Doctor Jack's Stock Medicine

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    Doctor Jack's Stock Medicine

    I found Jack Haddad over on Myspace.com. He is a very savvy / investor trader. I have set up this thread for him to post his ideas on. Go for it Jack, and welcome!
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • peanuts
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2006
    • 3365

    #2
    Originally posted by mrmarket
    I found Jack Haddad over on Myspace.com. He is a very savvy / investor trader. I have set up this thread for him to post his ideas on. Go for it Jack, and welcome!
    An endorsement from the HUGE one.... I will look forward to gaining knowledge and $$$$ from the upcoming advice

    Welcome
    Hide not your talents.
    They for use were made.
    What's a sundial in the shade?

    - Benjamin Franklin

    Comment

    • Jack Haddad

      #3
      Originally posted by peanuts
      An endorsement from the HUGE one.... I will look forward to gaining knowledge and $$$$ from the upcoming advice

      Welcome
      I thank you all wholeheartedly, and look forward to learning from you as well. I'm adamant of the belief that posting trades (be it hypothetical/paper or real) in as close ot real time as possible is of paramount importance; that said, I will do my best to post so on this forum.

      Though I'm primarily a market technician, I do believe that a company's fundamentals play a role in disciplined trading. For further review of this topic and technical versus fundamental analysis, please see my article at: http://falkincommunity.blogspot.com/...t-writing.html

      All the best,
      Jack Haddad, MD, MBA, CMT

      Comment


      • #4
        Welcome!
        Always good to see more active posters.

        Comment

        • Jack Haddad

          #5
          Tso

          Free US and Canadian stock technical analysis, charts and stock screening tool utilizing technical analysis techniques such as candlestick charting, fibonacci projections, volume analysis, gaps, trends, RSI, MACD, and Stochastics.


          The above 6-month chart on TSO is very interesting. Note the inverse head-and-shoulder pattern which spanned from Feb 15 to March 8. This has cuased the stock to propel to a a 52 week high of 75. Thereafter, the stock has recently trended down to test the intermediate term support of 65, but was noty successful in breaching the 6 months support of 60.75.

          At this hour, the stock has gained strength on the hourly...and since horizontal support stands a good support at 62.50, I did the following: Purchased shares at 65.40, and wrote the June 65 strike calls for 2.85/contract. I feel this strategy provides a good hedge for the time being. I will update all changes/executions later.

          Comment

          • mrmarket
            Administrator
            • Sep 2003
            • 5971

            #6
            Crack spreads will open up this summer..it will be a good time to be a refiner.
            =============================

            I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

            - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

            Comment

            • Rob
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2003
              • 3194

              #7
              Welcome

              Welcome, Dr. Jack! I will also be looking forward to your analyses. I'm particularly interested by the fact that you posted (in the other thread) about ImClone. IMCL is a stock that I am currently holding a long position on, as well as some June $40 calls. While I'm more of a fundamental-type, I do like to examine technical trends/patterns as well.

              ImClone has a very real catalyst looming on the horizon right now. The annual meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) is scheduled to take place the first week in June, where the results of several key clinical studies are going to be released. From my limited understanding of these things, I'm inclined to believe there are going to be some positive results unveiled there that will be seen as fuel for growth in Erbitux sales--not the least of which is one that may indicate some inroads into Avastin's market share in 1st line metastatic colorectal cancer. Other types of cancer for which Erbitux may prove effective include non-small-cell lung (the biggie) and pancreatic.

              Even most technical traders will agree that news trumps charts every time. Well there is news soon to break here.
              —Rob

              Comment


              • #8

                The above 6-month chart on TSO is very interesting. Note the inverse head-and-shoulder pattern which spanned from Feb 15 to March 8.
                That's a continuation H&S, not an inverse H&S. The difference is: 1) the former is a consolidation or continuation formation whereas the latter is a reversal formation; and 2) volume in the former follows no pattern whereas in the latter, the left shoulder sees the lightest volume and volume gets higher as the pattern unfolds, with the heaviest volume in the right shoulder.

                With TSO there was no pattern to volume in that time period. In fact, volume was very light near the top of the right shoulder.

                Comment

                • Jack Haddad

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Rob
                  Welcome, Dr. Jack! I will also be looking forward to your analyses. I'm particularly interested by the fact that you posted (in the other thread) about ImClone. IMCL is a stock that I am currently holding a long position on, as well as some June $40 calls. While I'm more of a fundamental-type, I do like to examine technical trends/patterns as well.

                  ImClone has a very real catalyst looming on the horizon right now. The annual meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) is scheduled to take place the first week in June, where the results of several key clinical studies are going to be released. From my limited understanding of these things, I'm inclined to believe there are going to be some positive results unveiled there that will be seen as fuel for growth in Erbitux sales--not the least of which is one that may indicate some inroads into Avastin's market share in 1st line metastatic colorectal cancer. Other types of cancer for which Erbitux may prove effective include non-small-cell lung (the biggie) and pancreatic.

                  Even most technical traders will agree that news trumps charts every time. Well there is news soon to break here.
                  Thank you, Rob. If youre interested, I published an article on IMCL 2 weeks ago. Here is the link: http://www.avcg.net/news/newsandarti...le.asp?DID=103

                  Comment

                  • mrmarket
                    Administrator
                    • Sep 2003
                    • 5971

                    #10
                    Does Martha Stewart still own shares of Imclone?
                    =============================

                    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                    Comment

                    • Jack Haddad

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DSteckler
                      That's a continuation H&S, not an inverse H&S. The difference is: 1) the former is a consolidation or continuation formation whereas the latter is a reversal formation; and 2) volume in the former follows no pattern whereas in the latter, the left shoulder sees the lightest volume and volume gets higher as the pattern unfolds, with the heaviest volume in the right shoulder.

                      With TSO there was no pattern to volume in that time period. In fact, volume was very light near the top of the right shoulder.
                      Though I welcome your input on this, I respectfully disagree.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Jack Haddad
                        Though I welcome your input on this, I respectfully disagree.
                        What is your basis for disagreement?

                        Comment

                        • Jack Haddad

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mrmarket
                          Does Martha Stewart still own shares of Imclone?
                          No. Also, to my knowledge, she has been barred by the SEC for 12 months from participating in any new security transactions following her conviction.

                          Comment

                          • mrmarket
                            Administrator
                            • Sep 2003
                            • 5971

                            #14
                            Jack...I loved your article. Good job!
                            =============================

                            I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                            - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                            Comment

                            • Rob
                              Senior Member
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 3194

                              #15
                              It's A Good Thing

                              Originally posted by mrmarket
                              Does Martha Stewart still own shares of Imclone?
                              I don't think so. (Is she even allowed to?) But Carl Icahn owns ~10% of outstanding shares as a result of recent large purchases.

                              Edit: just read the article. Good stuff, Jack!
                              Last edited by Rob; 05-25-2006, 02:58 PM.
                              —Rob

                              Comment

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