Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by spikefader
    Re the QQQ short: There is the neckline break with a nice wave down.
    Will it form a bear flag now and a series of 5 waves? We'll see.
    I you missed the entry, it's not too late yet:
    http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...9intraday2.jpg
    Here's the real time entry point.

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Both QQQ and OFG were not loose-soil gems, and both stopped out today for the usual tiny losses Gotta love those stops!

      And the QQQ option position: with the failed setup, you would sell the put option now for $2.20 for a small loss of only 15 bucks on the trade.

      The SUNW short appears to have a good chance though

      Comment

      • noshadyldy
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 539

        Spike, thank you again, my friend.

        Investors just piled into GNTA. Volume up by over 2500%. No news releases, but somethings gotta be up there! I'm taking the ride!
        "Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          RMBS bearish: An example of how to hedge a long position if you have one.

          The chart is bearish, so you want to hedge it. Buy some Put options - may I suggest the Nov 12.50 Puts for 1.75 right now. I'll follow up on this later in the month.



          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Originally posted by noshadyldy
            Spike, thank you again, my friend.

            Investors just piled into GNTA. Volume up by over 2500%. No news releases, but somethings gotta be up there! I'm taking the ride!
            May I suggest that you wait until 2.30 to go long. That is 50% retrace of them move, and price support area. Be careful because there is a SHS on a 5 minute chart that has a neckline break already that targets the 2.10 area!

            Comment

            • noshadyldy
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2003
              • 539

              oh wow.. just when I think I know what i'm talking about. Thanks again, Spike. Very much! (consider your 12year old head kissed on top)
              "Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by noshadyldy
                oh wow.. just when I think I know what i'm talking about. Thanks again, Spike. Very much! (consider your 12year old head kissed on top)
                you're welcome

                Comment

                • jiesen
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2003
                  • 5321

                  HAR

                  HAR had a pretty great week, don't you think? Any thoughts on where it's headed, Spike?

                  Comment

                  • Websman
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 5545

                    Here's am interesting one.... ABTL

                    ABTL has been running along a fairly narrow channel and had a huge volume spike today (+441%). It was up .32, which doesn't seem like much for the amount of volume.

                    I believe this warrants further investigation...something could be up here.

                    Comment

                    • billyjoe
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 9014

                      A theoretical question for anyone with an opinion. You are tracking two stocks for 8 weeks that are nearly identical in all aspects. One stock drops about 15% by week 4, but gains it all back by week 8 with a slight gain. The other stock never drops during the 8 week period, but has only a slight gain at the end of the tracking period. You must purchase one of these stocks . Which do you choose and why?
                      p.s. both of the stocks have outperformed the market in the previous 6 months
                      billyjoe

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Re: HAR

                        Originally posted by jiesen
                        HAR had a pretty great week, don't you think? Any thoughts on where it's headed, Spike?
                        Ya, great week indeed! Boy, where IS it going? Briefly, I suspect it will finish this wave up at around the $105.00 mark, and then it will have to decide if it's going to turn into a big SHS, or continue a series of waves up. Bias is definately on the long side, but entry is tricky now. It's chasing to buy it now, unless you use tight stops like me.
                        But the reaction to this wave up (ie when it finishes this wave) will be more telling.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Originally posted by Websman
                          Here's am interesting one.... ABTL

                          ABTL has been running along a fairly narrow channel and had a huge volume spike today (+441%). It was up .32, which doesn't seem like much for the amount of volume.

                          I believe this warrants further investigation...something could be up here.
                          Ya, well I'm neutral on this one at the moment. It's near support, but hasn't shown me enough yet.

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            Originally posted by billyjoe
                            A theoretical question for anyone with an opinion. You are tracking two stocks for 8 weeks that are nearly identical in all aspects. One stock drops about 15% by week 4, but gains it all back by week 8 with a slight gain. The other stock never drops during the 8 week period, but has only a slight gain at the end of the tracking period. You must purchase one of these stocks . Which do you choose and why?
                            p.s. both of the stocks have outperformed the market in the previous 6 months
                            billyjoe
                            Hey billyjoe. I'd need to see the charts. If you're interested in the TA argument for both stocks, then one can't do it without seeing them. See, on the one hand, the 15% drop may sound bad - a sign of weakness - but it could have bounced nicely off a significant channel, and would give reason to favor it over the other one. At the same time, the 15% drop could have been through channel support, breaking it, and now the recovery has brought it to channel resistence, which is the place to sell it. So much depends the price history of both, the reactions at support and resistence, the volume at those points, and how many pretty lines and pictures and comments I can throw on the charts

                            So what are the 2 stocks!

                            Comment

                            • billyjoe
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 9014

                              Spikefader, I'm finding it more difficult to find the 15% drops followed by recovery than the steady gainers, but here goes. Two that match up pretty well as steady gainers with similar prices are NATR and USON. I can't match up two with drops and similar prices, but two that fit the requirements are TKTX and ISRG. Thanks for any information and opinions on these stocks.
                              billyjoe

                              Comment

                              • mimo_100
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2003
                                • 1784

                                YELL - Yellow Roadway

                                This is a great place to talk about newly found stocks and their
                                potential direction.

                                I have been following YELL for a while. Does anyone have an
                                opinion on this one, fundamental or technical?

                                It looks like a buy if/when it pulls back to 41.

                                Tim
                                Tim - Retired Problem Solver

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