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Weekend Dump: ABBV
So I was a bit strict again with the criteria for the dump. I don't want a p/e above 20. I want consistent earnings and I want some price momentum. The only stock that passed this screen was AbbVie Inc. Maybe I'll buy more and place a trailing stop loss on it.
The sentiment is getting kind of bearish. Short term trends are looking sideways - up. I'm wondering if CM, an old pick from last year is worth buying. The yield looks good at 15%. I can see where the bearish sentiment is coming from because I am a little weary after seeing the large drop then a large comeback on the chart together so quick. This creates fear of another large drop, especially after the 5% down day of a few weeks ago. In the meantime, until another 3-5% down day, the trend looks alright and I'll continue holding some positions. The trap I don't want to fall for is buying high p/e stocks and holding for the end of their rallies into somewhere with no hope for ever seeing previous highs. At least with a stock like CM it has a dividend (now 6% from last year's 4%) and earnings with a low p/e. I'm still not sure what caused the large drop. Is there something wrong with Canadian banks? The earnings look good, so I'm baffled. Maybe more people are switching to online banks? I know a few people who are going with pay apps and smaller online banks to do their banking. Is this the end for large banks? Surely people are still going to get their mortgages from larger banks, giving them income? Maybe I need to learn more about how banks work? lol.
Anyways, I don't want to stray too far away from my screen. The last time I ventured heavily on the value aspect of stock picking, I picked something that didn't make any money, something that instead lost money while it's price collapsed. So I'll try to include these higher P/E stocks while they have momentum, and I'll try to ignore those stocks that look like a good value because of previous earnings.
Higher P/E List: TSM LRCX LOGI DG VIPS NVO NTES CDNS BABA AAPL GOOGL KLAC REGN V MSFT ATVI ZTO TTWO ASML AVGO NFLX JD PYPL AMZN
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Bought more EA AAPL and MSFT, AIA EEM WMT V and ABT. 19.48% invested. Together with QQQ and GLD positions 26.29%. So finally 25% invested.
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I bought XBI and GLD, along with some individual stocks.
NTES ALXN REGN EA LOGI AAPL ABBV MSFT SNE
Here is the screen for this week:
EA PGR SNE ABBV WILC LOGI DG NVO CDNS NTES TER AAPL HRL REGN V MSFT DPZ VRTX
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Here is the screen for today:
BIO XBI DL NEM GLD JOUT GRVY SMCI WILC ESCA CORT TSM LOGI FIZZ VIPS CDNS BABA TER HRL GOOGL
I am going with XBI.
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Never wrote the prices down for my sells. Most of the losses were between 1-3%.
I decided to create a virtual portfolio to keep track of my stock screener. The portfolio aims to stay 100% invested while outperforming the major indices on a 6-9 year timeline. I'll try to keep track of it on a daily basis.
Name Value(weekly performance,year to date performance)
a6 9.97
QQQ 10.27
SPY 10.23
DIA 10.23
IWM 10.16
Since this is the starting week, and it's not over yet, I have not included weekly and year-to-date performance. Updates whenever
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Got nasty after the economic report. I’ve been expecting this, but it seems like the market has just been shrugging things off until today. Closed 5 of my 7 LT positions. Let’s see if there’s any follow through.Originally posted by antioch6 View Postthanks bluewolf it feels good to be back.
it doesn't feel good being wrong. I am selling all of my stocks today on a stop loss. most are down between 3-5%. the only one up was REGN. I'll write the prices down later
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thanks bluewolf it feels good to be back.
it doesn't feel good being wrong. I am selling all of my stocks today on a stop loss. most are down between 3-5%. the only one up was REGN. I'll write the prices down later
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Good to have you back & actively posting again. Some interesting picks in your list. Thanks for posting.
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Bought ten stocks today with two etfs. There were several biotechnology stocks in my scan, so that's why I went with XBI and BBH. This brings me to 1.5% invested in stocks. I plan on using 25-50% of my account for my mechanical strategy. I'll dollar cost average into this on a monthly basis. I want to be at least at 25% invested after 18 months.
ANET 232.67
CNXN 47.03
DLB 66.21
EXPD 78.61
FB 240.97
FONR 24.46
GRVY 60.72
LOGI 60.49
REGN 612.50
SIMO 46.49
SWKS 135.07
XBI 105.40
BBH 159.68Last edited by antioch6; 06-10-2020, 05:52 PM.
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Haven't made a post or looked at the market in a while. I think it's time to relook this thread and make a list. After glancing at my old lists, CM and FONR still look good. Be back in a few as I look deeper
Here is the list I found with minimal effort:
AX, CTRN, ESCA, JOUT, SIMO, FONR,
I want a list of 30-90, so there isn't much out there that looks perfect. It's still a start and I can begin building my portfolio up to 25% for the nth time.
Most of the Global Stocks have P/e ratios in the mid-teens, so I closed any P/e above 25. This locked out most US stocks.
Being more thorough with my screener. It's taking some but the list is starting to appear again. Last year there were too many stocks with high debt. This year looking like there are some opportunities after the mixed 12 month performance trailing.
More list:
FONR, RHI, LZB, FL, GNTX, PRDO,
Back to my old style list:
ACN, ALGN, ANET, AX, BIO, BSTC, CAMT, CHKP, CIX, CLCT, CNXN, CORT, CRUS, CSWI, CVCO, CWCO, DECK, DIOD, DLB, EBF, EGOV, ELMD, EXEL, EXPD, FB, FIVE, FIZZ, FONR, GOOGL, GRMN, GRVY, HCKT, HEAR, HRL, HURC, INFY, IOSP, IRMD, JOUT, LANC, LAWS, LOGI, LOPE, LZB, MANT, MED, MEDP, MGIC, MMI, MNST, MPX, MRTN, NATI, NVMI, NVO, ODC, ODFL, PCOM, PCYO, PETS, PLAB, POWI, REGN, RHI, ROCK, ROLL, SIMO, SMCI, SMSI, SWKS, SYKE, TAYD, TPL, UFPT, UNF, USLM, USNA, UTMD, VLGEA, VRS, WILC, WIRE, WMK, ZUMZ
so that gives me 84 stocks with me liking around 75 of them and feeling good about the brand names in maybe 20 of them. Not sure how I will move into these this year. My market timing service is on a buy signal so I will start buying next time the market opens.
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Here is the dump for this week:
AMCX, UVE, AGM, DFS, PATK, WLK, GMLP, ELP, SBRA, PLBC, NWLI, HMLP, OZK, CM, CUBI, HOFT, THO, IBA, DKS, BMA, HURC, XIN, BXG, CNI, BDL, BMCH, COHR, GBX, BMO, ADS, SLM, WVVI, SWKS, CIO, AX, CIX, HCI,
SNX, EXC, SLCA, ADM, CHL, JKS, PLNT, LTC, MTZ, NCLH, HGV, SUPV, MTX, AAPL, STZ, CBPX, CMCSA, DIS, CNXN, DTE, KHC, TSM, GEO, PRIM, PLAY, SFM
Next I can calculate yields for each. Typically I want something 9% or higher (I'll disqualify any below 9). On top of that I will remove those with the highest debt:
CM is the only one that passes these metrics. P/E of 10. Low debt. 4% Dividend. Steadily increasing sales and income. I'll buy a position when the market opens; will add if it goes lower.
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Selling all of my positions here on the good news. Noted losses for the day are GNTX and LPL both down 5%.
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