Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

[IIC]

Spike, just as you said before, stocks are all about speculations. They do not always go as you speculated. I am learning from you that never regret any pick as long as I stick with my original plan.

Sage advice yaoyao...I never regret the one's that don't work as long as I stuck to my plan...It happens...It's the one's where I try to out guess the mkt. and don't(which is most of the time when I try to do it) that get me.

But sometimes you will learn things that cause you to alter your plan...don't be adverse to change...but take it slow...My 3 cents on that subject.

Anyway, Spike...I understand everything in your Success Signature...
SUCCESS = PLAN + PATIENCE + TARGET + STOP + DISCIPLINE + EMOTIONAL DETACHMENT.
EXCEPT..."STOP"...Stop what??? THX...IIC

[spikefader]

Spike!!!
I've got a technical analysis thingy question for ya....
Do you use Bollinger bands??? I've been checking them out and they seem to be a pretty good tool.
Thanks Spike!!!
YOU ROCK!!!

Ya, I do look at Bollinger Bands. They can be useful, but they are just another indicator - with pros and cons. I like to see candles closing outside the bands and look for a continuation - perhaps after a return to the midline. I also like Bollinger band squeezes, where they get real tight and indicate that something explosive is about to occur.

[spikefader]

Spike, just as you said before, stocks are all about speculations. They do not always go as you speculated. I am learning from you that never regret any pick as long as I stick with my original plan.

Yes. They sure don't! Yes, learning to not regret is a good one. It's so easy to look back with 20/20 hindsight and say, "I should have seen that", but in reality there is no way to see it. The only thing you can see is your plan.

[spikefader]

....it's the one's where I try to out guess the mkt. and don't(which is most of the time when I try to do it) that get me.

We've all been there!

....But sometimes you will learn things that cause you to alter your plan...don't be adverse to change...but take it slow...My 3 cents on that subject.

Yes, I agree with this. Sometimes it's justifiable to alter your plan, if you have erred, or you have new information that is relevant, or just something you didn't see before that makes you reconsider your position.

Anyway, Spike...I understand everything in your Success Signature... SUCCESS = PLAN + PATIENCE + TARGET + STOP + DISCIPLINE + EMOTIONAL DETACHMENT.
EXCEPT..."STOP"...Stop what??? THX...IIC

I just changed it to "STOP LOSS". Thanks for pointing that out. It did read funny just as STOP.

[grebnet]

Hbp

Hey Spike
Do you have any thoughts on HBP ? I am curious what to make of the last several days actions. Friday 9/17 big jump on higher than avg volume then on Mon 9/20 (yest) huge volume giving up a little. There is no news out. I had called them thursday inquiring about a potential cleanup noted at a site they were selling (stated in a july 30 headline), but they stated they were in a quiet period before earnings and couldn't give me any info . Last earnings were July 15. I know that is more than you need for charting but I figure background is always useful. Grebnet

[tokyojoeskid]

Just wondering if you could give me an update on DECK. It looks like 32.50 is critical support. If it doesnt hold there could fall to 30, if it keeps up its momentum it could really shoot up. Im thinking of just selling to protect my profits. What do you think?
thanks
TJK

[spikefader]

FLIR for those waiting for technical entry

FLIR: One of Mr.Market's genius picks! If you've been waiting for a great technical entry point, it is HERE!

Long here at 62.90 is the play. It's near the pivot, near intraday regression channel support (just discovered QT has this neat little indicator!). The daily is looking good - midline support showing strength. Not my usual channel day entry, but if you've been waiting for a good technical day, here it is.

[spikefader]

FLIR: just as interest point: Nov 65 call options now 2.90/3.00.

[spikefader]

Hey Spike
Do you have any thoughts on HBP ? I am curious what to make of the last several days actions. Friday 9/17 big jump on higher than avg volume then on Mon 9/20 (yest) huge volume giving up a little. There is no news out. I had called them thursday inquiring about a potential cleanup noted at a site they were selling (stated in a july 30 headline), but they stated they were in a quiet period before earnings and couldn't give me any info . Last earnings were July 15. I know that is more than you need for charting but I figure background is always useful. Grebnet

I'd take profit and look to reenter it long later.

[spikefader]

Just wondering if you could give me an update on DECK. It looks like 32.50 is critical support. If it doesnt hold there could fall to 30, if it keeps up its momentum it could really shoot up. Im thinking of just selling to protect my profits. What do you think?
thanks
TJK

DECK last chart http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1.../DECKSept8.jpg

Today:

[Michaelk005]

I'm WAtching CSCO very closely right now, Should have bought today at 19.30 but my internet line is having some trouble. I will look for an entry in low 19's any thoughts spike? I sold WHT today at $2.69 for a nice chunk. I like what CDE did as well but would cuation a sell off tomorow.

[spikefader]

I'm WAtching CSCO very closely right now, Should have bought today at 19.30 but my internet line is having some trouble. I will look for an entry in low 19's any thoughts spike? I sold WHT today at $2.69 for a nice chunk. I like what CDE did as well but would cuation a sell off tomorow.

CSCO has 2 recent channel days - The bearish channel is the bigger of the two, and therefore is more significant. You could take a long based on the dark blue channel, but 18.94 must hold -that's the logical stop loss point. And if 20.63 doesn't resist, then green light for the bull.

[Websman]

Mr Market picked HDWR...I also like UCI.

Now that we have a Mr Market pick...I was wondering what your analysis is Spike...

[yaoyao]

I often struggle with when to take my profit. Most of times, I sell my shares on its way down. I know that I should sell them on its way up, but greedy often takes over. Do you have any tips on it? I am holding AH, SIE (I bought it back at 44.30), STHLY (yes, I'm still holding it), and CDE (I like the bounce today), but I'm not clear about my target. I only have stop set for these.

[IIC]

I often struggle with when to take my profit. Most of times, I sell my shares on its way down. I know that I should sell them on its way up, but greedy often takes over. Do you have any tips on it? I am holding AH, SIE (I bought it back at 44.30), STHLY (yes, I'm still holding it), and CDE (I like the bounce today), but I'm not clear about my target. I only have stop set for these.

Well, not that you asked me...but one of my 3,165 "Sayings To Live By" is:
You never buy at the low and you never sell at the high