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  • NB, notice KBH hit 2nd degree target


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    • ninner
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 524

      Swn

      does anyone have an opinion on SWN

      Comment

      • New-born baby
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 6095

        Tweezer

        Originally posted by Runner
        NB, notice KBH hit 2nd degree target
        Runner,
        As always,thanks for posting. Please explain to us what a tweezer is.
        Also, please give to us your Elliott Wave Theory view of KBH's future.
        I am a Dow Theorist, and unlike you and Spike, have no Elliott Wave background to draw from.

        Thanks!
        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

        Comment


        • NB, here is my take off the weekly using EW and channels..Often the EW channels will give an indication to where a wave might end. Note stil learning EW and this does take some time and study...

          Link on tweezer top/bottoms http://www.investmentresearchgroup.com/page5.html




          KBH daily:

          Last edited by Guest; 08-14-2005, 01:32 PM.

          Comment

          • New-born baby
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 6095

            Bmhc

            Here's my take on BMHC. Dow Theory says "lower prices." IT targets $63 as the expected low. The chart also points to a previous "market system low" that may soon be retested. That ($63) would probably be an excellent buy point. Until then, she's shorting material.
            pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

            Comment

            • New-born baby
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 6095

              Originally posted by Runner
              NB, here is my take off the weekly using EW and channels..Often the EW channels will give an indication to where a wave might end. Note stil learning EW and this does take some time and study...

              Link on tweezer top/bottoms http://www.investmentresearchgroup.com/page5.html




              KBH daily:

              If I look at your KBH daily chart correctly, she's due for the "b" correction starting Monday morning. . . . nice way to start the week . . . .
              pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

              Comment


              • NB, a “b” wave move would be one that would move price upward. Now assuming that the “a” is complete. When using EW one of the most difficult things is reading the corrective process correctly.
                Corrective patterns will fall into one of these 4 main categories:
                Zigzag
                Flat
                Triangle
                Combination
                within each there are different patterns that will form. The tough part is figuring out which one it is.

                Comment


                • My 2nd degree downward target of 71.66 was where I thought the “a” would complete. Now to confuse you this was taken from a 60 min chart. I like to enter a 3 or “c” move up. If this charting is correct then once a MSH is formed at the top of “b” then I can now plot my upward price target. Also note that depending of the correction “c” may drop below the “a”.
                  I get the best EW read on KBH off the weekly chart and not all charts will be clear as to what is going on as far as EW. I will also look the sector chart and see what it is doing as well. I think the sector chart for housing is in an “a” also. Correction type thus far was “a sharp”, pullback.

                  For now as far as longer time frame I'm bullish down to the lower channel off the weekly chart.
                  Last edited by Guest; 08-14-2005, 08:36 PM.

                  Comment


                  • This is an example of how difficult EW corrective reading can become. This is a weekly chart of $INDU. Also note the contracting triangle. Now the portion I did not lable could be what is known as a flat. This would confuse things even more because the count would then become a,b,c,d,e,...lol

                    In a Bull market the "e" in the flat would hit the lower channel and bounce up.

                    Last edited by Guest; 08-14-2005, 10:26 PM.

                    Comment

                    • New-born baby
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 6095

                      Thank you, Runner

                      Yes, I know EW is hard to learn. That's why I haven't tried as of yet. But it is on my list of "to do", so maybe I'll get around to it.
                      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                      Comment


                      • NB one awesome study book is “Elliott wave Principle” by Frost and Prechter. Not an easy read, but they do lay it out. Maybe I’ll know enough to be dangerous in a few years.

                        Comment

                        • New-born baby
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 6095

                          You are dangerous now

                          Originally posted by Runner
                          NB one awesome study book is “Elliott wave Principle” by Frost and Prechter. Not an easy read, but they do lay it out. Maybe I’ll know enough to be dangerous in a few years.
                          Runner,
                          You are dangerous now, my friend!
                          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                          Comment


                          • I know because most that look at my charts must be wondering what the heck is he trying to show me..lol with these MSH’s, MSL’s, price time boxes and fib’s. Anyway this is the only way I know how to do things and hey if it works who cares right?

                            Comment

                            • New-born baby
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 6095

                              Genius

                              Originally posted by Runner
                              I know because most that look at my charts must be wondering what the heck is he trying to show me..lol with these MSH’s, MSL’s, price time boxes and fib’s. Anyway this is the only way I know how to do things and hey if it works who cares right?
                              From here, it looks like you know very well what you are doing! That MCD pick was awesome.

                              Speaking of the devil . . . .
                              did you see Old MacDonald take a huge hit Friday? Gapped down just like she gapped up.

                              Hey, Spike hasn't posted his ascending triangle of the week just yet. How about you? Got some play you'd like to share?
                              pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                              Comment


                              • NB, stalking VPHM for a possible DT. I caught it Friday and will see if I can play it tomorrow. I’m not opening any swings for now until I get a clear pic of direction.

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