Portfolio of the Week

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  • scifos
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2004
    • 790

    Originally posted by scifos
    I've been holding ZOLT for quite awhile (since I picked it for POTW in feb @ 16.31) and am up almost 100% on it and it could be looking for more, up strong lately on volume.
    Look at it run in after hours! The earnings report was HUGE!
    Buy Low
    Sell High
    STAY FROSTY!

    Comment

    • scifos
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 790

      SGG making a nice after hours move too, probably due to ZOLT (same industry) posting huge earnings.
      Buy Low
      Sell High
      STAY FROSTY!

      Comment

      • Rob
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 3194

        Zolt

        Hey, Scifos! Congrats on ZOLT, dude! HUUUGE!!!!! Aren't they the ones who make that cola with "all the sugar and twice the caffeine"? No, wait ..... that's Jolt! ... heh heh ... Different company. Anyways, congrats, dude!
        —Rob

        Comment


        • Thanks Rob. Still actually holding IVAC. Had an excellent earnings release, but remained range bound. But, for this contest's purposes, I saw it fail to break the triangle and figured, that's as good as it gets this week

          Comment

          • Rob
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2003
            • 3194

            Week 19 (6), day 3

            Diogenes' Allegheny Technologies Inc. (ATI), which happens to be not only a member of the S&P 500 but of the S&P 100, also happens to be a member this week of the POTW top 1. Super pick on what appears to be a fairly rotten week, Diogenes!!! Would you care to enlighten the rest of us on just what made you believe this specialty metals producer was going to prosper so handsomely this week?


            Number two on the list this 3rd day of the week is Huge Pete HUGE!!! Ol' Pete has decided to show us all how it's done, this time playing Northern Orion Resources, Inc. (NTO) of Vancouver, B.C. Don't let that Kanuck address fool you though. These home boys make their bread down south ... WAYYYYY down south in Argentina!! That's where they mine gold and copper! Now where do you suppose companies like WIRE get all of that copper anyway? They have to get it from companies like NTO who actually dig that stuff out o' the ground! Didn't you pay attention to those grainy 16mm films they showed you in grade school? The ones with the scratchy sound tracks that would always be a fraction of a second out of sync with the picture unless they got the size of the loop just right? Come on, man! The thing that seems weird to me is: doesn't silver naturally occur in nature along side copper deposits? Are these dudes hiding something?


            Number 3 so far this week is BJ!! No, not BillyJoe, just BJ! As some of you who were paying attention may have noticed, BJ cashed out of his position in Intevac Inc. (IVAC) yesterday, 14 minutes prior to the closing bell, with a mighty respectable 3.93% gain! Turns out that was quite an excellent move there, BJ, ol' buddy, as can be seen from this 5-day chart:



            Way to go, BJ, dude! Ride 'em on up and let those other turkeys ride 'em back down! Wish I knew how to do that!

            —Rob

            Comment

            • Rob
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2003
              • 3194

              Hmmm

              Gee, I wonder how I would do if I were to buy HSR, KOPN, AIRM, CELL, MFLX, and GEMS, the bottom 6, tomorrow ....
              —Rob

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Rob
                [size=3][font=Arial]Diogenes' Allegheny Technologies Inc. (ATI), which happens to be not only a member of the S&P 500 but of the S&P 100, also happens to be a member this week of the POTW top 1. Super pick on what appears to be a fairly rotten week, Diogenes!!! Would you care to enlighten the rest of us on just what made you believe this specialty metals producer was going to prosper so handsomely this week?

                Sure:
                First, I have to mention that my first pick was HANS, but since it was reporting earnings I meddled with the method and did not pick it. Then I had BID down, but I picked that over ATI for other reasons- at first.

                So, what is the method right?

                Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price (i.e. increasing line). After looking for outstanding fundamentals.

                Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation ( looking at change in prices in this case) ,
                like a differential equation (same idea) but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,” but I got lucky as several members at Motley Fool had already “been there-done that.” So, they deserve all the credit, esp. BarryDTO and Loren Cobb (http://www.aetheling.com/MI/index.html).

                I scanned the Time 1 and 2 stocks from Value Line to get some stocks to rank by the above range and usually scan the 5 MrMarket picks as well.
                NEU has been very good with this method.

                I hope that everyone turns green in the end!
                Last edited by Guest; 05-10-2006, 10:40 PM.

                Comment

                • IIC
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 14938

                  [QUOTE=diogenes]

                  So, what is the method right?

                  Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.

                  Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
                  like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”
                  [QUOTE]

                  Geez...Sounds complicated...I just look for stocks that are RANDOMLY gonna go up...Doug
                  "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                  Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                  Follow Me On Twitter

                  Comment


                  • [QUOTE=IIC][QUOTE=diogenes]

                    So, what is the method right?

                    Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.

                    Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
                    like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”

                    Geez...Sounds complicated...I just look for stocks that are RANDOMLY gonna go up...Doug
                    Hmmm... perhaps something like a real valued function that allows for randomness, would be a tad better?

                    I think you could also look at it like a simple regression line...

                    or a maybe I should just go with random posting? :P

                    Edit- Of course ATI will now tank.
                    Last edited by Guest; 05-10-2006, 10:43 PM.

                    Comment

                    • Lyehopper
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2004
                      • 3678

                      Riding the dead cat....

                      Originally posted by Rob
                      Check out ELOS today, dude. Man, when will that thing bottom?
                      ELOS was up 5% today Rob.... I'll bet MFLX daytraded long tomorrow with the right entry will net ya 10%.... I think I'll play it.jejeje
                      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                      Comment

                      • IIC
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2003
                        • 14938

                        [QUOTE=diogenes][QUOTE=IIC]
                        Originally posted by diogenes

                        So, what is the method right?

                        Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.

                        Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
                        like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”

                        Hmmm... perhaps something like a real valued function that allows for randomness, would be a tad better?

                        I think you could also look at it like a simple regression line...

                        or a maybe I should just go with random posting? :P

                        Edit- Of course ATI will now tank.
                        Geez...You sure make things complicated
                        "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                        Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                        Follow Me On Twitter

                        Comment

                        • Lyehopper
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2004
                          • 3678

                          Originally posted by diogenes
                          Sure:
                          First, I have to mention that my first pick was HANS, but since it was reporting earnings I meddled with the method and did not pick it. Then I had BID down, but I picked that over ATI for other reasons- at first.

                          So, what is the method right?

                          Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price (i.e. increasing line). After looking for outstanding fundamentals.

                          Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation ( looking at change in prices in this case) ,
                          like a differential equation (same idea) but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,” but I got lucky as several members at Motley Fool had already “been there-done that.” So, they deserve all the credit, esp. BarryDTO and Loren Cobb (http://www.aetheling.com/MI/index.html).

                          I scanned the Time 1 and 2 stocks from Value Line to get some stocks to rank by the above range and usually scan the 5 MrMarket picks as well.
                          NEU has been very good with this method.

                          I hope that everyone turns green in the end!
                          Sound very similar the the VTP....
                          BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                          Comment

                          • IIC
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2003
                            • 14938

                            Originally posted by Lyehopper
                            Sound very similar the the VTP....
                            I'd like to know what takes so long to throw up a website:



                            From my experience it takes about 5 mins...This domain has been registered to some mysterious Vulcan since January 21st...???
                            "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                            Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                            Follow Me On Twitter

                            Comment

                            • Lyehopper
                              Senior Member
                              • Jan 2004
                              • 3678

                              Originally posted by IIC
                              I'd like to know what takes so long to throw up a website:



                              From my experience it takes about 5 mins...This domain has been registered to some mysterious Vulcan since January 21st...???
                              The VTP is very mysterious and extremely complex....
                              BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                              Comment

                              • Rob
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2003
                                • 3194

                                Just Checking

                                And you're absolutely certain that VTP doesn't stand for "very thick puckey," right? JK
                                —Rob

                                Comment

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