Bull or bear?
Bullish/Bearish Poll week ended Jan. 21
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Bull riding
Spike,
The market was bought up 700 points post-election on no news other than Pres. Bush was re-elected. That means the jump in prices was not based on economic conditions like profits, the end of the war against Muslim Fundamentalists, lower interest rates, stronger dollar, balanced budget, etc. Therefore, I think we need to get back to 10,200 level (pre-election) at least before we can have a stable market. It may be choppy for a while.
Please go ahead and tell me why I am wrong. But just remember: you got bucked off that bull last week.
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fundamental strength of the economy
Gatorman,
I agree with you on this: no change in the fundamental strength of the economy.
I disagree with this: bullish because no change.
Why I disagree: the post election rally was based not on a change in the economy, but glee over Mr. Bush's election. That's why the rally; now people have sobered up some. That's why the drop. Therefore, I remain bearish until the market levels back down to pre-election levels, about 10,200.
But what do I know? I am just a newborn baby.
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Originally posted by New-born babyGatorman,
I agree with you on this: no change in the fundamental strength of the economy.
I disagree with this: bullish because no change.
Why I disagree: the post election rally was based not on a change in the economy, but glee over Mr. Bush's election. That's why the rally; now people have sobered up some. That's why the drop. Therefore, I remain bearish until the market levels back down to pre-election levels, about 10,200.
But what do I know? I am just a newborn baby.
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I struck OIL!!!
I just have to believe oil is the culprit holding us back! Throughout the last quarter of 04 till now, if you overlay the price of oil with the movement of the markets you will see a clear inverse relationship.
This Friday we had a little relief due to the ppi showing no great inflation due to last falls rise in oil. I keep hearing interviews that oil should be going toward 40 and not 50, but that we in the midst of the coldest 3 to 4 weeks of the year so demand is highest right now!
So I Should hope we are not entering a bear market, but only seeing a reaction to oil prices. Maybe, Maybe the market has built in the next few "cold winter weeks".
I am Bullish, ...I hope
JohnLast edited by Guest; 01-15-2005, 10:46 PM.
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I have hardly followed the market this past week...but I liked the bounce off support...If we break out past 2110...I'm Bullish to the 2150 area.
BTW...The poll says January 12...but I see it really means Jan 21...IIC"Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"
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Originally posted by New-born babySpike...I think we need to get back to 10,200 level (pre-election) at least before we can have a stable market. It may be choppy for a while.
Please go ahead and tell me why I am wrong. But just remember: you got bucked off that bull last week.I can't tell you why! I'm just a monkey at the wheel! or on the bull?? or maybe I'm just full of bull??
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