Jim's cycle trades

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  • Jim's cycle trades

    starting to figure out how to navigate this site.....so, I'll just start a new thread and keep everything here....I am poluted in oil stocks like XOM, CVX, APA and HAL....I expect the dollar to get slammed and oil to rally....Everyone will be looking at Iran, the proverbial man behind the current, but I see this oil situation is an anti dollar play....ORCT is my top tech play for the next six weeks....I am watching for a correction in the markets into option expiration....after that, I'll be looking to play semiconductors again with a target on the SMH at $45.

    Since I am new here, a little discussion about myself and strategy:
    * I look for repeating year over year patterns supported by current technical indicators. That's way oversimplified however.
    * My holding period often doesn't go beyond a few days. But sometimes, I'll try for longer periods. Patience is one of my weak areas.
    * I will take positions on in size usually no less than 1000 shares.
    * I am not afraid to concentrate my portfolio either in one position or sector.
    * I was one of the early day traders in the country. I had to suffer an extensive IRS inquiry due to my prolific trading numbers. They thought I was a drug dealer laundering money.
    * I own commerical realestate that was featured in the Wall Street Journal back in 1987 and I once wrote a good size letter to James Cramer at Realmoney.com, which he posted on the site, as I ripped him a new one and he wanted to respond. I don't like Cramer.
    Last edited by Guest; 01-12-2006, 10:18 AM.
  • Karel
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 2199

    #2
    Hi Jim, and welcome! Yes, putting all your cycle trades in one thread definitely is a good idea! Thank you!

    Regards,

    Karel
    My Investopedia portfolio
    (You need to have a (free) Investopedia or Facebook login, sorry!)

    Comment


    • #3
      MEE is on my watch list.....broke the downtrend a few days ago on decent volume....could get back to old highs quickly, IMO....no position yet.

      Comment

      • Lyehopper
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2004
        • 3678

        #4
        Hey Jim! We'll get along just fine, I don't like Cramer either. I watched him last night.... It was imbarassing. He has become a complete idiot, throwing chairs around and screaming.... I told my wife (who likes to watch the food network) that he's trying to be the "Emeril Lagasse" of the financial shows. Now he has a live studio audience and guests, next he'll have a freakin band..... SHEEEESH!!!!.... What ever happened to Louis Rukeyser?
        BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

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        • #5
          XOM is my biggest position....I believe this stock will make $77 and it won't take long....I think this Iran situation is about to take off.....I now believe Goldman's super spike call is not far off.

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          • #6
            Today was a nice sucker punch to the face.....It wouldn't have been so bad if I hadn't gotten greedy by playing the long side of OXY, ouch.....

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            • IIC
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 14938

              #7
              Welcome Jim...here's hoping I can qualify for an IRS inquiry soon ...Doug(IIC)
              Last edited by IIC; 01-12-2006, 11:38 PM.
              "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

              Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

              Follow Me On Twitter

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              • skiracer
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2004
                • 6314

                #8
                Originally posted by Jim Smith
                XOM is my biggest position....I believe this stock will make $77 and it won't take long....I think this Iran situation is about to take off.....I now believe Goldman's super spike call is not far off.
                Jim,
                I actually like your reasoning and the play on XOM. I was looking at the Feb. 62.50 and 65 calls and the Aprill 62.50 and 65 calls. What is your opinion on those options in regard to your feelings on XOM in general as per your post.
                THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

                Comment

                • New-born baby
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 6095

                  #9
                  Welcome!

                  Originally posted by Jim Smith
                  * I own commerical realestate that was featured in the Wall Street Journal back in 1987 and I once wrote a good size letter to James Cramer at Realmoney.com, which he posted on the site, as I ripped him a new one and he wanted to respond. I don't like Cramer.
                  ANYBODY that doesn't like Jimmy Eugene Cramer is a friend of ours . . .
                  welcome!
                  pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                  Comment

                  • New-born baby
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 6095

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Jim Smith
                    MEE is on my watch list.....broke the downtrend a few days ago on decent volume....could get back to old highs quickly, IMO....no position yet.
                    Just fresh off of a double bottom--why wouldn't it take off? Nice call.
                    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                    Comment

                    • dmk112
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2004
                      • 1759

                      #11
                      Originally posted by New-born baby
                      Just fresh off of a double bottom--why wouldn't it take off? Nice call.
                      Would of loved to be in around 38... Looks like a 1-2-3 Reversal.
                      http://twitter.com/DMK112

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        << Looks like a 1-2-3 Reversal. >>

                        Not a Cooper 1-2-3-4. RS rank = 27, just a liiiitle short of 95 <g>.

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                        • #13
                          TRI is trading above the 100 day sma on decent volume.

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                          • #14
                            FLSH bounced off the 30 day ema which has provided support in the past.

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                            • #15
                              Got stopped out of FLSH last week.

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