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Greeeaaaat, im a new user here, I like the layout a lot better then yahoo group sites, shall i say POSH,
Happy trading everyone.Comment
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WELCOME
glad to see you here followed you on yahoo
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I know you PT...so when do we start???...The market waits for no one
"Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"
Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com
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CHART HARVESTING Manifesto
This document describes how I'm finding candidate stocks and why. This might stimulate some discussion on the board.
Look for my first installment of data to be posted sometime on Sunday 2003-12-07.
//PT
=========================================
CHART HARVESTING(TM) Manifesto
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
----------
Background
----------
Goal
----
* Achieve RAPID CAPITAL ACCUMULATION, via trades of exchange-traded (NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ) common stocks.
* Achieve strong rate of success in choosing stocks expected to achieve capital appreciation.
* Achieve appreciation results in as short a time as possible, with lowest risk to capital possible.
Account
-------
* IRA (no Fed income tax on short-term capital gains) cash account (no margin, no shorting)
* Low, fixed-cost commission (< $20/transaction) for each buy/sell
* No more than 80% of entire risk capital invested over any calendar 30-day period
Positions
---------
* Trade round-trips span a "near-term" timeframe of 1 to 5 weeks.
* Maximum position of $10,000 per security
* 1 to 5 total simultaneous positions (1 to 3 recommended)
* Close each position on 15% gain (after all commissions). See Trading Mechanics section below.
-----------------
Trading Mechanics
-----------------
After initial buy, place stop loss at 90% of original buy position, per security.
After a position per security reaches a 15% profit (after all commissions):
* If RSI(14) at end of day is over 70, sell the entire position only if RSI measure has broken an inclining RSI measure trend line of multi-week duration.
* If RSI(14) at end of day is not over 70 and if RSI measure is above the inclining trend line of multi-week duration, set a new stop loss at 90% of the 15% profit point, and wait.
* If RSI(14) at end of day is not over 70 and if RSI measure is below the inclining trend line of multi-week duration, sell the entire position in that security.
------------------------------
Identifying candidate vehicles
------------------------------
Daily procedure
---------------
1. Examine charts of stocks making a new 52-week high price:
2. Examine charts of stocks making a new 5-year high price:
3. (For stocks making a new 52-week or 5-year high price)
Look for average daily trading volume (30 days previous) in the stock of 50,000 shares. Liquidity is the friend of the short-term trader.
4. (For stocks making a new 52-week or 5-year high price)
Look for recent (more recent the better) price/volume breakout beyond a previous multi-year high price (with previous high being further in the past the better, and with previous high being an all-time high the best).
5. (For stocks making a new 52-week high price)
Look for best combination of: a) recent (more recent the better) price/volume breakout beyond a near-term (less than 3 years) previous high price, b) next significant overhead resistance is as distant as possible, measured as a percentage of the current price (no overhead resistance is best). Add this information to the comments in the published analysis.
6. After Step 4, for each remaining candidate by ranking, discriminate in favor of candidates with RSI(14) measure of 70 +/- 3 *and* with an inclining multi-week trend line for that measure. Add this information to the comments in the published analysis.
7. After Step 5, for each remaining candidate by ranking, in the Wilder's ADX plot look for a recent (the more recent the better) significant positive "jump" in the +DI line (green line) and where the multi-week trendline for the -DI line (red line) is flat or declining. OR, in the Wilder's ADX plot look for a sustained time interval that shows a separation of the +DI line above the -DI line. Add this information to the comments in the published analysis.
8. After Step 6, for each remaining candidate by ranking, identify the slope of the best inclining (most recent multi-week interval) price trend line (with the steeper the slope the better). Add this information to the comments in the published analysis.
9. Use a rough score (A, B, C, etc.) to rank the attractiveness of a new buy position for each candidate stock. Include this item in the published analysis.
Rationale
---------
* Price/volume breakout above a previous, well-established region of resistance strongly correlates with additional gains in that stock.
* In an overall bull market, a stock that shows a breakout to an all-time high (ATH), or to a price at which there is "distant" overhead resistance (defined as >50% above the breakout pivot price), strongly correlates with strong near-term appreciation, regardless of the stock's underlying fundamental value. Thus, in this scenario the probability is increased that a 15% gain is achievable and in a relatively short timeframe.
* On any day in the markets, any stock making a new 52-week (or other time period) high price might be accomplishing a breakout. Thus, by scanning on lists of new high prices and then examining the charts of those stocks for a new price gain beyond a previous high price, those stocks breaking out can be identified.
* For stocks showing a breakout that also have an RSI(14) measure that is 70 +/- 3 and that show an inclining RSI(14) trend indicate both existing strength (momentum) and also have room to grow even stronger (to an RSI(14) measure well above 70.
* A stock that shows a breakout that also shows in its Wilder's ADX plot a marked separation between the +DI line and -DI line in the recent past, or that show a trend of diverging +DI and -DI lines, strongly correlates with additional price gains in that stock.
-----------------
Using the results
-----------------
After running the daily procedure shown above, publish a listing as follows:
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-03
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
[Example]
2003-12-05 // CW // B // 83.55 // 83.55 // 0.00 % // 80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >16Y) peak in 2002-Jul.
2003-12-05 // EQT // A // 42.18 // 42.18 // 0.00 % // 41.50 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2003-Oct.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
[Example]
2003-12-05 // BAMM // A // 5.60 // 5.60 // 0.00 % // [78% >10.00]
2003-12-05 // BEXP // A // 8.22 // 8.22 // 0.00 % // [82% 15.00]
2003-12-05 // CMLS // C // 20.40 // 20.40 // 0.00 % // Approaching >3Y high of 21.50 in 2002-May. Next resis at ~55.00 in 2000-Jan.
2003-12-05 // CPRT // B // 14.23 // 14.23 // 0.00 % // [75% 25.00]
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
[Example]
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 35.92 // xx // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 84,095.00 // xx // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 82.70 // xx // xx
BSX // 2003-12-03 // 36.14 // 35.41 // xx // xx
...
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
[Example]
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 14.75 // xx // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // 5.60 // 5.60 // xx // xx
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 8.22 // xx // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 14.37 // xx // xx
...
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score =
A : Very good candidate (expect 15% gain most quickly) due to recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate (expect 15% gain less quickly) but price is somewhat beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set a news trigger at next resistance price and wait.
D : Price well above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Must use value analysis to determine safety of new long position, which is not the purpose of this exercise.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-03
This posting captures the new highs data for 2003-12-03.
Remember, not all the "new highs" you might find today are in the list below. Only the stocks that meet the selection criteria listed in the "manifesto" make it into consideration, and only those with the best chart setups make it onto today's "A" or "B" lists.
Making either the "A" or "B" list means that I will track its price going forward by end of each week.
Of course, there are other stocks who meet the selection criteria as of before 2003-12-03, but I have to start somewhere.
Happy hunting!
//PT
=================================================
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-03
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-03 // ADVP // D // 58.02 // 58.02 // 0.00 % // 40.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2002-Oct.
2003-12-03 // APOL // D // 69.30 // 69.30 // 0.00 % // ~20.00 was prev 5Y (actually >7Y) peak in ~1998-Jul.
2003-12-03 // BMET // B // 36.15 // 36.15 // 0.00 % // Brkout in 2003-Sep beyond 12-mo base, prev 5Y (actually >18Y) high of ~33.00.
2003-12-03 // BRK.A // B // 84,399.98 // 84,399.98 // 0.00 % // 80,000 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) peak in ~1999-Mar.
2003-12-03 // BRL // B // 83.34 // 83.34 // 0.00 % // 60.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15) high in 2001-Jul to 2001-Oct.
2003-12-03 // BSX // D // 36.14 // 36.14 // 0.00 % // ~23.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) high in ~1999-Jun.
2003-12-03 // CMX // A // 27.58 // 27.58 // 0.00 % // 27.50 was prev 5Y high in 2003-Jun. 8Y high is 35.00 in ~1996-Feb.
2003-12-03 // CTX // D // 111.09 // 111.09 // 0.00 % // 88.00 was prev 5Y (actually >17Y) high in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-03 // DHI // D // 43.90 // 43.90 // 0.00 % // 32.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) high in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-03 // ETN // A // 105.25 // 105.25 // 0.00 % // ~102.00 was prev 5Y high in ~1999-Mar.
2003-12-03 // FO // D // 70.06 // 70.06 // 0.00 % // 56.00 was prev 5Y (actually >20Y) high in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-03 // GCI // D // 88.81 // 88.81 // 0.00 % // 80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) high in 2000-Jan and 2003-May.
2003-12-03 // HAR // D // 143.81 // 143.81 // 0.00 % // ~60.00 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) high in 2002-May and 2002-Dec.
2003-12-03 // HMA // A // 26.29 // 26.29 // 0.00 % // ~25.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) high in ~1998-Jul followed by 2-yr base.
2003-12-03 // JCI // D // 110.51 // 110.51 // 0.00 % // 92.00 was prev 5Y (actually >18Y) high in 2002-Apr.
2003-12-03 // KRI // B // 75.33 // 75.33 // 0.00 % // 69.00/70.00 was prev 5Y (actually >17Y) high in 2002-Apr and 2003-Jul.
2003-12-03 // MCHP // A // 35.66 // 35.66 // 0.00 % // 34.00 was prev 5Y (actaully >10Y) high in ~2000-Aug and 2002-May.
2003-12-03 // MI // A // 37.37 // 37.37 // 0.00 % // 35.00 was prev 5Y high in 1999-May.
2003-12-03 // OXY // D // 37.70 // 37.70 // 0.00 % // 31.00 was prev 5Y high in 2001-Jun. 20Y high is 40.00 in late 1987.
2003-12-03 // PHM // D // 95.15 // 95.15 // 0.00 % // 71.00 was prev 5Y (actually >17Y) high in 2003-Jun. Series of ever more closely-spaced "scalloped" highs since late 1994.
2003-12-03 // PX // D // 73.82 // 73.82 // 0.00 % // 60.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) high in 2002-May.
2003-12-03 // SU // D // 22.43 // 22.43 // 0.00 % // 19.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) high in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-03 // SYY // D // 36.40 // 36.40 // 0.00 % // 32.50 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) high in 2002-Nov (had been 2Y ceiling on price).
2003-12-03 // TLM // D // 52.50 // 52.50 // 0.00 % // ~45.00 was prev 5Y high in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-03 // UTX // A // 87.27 // 87.27 // 0.00 % // 84.00 was prev 5Y (actually >23Y) high in 2001-May.
2003-12-03 // WLP // B // 95.42 // 95.42 // 0.00 % // ~90.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) high in 2002-Oct, 2003-Jun, and 2003-Oct.
2003-12-03 // WPO // B // 800.97 // 800.97 // 0.00 % // ~730.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) high in ceiling from 2002-Oct to 2003-Jul.
2003-12-03 // XTO // B // 26.18 // 26.18 // 0.00 % // 22.50 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) high in 2003-Jun.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-03 // ARW // C // 24.15 // 24.15 // 0.00 % // [33% ~32.00]
2003-12-03 // ASF // A // 15.08 // 15.08 // 0.00 % // [80% ~27.00]
2003-12-03 // BW // A // 13.96 // 13.96 // 0.00 % // [64% ~23.00]
2003-12-03 // DSCO // C // 9.43 // 9.43 // 0.00 % // Near 5Y high of ~11.00.
2003-12-03 // FSII // B // 7.00 // 7.00 // 0.00 % // [71% ~12.00]
2003-12-03 // HRL // C // 27.45 // 27.45 // 0.00 % // Approaching >10Y high of ~27.50 in 2002-Apr
2003-12-03 // MALL // C // 14.96 // 14.96 // 0.00 % // Approaching >8Y high of ~15.50 in 1999-Jan
2003-12-03 // MEDW // D // 16.25 // 16.25 // 0.00 % // Now over prev >8Y high in ~1997-Oct of ~12.00
2003-12-03 // NANO // C // 16.06 // 16.06 // 0.00 % // [25% ~20.00]
2003-12-03 // NTPA // A // 15.85 // 15.85 // 0.00 % // Now at >3Y high [247% ~55.00]
2003-12-03 // NTST // C // 14.60 // 14.60 // 0.00 % // Now at >3Y high [23% ~18.00]
2003-12-03 // OMM // C // 7.80 // 7.80 // 0.00 % // Approaching 3Y high of ~9.00
2003-12-03 // TINY // C // 9.16 // 9.16 // 0.00 % // Approaching 18M high of ~10.00, next resis at >30.00
2003-12-03 // XEL // A // 17.01 // 17.01 // 0.00 % // [76% ~30.00]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-04
This posting captures the new highs data for 2003-12-03.
Remember, not all the "new highs" you might find today are in the list below. Only the stocks that meet the selection criteria listed in the "manifesto" make it into consideration, and only those with the best chart setups make it onto today's "A" or "B" lists.
Making either the "A" or "B" list means that I will track its price going forward by end of each week.
Happy hunting!
//PT
================================================== ===
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-04
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-04 // APA // D // 76.75 // 76.75 // 0.00 % // 62.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2001-Jan.
2003-12-04 // ASD // D // 102.00 // 102.00 // 0.00 % // 80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >8Y) peak in ~2002-Jun.
2003-12-04 // BLUD // D // 24.25 // 24.25 // 0.00 % // 20.00 was prev 5Y (actually >16Y) peak in 2003-Oct.
2003-12-04 // CHD // D // 41.49 // 41.49 // 0.00 % // 36.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) peak in 2002-May and 2002-Nov.
2003-12-04 // CMC // B // 26.62 // 26.62 // 0.00 % // 24.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2002-Jul.
2003-12-04 // CXP // D // 59.97 // 59.97 // 0.00 % // 45.00 was prev 5Y (actually >9Y) peak in 2002-May.
2003-12-04 // DCI // D // 60.80 // 60.80 // 0.00 % // 45.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2002-Apr.
2003-12-04 // EVG // B // 30.11 // 30.11 // 0.00 % // 28.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2003-Oct.
2003-12-04 // GISX // D // 30.05 // 30.05 // 0.00 % // 26.00 was prev 5Y peak in 1999-Jan and 2003-Sep.
2003-12-04 // HOV // D // 96.20 // 96.20 // 0.00 % // ~70.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-04 // INT // D // 31.45 // 31.45 // 0.00 % // 25.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2003-Jul.
2003-12-04 // MOG.A // A // 46.93 // 46.93 // 0.00 % // Prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in ~1998-Mar.
2003-12-04 // MTSC // D // 19.65 // 19.65 // 0.00 % // 15.00 was prev 5Y peak in 2001-Aug and 2003-Jul. >14Y peak is ~17.50 in 1997-Dec.
2003-12-04 // OPY // D // 35.10 // 35.10 // 0.00 % // ~29.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2001-May, 2002-Jan, and 2003-May.
2003-12-04 // ORI // B // 38.21 // 38.21 // 0.00 % // 35.50 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2003-Jul.
2003-12-04 // PH // A // 57.29 // 57.29 // 0.00 % // ~55.00 was prev 5Y (actually >18Y) peak in ~1998-Jan, ~2000-Jan, and ~2002-Jan.
2003-12-04 // PHLY // D // 52.73 // 52.73 // 0.00 % // 47.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-04 // POG // D // 46.81 // 46.81 // 0.00 % // 34.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-04 // PRA // A // 31.86 // 31.86 // 0.00 % // 30.00 was prev 5Y (actually >2Y) peak in 2003-Jun. (>5Y of price history.)
2003-12-04 // PVA // B // 47.68 // 47.68 // 0.00 % // ~44.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2001-May and 2003-Jul.
2003-12-04 // ROAD // D // 53.05 // 53.05 // 0.00 % // 41.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2002-Mar and 2002-Dec.
2003-12-04 // SGMS // D // 16.70 // 16.70 // 0.00 % // 10.00 was prev 5Y (actually >5Y) peak in 2002-Mar and 2002-May.
2003-12-04 // SIE // B // 29.50 // 29.50 // 0.00 % // ~27.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2003-Aug.
2003-12-04 // SPH // D // 32.08 // 32.08 // 0.00 % // ~27.50 was prev 5Y (actually >4Y) peak from 2001-Jun to 2002-Dec.
2003-12-04 // SUN // D // 49.66 // 49.66 // 0.00 % // 41.00 was prev 5Y (actually >9Y) peak in 2002-Mar.
2003-12-04 // TII // B // 32.55 // 32.55 // 0.00 % // 30.75 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) peak in 2002-May.
2003-12-04 // UFPI // D // 30.73 // 30.73 // 0.00 % // 26.50 was prev 5Y (actually >9Y) peak in 2002-May.
2003-12-04 // WFDC // D // 36.50 // 36.50 // 0.00 % // 29.50 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Mar and 2002-Dec.
2003-12-04 // WGR // A // 46.22 // 46.22 // 0.00 % // 44.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 1993-Nov and 2001-May.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-04 // CMIN // C // 7.81 // 7.81 // 0.00 % // Approaching >3Y high of 8.00. Next resis at ~16.50 in 1999-Jul.
2003-12-04 // CSCO // B // 23.98 // 23.98 // 0.00 % // [83% ~44.00]
2003-12-04 // DITC // B // 18.19 // 18.19 // 0.00 % // [147% ~45.00]
2003-12-04 // ECSI // C // 7.90 // 7.90 // 0.00 % // [14% 9.00]
2003-12-04 // LCAV // A // 19.60 // 19.60 // 0.00 % // ATH, but less than 12 months of price data
2003-12-04 // NSC // C // 22.52 // 22.52 // 0.00 % // Approaching 2Y high of 26.50. >6Y high is ~38.00.
2003-12-04 // PAS // C // 16.25 // 16.25 // 0.00 % // [23% ~20.00]
2003-12-04 // PETD // D // 15.26 // 15.26 // 0.00 % // ATH, broke past prev >13Y high of 10.00 in 2003-Aug.
2003-12-04 // RRC // B // 8.45 // 8.45 // 0.00 % // [89% ~16.00]
2003-12-04 // SSCC // C // 17.40 // 17.40 // 0.00 % // Approaching 3Y high of 18.00 in 2002-May. >8Y high is 25.00.
2003-12-04 // SVM // C // 11.60 // 11.60 // 0.00 % // Approaching 13M high of 12.00. >4Y high is 15.00.
2003-12-04 // XRX // A // 12.49 // 12.49 // 0.00 % // [124% ~28.00]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-05 (EOW)
This posting captures the new highs data for 2003-12-05, and includes a cumulative of all stocks on the "A" and "B" lists from all previous daily posts.
Remember, not all the "new highs" you might find today are in the list below. Only the stocks that meet the selection criteria listed in the "manifesto" make it into consideration, and only those with the best chart setups make it onto today's "A" or "B" lists.
Making either the "A" or "B" list means that I will track its price going forward by end of each week.
Happy hunting!
//PT
================================================== ===
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING (WITH END-OF-WEEK CUMULATIVE SUMMARY OF "A" and "B" LIST STOCKS)
2003-12-05
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-05 // CRR // B // 48.40 // 48.40 // 0.00 % // ~44.00 was prev 5Y (actually >8Y) peak in 2001-May.
2003-12-05 // CW // B // 83.55 // 83.55 // 0.00 % // 80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >16Y) peak in 2002-Jul.
2003-12-05 // EQT // A // 42.18 // 42.18 // 0.00 % // 41.50 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2003-Oct.
2003-12-05 // FBR // A // 21.90 // 21.90 // 0.00 % // ~21.00 was prev 5Y (actually >5Y) peak in ~1998-Apr.
2003-12-05 // NCEN // A // 40.65 // 40.65 // 0.00 % // ~40.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in ~2003-Oct.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-05 // BAMM // A // 5.60 // 5.60 // 0.00 % // [78% >10.00]
2003-12-05 // BEXP // A // 8.22 // 8.22 // 0.00 % // [82% 15.00]
2003-12-05 // CMLS // C // 20.40 // 20.40 // 0.00 % // Approaching >3Y high of 21.50 in 2002-May. Next resis at ~55.00 in 2000-Jan.
2003-12-05 // CPRT // B // 14.23 // 14.23 // 0.00 % // [75% 25.00]
2003-12-05 // DLM // C // 10.06 // 10.06 // 0.00 % // Approaching >3Y high of 12.00. Next resis at ~14.00 in 1999-Dec.
2003-12-05 // EPL // C // 12.88 // 12.88 // 0.00 % // Approaching ATH of 14.00 in 2000-Dec.
2003-12-05 // ESL // A // 24.85 // 24.85 // 0.00 % // Recent breakout to ATH above 24.00.
2003-12-05 // GMR // A // 15.79 // 15.79 // 0.00 % // Recent breakout to ATH above 13.00/14.00, but less than 3Y of price data.
2003-12-05 // KSU // C // 14.09 // 14.09 // 0.00 % // Approaching >3Y high of 17.50 in 2002-Aug.
2003-12-05 // MDR // B // 10.40 // 10.40 // 0.00 % // [63% ~17.00]
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 35.92 // xx // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 84,095.00 // xx // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 82.70 // xx // xx
CMC // 2003-12-04 // 26.62 // 26.70 // xx // xx
CMX // 2003-12-03 // 27.58 // 26.99 // xx // xx
CRR // 2003-12-05 // 48.24 // 48.24 // xx // xx
CW // 2003-12-05 // 83.07 // 83.07 // xx // xx
EQT // 2003-12-05 // 42.15 // 42.15 // xx // xx
ETN // 2003-12-03 // 105.25 // 106.52 // xx // xx
EVG // 2003-12-04 // 30.09 // 30.81 // xx // xx
FBR // 2003-12-05 // 21.78 // 21.78 // xx // xx
HMA // 2003-12-03 // 26.29 // 26.01 // xx // xx
KRI // 2003-12-03 // 75.33 // 73.95 // xx // xx
MCHP // 2003-12-03 // 35.66 // 32.44 // xx // xx
MI // 2003-12-03 // 37.37 // 37.53 // xx // xx
MOG.A // 2003-12-04 // 46.68 // 46.23 // xx // xx
NCEN // 2003-12-05 // 39.62 // 39.62 // xx // xx
ORI // 2003-12-04 // 37.98 // 38.13 // xx // xx
PH // 2003-12-04 // 57.10 // 57.38 // xx // xx
PRA // 2003-12-04 // 31.86 // 31.74 // xx // xx
PVA // 2003-12-04 // 47.65 // 48.40 // xx // xx
SIE // 2003-12-04 // 29.42 // 28.73 // xx // xx
TII // 2003-12-04 // 32.40 // 32.66 // xx // xx
UTX // 2003-12-03 // 87.27 // 87.73 // xx // xx
WGR // 2003-12-04 // 46.16 // 46.00 // xx // xx
WLP // 2003-12-03 // 95.42 // 93.77 // xx // xx
WPO // 2003-12-03 // 800.97 // 792.40 // xx // xx
XTO // 2003-12-03 // 26.18 // 27.35 // xx // xx
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 14.75 // xx // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // 5.60 // 5.60 // xx // xx
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 8.22 // xx // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 14.37 // xx // xx
CPRT // 2003-12-05 // 14.23 // 14.23 // xx // xx
CSCO // 2003-12-04 // 23.98 // 23.75 // xx // xx
DITC // 2003-12-04 // 18.19 // 16.93 // xx // xx
ESL // 2003-12-05 // 24.85 // 24.85 // xx // xx
FSII // 2003-12-03 // 7.00 // 6.88 // xx // xx
GMR // 2003-12-05 // 15.79 // 15.79 // xx // xx
LCAV // 2003-12-04 // 19.60 // 18.41 // xx // xx
MDR // 2003-12-05 // 10.40 // 10.40 // xx // xx
NTPA // 2003-12-03 // 15.85 // 14.75 // xx // xx
RRC // 2003-12-04 // 8.45 // 8.46 // xx // xx
XEL // 2003-12-03 // 17.01 // 16.90 // xx // xx
XRX // 2003-12-04 // 12.49 // 12.13 // xx // xx
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-08
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-08
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-08 // AMB // B // 32.32 // 32.32 // 0.00 % // 30.25 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2002-Jul.
2003-12-08 // APU // A // 27.21 // 27.21 // 0.00 % // 27.30 was prev 5Y (actually >8Y) peak in 2003-Dec.
2003-12-08 // CFC // D // 108.30 // 108.30 // 0.00 % // 80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-08 // IEX // A // 41.40 // 41.40 // 0.00 % // 40.00 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) peak in 2003-Aug.
2003-12-08 // IGEN // D // 60.70 // 60.70 // 0.00 % // ~45.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2003-Jan.
2003-12-08 // KMP // D // 45.00 // 45.00 // 0.00 % // 36.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2002-Jan.
2003-12-08 // MMM // D // 81.95 // 81.95 // 0.00 % // Steady uptrend, last brkout was over 68.00, declining 60EMA daily volume since 2002-Nov.
2003-12-08 // PXD // A // 30.16 // 30.16 // 0.00 % // 28.50 was prev 5Y (actually >5Y) peak in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-08 // RSE // D // 46.28 // 46.28 // 0.00 % // 33.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-08 // SYK // D // 83.15 // 83.15 // 0.00 % // Steady uptrend, last brkout was over 62.00, declining 60EMA daily volume since 2003-May.
2003-12-08 // TPP // B // 32.32 // 32.32 // 0.00 % // 38.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) peak in 2003-Jul.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-08 // EIX // B // 21.37 // 21.37 // 0.00 % // [40% 30.00]
2003-12-08 // EPEX // C // 8.21 // 8.21 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~9.75, next resis ~14.50.
2003-12-08 // GLAD // D // 22.84 // 22.84 // 0.00 % // Less than 2YRs of price data.
2003-12-08 // GMT // C // 25.95 // 25.95 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~31.00, >4Y high at 50.00 on 2001-Jan.
2003-12-08 // HRT // D // 20.75 // 20.75 // 0.00 % // >11Y high
2003-12-08 // KCS // C // 9.49 // 9.49 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 10.20, next resis ~30.00.
2003-12-08 // NCS // C // 24.70 // 24.70 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 25.50, next resis ~31.00.
2003-12-08 // OIS // C // 13.94 // 13.94 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 15.00 (ATH). Less than 3YRs of price data.
2003-12-08 // QLTI // C // 19.55 // 19.55 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~25.00, next resis ~80.00.
2003-12-08 // RENT // C // 8.59 // 8.59 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 10.00 (ATH).
2003-12-08 // REVU // C // 8.25 // 8.25 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 10.00 (ATH). Less than 3YRs of price data.
2003-12-08 // RST // C // 14.47 // 14.47 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 16.50, next resis ~22.00.
2003-12-08 // SFY // A // 15.14 // 15.14 // 0.00 % // [177% 42.00]
2003-12-08 // TMR // A // 5.41 // 5.41 // 0.00 % // [48% ~8.00] Next resis at ~18.00.
2003-12-08 // TRR // A // 21.30 // 21.30 // 0.00 % // [70% 28.00] Next resis at >12Y high at ~37.00
2003-12-08 // UCO // A // 25.16 // 25.16 // 0.00 % // [62% 40.00] Volatile stock.
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
AMB // 2003-12-08 // 32.32 // 32.32 // 0.00% // xx
APU // 2003-12-08 // 27.21 // 27.21 // 0.00% // xx
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 37.05 // 2.49% // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 83,900.00 // (0.59%) // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 83.78 // 0.53% // xx
CMC // 2003-12-04 // 26.62 // 27.50 // 3.31% // xx
CMX // 2003-12-03 // 27.58 // 27.17 // (1.49%) // xx
CRR // 2003-12-05 // 48.24 // 48.02 // (0.46%) // xx
CW // 2003-12-05 // 83.07 // 84.25 // 1.42% // xx
EQT // 2003-12-05 // 42.15 // 42.85 // 1.66% // xx
ETN // 2003-12-03 // 105.25 // 106.14 // 0.85% // xx
EVG // 2003-12-04 // 30.09 // 31.03 // 3.12% // xx
FBR // 2003-12-05 // 21.78 // 21.78 // (0.14%) // xx
HMA // 2003-12-03 // 26.29 // 23.12 // (12.06%) // xx
IEX // 2003-12-08 // 41.40 // 41.40 // 0.00% // xx
KRI // 2003-12-03 // 75.33 // 73.80 // (2.03%) // xx
MCHP // 2003-12-03 // 35.66 // 32.21 // (9.70%) // xx
MI // 2003-12-03 // 37.37 // 37.60 // (0.62%) // xx
MOG.A // 2003-12-04 // 46.68 // 47.10 // 0.90% // xx
NCEN // 2003-12-05 // 39.62 // 40.49 // 2.15% // xx
ORI // 2003-12-04 // 37.98 // 38.53 // 1.45% // xx
PH // 2003-12-04 // 57.10 // 57.43 // 0.58% // xx
PRA // 2003-12-04 // 31.86 // 32.97 // 3.48% // xx
PVA // 2003-12-04 // 47.65 // 53.23 // 11.71% // xx
PXD // 2003-12-08 // 30.16 // 30.16 // 0.00 % // xx
SIE // 2003-12-04 // 29.42 // 28.33 // (3.70%) // xx
TII // 2003-12-04 // 32.40 // 33.20 // 2.47% // xx
UTX // 2003-12-03 // 87.27 // 88.55 // 1.47% // xx
WGR // 2003-12-04 // 46.16 // 46.43 // 0.58% // xx
WLP // 2003-12-03 // 95.42 // 93.68 // (1.61%) // xx
WPO // 2003-12-03 // 800.97 // 796.28 // (0.59%) // xx
XTO // 2003-12-03 // 26.18 // 27.68 // 5.73% // xx
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 15.42 // 2.25% // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // 5.60 // 6.59 // 16.79% // 1: 2003-12-08
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 8.06 // (1.95%) // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 14.55 // 4.23% // xx
CPRT // 2003-12-05 // 14.23 // 14.30 // (1.41%) // xx
CSCO // 2003-12-04 // 23.98 // 24.29 // 1.58% // xx
DITC // 2003-12-04 // 18.19 // 18.42 // 1.26% // xx
EIX // 2003-12-08 // 21.37 // 21.37 // 0.00 % // xx
ESL // 2003-12-05 // 24.85 // 24.91 // 0.24% // xx
FSII // 2003-12-03 // 7.00 // 7.05 // 0.71% // xx
GMR // 2003-12-05 // 15.79 // 16.11 // 2.03% // xx
LCAV // 2003-12-04 // 19.60 // 18.34 // (6.43%) // xx
NTPA // 2003-12-03 // 15.85 // 14.99 // (5.99%) // xx
RRC // 2003-12-04 // 8.45 // 8.81 // 4.26% // xx
SFY // 2003-12-08 // 15.14 // 15.14 // 0.00 % // xx
TMR // 2003-12-08 // 5.41 // 5.41 // 0.00 % // xx
TRR // 2003-12-08 // 21.30 // 21.30 // 0.00 % // xx
UCO // 2003-12-08 // 25.16 // 25.16 // 0.00 % // xx
XEL // 2003-12-03 // 17.01 // 17.12 // 0.65% // xx
XRX // 2003-12-04 // 12.49 // 12.05 // (3.52%) // xx
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily posting for 2003-12-09
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-09
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-09 // EASI // D // 60.56 // 60.56 // 0.00 % // Steady uptrend, last brkout was over 28.00 in 2003-Jul.
2003-12-09 // ITW // A // 82.71 // 82.71 // 0.00 % // ~80.00 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) peak in ~1999-Nov.
2003-12-09 // PII // A // 88.85 // 88.85 // 0.00 % // 88.12 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2003-Dec.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-09 // ADM // C // 14.87 // 14.87 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~15.50, next resis ~18.00.
2003-12-09 // CLEC // C // 6.73 // 6.73 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~9.50 (>3Y high).
2003-12-09 // CYPB // D // 14.91 // 14.91 // 0.00 % // Prev brkout at 10.00 in 2003-Oct.
2003-12-09 // HDL // C // 18.94 // 18.94 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~19.50 (>14Y high).
2003-12-09 // IRI // C // 5.15 // 5.15 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~5.15 (>6Y high).
2003-12-09 // LNDC // B // 6.47 // 6.47 // 0.00 % // [31% 8.50]
2003-12-09 // MDCI // B // 18.02 // 18.02 // 0.00 % // [27% ~23.00]
2003-12-09 // MTEX // D // 13.42 // 13.42 // 0.00 % // Prev brkout at 8.00 in 2003-Nov.
2003-12-09 // MTXX // D // 17.32 // 17.32 // 0.00 % // Prev brkout at 10.00 in 2003-Sep.
2003-12-09 // NOBL // A // 20.25 // 20.25 // 0.00 % // >6Y high.
2003-12-09 // OLG // C // 25.49 // 25.49 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~26.50 (>8Y high).
2003-12-09 // PKG // A // 21.46 // 21.46 // 0.00 % // >3Y high. Less than 4YRs of price data.
2003-12-09 // PTIX // C // 14.45 // 14.45 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~17.50, next resis ~37.00.
2003-12-09 // QDEL // C // 9.51 // 9.51 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~11.00 (>5Y high).
2003-12-09 // RFMI // B // 9.82 // 9.82 // 0.00 % // [31% ~15.00]
2003-12-09 // SGU // C // 24.01 // 24.01 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~24.50 (>8Y high).
2003-12-09 // TSO // D // 13.80 // 13.80 // 0.00 % // Prev brkout at 7.75 in 2003-Aug.
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
AMB // 2003-12-08 // 32.32 // 32.13 // (0.59%) // xx
APU // 2003-12-08 // 27.21 // 27.26 // 0.18% // xx
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 37.05 // 2.49% // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 83,900.00 // (0.59%) // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 83.78 // 0.53% // xx
CMC // 2003-12-04 // 26.62 // 27.50 // 3.31% // xx
CMX // 2003-12-03 // 27.58 // 26.41 // (4.24%) // xx
CRR // 2003-12-05 // 48.24 // 48.02 // (0.46%) // xx
CW // 2003-12-05 // 83.07 // 84.25 // 1.42% // xx
EASI // 2003-12-09 // 60.56 // 60.56 // 0.00 % // xx
EQT // 2003-12-05 // 42.15 // 42.67 // 1.23% // xx
ETN // 2003-12-03 // 105.25 // 106.10 // 0.81% // xx
EVG // 2003-12-04 // 30.09 // 31.03 // 3.12% // xx
FBR // 2003-12-05 // 21.78 // 20.70 // (4.96%) // xx
HMA // 2003-12-03 // 26.29 // 23.40 // (10.99%) // xx
IEX // 2003-12-08 // 41.40 // 41.65 // 0.60% // xx
ITW // 2003-12-09 // 82.71 // 82.71 // 0.00 % // xx
KRI // 2003-12-03 // 75.33 // 73.80 // (2.03%) // xx
MCHP // 2003-12-03 // 35.66 // 30.81 // (13.60%) // xx
MI // 2003-12-03 // 37.37 // 37.40 // 0.08% // xx
MOG.A // 2003-12-04 // 46.68 // 47.25 // 1.22% // xx
NCEN // 2003-12-05 // 39.62 // 39.93 // 0.78% // xx
ORI // 2003-12-04 // 37.98 // 38.53 // 1.45% // xx
PH // 2003-12-04 // 57.10 // 57.72 // 1.09% // xx
PII // 2003-12-09 // 88.85 // 88.85 // 0.00 % // xx
PRA // 2003-12-04 // 31.86 // 31.60 // (0.82%)% // xx
PVA // 2003-12-04 // 47.65 // 53.23 // 11.71% // xx
PXD // 2003-12-08 // 30.16 // 29.72 // (1.46%) // xx
SIE // 2003-12-04 // 29.42 // 28.33 // (3.70%) // xx
TII // 2003-12-04 // 32.40 // 33.20 // 2.47% // xx
UTX // 2003-12-03 // 87.27 // 88.49 // 1.40% // xx
WGR // 2003-12-04 // 46.16 // 46.29 // 0.28% // xx
WLP // 2003-12-03 // 95.42 // 93.68 // (1.61%) // xx
WPO // 2003-12-03 // 800.97 // 796.28 // (0.59%) // xx
XTO // 2003-12-03 // 26.18 // 27.68 // 5.73% // xx
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 14.77 // (2.06%) // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // ---- // ---- // 16.79% // 1: 2003-12-08
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 7.80 // (5.11%) // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 14.08 // 0.86% // xx
CPRT // 2003-12-05 // 14.23 // 14.30 // (1.41%) // xx
CSCO // 2003-12-04 // 23.98 // 24.29 // 1.58% // xx
DITC // 2003-12-04 // 18.19 // 18.42 // 1.26% // xx
EIX // 2003-12-08 // 21.37 // 20.90 // (2.20%) // xx
ESL // 2003-12-05 // 24.85 // 24.70 // (0.60%) // xx
FSII // 2003-12-03 // 7.00 // 7.05 // 0.71% // xx
GMR // 2003-12-05 // 15.79 // 16.20 // 2.60% // xx
LCAV // 2003-12-04 // 19.60 // 18.29 // (6.68%) // xx
LNDC // 2003-12-09 // 6.47 // 6.47 // 0.00 % // xx
MDCI // 2003-12-09 // 18.02 // 18.02 // 0.00 % // xx
NOBL // 2003-12-09 // 20.25 // 20.25 // 0.00 % // xx
NTPA // 2003-12-03 // 15.85 // 13.85 // (12.62%) // xx
PKG // 2003-12-09 // 21.46 // 21.46 // 0.00 % // xx
RFMI // 2003-12-09 // 9.82 // 9.82 // 0.00 % // xx
RRC // 2003-12-04 // 8.45 // 8.81 // 4.26% // xx
SFY // 2003-12-08 // 15.14 // 15.26 // 0.79 % // xx
TMR // 2003-12-08 // 5.41 // 5.41 // 0.00 % // xx
TRR // 2003-12-08 // 21.30 // 21.75 // 2.11 % // xx
UCO // 2003-12-08 // 25.16 // 25.16 // 0.00 % // xx
XEL // 2003-12-03 // 17.01 // 17.25 // 1.41% // xx
XRX // 2003-12-04 // 12.49 // 11.79 // (5.60%) // xx
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
Link - Effect on annual return of buying N% cheaper
This whole web site has fun stuff about using math to analyze investing:
Comment
-
Re: Link - Effect on annual return of buying N% cheaper
ParkTwain,
Sure buying N% cheaper would be a no brainer, but the real issue is having to wait for the price to drop on a stock whose price you expect to go up: the wait could be forever !
The site itself is fascinating. Will check it out.
PS Since your posyed model is pretty interesting, may I ask: Are there other "good" stock slection models you know I can check? I would like to collect a few and do some comps. Promise to share results when they become available.
[email protected]Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-10
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-10
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-10 // ALEX // B // 32.36 // 32.36 // 0.00 % // 28.50 was prev 5Y (actually >19Y) peak in 2002-May.
2003-12-10 // ASVI // D // 31.87 // 31.87 // 0.00 % // ~27.00 was prev 5Y (actually >9Y) peak in ~1998-Aug.
2003-12-10 // IPAR // D // 21.90 // 21.90 // 0.00 % // ~12.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) peak in 2003-Aug.
2003-12-10 // JBSS // D // 46.30 // 46.30 // 0.00 % // ~20.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) peak in 2003-May.
2003-12-10 // LIFE // D // 38.30 // 38.30 // 0.00 % // 30.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Apr.
2003-12-10 // MIDD // D // 36.23 // 36.23 // 0.00 % // ~13.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in ~1996-Nov.
2003-12-10 // MLP // D // 33.26 // 33.26 // 0.00 % // ~27.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2003-Oct.
2003-12-10 // RAVN // D // 28.88 // 28.88 // 0.00 % // ~8.00 was prev 5Y (actually >12Y) peak in ~1997-Oct.
2003-12-10 // SWN // B // 21.33 // 21.33 // 0.00 % // 18.50 was prev 5Y (actually >16Y) peak in ~1993-Dec.
2003-12-10 // WGO // D // 60.54 // 60.54 // 0.00 % // 50.00 was prev 5Y (actually >18Y) peak in 2002-Dec.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-10 // KFY // A // 11.22 // 11.22 // 0.00 % // [114% ~24.00]
2003-12-10 // LYO // C // 16.00 // 16.00 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~18.00, next resis ~20.00.
2003-12-10 // TTN // C // 21.65 // 21.65 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~23.00, next resis ~28.00.
2003-12-10 // TYC // B // 24.32 // 24.32 // 0.00 % // [44% ~35.00]
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ALEX // 2003-12-10 // 32.36 // 32.36 // 0.00% // xx
AMB // 2003-12-08 // 32.32 // 32.00 // -- // xx
APU // 2003-12-08 // 27.21 // 27.28 // -- // xx
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 35.91 // -- // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 83,700.00 // -- // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 76.00 // -- // xx
CMC // 2003-12-04 // 26.62 // 27.15 // -- // xx
CMX // 2003-12-03 // 27.58 // 26.72 // -- // xx
CRR // 2003-12-05 // 48.24 // 47.90 // -- // xx
CW // 2003-12-05 // 83.07 // 84.04 // -- // xx
EASI // 2003-12-09 // 60.56 // 59.47 // -- // xx
EQT // 2003-12-05 // 42.15 // 43.00 // -- // xx
ETN // 2003-12-03 // 105.25 // 105.09 // -- // xx
EVG // 2003-12-04 // 30.09 // 30.73 // -- // xx
FBR // 2003-12-05 // 21.78 // 20.05 // -- // xx
HMA // 2003-12-03 // 26.29 // 23.55 // -- // xx
IEX // 2003-12-08 // 41.40 // 40.80 // -- // xx
ITW // 2003-12-09 // 82.71 // 81.75 // -- // xx
KRI // 2003-12-03 // 75.33 // 72.61 // -- // xx
MCHP // 2003-12-03 // 35.66 // 31.73 // -- // xx
MI // 2003-12-03 // 37.37 // 37.55 // -- // xx
MOG.A // 2003-12-04 // 46.68 // 48.86 // -- // xx
NCEN // 2003-12-05 // 39.62 // 38.24 // -- // xx
ORI // 2003-12-04 // 37.98 // 38.60 // -- // xx
PH // 2003-12-04 // 57.10 // 56.55 // -- // xx
PII // 2003-12-09 // 88.85 // 89.18 // -- // xx
PRA // 2003-12-04 // 31.86 // 31.32 // -- // xx
PVA // 2003-12-04 // 47.65 // 53.30 // -- // xx
PXD // 2003-12-08 // 30.16 // 29.18 // -- // xx
SIE // 2003-12-04 // 29.42 // 26.67 // -- // xx
SWN // 2003-12-10 // 21.33 // 21.33 // 0.00 % // xx
TII // 2003-12-04 // 32.40 // 34.11 // -- // xx
TPP // 2003-12-08 // 40.10 // 39.75 // -- // xx
UTX // 2003-12-03 // 87.27 // 88.27 // -- // xx
WGR // 2003-12-04 // 46.16 // 46.01 // -- // xx
WLP // 2003-12-03 // 95.42 // 93.50 // -- // xx
WPO // 2003-12-03 // 800.97 // 790.55 // -- // xx
XTO // 2003-12-03 // 26.18 // 26.90 // -- // xx
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 15.22 // -- // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // ---- // ---- // 16.79% // 1: 2003-12-08
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 7.70 // -- // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 13.86 // -- // xx
CPRT // 2003-12-05 // 14.23 // 14.86 // -- // xx
CSCO // 2003-12-04 // 23.98 // 23.78 // -- // xx
DITC // 2003-12-04 // 18.19 // 16.54 // -- // xx
EIX // 2003-12-08 // 21.37 // 21.07 // -- // xx
ESL // 2003-12-05 // 24.85 // 25.25 // -- // xx
FSII // 2003-12-03 // 7.00 // 6.69 // -- // xx
GMR // 2003-12-05 // 15.79 // 15.93 // -- // xx
KFY // 2003-12-10 // 11.22 // 11.22 // 0.00 % // xx
LCAV // 2003-12-04 // 19.60 // 18.40 // -- // xx
LNDC // 2003-12-09 // 6.47 // 6.47 // -- // xx
MDCI // 2003-12-09 // 18.02 // 17.78 // -- // xx
NOBL // 2003-12-09 // 20.25 // 20.40 // -- // xx
NTPA // 2003-12-03 // 15.85 // 13.84 // -- // xx
PKG // 2003-12-09 // 21.46 // 21.45 // -- // xx
RFMI // 2003-12-09 // 9.82 // 9.44 // -- // xx
RRC // 2003-12-04 // 8.45 // 8.70 // -- // xx
SFY // 2003-12-08 // 15.14 // 15.69 // -- // xx
TMR // 2003-12-08 // 5.41 // 5.58 // -- // xx
TRR // 2003-12-08 // 21.30 // 21.06 // -- // xx
TYC // 2003-12-10 // 24.32 // 24.32 // 0.00 % // xx
UCO // 2003-12-08 // 25.16 // 25.15 // -- // xx
XEL // 2003-12-03 // 17.01 // 17.18 // -- // xx
XRX // 2003-12-04 // 12.49 // 11.53 // -- // xx
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
-
CHART HARVESTING(TM) - Daily post for 2003-12-11
CHART HARVESTING(TM)
Copyright (c) 2003 by Park Twain. All rights reserved.
END-OF-DAY LISTING
2003-12-11
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from MSN Money Central Daily List of 5-Year Highs
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments
2003-12-11 // BWA // D // 81.92 // 81.92 // 0.00 % // 69.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2002-May.
2003-12-11 // CHC // D // 20.69 // 20.60 // 0.00 % // 19.00 was prev 5Y (actually >6Y) peak in 2003-Jul.
2003-12-11 // CRK // A // 18.63 // 18.63 // 0.00 % // ~17.00 was prev 5Y (actually >14Y) peak in ~1997-Oct.
2003-12-11 // FAST // D // 49.98 // 49.98 // 0.00 % // 43.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Mar.
2003-12-11 // GLYT // D // 55.93 // 55.93 // 0.00 % // 45.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Jun.
2003-12-11 // LSTR // D // 38.79 // 38.79 // 0.00 % // 33.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2003-Jun.
2003-12-11 // MBG // B // 44.61 // 44.61 // 0.00 % // 42.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2003-Sep.
2003-12-11 // MTX // B // 58.45 // 58.45 // 0.00 % // 54.00 was prev 5Y (actually >11Y) peak in 2002-Mar.
2003-12-11 // NDSN // A // 34.35 // 34.35 // 0.00 % // 33.00 was prev 5Y (actually >13Y) peak in 2002-Apr.
2003-12-11 // SCSC // D // 44.88 // 44.88 // 0.00 % // 38.00 was prev 5Y (actually >10Y) peak in 2002-Nov.
2003-12-11 // SSD // A // 51.38 // 51.38 // 0.00 % // 49.00 was prev 5Y (actually >9Y) peak in 2003-Aug.
2003-12-11 // TMK // B // 44.89 // 44.89 // 0.00 % // 43.00 was prev 5Y (actually >15Y) peak in 2001-Aug.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidates from Chart Harvest(TM) from Barchart.com Daily List of 52-Week Highs
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AD // Symbol // AD Score // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) since AD // Comments [% upside to next resis]
2003-12-11 // CTB // C // 21.25 // 21.25 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~22.00, next resis ~25.50 (>5Y high).
2003-12-11 // MAPX // B // 13.00 // 13.00 // 0.00 % // [53% ~20.00]
2003-12-11 // MTN // C // 17.00 // 17.00 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at 18.50, next resis ~22.50 (>2Y high).
2003-12-11 // SORC // B // 10.52 // 10.52 // 0.00 % // [42% ~15.00]
2003-12-11 // USU // C // 8.43 // 8.43 // 0.00 % // Approaching resis at ~10.00, next resis ~15.00 (>5Y high).
----------------------------------------------------------
Cumulative list of stock charts analyzed with A or B score
----------------------------------------------------------
5-Year Highs List
-----------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ALEX // 2003-12-10 // 32.36 // 33.32 // 2.97% // xx
AMB // 2003-12-08 // 32.32 // 32.30 // (0.06%) // xx
APU // 2003-12-08 // 27.21 // 27.40 // 0.70% // xx
BMET // 2003-12-03 // 36.15 // 37.11 // 2.79% // xx
BRK.A // 2003-12-03 // 84,399.98 // 83,900.00 // (0.59%) // xx
BRL // 2003-12-03 // 83.34 // 74.47 // (10.84%) // xx
CMC // 2003-12-04 // 26.62 // 27.33 // 2.67% // xx
CMX // 2003-12-03 // 27.58 // 27.37 // (0.83%) // xx
CRK // 2003-12-11 // 18.63 // 18.63 // 0.00% // xx
CRR // 2003-12-05 // 48.24 // 48.14 // (0.21%) // xx
CW // 2003-12-05 // 83.07 // 87.25 // 5.03% // xx
EQT // 2003-12-05 // 42.15 // 43.06 // 2.16% // xx
ETN // 2003-12-03 // 105.25 // 107.88 // 2.50% // xx
EVG // 2003-12-04 // 30.09 // 31.03 // 3.12% // xx
FBR // 2003-12-05 // 21.78 // 20.70 // (4.96%) // xx
HMA // 2003-12-03 // 26.29 // 23.76 // (9.62%) // xx
IEX // 2003-12-08 // 41.40 // 41.64 // 0.58% // xx
ITW // 2003-12-09 // 82.71 // 81.71 // (1.21%) // xx
KRI // 2003-12-03 // 75.33 // 73.45 // (2.50%) // xx
MBG // 2003-12-11 // 44.61 // 44.61 // 0.00% // xx
MCHP // 2003-12-03 // 35.66 // 32.06 // (10.10%) // xx
MI // 2003-12-03 // 37.37 // 37.80 // 1.15% // xx
MOG.A // 2003-12-04 // 46.68 // 48.76 // 4.46% // xx
MTX // 2003-12-11 // 58.45 // 58.45 // 0.00% // xx
NCEN // 2003-12-05 // 39.62 // 39.29 // (0.83%) // xx
NDSN // 2003-12-11 // 34.35 // 34.35 // 0.00% // xx
ORI // 2003-12-04 // 37.98 // 38.08 // 0.26% // xx
PH // 2003-12-04 // 57.10 // 58.02 // 1.61% // xx
PII // 2003-12-09 // 88.85 // 90.79 // 2.18% // xx
PRA // 2003-12-04 // 31.86 // 31.72 // (0.44%) // xx
PVA // 2003-12-04 // 47.65 // 54.06 // 13.45% // xx
PXD // 2003-12-08 // 30.16 // 29.84 // (1.06%) // xx
SIE // 2003-12-04 // 29.42 // 27.45 // (6.70%) // xx
SSD // 2003-12-11 // 51.38 // 51.38 // 0.00% // xx
SWN // 2003-12-10 // 21.33 // 21.49 // 0.75% // xx
TII // 2003-12-04 // 32.40 // 34.25 // 5.71% // xx
TMK // 2003-12-11 // 44.89 // 44.89 // 0.00% // xx
TPP // 2003-12-08 // 40.10 // 40.10 // 0.00% // xx
UTX // 2003-12-03 // 87.27 // 89.27 // 2.33% // xx
WGR // 2003-12-04 // 46.16 // 45.91 // (0.54%) // xx
WLP // 2003-12-03 // 95.42 // 95.08 // (0.34%) // xx
WPO // 2003-12-03 // 800.97 // 796.35 // (0.58%) // xx
XTO // 2003-12-03 // 26.18 // 27.23 // 4.01% // xx
52-Week Highs List
------------------
Symbol // AD // AD EOD price // Today's EOD price // Gain (loss) // Trading days to gain 15%
ASF // 2003-12-03 // 15.08 // 15.31 // 1.53% // xx
BAMM // 2003-12-05 // ---- // ---- // 16.79% // 1: 2003-12-08
BEXP // 2003-12-05 // 8.22 // 7.63 // (7.18%) // xx
BW // 2003-12-03 // 13.96 // 14.25 // 2.08% // xx
CPRT // 2003-12-05 // 14.23 // 15.48 // 8.78% // xx
CSCO // 2003-12-04 // 23.98 // 23.93 // (0.50%) // xx
DITC // 2003-12-04 // 18.19 // 17.90 // (1.59%) // xx
EIX // 2003-12-08 // 21.37 // 21.25 // (0.56%) // xx
ESL // 2003-12-05 // 24.85 // 25.66 // 3.26% // xx
FSII // 2003-12-03 // 7.00 // 6.99 // (0.14%) // xx
GMR // 2003-12-05 // 15.79 // 15.95 // 1.01% // xx
KFY // 2003-12-10 // 11.22 // 11.78 // 4.99% // xx
LCAV // 2003-12-04 // 19.60 // 18.10 // (7.81%) // xx
LNDC // 2003-12-09 // 6.47 // 6.51 // 0.62% // xx
MAPX // 2003-12-11 // 13.00 // 13.00 // 0.00% // xx
MDCI // 2003-12-09 // 18.02 // 17.68 // (1.89%) // xx
NOBL // 2003-12-09 // 20.25 // 20.53 // 1.18% // xx
NTPA // 2003-12-03 // 15.85 // 13.95 // (11.67%) // xx
PKG // 2003-12-09 // 21.46 // 21.25 // (0.98%) // xx
RFMI // 2003-12-09 // 9.82 // 9.28 // (5.50%) // xx
RRC // 2003-12-04 // 8.45 // 8.67 // 2.60% // xx
SFY // 2003-12-08 // 15.14 // 15.70 // 3.70% // xx
SORC // 2003-12-11 // 10.52 // 10.52 // 0.00% // xx
TMR // 2003-12-08 // 5.41 // 5.89 // 8.87% // xx
TRR // 2003-12-08 // 21.30 // 21.64 // 1.60% // xx
TYC // 2003-12-10 // 24.32 // 24.32 // 0.00% // xx
UCO // 2003-12-08 // 25.16 // 25.81 // 2.58% // xx
XEL // 2003-12-03 // 17.01 // 17.07 // 0.35% // xx
XRX // 2003-12-04 // 12.49 // 12.03 // (4.64%) // xx
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY
AD = Analysis Day
EOD = End of day
AD Score (based only on chart, no fundamental analysis) =
A : Very good candidate for quick 15% gain, due to very recent breakout. Establish new position ASAP.
B : Good candidate for 15% gain but less quickly because price is up to 10% beyond most recent breakout. Establish new position when guided by stochastics trending.
C : Price approaching next significant resistance. Set an alert trigger at just above next resistance price and wait. (There won't be any stocks in this category from the 5-Year Highs list.)
D : Price is more than 10% above previous breakout and no established overhead resistance to anticipate (that is, already in blue sky or too much middling resistance ahead). Going forward, blue-sky stocks in this category can best be addressed only by very short-term technical analysis or of fundamental/value analysis.Comment
Comment