AOB ==> The CHRISMUKKAH Winner

[spikefader]

MM,
Great forum here! Thanks for everything. Congrats on another HUGE win and I can't wait until the next top 5 come out!

I echo those sentiments! Thanks Ernie.

[New-born baby]

Thanks Ernie

MM,
Great forum here! Thanks for everything. Congrats on another HUGE win and I can't wait until the next top 5 come out!

[mrmarket]

I'm guessing that ernie calculates his yearly returns the same way he advertises his site...he ignores his train wrecks (I noticed his consecutive trades went from 24 to 25 even though mtex and maybe others are still negative). If you take out the bad positions, your returns can be stellar even if your bank account shows negative growth for the year. I believe its what they learn in business school, ie financial engineering. Its also what many mutual fund companies do with their advertised returns. Bottom line, never believe what you read on the internet.

A trade is completed, and added to my list when it is bought and sold. I don't "ignore" my train wrecks. They are all listed on my homepage which shows my holdings.

Why is it that hundreds of people seem to really enjoy what is presented in this forum, while you seem filled with bitterness, sarcasm and dare I say envy?

Another fine pick that drops 12% a day after you buy it..... never fails.... at least MTEX is up!

MM, are you still on track to beat the market this year?
Just curious since the market is up almost 15% and you made a total of 9 picks this year, 3 of which reached 15% and 6 of which have lost money (thus far, anyway).

I'm guessing that ernie calculates his yearly returns the same way he advertises his site...he ignores his train wrecks (I noticed his consecutive trades went from 24 to 25 even though mtex and maybe others are still negative). If you take out the bad positions, your returns can be stellar even if your bank account shows negative growth for the year. I believe its what they learn in business school, ie financial engineering. Its also what many mutual fund companies do with their advertised returns. Bottom line, never believe what you read on the internet.

[mrmarket]

Does today's retreat below 12.50 make AOB interesting again? How likely is another round trip to the 14's?

No idea...I'm off on another horse soon. Don't fall in love with a stock, it doesn't know you own it.

[dodgeman]

Does today's retreat below 12.50 make AOB interesting again? How likely is another round trip to the 14's?

Well...where are you now C-boy?

I'm right here.... don't know why you're calling me out though, I liked AOB:

"Nothing is different about the company, I liked it when you posted it in your top 5, and I like it now. I have no doubt it will reach your target."

Granted I did make a post about it dropping 12% in the days after you bought it - just pointing out a trend I noticed about how your stocks like to drop before they go up (that will probably continue in your future picks)... regardless, the more important trend is your streak of 25 consecutive trades of 15% or better... you are HUGE!!

[peanuts]

So..what's your conclusion?

My conclusion is that you beat the market! You were able to make your 15% in the timeframe which you've stated. I never doubted you, Mr. Market, your record is certainly impressive. I was saying that you could have done the same, but in a shorter timeframe... but being as HUGE as you are, you've got to keep your investing $$$HUGE$$$ too

As soon as you bought, it should have gone straight to your 15%... right?

Good job, Ernie

[mrmarket]

Mr. Markets is HUGE. I took a look at AOB when you first suggested it. I saw that it was pulling back some so I waited a few days then bought 500 at $11.70. I sold today at 13.70. That puts me up $1,000 - the 7.00 commis. That was a very good pick. Thank You Thank You. And I like you write-ups very much. Keep them coming.

https://www.golittletigers.com

is $1.00 for the kids too much to ask for?

[mrmarket]

Totally agree with MM ....AOB just on a pause

you were correct.

[mrmarket]

Another fine pick that drops 12% a day after you buy it..... never fails.... at least MTEX is up!

MM, are you still on track to beat the market this year?
Just curious since the market is up almost 15% and you made a total of 9 picks this year, 3 of which reached 15% and 6 of which have lost money (thus far, anyway).

Well...where are you now C-boy?

[mrmarket]

It does seem like AOB has been on a fairly strong downtrend for the last 4 days with some fairly hefty volume on the downside it's lost roughly 8%. We'll see what happens tomorrow but I'm thinking there is some more downside action.

Ok...Mr. B. How's the weather in West Roxbury??? Hmmm??

[mrmarket]

That's an interesting pick - however, I'll side with the other person who indicated the technicals.

Considering it's doubled in the past 2 months, and looking at the chart, I think there's a better chance that it retraces back to $10 than seeing $14.15 in 4 to 6 weeks.

But, good luck.

Ok..what do you say now??

[mrmarket]

I received the email for the AOB pick, but not the CHAP pick

Mr. Market,

You still have a lot of room to learn about good technical entries. Your fundamental analysis is perfect, and the screens that you use really do pull out some of the best stocks in the market, but I'm disappointed, sometimes, with your final pick and entry.

It may be due to the current market environment, but the momentum modelling isn't working now, as well as it has in the past. It seems that you're coming late to the party with these buys. This is just my observation from the last year or so. I know how successful this portfolio has been in the past, and that certainly says alot about the quality of it. But, you can do even better with better timing.

yeah, yeah, yeah, you've heard this all before What the heck does little peanuts know, anyway?

This site is awesome, by the way!

So..what's your conclusion?

[mrmarket]

My Market. I like AOB but am prejudiced against it after watching it do nothing for a year. Can we really trust those Chinese numbers?

-----------billyjoe

What do you think now?