EW ==> The Ponco Winner

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  • mrmarket
    Administrator
    • Sep 2003
    • 5971

    EW ==> The Ponco Winner

    When I was a young plant engineer in Keasbey, NJ all of the old time managers used to go to the Liberty Tavern and get all hammer head sharked at lunch. Then they would come back to the plant and the guys who were visiting would always call me Ed. Now I have no idea why they called me “Ed”. As a matter of fact, there are many famous Eds. I wasn’t one of them:

    Eddie Haskel
    Eddie Munster
    Eddie Van Halen
    Eddie Murphy
    Ed McMahon
    Mister Ed
    Eddie Bauer
    Eddie Guerrero
    Eddie Rabbitt
    Eddie Money
    Ed Sullivan
    Ed Norton
    Ed O'Neill
    Eddie Albert

    But today my favorite Ed is Edwards Lifesciences Corporation. Why? Because it’s going to make me money that’s why.

    On Friday, I bought EW at 129.94. I will sell it in 4 – 6 weeks at 149.62. Here’s why I like EW:

    Look at this crazy good chart:





    The stock is up 95% in the last 12 months and its PE is only 18. That’s awesome. Everyone loves this stock and it’s still cheap. There is lots more to love. Edwards Lifesciences Corp is the biggest maker of heart valves that are inserted without cracking open the chest.

    Edwards Lifesciences Corporation provides products and technologies to treat structural heart disease and critically ill patients worldwide. The company offers surgical heart valve therapy products, such as tissue heart valves and repair products, which are used to replace or repair a patient’s diseased or defective heart valve; and produces pericardial valves from biologically inert animal tissue. Its surgical heart valve therapy products include Carpentier-Edwards PERIMOUNT pericardial valve that comprise PERIMOUNT Magna Ease valves for aortic and mitral replacement; ThruPort systems that enable minimal incision valve surgery; and protection cannulae that is used during cardiac surgery in venous drainage, aortic perfusion, venting, and cardioplegia delivery. The company also provides transcatheter heart valves portfolio that includes technologies designed to treat heart valve disease using catheter-based approaches, as well as critical care products, such as hemodynamic monitoring systems to measure a patient’s heart function in surgical and intensive care settings; Swan-Ganz line of pulmonary artery and PreSep continuous venous oximetry catheters for measuring central venous oxygen saturation; VolumeView sensor-catheters; FloTrac continuous cardiac output monitoring system, a minimally invasive cardiac monitoring technology for fluid optimization; and EV1000 clinical monitoring platform, which displays a patient's physiologic status. Its critical care products also include disposable pressure monitoring devices and closed blood sampling systems to help protect patients and clinicians from the risk of infection; and peripheral vascular products used to treat endolumenal occlusive disease, such as balloon-tipped, catheter-based embolectomy products, surgical clips, and clamps. The company distributes its products through direct sales force and independent distributors. Edwards Lifesciences Corporation was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

    You know when you drink to much and you wake up the next day and your heart is going wham wham wham wham. Well, it’s not like you need Edwards Life Sciences. In reality you’re just hung over and your heart is Harley Racing. Remember the King Harley Race. Well, your heart is the King. On the other hand there are wicked old people who need some rotor rooter to keep their hearts going great. That’s where EW comes in. They have a new wave valve that can be replaced easily. Instead of taking your car to the garage, it’s like getting a Jiffy Lube.

    The company is driven by a passion to help patients. Edwards is the Global Leader in the Science of Heart Valves and Hemodynamic Monitoring. The company partners with clinicians to develop innovative technologies in the areas of structural heart disease and critical care monitoring that enable them to save and enhance lives.

    There is improving regulatory climate in U.S. and Japan for breakthrough technologies

    Edwards-specific sector trends sector trends:

    Transcatheter heart valves:
    fast becoming standard of care for higher risk patients. Edwards is well positioned to continue strengthening its global leadership by providing innovative, best-in-class therapies. Newer devices with additional sizes, improving economics, and increasing awareness of this compelling alternative to traditional therapy, are expected to broaden the availability of transcatheter technology and double sales of global TAVR procedures to more than $3 billion in 2019. Edwards expects to generate THV sales of $1.0 billion to $1.1 billion in 2015, representing a 15 to 25 percent underlying growth rate, even as competition intensifies.

    Surgical Heart Valve Therapy
    – Substantial investments in new technologies coupled with an aging global population are expected to drive continued growth of Edwards' leading surgical heart valve platform over the longer term, even as the adoption of transcatheter heart valves is expected to moderate its growth rate.
    Edwards expects to generate Surgical Heart Valve Therapy sales, which includes surgical heart valves and cardiac surgery products, of $780 million to $820 million in 2015, representing a 1 to 3 percent underlying growth rate. Underlying sales of surgical heart valve products alone are expected to grow 3 to 5 percent.

    Critical Care
    – In 2015, Edwards expects to continue building upon its global leadership in hemodynamic monitoring by expanding the benefits of Enhanced Surgical Recovery (ESR) to a broader patient population with its ClearSight noninvasive platform. ESR represents an underpenetrated opportunity to help clinicians make more informed fluid management decisions for their patients, which can result in clinical and economic benefits.

    Edwards expects to generate Critical Care sales of $520 million to $570 million in 2015, representing a 2 to 4 percent underlying growth rate.
    The firm is a leader in its core business of tissue heart valves, with more than 60% of the market. The demographics are in their favor. An increasing aging population means more problems with heart valves and heart failure with more frequency.

    The gross margins increased from 47% in 2000 to 75% in 2013. That’s right…75%.

    Return on Assets (ttm): 9.64%
    Return on Equity (ttm): 44.79%

    The company ROE is higher than the industry median. An ROE of 15% is considered attractive. EW blows this number away. The trailing P/E of 18x, means that EW is a bargain compared to the average of of 80x for the industry. This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, EW has beaten estimates by at least 10% in both cases.

    In its most recent quarterly announcement, Edwards' earnings rose 14% over the year-earlier quarter to 80 cents a share, beating ANAL-ysts' consensus by 8 cents. Sales increased 23% to $607 million, more than $60 million above the street's average estimate.

    Net income for the same period a year earlier was $76.8 million, or $0.68 per diluted share, and non-GAAP net income was $79.5 million, or $0.70 per diluted share.
    For the nine months ended September 30, 2014, the company recorded net income of $701.9 million, or $6.49 per diluted share, compared to $314.0 million, or $2.74 per diluted share, for the same period in 2013. Net income growth for the nine months was 123.5 percent and diluted earnings per share increased 136.9 percent over last year, or 6.1 percent excluding special items in both periods.

    Net sales for the first nine months of 2014 increased 12.9 percent to $1.7 billion. Sales growth was 12.4 percent on an underlying basis.
    U.S. and international segment sales for the first nine months of 2014 were $760.7 million and $944.2 million, respectively.

    During the first nine months of 2014, the company repurchased approximately 4.4 million shares of common stock for $300.7 million, substantially all of which was completed in the first quarter.
    The company now expects full year 2014 total sales to exceed the high end of its previous $2.05 billion to $2.25 billion range. The company also raised its guidance for full year 2014 diluted earnings per share, excluding special items, to a range of $3.33 to $3.39. For the fourth quarter of 2014, the company projects total sales to be between $575 million and $615 million, and diluted earnings per share, excluding special items, to be between $0.89 and $0.95.

    The past and present look great, but what of the future? ANAL-ysts have projected earnings of $4.03/share in 2015 on revenues of $2.43 billion. That’s so funny I almost had a heart attack. $$$MR. MARKET$$$ knows that earnings will actually be $5.07/share on revenues of $2.98 billion. This 26% earnings beat ($5.07 vs. $4.03) would propel the stock price to 163, which is well past my sell price.

    Here’s what the bossman had to say. This guy has a lot of heart:

    "We expect 2015 to be another year of attractive organic sales growth for Edwards Lifesciences as we continue executing our focused innovation strategy to provide breakthrough therapies for patients in need," said Michael A. Mussallem, chairman and CEO. "Sales of our market-leading technologies, together with greater operating leverage, position us for strong financial performance."

    "Although competition is intensifying, we believe our new products position us well to drive solid organic sales growth and help clinicians address critical unmet patient needs," said Mussallem. "We are encouraged that new therapies supported by compelling evidence are being adopted even in this challenging healthcare climate."

    "In Europe and the U.S., transcatheter valve procedure growth was strong this quarter and exceeded our expectations," said Mussallem. "Our new product launches have strengthened our leadership position, and we are pleased that greater numbers of patients are benefiting from transcatheter heart valve therapy. The launches of SAPIEN 3 in Europe and SAPIEN XT in the U.S. are largely complete, and feedback from clinicians on these new valves continues to be very positive. We believe current market growth rates are not sustainable and expect competitive activity will increase."

    "We are pleased with the results in all product groups and regions this quarter, highlighted by transcatheter heart valves that exceeded our expectations and drove very strong sales performance" The strong year-to-date results reinforce our conviction in our focused innovation strategy and its impact on unmet patient needs."


    Let’s get to the heart of the matter. This one is easy money. See you at 149.62

    I am HUGE!

    $$$MR. MARKET$$$
    Last edited by mrmarket; 02-09-2015, 11:15 PM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$
  • billyjoe
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2003
    • 9014

    #2
    pig valve

    Mr.Market, Does "pericardial valves from biologically inert animal tissue" mean PIG VALVES ? I've had 2 leaky faucets for 10 years. Can't figure how to fix them. I'll stick to stocks.


    ---------------billy
    Last edited by billyjoe; 01-26-2015, 09:47 AM. Reason: video

    Comment

    • jiesen
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2003
      • 5320

      #3
      Now that video really gave me the heebee jeebees. But I still think EW will make a grip of money off that crap. Awesome pick, and fantastic writeup, $$MM!! I'm in with you at 130!

      Comment

      • billyjoe
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2003
        • 9014

        #4
        95% success, are you kidding? I'm in at 129.69.

        ---------------billy

        Comment

        • bigtruck
          Member
          • May 2014
          • 70

          #5
          Enjoy the write-up and the pick. In as well @ $129.29.

          Already buying the finest meats and cheeses in preparation for the Huge one.

          Comment

          • tiedyed1
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2009
            • 599

            #6
            Terrific write up Mr. Market. Out of the top 5 EW was standing out from the others and I took the plunge and got in early; and for once I guessed the Huge One's pick!

            I am happily in EW and not to be confused with Eww! This pick is not yucky at all!

            -Adam
            Old Hippy & Mortgage Pro

            Comment

            • mrmarket
              Administrator
              • Sep 2003
              • 5971

              #7
              you sees?

              =============================

              I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

              - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

              Comment

              • tiedyed1
                Senior Member
                • Jun 2009
                • 599

                #8
                Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
                Sound beat, happy employees getting paid incentives, stock buyback, and expanding international growth helping more people.

                Very upbeat (and up $6.00).

                OH, WE SEES

                Comment

                • billyjoe
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 9014

                  #9
                  Thar she blows! That gives Mr.Market 96.67% winners out of last 60 picks.

                  ------------billy

                  Comment

                  • tiedyed1
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2009
                    • 599

                    #10
                    I spoke to soon re: up $6.00...
                    I blinked and now up close to $10.00! up >7.50%.

                    Damn that Mr. Market is HUGE....

                    Comment

                    • billyjoe
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 9014

                      #11
                      What's this? Many of you might have gotten a similar letter today "Edwards Life Sciences is offering to purchase all shares of its common stock from shareholders owning 99 shares or less"
                      Price cannot be guaranteed in advance....bla bla bla.You also have the option to purchase shares to round up to 100 shares . If you want more shares send deposit for 140 per share. Let us know by March 5th. Sounds like we'll see 140 soon.

                      --------------------billy

                      Comment

                      • billyjoe
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2003
                        • 9014

                        #12
                        They also want a 3.50 per share fee above the 140 option price. I just doubled down buying at 133.60. The multiple top chart is looking good.

                        ---------------billy

                        Comment

                        • billyjoe
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2003
                          • 9014

                          #13
                          More good news: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/edward...133101027.html

                          ----------------billy

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            you have to wonder why do they want increments of 100 --- a split doesn't make sense unless it is much easier on accounting, a reverse split??-but that would make the price high. How about a spin off, ie.. get 5 shares of new company for every 100 you own

                            Comment

                            • sherryazure
                              Junior Member
                              • Jun 2009
                              • 15

                              #15
                              Re EW Tender Offer

                              Originally posted by billyjoe View Post
                              What's this? Many of you might have gotten a similar letter today "Edwards Life Sciences is offering to purchase all shares of its common stock from shareholders owning 99 shares or less"
                              Price cannot be guaranteed in advance....bla bla bla.You also have the option to purchase shares to round up to 100 shares . If you want more shares send deposit for 140 per share. Let us know by March 5th. Sounds like we'll see 140 soon.

                              --------------------billy
                              I did not and called AT to ask regarding this notice. If anyone could answer I would appreciate it. I am a small fry having learned TA very well, and following Mr. Market is HUGE lol, for a long time (great at fundamentals, which I am not) ...

                              After checking into the EW thread, you billyjoe alerted me to the above tender offer. I received more info from AT (post below) (and was told one did not have to "participate") and would appreciate it if anyone could further explain to me the ramifications of just holding (well under 100 shares), are they only buying out in lots of 100 - (so one would have to purchase more to equal that) and why are they doing this? Is it the company itself (kind of like a share buy back???) or another company.

                              Great thanks up front.

                              .................................................. .............................

                              Here are the terms of the EW tender offer:

                              TERMS: HOLDERS OF 99 SHARES OR LESS MAY TENDER OR PURCHASE ADDITIONAL SHARES TO GET HOLDING UP TO 100 SHARES AT A PRICE TO BE DETERMINED. PROCESSING FEE OF $3.50 PER SHARE UP TO A MAXIMUM OF $50 PER ACCOUNT. NO WITHDRAWALS OR PROTECT. THE PURCHASE DEPOSIT TO BUY ADDITIONAL SHARES IS $140.00 PER SHARE.

                              DETAILS: EDWARDS LIFESCIENCES CORP. HAS ARRANGED FOR A VOLUNTARY PROGRAM THROUGH WHICH SHAREHOLDERS ON THE RECORD DATE OF JANUARY 23, 2015 OWNING FEWER THAN 100 SHARES (99 SHARES OR LESS), MAY SELL ALL THEIR SHARES OR PURCHASE ENOUGH ADDITIONAL SHARES TO INCREASE THEIR HOLDINGS TO 100 SHARES.

                              THE PER SHARE PRICE WILL BE OBTAINED BY DIVIDING THE AGGREGATE DOLLAR AMOUNT OF ALL MARKET SALES (OR PURCHASES) ON BEHALF OF SUCH HOLDERS DURING THE RESPECTIVE WEEK BY THE TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES SOLD (OR PURCHASED) ON BEHALF OF SUCH HOLDERS DURING THE RESPECTIVE WEEK.

                              THERE IS NO WITHDRAWAL OR GUARANTEE OF DELIVERY (PROTECT) PRIVILEGE AFFORDED ON THIS VOLUNTARY EVENT

                              HOLDERS SHOULD CONSULT THEIR TAX ADVISOR FOR COMPLETE DETAILS IN REFERENCE TO WITHHOLDING TAXES.

                              AMTD Cutoff: 3/4/2015

                              Offer Expiration: 3/6/2015

                              Please let us know if you have any additional questions.

                              David Nelson
                              Corporate Actions and Dividends
                              TD Ameritrade, Division of TD Ameritrade, Inc.

                              Comment

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