I can be Huge too

[antioch6]

Bought SWKS, DLTR, more VIV, more AAPL, and LPL from another strategy. I'm looking for the sentiment reading this week and buying on slightly down days expecting a strong finish to the month.

[antioch6]

Here is the dump for this week:

AAPL, WLK, MS, SBRA, HMLP, CM, ANAT, PLBC, PKBK, KEY, CNXM, EQM, AX, BNS, CNI, AGX, HBCP, BMO, ADS, HOLI, CIO, CBM, MMP, SWKS, CACC, ITRN, WVVI, BAK, KLAC, INVA, NCLH, ADM, RY, TD, LTC, PLNT, LFC, USDP, WBA, PMD, GRVY, ALG, SNA, SBS, HCA, CZZ, UHS, SCI, DIS, CNXN, ST, PLAY, GENC, TSM, DECK, TWTR, STMP, WGP, SFM, DLTR, PTN, SCHW, YELP, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX,

I included some companies with higher P/E's and higher debt. Apple is first on the list though out of order. I like the Brand Names in AAPL, DIS, PLAY, TSM, STMP, WBA, SFM, DLTR, SCHW, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX. After lunch I'll narrow mine down somehow to a top 20 or 33.

Okay, so first I can narrow them down to the most reliable and stable earnings:

AAPL, SBRA, HMLP, CM, ANAT, PLBC, PKBK, CNXM, AX, BNS, CNI, BMO, ADS, CIO, CBM, SWKS, ITRN, NCLH, ADM, RY, TD, LTC, PLNT, LFC, WBA, PMD, SNA, SBS, HCA, UHS, SCI, DIS, PLAY, STMP, SFM, DLTR, SCHW, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX,

Next I can start hand picking some out based on whatever intelligent reasons:

So this time around I am going with AAPL and SWKS. We already have Apple in my dad's account so we will buy SWKS at the open; P/E of 10, no debt, 2.10% dividend, and conservative cash yield of 8.18%(with dividend included)

[BlueWolf]

Hello Eva, and welcome.

[antioch6]

So i am tracking the sentiment and things seem not too bearish, not too bullish. I think we are in the stockpickers market, so I will stockpick. Today I bought:

BMO 72.1114
DBA 17.1661
EEM 41.494
EWH 23.9755
EWJ 53.2199
EWS 23.31
FONR 21.1562
FXI 41.2925
GDX 20.5464
GNTX 22.5556
IWM 144.9925
INFY 10.4662
VIV 12.4984
AIA 58.10

0.375% position in each. I also got a 22.5% separate position in IWM and a separate 3.125% in EEM. This leaves me at 30.875% invested.

[antioch6]

Stocks for 2019?

It's the weekend so I thought I'd run my screener. Here are the preliminary stocks with their estimated yields:

FONR(13.69%) AGX (9.03%) BMO(10.56%) HBCP(13.165%) RY(10.13%) CHL(?) BBL(18.25%) GNTX(21.90%) LUV(7.38%) CALM(6.25%) TOT(13.98%) TRV(11.62%) KT(15.01%) SIMO(4.74%) ETH(10.00%) ALG(6.56%) ETN(11.62%) TPR(8.50%) UFPI(7.89%) DIS(7.51%) EGOV(8.97%) CNXN(5.78%) NVS(7.71%) TARO(5.91%) BIIB(6.47%) NHC(10.66%) CRNT(4.66%) FANH(volatile) TSM(5.42%) FL(5.72%) GSH(11.06%)

As a Top Five I like FONR, BMO, HBCP, GNTX, NHC. They all have at least 10% yields and are in businesses I can understand. FONR makes a medical MRI machine that lets the patient sit upright vs laying down. BMO is a major bank in Canada. HBCP is a smaller bank in Louisiana. GNTX makes windows and electronic parts for cars and aircrafts. NHC manages nursing and assisted living facilities. So I feel safe and diversified spreading buys among these top five over the next couple months. I am looking for 10% gains per year! My position sizes will be 1-5% of my portfolio. I'll be diversified and can review each company on a monthly and quarterly basis to assess it's price and earnings performance.

Finally, here are seventeen larger companies I like with the yields I calculated:

ALL(11.96%) SNE(3%) DDS(20%) EXPR(6-9%) INTC(6%) LUV(6%) VLO(13.19%) DIS(7.02%) LZB(7.04%) STMP(2.82%) RL(6.31%) RGR(10.12%) CCF(5.67%) AMTD(2.57%) CERN(2.5%) GOOGL(1-2%) JBLU(10.25%)

If the major bull market did end for us stocks last year, then we should have plenty of chances to buy quality during overall market selloffs in the following years!

[BlueWolf]

A correction. The housing data does not look good. Demand has dropped to 2008 levels which is not good.

[BlueWolf]

I’ve been reading a never ending barrage of bearish sentiment lately too, and I admit to being worried about the possibility of a recession. Still, I am not seeing any bear scat in the market itself or in the economic indicators at census.gov. Moreover, I have this strange sense of optimism about 2019. It’s probably just wishful thinking on my part. We just have to wait and see.

[antioch6]

Incredibly, the sentiment got more Bearish this week as stock prices rose! The data point I expected to come in +20% Bullish came in -3.2% Bearish. This is strange to me and makes me reconsider selling my stocks today. If things open flat or down, I will buy back the EEM and SPY with $50k each.

[antioch6]

Sold CHL SNE SNP BHP SKM INFY VIV ABEV. I am following a sentiment survey from the AAII. The survey is getting bullish and has found previous peaks at these levels. The next data point comes out tomorrow and should be around 20% Bullish Sentiment. The last time feelings were this positive about the market were Oct 4th, Sept 6th and Aug 30th.

[antioch6]

Okay this short term stuff is killing me softly. I bought 2% positions in ABEV and VIV, a 4% position in KSS, and I'm shorting silver prices on a daytrade. Going to leave the stocks there FOR A YEAR! Do no touch! No no no!


***1 year later***

okay it's not a year later yet. I switched Kohl's KSS for CHL china mobile and INFY Infosys. Diversification and less debt

[antioch6]

Update!

Sold Kohl's and Verizon. I bought EEM EWZ SPY IWM in my dad's account. We are using a market timing service (for the ETFs), and it is on a buy signal right now. I want to buy back ABEV. Might go heavily into ABEV and some ETFs for the rest of the year.

So I'm daytrading and it is going terrible. I am slow to add orders and commissions are taking half of my profits (they add up quickly.) With that said, I am up $250. Narrowing my buy list to a top twenty and looking to daytrade them on the buy side this year. Here is my dump/list:

SKM PFIS SNP SNE XIN CHL AAPL KSS BHP VZ TSM ABEV SSRM UUP ASHR EEM EWZ FUD FXI GLD

Aside from that, I want to short some ETFs or buy some inverse ETFs when our market timing thing goes to sell. Not sure if they will be daytrades or not.



on a postscript, I like a bunch of stocks coming out of low bases from Brazil. Instead of buying the EWZ, maybe I can buy a bunch of VIV, UGP, ABEV

[antioch6]

bought back kohl's today. It was down 8% on flat sales revenue or something. The cashflow yield is around 13% as these prices so it looks good. P/e around 12-15 vs a market around 10-20 with us markets higher. dividend of 3.5%. kss

[antioch6]

Daytraded again today. Set aside $30,000 for this. I was up 0.66% (out of my $10,000 position size.) Finished the day +0.165% after commissions. This is more of a passtime and I enjoy it.

On my screen everything looked good today. I got some more money in my account so my VZ position is now 10% of my portfolio. My other stocks add up to 3.7% and I'm 14.5% invested.

So again looking back I've made the most money going big with one or two stocks. I have a 10% position in Verizon and I'm roughly 15% invested. If I buy another 10% position I'll be 25% invested and comfortable in case of a bad 2019 market.

Historically I make a mistake of waiting so I'll do it tomorrow (probably). Maybe a 10% position in Eem

[antioch6]

Been doing some daytrading. Today I sold Xin because it went from bottom of support to top of resistance. It didnt quite make my screener because it is currently losing cash on its earnings.

Sold KSS ABEV XIN ORI

Nothing too notable. Kss was up 11.22% for me while s&p was down -2.34%
My thinking is if we are in a bearish market I wanna buy near support and sell on short term strength. Vz I am waiting on earnings at end of month. As I sell some I want to buy some to stay 25% invested. EEM looks good for me.

[antioch6]

I'm back living with my dad and brother and we are all doing stock investing together now. I'm trading my brothers account with thinkorswim starting this week. He has 300k in it and all in cash. He likes trading bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies these days. My dad has a Ubs dividend portfolio with 400k we are liquidating on Wednesday to 50% invested (currently 100%) and a Charles Schwab with 150k (100% invested).

Everything feels upside or easy because all I have to do is bring my brothers account up to 25% invested and bring my dad's down to 50 or 25%. Global stocks are holding October lows but are still in bear market territory with p/e ratios around 12. The fed is tightening and rates are rising. I always want to be at least 25% in stocks, more when there are lots of stocks to pick from, more when we are trending higher with momentum in global stocks, and more when we are first coming out of a bear market. Right now that leaves me at 25% as the target.

My candidates for buying are:

ORI, VZ, CHL, SKM, KSS, EWY, EWZ, ASHR, FXI, PFIS, SPY, IWM, SHY, BHP, EEM

I like Verizon and Kohl's the best out of these. Also prefer EEM and EWZ. Unlike in the past, I'll get positions right away. I've found my biggest profits from buying heavily in 1 or 2 stocks and going all in. Now isn't a good all in moment for me with the exception of Verizon. I plan on buying some while selling down stuff not in my strat until I get all the account 25% invested.