I have 22 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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Mr Market picked HDWR...I also like UCI.
Now that we have a Mr Market pick...I was wondering what your analysis is Spike...
I like HDWR http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...HDWRSept18.jpg
as long as it holds 27.93. My stop would be tucked under that.
As for an an entry now, look to buy the pivot/S1/S2 or intraday pattern tomorrow. I'll post a chart when the market opens.
I often struggle with when to take my profit. Most of times, I sell my shares on its way down. I know that I should sell them on its way up, but greedy often takes over. Do you have any tips on it? I am holding AH, SIE (I bought it back at 44.30), STHLY (yes, I'm still holding it), and CDE (I like the bounce today), but I'm not clear about my target. I only have stop set for these.
Yes, you should aim to sell on the way up - when price meets your target, when your sell limit order is taken out, as it's sitting in place right at resistence. Why? Because your target should be a logical place where the chart says sell. A great example is an upper channel. Or if it's very close to an upper channel, target intraday R1 or R2 - they are the logical points where smart money exits.
I know all about the emotion of greed. It is evil IIC is 100% right about lows and highs. The law of averages will show us that we will rarely, if ever, buy at the low and sell at the high. It's just too nuts to think that's likely. So smile and walk away that you got a good chunk of it, and be happy if it goes beyond your target OR falls away, because it doesn't matter to you. What matters to you is your game plan, the logical exit point, and the discipline.
On that note, letting a winner run forever - even if it does go to the moon - is just as bad for your discipline as letting a loser run forever. You get rewarded finacially if you do it with a winner, and it feels like you've done good, but in reality if you've broken the game plan, or not even had a game plan which is very bad. Why? You've forfeited your control...you're leaving it to luck. Many invest that way and baghold, long-term buy and hold....and great if it works for them, but will it work for you? Is it worth doing? I'm not so sure....although holding onto a skyrocket would be nice. Will striving for skyrockets with no target help me overcome the emotion of greed ruling my targets? No, I think not. What will overcome my greed is drawing a line in the sand and saying, I exit here because my logical methodology says so.
Stocks can be illogical for sure, and it would be wonderful to catch all the crazy stuff and profit from it. But in reality, we cannot depend on that craziness being consistent enough to make us very wealthy through speculation. What we can do is be smart enough to plan for part of the craziness, and enjoy scooping our profits and walking to the next gem that awaits us.
Spike I have been watchin SNDK and it is looking good. Bought some at 21 but sold at 21. Looking to get back in, if it breaks throught he 28.5 barrier I think it could run to 33 no problem. what do you think?
thanks
TJK
Today's market was bloody. So many stocks broke their S2s. I put in 3 buy orders at their S1s last night. One was filled minutes after the market opened. I cancelled another two orders. It looks like the market is about to head for another correction (hopefully just another small pull back).
Thanks, IIC and Spike, for your expert advice. It might be too late for exercising it on my current holdings after today's actions. I'll look for taking some profit tomorrow anyway. I think the market will go down more.
Today's market was bloody. So many stocks broke their S2s. I put in 3 buy orders at their S1s last night. One was filled minutes after the market opened. I cancelled another two orders. It looks like the market is about to head for another correction (hopefully just another small pull back).
Thanks, IIC and Spike, for your expert advice. It might be too late for exercising it on my current holdings after today's actions. I'll look for taking some profit tomorrow anyway. I think the market will go down more.
You're welcome yaoyao. I'm curious why you cancelled the two orders. Order one that was filled - it was part of your plan right? So the fill was good. I suspect there was an element of fear with you taking the other 2 orders off the table. If so, that fear is something you've got to work on eliminating. What are the three stocks? I'd like to throw up some charts for you.
On market direction, perhaps it could head lower. But right now, there is a bullish QQQ setup which I took. Let's see how resilient it is. The channel is a minor one, but still worth attempting imo.
Well I didnt sit tight on the DECK, I felt like I needed to take a profit and sold yesterday at 33. Man glad I did that as today it is testing its 50dma at 30.05, maybe it will continue its charge but at least I protected my profit.
Spike I have been watchin SNDK and it is looking good. Bought some at 21 but sold at 21. Looking to get back in, if it breaks throught he 28.5 barrier I think it could run to 33 no problem. what do you think?
thanks
TJK
Well I didnt sit tight on the DECK, I felt like I needed to take a profit and sold yesterday at 33. Man glad I did that as today it is testing its 50dma at 30.05, maybe it will continue its charge but at least I protected my profit.
That worked out nicely then! Good one. But remember 'feelings' are an indicator of emotion. It worked out profitable, which will only reinforce what you did as a good thing. But if it wasn't your plan, then you've broken a rule. The stock could have jumped 5 points overnight and you'd be feeling regret instead of gladness. If there was some technical reason that you exited, that's a different story. That would consistitute great trade management.
Looking at DECK today, it's falling back towards the lower channels again. The channel at 28.50ish would be a nice place to start watching for an intraday reason to buy it.
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