Originally posted by mrmarket
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VIP ==> The Spring is Here Winner!
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target achieved! I'm out at 114.
Got my 15% today, how about you, You, YOU???
Thanks for another superb stock pick, $$MM! You are HUGE!!!
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Temporary low point?
This looks like a good time to add more or get in if you missed VIP the first time.
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Vaulting VimpelCom Leaps Ahead
Dave Mock
May 25, 2007
Things are looking awfully good in the Russian communications market these days. The No. 2 wireless services provider, Vimpel Communications (NYSE: VIP), kept the good times rolling with its first-quarter earnings release today, showing why emerging wireless markets are still a lucrative place to be.
VimpelCom pleased Wall Street with quarterly revenue of $1.49 billion and earnings of $277.3 million, up 59% and 85% year over year. The Russian carrier that operates the Beeline brand of wireless services reported strong year-over-year growth in a number of metrics, which looked impressive even when compared sequentially to the seasonally strong fourth quarter.
VimpelCom's operating metrics look quite different this quarter, though. Like many U.S. operators, such as Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and AT&T (NYSE: T), VimpelCom is now slicing and dicing its metrics for better analysis. The company has made a change to report ARPU and minutes-of-use (MOU) statistics based only on its active subscriber base, and not those that have gone inactive. This confuses comparisons a little, but will give a better picture of operations in the future.
Speaking of operations, the carrier reported flat revenue and ARPU in the already saturated Russian market, which actually bodes well in a seasonally weak period. But even better is the 8% drop in operating costs, which helped VimpelCom boost margins and earnings in the region substantially. VimpelCom is holding up very well against its primary competitor in the Russian market, Mobile TeleSystems (NYSE: MBT), which reports next week.
The picture in VimpelCom's other operating markets continues to look promising, as well. Active subscribers in Kazakhstan grew 15% sequentially, while net income rose 236% to $13.1 million from the same quarter last year. Revenue from growing markets in the Ukraine and Uzbekistan also grew sequentially by 10% and 14%, respectively. The company showed good progress in developing operations in these under-penetrated markets, and its market share has grown in each region.
As far as execution, VimpelCom appears to be right in stride with other top wireless operators around the world such as Mexico's America Movil (NYSE: AMX) and South Korea's SK Telecom (NYSE: SKM). The huge base of cash-flowing customers in Russia, coupled with the growing Eastern European markets, make VimpelCom an attractive consideration.
More Foolish Russian rambling can be found here:
Foolish Forecast: VimpelCom Calling
Before the Call: The Buzz on VimpelCom
ETF Teardown: Russia's Best Stocks
SK Telecom is one foreign telecom the Motley Fool Global Gains team has recommended to beat the market. Global Gains lead analyst Bill Mann departs for China, India, and Taiwan on June 2 in search of new investment opportunities in some of the world's fastest-growing economies. Get updates and analysis live from the field by sending Bill an email at [email protected].
Fool contributor Dave Mock rolls with the good and bad times -- what else can you do? He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. Dave is the author of The Qualcomm Equation. The Fool has a disclosure policy.
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Ooooh Yeaaaa.
Fri May 25, 2007 6:49 AM ET
MOSCOW, May 25 (Reuters) - Vimpelcom <VIP.N>, Russia's No.2 mobile phone company, said on Friday that its first quarter earnings were $277.3 million, well above market expectations.
The earnings, to U.S. GAAP, were up from $198 million in the preceding quarter and above an average forecast of $245.5 million in a Reuters poll of 10 analysts.
Revenues amounted to $1.488 billion, compared with $1.45 billion in the fourth quarter of last year and above an average analysts' forecast of $1.46 billion.
Operating income before depreciation and amortisation (OIBDA) rose to $766.4 million from $689.8 million, while analysts had expected it to be $719.3 million.
OIBDA margin was up to 51.5 percent from 47.5 percent in the previous quarter and compared with 49.3 percent in the Reuters poll.
Average monthly revenue per user amounted to $10.9 in Russia, unchanged from the fourth quarter of 2006 and above market expectations of $8.6.
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This one has rockets in its pockets...no resistance left. Target imminent.
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I made over 8 points per contract on the call option play on BW and took my gains before it hit 60. The stock did everything that I expected it to do and more. Except for the time decay with the call I still liked the play but decided it was time to get out.Originally posted by New-born baby View PostWell now, what do you know? Just a little $10.13 earnings hit. Not too bad.
I just read the earnings report and I don't see anything that looks to be negative. Everything was way up over last qtr. and last year. I don't know why the big drop but I would be keeping a close eye on the stock and the option for something to the long side because I don't understand this drop today. I hope River was watching or at least had a stop in place today. This would knock out all of her gains.
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Well now, what do you know? Just a little $10.13 earnings hit. Not too bad.Originally posted by New-born baby View PostSki,
BW: Let's see . . . PnF tell us that expected target of $48.50 has already been achieved. The weekly chart shows us, according to the Dow Theory, that BW should run to $60.50.
In summary, I think she'll make the $60 target if earnings don't disappoint.
It should be noted that the earnings call is due April 26. A May options straddle gives one an excellent chance to profit. That is the only way I'd play this one.
The straddle I would consider would be the May call and put, in the money at the strike applicable on April 25.
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oops- don't know how I missed this post but...
Nope, didn't buy SPIL. Was wishing I had though, because I did like it a lot. However, with yesterday's GS downgrade, it's now right back to where it was when we looked at it before (except now it's been downgraded!). So you haven't missed the boat quite yet, and maybe it's worth another look at this point, but I have a feeling the effects of the downgrade have yet to be fully resolved.Originally posted by skiracer View PostJiesen,
Do you own SPIL? I like it alot and may have missed the boat waiting for a lower entry. There's plenty of potential there for sure.
I'd wait and try to get more info and a better beat on the stock before buying, but yeah, a switch out from VIP to SPIL is still in the back of my mind.
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SeekingAlpha
Vimpel-Com's Earnings Rise 30%, Miss Due to Tax Charge
Thursday April 12, 11:42 am ET
Vimpel-Communications, reported fourth-quarter earnings this morning that were slightly below market expectations, the result of a large charge related to a tax dispute. Shares are currently higher by $0.50, or 0.53%, to $95.20 in late morning trading. Despite net income falling $70 million on a quarter over quarter basis to $198 million, or $3.89 a share, income would have eclipsed Reuters analyst expectations of $238 million if not for a $42.5 million tax dispute charge. On a year over year basis, earnings rose nicely: net income gained 30%, to EPS of $3.89, compared with $2.97 a year earlier. Net operating revenue rose 59% to $1.45 billion. The company expects to continue its strong subscriber growth outside of Russia in the future. Vitaly Kupeev, telecom analyst at Alfa-Bank pointed out that "overall this is a good set of results, and there is no reason for concern."
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