Summer Rally
Websman,
I want to comment on your comment about a possible summer rally.
I have been reading that the market is headed for a 9500 DOW right now. Why? Because the market would be correctly valued at 9500 if we had a 6% interest rate, according to the Federal Reserve's model, and it appears that a 6% interest rate will be here in 2005 (possibly quite early in 2005). The market leads the economy by six to nine months (so says Wm. O'Neill and others). Therefore, I think that the there will be no rally before we hit 9500 or lower. At least that is how I am planning my investing strategies.
I wish you all the best,
Websman,
I want to comment on your comment about a possible summer rally.
I have been reading that the market is headed for a 9500 DOW right now. Why? Because the market would be correctly valued at 9500 if we had a 6% interest rate, according to the Federal Reserve's model, and it appears that a 6% interest rate will be here in 2005 (possibly quite early in 2005). The market leads the economy by six to nine months (so says Wm. O'Neill and others). Therefore, I think that the there will be no rally before we hit 9500 or lower. At least that is how I am planning my investing strategies.
I wish you all the best,

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