales 47,506 45,292
                Gross profit 236,735 195,428

                Operating expenses:
                Selling expenses 121,398 97,492
                General and administrative expenses 80,382 72,197
                Total operating expenses 201,780 169,689

                Operating income 34,955 25,739

                Other income (expense), net (2,702) 965
                Income before provision
                for income taxes 32,253 26,704
                Provision for income taxes 11,934 9,880

                Net income $20,319 $16,824

                Net income per share:
                Basic $0.28 $0.21
                Diluted $0.28 $0.21

                Weighted average number
                of shares outstanding:
                Basic 71,570 80,403
                Diluted 73,747 81,561


                NU SKIN ENTERPRISES, INC.
                Consolidated Statements of Income
                For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003
                (in thousands, except per share amounts)

                2004 2003

                Revenue:
                North Asia $309,600 $284,776
                Greater China 106,742 57,074
                North America 73,608 65,519
                South Asia/Pacific 40,087 35,930
                Other Markets 18,192 17,053
                Total revenue 548,229 460,352

                Cost of sales 91,429 86,901
                Gross profit 456,800 373,451

                Operating expenses:
                Selling expenses 233,980 185,528
                General and administrative expenses 164,016 142,470
                Total operating expenses 397,996 327,998

                Operating income 58,804 45,453

                Other income (expense), net (3,567) 1,541
                Income before provision
                for income taxes 55,237 46,994
                Provision for income taxes 20,438 17,387

                Net income $34,799 $29,607

                Net income per share:
                Basic $0.49 $0.37
                Diluted $0.47 $0.36

                Weighted average number
                of shares outstanding:
                Basic 71,348 80,589
                Diluted 73,396 81,890


                NU SKIN ENTERPRISES, INC.
                Consolidated Balance Sheets
                (in thousands)

                June 30, 2004 December 31, 2003
                ASSETS
                Current assets:
                Cash and cash equivalents $169,774 $122,568
                Accounts receivable 16,054 15,054
                Inventories, net 87,773 83,338
                Prepaid expenses and other 46,953 60,163
                320,554 281,123

                Property and equipment, net 64,612 60,528
                Goodwill 111,331 118,768
                Other intangible assets, net 62,847 67,572
                Other assets 58,819 63,068
                Total assets $618,163 $591,059

                LIABILITIES AND
                STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
                Current liabilities:
                Accounts payable $15,567 $18,816
                Accrued expenses 93,937 95,068
                Current portion of
                long-term debt 17,733 17,915
                127,237 131,799

                Long-term debt 146,457 147,488
                Other liabilities 20,608 21,524
                Total liabilities 294,302 300,811

                Stockholders' equity:
                Class A common stock 72 71
                Additional paid-in capital (60,254) (68,191)
                Accumulated other
                comprehensive loss (68,873) (70,849)
                Retained earnings 454,925 431,615
                Deferred compensation (2,009) (2,39
                323,861 290,248
                Total liabilities and
                stockholders' equity $618,163 $591,059


                NU SKIN ENTERPRISES, INC.
                Distributor/Preferred Customer Growth by Market

                As of June 30, 2004 As of June 30, 2003 % Increase (Decrease)
                Active* Executive Active* Executive Active* Executive
                North
                Asia 318,000 15,907 313,000 16,276 1.6% (2.3%)
                Greater
                China** 261,000 8,384 104,000 3,861 151.0% 117.1%
                North
                America 126,000 3,157 109,000 2,726 15.6% 15.8%
                South
                Asia/
                Pacific 69,000 2,040 63,000 2,198 9.5% (7.2%)
                Other
                Markets 34,000 1,085 32,000 1,011 6.3% 7.3%

                Total 808,000 30,573 621,000 26,072 30.1% 17.3%



                Active distributors include preferred customers and distributors purchasing products directly from the company during the quarter.
                Following the opening of the company's retail business in Mainland China during 2003, active distributors include 191,000 and 36,000 preferred customers in Mainland China and executive distributors include 5,586 and 1,212 employed, full-time sales representatives for the quarters ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
                =============================

                I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  #9
                  Not to be a party pooper or thread crapper, but just for those interested in technicals, I'd be waiting for this short signal to be invalidated by some bullishness first.

                  Comment

                  • Karel
                    Administrator
                    • Sep 2003
                    • 2199

                    #10
                    No problem, spike! I'm just waiting for my 15% (since 7-12).

                    $$$Mr. Market$$$ is HUGE!
                    My Investopedia portfolio
                    (You need to have a (free) Investopedia or Facebook login, sorry!)

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Karel
                      No problem, spike! I'm just waiting for my 15% (since 7-12).

                      $$$Mr. Market$$$ is HUGE!
                      LOL wow, nice action today! You got your target!

                      Comment

                      • jiesen
                        Senior Member
                        • Sep 2003
                        • 5319

                        #12
                        I'm out

                        Got my 15% here at 27.9.

                        Thanks for the HUGE pick, $$MM!!! Time for another one (assuming it holds 28 here)

                        This was less than 3 weeks in a tough market, too... You rock!

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          SOLD

                          Got out at $28.15 for a 16% gain. Great pick Mr Market!! NUS was a real flyer for being held less than three weeks. Makes up some for the losses on my personal picks.

                          Comment

                          • Jaws57
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2003
                            • 100

                            #14
                            NUS

                            I just checked by email(I am real busy lately so I use sell orders) and lo and behold another MrMarket winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 15%+

                            Thanks MM!!!!!!!

                            Jaws57
                            Jaws57

                            Comment

                            • Karel
                              Administrator
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 2199

                              #15


                              Very, very nice! And I even got 15.8%, because I got in a bit lower!

                              Need I say?

                              $$$Mr. Market$$$ is HUGE
                              My Investopedia portfolio
                              (You need to have a (free) Investopedia or Facebook login, sorry!)

                              Comment

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