The Bear Case

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  • The Bear Case

    The reports of the death of the bear are premature. Today's CPI core number is just the beginning as pass through costs on high energy prices are about to take hold. The consumer cannot stomach gas over $3 and continue its discretionary spending. Earnings this past quarter will prove the best of the year for most companies. Bottom line: SELL !
    Last edited by Guest; 05-17-2006, 04:12 PM.

  • #2
    Greetings,

    I cant agree more,yet the Bull keeps charging.

    Any thoughts on a whisper of the Bear returning?I think a hint of more Fed increases beyond the next will do it.If Ben Bernanke even has a dream about inflation,look out.

    cordially Tom

    Comment


    • #3
      NYSE Nasdaq
      Advances 1239 (38%) 1063 (34%)
      Declines 1870 (57%) 1843 (60%)

      Dow up 72.

      Comment

      • Lyehopper
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2004
        • 3678

        #4
        Originally posted by TFred
        Greetings,

        I cant agree more,yet the Bull keeps charging.

        Any thoughts on a whisper of the Bear returning?I think a hint of more Fed increases beyond the next will do it.If Ben Bernanke even has a dream about inflation,look out.

        cordially Tom
        Feels like it did in 2000.... Kept looking for the bear but the bull kept charging. Problem with this market for me is.... I'm too cautious. I've pulled out alot of cash and I'm not deep into margin right now.... But I am making money so I can't complain too much..... I will however welcome any real correction, I wanna short so badly that I can taste it!.lol
        BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

        Comment

        • jiesen
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2003
          • 5323

          #5
          It's hard to keep inflation in check while keeping the printing presses going 24/7. They may just keep hiking the rates until the cows come home. There's no way they'll stop those presses.

          I think our economy, and stocks overall, could still do just fine despite massive inflation. I wouldn't borrow money at a variable rate to make that bet, though.

          Comment

          • dmk112
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2004
            • 1759

            #6
            It's post like these that makes me confident that the bull will keep going, the bull will only stop when everyone is bullish. So NY4EVER, let me know when you finally get bullish so that I can sell
            http://twitter.com/DMK112

            Comment


            • #7
              DMK, he's been shouting Sell! since 2003. Now you know why the market has been going up all this time <g>.

              Comment

              • jiesen
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2003
                • 5323

                #8
                this is interesting

                I wonder...

                Floyd Norris Off the Charts column on continued rise in prices of zinc and copper and impact it may have on minting of new US pennies; graphs (M)


                how many more years before the 0.8 cents worth of zinc in a penny becomes more valuable than a penny? It will be interesting to see what excuse the government comes up with when they can't afford to make pennies anymore.

                Comment


                • #9
                  DMK, he's been shouting Sell! since 2003. Now you know why the market has been going up all this time <g>. >>

                  Called the bottom on March 13, 2003 as you well know you miserable lying
                  bastard.

                  Comment

                  • jiesen
                    Senior Member
                    • Sep 2003
                    • 5323

                    #10
                    for some reason you guys remind me of Locke and Demosthenes.

                    <sound of munching popcorn>

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by jiesen
                      for some reason you guys remind me of Locke and Demosthenes.

                      <sound of munching popcorn>
                      Oh...Ender's Game reference.

                      Comment

                      • billyjoe
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2003
                        • 9014

                        #12
                        Jiesen,
                        Someone told me that if I had put all my assets into pennies when they were still mostly copper I'd be beating the stock market , however, my house probably would cave in.

                        billyjoe

                        Comment

                        • scifos
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2004
                          • 790

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Envark
                          Oh...Ender's Game reference.
                          That is one of my favorite books.
                          Buy Low
                          Sell High
                          STAY FROSTY!

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            "If a man does not keep pace with his companions, perhaps it is because he
                            hears a different drummer. Let him step to the music which he hears, however measured or far away." Henry David Thoreau

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              End of month window dressing providing great selling opportunity.

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