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  • New-born baby
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 6095

    Just a little reminder

    Folks,
    Just a little reminder: I am an oil man. This Catagory 5 hurricane is headed to Texas. Texas is where we have a lot of oil refineries. The liberals in this nation have prevented the evil oil companies from building any new refineries since 1976. Katrina has already knocked out 10% of US refining capacity. The USA had no spare capacity before Katrina. If Rita damages more refining capacity, $4 and $5 gasoline will be a reality. And home heating this winter, Natural gas or Heating Oil, will be extremely expensive.

    More importantly will be the long term impact upon the US economy. That impact will be decidedly negative. In this environment, inflation is a given. US history since 1920 says that every recession has begun with high oil prices. The Greenman has again raised interest rates to attract foreign investment. He knows he is going to have to print money to pay for all the rebuilding that is necessary. Add in to the equation that we are fighting two wars at once, and trying to rebuild Iraq, give billions of aid to the AIDS people in Africa, and soon you get the idea that there is not enough money to go around. The Greenman knows this. He will continue to raise the rates.

    One other disaster on the horizon: a provision of the new Bankruptcy law states that Credit Card companies must make the minimum payment large enough so that the debt will be repaid in 10 years. Current minimums are designed so that the credit card borrower will repay in 20 years. That means that beginning in November, every debtor to the credit card companies will have DOUBLE the card payment. That will come as a decided shock to a lot of people (the average US family has $9,000+ in credit card debt). That, combined with higher fuel costs, and with rising costs for everything due to higher fuel costs and HIGHER INSURANCE COSTS from the 'canes--is going to hammer the economy. Period.

    Just a little reminder as you consider your investment strategies for the coming days, weeks, months.

    Jiesen, it is no time to buy Walmart! It might be a good time to short the Walmart. I see retailers having a bad year.
    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

    Comment

    • tokyojoeskid
      No Posting allowed; invalid email
      • Oct 2003
      • 222

      Biting bullets

      I bought some GW for myself hoping that it breaks through that middle resistance line(what is that called!!??) at around 8.10 and so far it is working out, I also put in a stop around 7.50.

      My Sndk options have been working out nicely, although it is losing some steam and giving some back today. I will stay long on these for a while. NB or Spike do you think Sndk will continue its run?

      I ended up selling my Hoku in my mock portfolio at 11.77 for a 17% return not to bad maybe I will go buy a fake boat with my fake money. Seems like if you find the right small energy company you can make 30% in a day, but thats a gamble. I took a gamble on BDCO the other day in the mock port and its up quite a bit.

      Thanks for all the charting help, I am trying to learn some more day by day

      Tjk

      Comment

      • tokyojoeskid
        No Posting allowed; invalid email
        • Oct 2003
        • 222

        perfect bull head and shoulders?

        PQUE, is that a perfect bullish head and shoulders formation or am I completely blind?
        Too big of a move for me to take a pos in.


        TJk

        Comment

        • New-born baby
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 6095

          Yup

          Originally posted by tokyojoeskid
          PQUE, is that a perfect bullish head and shoulders formation or am I completely blind?
          Too big of a move for me to take a pos in.


          TJk
          Too far gone to chase.
          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

          Comment

          • billyjoe
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2003
            • 9014

            New-born,

            BMHC = $965,461.78


            billyjoe

            Comment


            • Only thing I don’t like about this one is that it has not yet cleared the Sept. Low

              Comment

              • New-born baby
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 6095

                Sears

                Sears: it is one ugly chart.

                pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Sears: Yep, and weekly channel shorts for many weeks the last couple months. But it's at major weekly channel support. I'm not sure it's going to hold considering the wave count down. Looks like it's not done yet; maybe one more impulse down, to break the weekly channel.

                  Comment

                  • alice4321us
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2005
                    • 184

                    Sear bounces back

                    Sears bounced back again to 120 levels !! Will hold it is another story.

                    Comment

                    • New-born baby
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 6095

                      No

                      Originally posted by alice4321us
                      Sears bounced back again to 120 levels !! Will hold it is another story.
                      No it is not going to hold IMHO.
                      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by alice4321us
                        Sears bounced back again to 120 levels !! Will hold it is another story.
                        hah! That's what major channel support can do. I thought there wasn't even a pattern to confirm the channel long, until I looked overnight. If you include premarket data, there's a clear falling wedge from yesterday and this morning. The falling wedge; another very good bullish pattern. They can also offer good r/r because you take the breakout, and stop under the apex.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Hold on! Sheesh, I didn't even see it there, but there's a gap it's in that fills at 113.76. I'm surprised it didn't want to completely fill today. But anyway, it's a great support play right close to the gap fill. That wedge breakout was a very good opportunity and we didn't even see it! lol

                          Comment

                          • billyjoe
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2003
                            • 9014

                            New-born,
                            Almost exactly .02 away. BMHC ends today at 92.34 or in New-born dollars $999,783.37.


                            billyjoe

                            p.s. did I forget to tell you it must be sold at the end of a trading day sometime in the next 10 trading days?

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by billyjoe
                              New-born,
                              Almost exactly .02 away. BMHC ends today at 92.34 or in New-born dollars $999,783.37.


                              billyjoe

                              p.s. did I forget to tell you it must be sold at the end of a trading day sometime in the next 10 trading days?

                              I got a buy signal on BMHC today.

                              Comment


                              • Playing with moving LinReg. seems to give pretty good signals

                                Comment

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