Pick of The Year (PoTY) 2016

[JohnHenry]

Happy New Year! Do we want to play this year?

[Louetta]

Sure ......

[riverbabe]

Love thriller cliff-hangers. It's gonna be a steep cliff year, methinks. So let's see who chooses the "safest" short. Sure...

[mrmarket]

Put me down for PBR

[Louetta]

DNR please.

[larythebird0]

Can I play as a junior member? If so put me down with mxwl

[billyjoe]

SHLD short, again !

---------billy

[riverbabe]

STM please

[jiesen]

FB short for me, please!

[tiedyed1]

To avoid selling too soon (and as I do hold quite a few shares), I would like to let CDOC ride for 2016 Pick Of The Year.

[billyjoe]

Jiesen, You must hate FB as much as I do SHLD.

------------billy

[Paco]

Yes.

TWTR long for me

Paco

[mimo_100]

AMD long for me. It was either this or short the S&P.

[mimo_100]

billy,

They keep closing KMarts and the SHLD stockholders hold out hope for a turnaround

[mimo_100]

Here is part of a 2014 article in Forbes.

... there is another group of people who advocate that just the first five trading days of January are predictive of the rest of the year. We took data from 1950 through 2013 for the S&P 500 Index and then calculated both positive and negative results on a weekly and monthly basis.

For the 64 years from 1950 through 2013, a positive return in January was predictive of a positive return for the year 92.5% of the time. A positive return during the first five trading days of January was predictive of a positive return for the year 90.0% of the time.

A negative return in January was predictive of a negative return for the year 54.2% of the time — basically not predictive at all. A negative return during the first five trading days of January was predictive only 50% of the time, amounting to nothing more than a flip of a coin.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2014/01/02/trading-alert-as-january-goes-so-goes-the-2014-market/#2715e4857a0b3d034df7625d