Portfolio of the Week

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  • For the following, I was just playing around a bit with the stock picks.
    Looking for correlation between my pick, VGK, it seems that two stocks are negatively correlated AXTI and NVAX and that TRID has perfect correlation with VGK.

    Now, if we use some pattern recognition code for Amibroker we have that price structure of today for VGK has lead to a close above the open 46.2% (6 times) of the time and a close below the open 53.8% of the time (7 times).

    Applying the code to the other 3 tickers:
    AXTI: Has closed higher than the open 57.1% of the time (
    Closed below the open 42.9% of the time.(6)

    NVAX: Closed above the open 32% of the time (17)
    Below the open 56.6% of the time(30)
    Equal 11.3% of the time(6)

    TRID:
    Closed higher 46.15% (36)
    Closed lower 51.28% (40)
    Closed equal 2.57% (2)

    Now assuming that the pattern code was correct and that the small sample size for some of the tickers holds, then it appears like AXTI would be the rational bet to hold long.
    Last edited by Guest; 03-27-2006, 10:07 PM.

    Comment

    • Lyehopper
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 3678

      Originally posted by scifos
      Have you checked your calculator's batteries?
      Why don't you actually calculate it and see if I'm right or not before you make yourself sound like an ass yet again. Rounding isn't the issue.

      1.47 - 4.85 + 11.26 - 3.19 - 2.58 + 1.87 + 10.85 + 2.38 = 17.21
      17.21 / 8 = 2.15125

      THATS how I got 2.15, idiot. And maybe while you're at Wal-Mart getting a new calculator you should pick up a new magic 8 ball because your "new math" guess didn't work out so hot either.

      Then again, perhaps you're right about the "new math". All these newfangled computers and fancy desktop calculators must just get you all confused and befuddled as to how to come up with an average. Perhaps all that cow shit is gummin up your slide rule.
      College boy!!!! There are twelve (12) weeks in the formula.... ya gotta dig a little deeper dude. I might be an "ass".... but at least this ass can realize that we have burned more than eight weeks this year.... DUH!!!!
      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

      Comment

      • Websman
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 5545

        Originally posted by Lyehopper
        College boy!!!! There are twelve (12) weeks in the formula.... ya gotta dig a little deeper dude. I might be an "ass".... but at least this ass can realize that we have burned more than eight weeks this year.... DUH!!!!
        DUH!!!

        Dude, I believe Scifos called you an idiot. If that's what it takes to be as successful as you, I want to be an idiot too....jejeje

        Comment

        • MickyMouse
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2005
          • 168

          Rob,

          Thanks for keeping the book. Where do you get the opening price? LVLT opened at $4.28 not 4.24. My percentage is in fact lower than you have in the table.

          Mickey
          "Coming together is a beginning, staying together is progress and working together is success"

          Comment

          • Lyehopper
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2004
            • 3678

            12-8= 4 weeks lost to slumber! or 30% of the qtr. blown!!!!

            Originally posted by Websman
            DUH!!!

            Dude, I believe Scifos called you an idiot. If that's what it takes to be as successful as you, I want to be an idiot too....jejeje
            I think he has slept through 30% of the new year dude. Scifos didn't really mean it.... Too much sleep tends make a fella a bit grouchy.lol.... Plus he might have run out of weed.... or maybe the big "protest" this weekend didn't go as he had planned or something catastrophic like that.jejeje.... His brain will solidify by the time he's 30....
            BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

            Comment

            • Websman
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 5545

              Originally posted by Lyehopper
              I think he has slept through 30% of the new year dude. Scifos didn't really mean it.... Too much sleep tends make a fella a bit grouchy.lol.... Plus he might have run out of weed.... or maybe the big "protest" this weekend didn't go as he had planned or something catastrophic like that.jejeje.... His brain will solidify by the time he's 30....
              Very true...My brain didn't kick in until I hit 35

              Comment

              • New-born baby
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 6095

                I like it like that

                Originally posted by Websman
                Very true...My brain didn't kick in until I hit 35
                Webs,
                Nice new avatar. Makes you look . . .shall we say, distinguished?
                pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                Comment

                • IIC
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 14938

                  Originally posted by Websman
                  Very true...My brain didn't kick in until I hit 35

                  But aren't you only 34?
                  "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                  Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                  Follow Me On Twitter

                  Comment

                  • Websman
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 5545

                    Originally posted by IIC
                    But aren't you only 34?
                    Yea...that sounds good.

                    Comment

                    • skiracer
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2004
                      • 6314

                      Originally posted by Lyehopper
                      I think he has slept through 30% of the new year dude. Scifos didn't really mean it.... Too much sleep tends make a fella a bit grouchy.lol.... Plus he might have run out of weed.... or maybe the big "protest" this weekend didn't go as he had planned or something catastrophic like that.jejeje.... His brain will solidify by the time he's 30....
                      I've gotten that way when I've run out of weed an or "goji,or both. Personally I don't understand the need to be that derrogatory towards another forum member over a simple mathematical calculation or mistake. It doesn't do anything towards building commaraderie.
                      THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

                      Comment

                      • Lyehopper
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2004
                        • 3678

                        Originally posted by skiracer
                        I've gotten that way when I've run out of weed an or "goji,or both. Personally I don't understand the need to be that derrogatory towards another forum member over a simple mathematical calculation or mistake. It doesn't do anything towards building commaraderie.
                        OH CRAP!!!! that reminds me!.... I owe you some "GoJi" don't I dude?.... And Ray Long too...jeje .... Forgetting to send a fella his GoJi "dosen't do anything towards building commaraderie" either does it Ski? lol

                        I'd better get on that!
                        BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                        Comment

                        • IIC
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2003
                          • 14938

                          Originally posted by Lyehopper
                          OH CRAP!!!! that reminds me!.... I owe you some "GoJi" don't I dude?.... And Ray Long too...jeje .... Forgetting to send a fella his GoJi "dosen't do anything towards building commaraderie" either does it Ski? lol

                          I'd better get on that!
                          Heck...I've been asking for months...How come I never got any???

                          Do I have to drive out to West Virginia and pick it up???
                          "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                          Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                          Follow Me On Twitter

                          Comment

                          • Rob
                            Senior Member
                            • Sep 2003
                            • 3194

                            A Little Clarification

                            Originally posted by scifos
                            Gatorman's average should be 2.15, not 3.15
                            On the weekly totals, only the last eight weeks show up. Due to the limited width of the display on this message board, weeks 1 through (latest week minus are hidden, though their totals are still calculated into the average.

                            Gatorman's scores for weeks 1 through 4 are: 5.41%, 1.77%, 4.54%, and 8.84%, a total of 20.56. (These scores can be seen here.) If you add that figure to the sum of weeks 5-12 (17.21), you get 37.77. When you divide that total by 12 weeks you get: 37.77/12 = 3.1475.

                            I never did explain the hidden columns. In the back of my mind, there was a persistent thought that this might lead to some confusion, but I guess I figured I would just address the question whenever it was raised.

                            Scifos, I've known Lyehopper personally for quite a few years now. There are times he's made me madder than rained-on rooster in a tote sack. But you can trust me when I tell you he's no idiot.
                            —Rob

                            Comment

                            • Peter Hansen
                              Banned
                              • Jul 2005
                              • 3968

                              Lye I am Confused?

                              Originally posted by Lyehopper
                              OH CRAP!!!! that reminds me!.... I owe you some "GoJi" don't I dude?.... And Ray Long too...jeje .... Forgetting to send a fella his GoJi "dosen't do anything towards building commaraderie" either does it Ski? lol

                              I'd better get on that!

                              You often refer to beef Goji......is that similar to the shoe leather "Beef Jerky" you can buy at any convenience store LOL! Inquiring minds wish to know .

                              Pete

                              Comment

                              • Lyehopper
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2004
                                • 3678

                                Originally posted by IIC
                                Heck...I've been asking for months...How come I never got any???

                                Do I have to drive out to West Virginia and pick it up???
                                You're way too sensitive for "the GoJi" Doug. But If you REALLY want to drive to "West VA" I'm SURE you can get you some.lol Try Williamson West VA first....
                                BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                                Comment

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