Hot Pick Of The Day

[spikefader]

My hot pick for Monday: Short SIRI. Chart here http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/...&postcount=365

[New-born baby]

BillyJoe and FRO investors:

Fro-ites:

Here's your reward for holding FRO yesterday. The dividend is:

$3.50 dividend and more free shares of SFL.

What's wrong with that? That's more than 7% return just yesterday alone!

[billyjoe]

New-Born,

Too bad the other stocks aren't holding up as well as FRO. As much as I hate seeing prices at the gas pump rise, FRO advances at the same time more than make up the difference.

Meanwhile SFL was mentioned by a dividend fund manager on CNBC yesterday as one of the top 3 picks. Although she classified SFL as speculative she said it was very fundamentally sound and not a risk at this time. The fund may have been Aspen Dividend Fund.

billyjoe


As of 1pm est am up 11.24% on fro sfl combo. Should I sell at 15%, cash is king!

[billyjoe]

New-Born,

As of 11:35 am est. Thursday, total FRO SFL combo gain is 15.57% in just 24 days. I know Mr. Market would take the cash and move on to the next selection, but I'm no Mr.Market , I'm Greedy. Anyway am still hoping to last one year and figure out the exact return with the two huge dividend payouts plus free SFL shares and whatever else they'll give us. Why aren't there more fun stocks like this?

billyjoe

[New-born baby]

Fro

BillyJoe,

The return on FRO last year (that excludes what you've picked up here in the last 24 days) was 119%. I think that is pretty good. And if they give you $3.50 per quarter, you'll be doing okay.

[New-born baby]

Fro

BillyJoe,

FRO is going to pay out the last 15% of SFL with June divy. June divy is already $3.50--they have the cash. I hope you are enjoying the ride.

If you've the spare change, FDG is a good place to put it. Talk is divy may rise from $4 per year to $12. If so, look at share prices rising to $120+.
Too hot to buy today, but Monday may be a pullback day.

[billyjoe]

Hey New-Born,

They've finally started talking about FRO on the IBD forums. When they start filling the page it will be time to sell . DHB got over 129,000 hits before it ran into the ground.

billyjoe

[grebnet]

Cfk

Does anyone have an opinion on CFK this has popped on my screen for a while but something keeps stopping me from pulling the trigger. Any opinions to persuade or dissuade me are appreciated.................

[Hany]

Cfk

VectorVest Stock Analysis of C E Franklin as of 2/25/2005

Analysis Summary
CFK is undervalued compared to its Price of $6.54 per share, has somewhat below average safety, and is currently rated a Buy.

In-Depth Analysis
Business: CE FRANKLIN LTD, (CFK) purchases, warehouses, sells and services supplies and equipment for oil and gas exploration and production. The company also distributes line pipe for oil and gas gathering systems.

Price: CFK closed on 2/25/2005 at $6.54 per share

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. CFK has a current Value of $10.16 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $6.54 per share.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. CFK has an RV of 1.50, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00.

RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. CFK has an RS rating of 0.84, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database.

RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. CFK has a Relative Timing rating of 1.73, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00.

VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. CFK has a VST rating of 1.42, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. CFK has a CI rating of 1.10, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. CFK has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 33.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (8.43%).

Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. CFK has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.

Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. CFK has a Stop of $5.22 per share. This is $1.32 below CFK's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. CFK has a forecasted EPS of $0.44 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. CFK has a P/E of 14.86. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 31.89. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. CFK has an EY of 6.78 percent. This is above the current average of 3.15% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. CFK has a GPE rating of 2.24. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.43%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.29. Therefore, CFK may be considered to be undervalued.

[grebnet]

Thanks
That is a nice summary.
How accurate do you find this analysis . I have heard of vectorvest but never used it. Is it a subscription svc ?

Thanks Greb

[New-born baby]

Thanks, Mr. Hany

Hany,

Thank you so much for the excellent work! Keep that kind of work up!

[scifos]

Thanks
That is a nice summary.
How accurate do you find this analysis . I have heard of vectorvest but never used it. Is it a subscription svc ?

Thanks Greb

I tried it for a short while ($5 for the first month or something like that) their stuff wasn't really that great, although it did help supliment my own research. But wasn't worth the $60 a month after the first month.

Someone did a thread on it a few months ago (oct or nov) search the boards for it (think the thread was called 'Vectorvest ??" )

[New-born baby]

It was Webs

I tried it for a short while ($5 for the first month or something like that) their stuff wasn't really that great, although it did help supliment my own research. But wasn't worth the $60 a month after the first month.

Someone did a thread on it a few months ago (oct or nov) search the boards for it (think the thread was called 'Vectorvest ??" )

Ask Webs: he's the man.

[Websman]

Ask Webs: he's the man.

Here's the link for my former vectorvest thread. I tried it. It was ok, but not worth the money. I didn't see any big advantage with their system.

http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/showpost.php?p=8082&postcount=1

[Hany]

VectorVest

VectorVest is just something I use to doublecheck to see if a stock is fully valued or not. It's like any of those services that claim to beat the market but we know better than that.

I usually check S&P, VectorVest, this forum and MSN Stock Scouter to make sure that I'm on the right track.

Just my 2 cents.

Aside from that, CFK looks very good as oil prices and steel prices should help this company's profit margins. Demand for its services should remain strong throughout 2005. Its volume is too thin so it's risky to get out of if anything goes down but I think that it's a matter of time before it blossoms. Definitely deserves research.